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EU mulls tougher stance on foreign investments

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Electricity, Metals, Natural gas
  • 17/06/20

The European Parliament's largest political group today called for a "temporary ban" on Chinese takeovers of European companies. The centre-right European People's Party (EPP) group made the call as the European Commission unveiled plans to regulate acquisitions of EU companies by third-country firms if the latter have received subsidies.

The commission wants to ensure that foreign subsidies do not confer an "unfair" benefit on firms from third-country countries when acquiring EU companies, whether by directly linking a subsidy to a given acquisition or by indirectly increasing the financial strength of the acquirer.

It is seeking powers as a competent supervisory authority over foreign direct investment (FDI) so that it could propose legally binding commitments to a foreign acquirer to remedy competition distortion or prohibit a takeover. Transactions could not be finalised when under a commission review.

"As a last resort, if we could not agree on suitable commitments, we'd have the power to block a harmful merger altogether," EU competition commissioner Margrethe Vestager said. She indicated that the measures should not look at subsidies for previous acquisitions, but at current third-country support for EU-based firms.

The commission did not today present legislative proposals, but indicated that it could do so in 2021. The proposals would require approval from EU member states and the European Parliament, following public consultation until 23 September 2020.

The commission's paper does not specifically mention China. But the EPP, criticising the commission's white paper on foreign takeovers as "not enough", today called for the EU to impose a "temporary ban" on Chinese takeovers of European companies made vulnerable by the Covid-19 pandemic.

"China will not be impressed by a discussion paper," EPP chair Manfred Weber said. "What we urgently need is legislative proposals to prevent outsiders from buying our strategic companies and know-how at a bargain price."

Other countries have recently moved to impose restrictions on foreign investment, with [Japan tightening control of its oil sector](https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/2087145) while Australia plans to tighten its foreign investment laws amid increased tensions with China. And the US is working on greater scrutiny of more than 150 Chinese publicly traded companies on US stock exchanges, including state-controlled Sinopec and PetroChina. The UK is also considering increased scrutiny of foreign investment.

The EU adopted a regulation in March 2019 establishing the first EU-level mechanism to co-ordinate existing foreign investment screening by member states, although it does not mandate that all EU countries have screening schemes.

Supply of critical inputs, such as energy or raw materials, is one of the criteria that the commission and member states will consider when determining whether an investment might affect security or public order.


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13/01/25

Cliffs still seeks US Steel, pledges no closures

Cliffs still seeks US Steel, pledges no closures

Houston, 13 January (Argus) — Cleveland-Cliffs chief executive Lourenco Goncalves said today that he remains open to buying US Steel, promising to keep all of the acquired assets open. Goncalves said Ohio-based Cliffs still wants to buy Pennsylvania-based US Steel and would invest in the company's assets. "Of course, we are going to keep [US Steel mills] open," Goncalves told reporters on Monday. "We are going to make them bigger, we are going to make them better, we are going to produce more." His comments come 10 days after President Joe Biden blocked Japan-based Nippon Steel's agreement to buy US Steel for $15bn, citing national security concerns. Nippon had committed to invest $1.3bn in US Steel's mills and to not cut any of US Steel's production for 10 years without government approval. Cliffs tried to buy US Steel for $54/share with half paid in cash and half in company stock before US Steel agreed to go with Nippon's $55/share all-cash offer. Goncalves promise to not close any acquired assets comes as the US steel market remains oversupplied , according to market sources. Goncalves said he cannot make a bid for US Steel until the company and Nippon cancel their merger agreement. He also dismissed antitrust concerns over Cliffs owning all US iron ore mines and all US blast furnace capacity. A combined company would have Cliffs running the mining side of the business and US Steel running the steelmaking operations, he said. A US Steel-Cliffs merger would have 32.1mn short tons (st)/yr of flat rolled raw steel capacity, in addition to plate making and seamless tube production. Goncalves did not say how he would finance such a purchase. Cliffs had $3.8bn in liquidity as of 30 September, including $39mn of cash, according to a third-quarter presentation. US Steel had $4.05bn in liquidity in the same period, of which $1.77bn was cash. Nippon is trying to buy US Steel. Both companies have sued Biden and others in the government over the denial, and filed a separate lawsuit against Cliffs, Goncalves and United Steelworkers (USW) International president David McCall, who endorsed a takeover by Cliffs. By Rye Druzchetta Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US tariffs on Canada likely, oil cut-off not: Alberta


13/01/25
13/01/25

US tariffs on Canada likely, oil cut-off not: Alberta

Calgary, 13 January (Argus) — Tariffs threatened by the US against Canada will become a reality, according to the premier of oil-rich Alberta , but any retaliation will not entail cutting off energy exports. "They're likely to come in on January 20th," Alberta premier Danielle Smith said of the tariffs on Monday after she met with US president-elect Donald Trump at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida over the weekend. "I haven't seen anything that suggests that he's changing course." Trump in late-November said he plans to impose a 25pc tariff against all imports from Canada, citing inadequate border controls and a US trade deficit. Canada has since pledged to spend more money on border security while Smith reckons Canada would have a deficit if not for energy trade. "We actually buy more goods and services from the US than they buy from us," Smith said in an online interview with reporters. "We actually have $58bn in a trade deficit with the Americans when you take energy out." Smith wanted assurances the US is still interested in buying Canadian oil and gas, with her province being the heart of the country's energy sector. "Oil and gas is going to be key for being able to get a breakthrough, once the tariffs do come in, in getting them off," said Smith. Canadian foreign affairs minister Mélanie Joly said in a 12 January interview broadcast on CTV that the country could consider stopping the flow of Canadian energy in retaliation to tariffs. But Smith said that would not happen since the oil are owned by the province, not the federal government. "[The federal government] will have a national unity crisis on their hands at the same time as having a crisis with our US trade partners," said Smith. About 80pc of Canada's 5mn b/d of crude production is consumed by refineries in the US, with many in the Midcontinent having no practical alternative , according to the American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers (AFPM). The region imported 2.7mn b/d of Canadian crude in October, the latest data point from the Energy Information Administration (EIA). "I hope cooler heads prevail," said Smith, adding that Trump seemed interested in buying more oil and gas. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Lula approves offshore wind law with vetoes


13/01/25
13/01/25

Lula approves offshore wind law with vetoes

Sao Paulo, 13 January (Argus) — Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva approved legislation that will clear the way to develop the offshore wind industry, while vetoing three items supporting fossil fuel-fired power projects. The new law establishes a regulatory framework for the sector, clearing the way for Brazil to hold its first auctions for offshore wind concessions. The law positions Brazil to become a leader in offshore wind development, according to Matheus Noronha, the head of offshore wind at the Brazilian wind power association Abeeolica. Amid strong lobbying from large energy consumers, industry associations and environmentalists, Lula vetoed three articles that had been tied to the bill. These articles would have mandated the construction of new gas-fired thermoelectric plants, extended power purchase agreements (PPAs) for coal plants until 2050 and required PPAs for small hydroelectric plants. Energy research firm PSR estimated that these three amendments would have raised annual electricity prices for consumers by 9pc by adding cost of around R22bn/yr ($3.6bn/yr) . Brazil is on the radar of wind power developers and companies have submitted over 100 projects with roughly 245GW of capacity to environmental watchdog Ibama for approval. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November


13/01/25
13/01/25

Mexico’s industrial output up 0.1pc in November

Mexico City, 13 January (Argus) — Mexico's industrial production edged up 0.1pc in November, as gains in autos and other manufacturing offset weaker construction, national statistics agency Inegi said. Mexican bank Banorte described the monthly increase as "rather small," noting it followed a 1.1pc decline in October and was largely driven by base comparison effects. The bank added that the overall industrial outlook remained "fragile." Manufacturing, which represents 63pc of Inegi's seasonally adjusted industrial activity indicator (IMAI), increased by 0.7pc in November, though it failed to fully recover from a 1.7pc drop in October. Transportation manufacturing, a key subsector accounting for 12pc of the sector, rose by 3.8pc after a steep 4.3pc decline the prior month. Despite recent volatility, Mexico's auto sector achieved record annual light vehicle production in 2024, reaching 3.99mn units. Yet, automaker association AMIA warned of potential challenges in 2025 because of economic uncertainty, which could affect investment and demand. Mining, which makes up 12pc of the IMAI, increased by 0.1pc in November following a 1.1pc decline in October. Growth was driven by a 41.4pc jump in mining-related services, while oil and gas output fell by 2.4pc, marking a fifth consecutive monthly decline for hydrocarbons. Construction, representing 19pc of the IMAI, contracted by 1.8pc in November after modest gains of 0.2pc in October and 1.1pc in September. As industry eyes potential policy shifts under US president-elect Donald Trump, Banorte projected a weak start to 2025 for Mexico's industrial output. But it expects momentum to build as government spending on priority infrastructure projects "moves more decisively." By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

AI may boom on gas power, then turn to nuclear


13/01/25
13/01/25

AI may boom on gas power, then turn to nuclear

New York, 13 January (Argus) — The first tranche of new US data centers coming on line this decade to run electricity-intensive artificial intelligence (AI) software will probably rely mostly on power generated by natural gas, while the nuclear renaissance hoped for by Big Tech comes later in the 2030s. Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook-parent Meta and Google-parent Alphabet want clean, reliable power as quickly as possible so they can be early movers in the development of AI, which is rapidly advancing and finding new user bases around the world. While these companies do not relish the optics of powering AI development with fossil fuels, gas-fired power is widely expected to fulfill most of the gap between current supply and future demand through at least 2030. Unlike wind and solar, gas can be relied upon for steady, baseload power, a necessary ingredient for always-on data centers. And crucially, unlike nuclear, gas-related infrastructure can be built out quickly. The most recent additions to the US nuclear fleet, Vogtle units 3 and 4 in Georgia, took 15 years to build and cost $30bn, double the expected time and cost. A few decommissioned nuclear reactors can be restarted, as Microsoft is paying to do with a unit of Three Mile Island in Pennsylvania. But this low-hanging fruit will be quickly exhausted. Questions around the meter While there is broad agreement that gas will power the AI data center boom through at least 2030, questions remain about what this rapid gas-fired power build-out will look like. Data center operators can secure power in two ways: wade through the long, arduous interconnection process through which new customers connect to the grid, or bypass the grid altogether and secure their own personal electricity supply through so-called "behind-the-meter" agreements. Many in the gas industry are betting tech companies' need for speed will force them to opt for the latter. "The data centers are not going to wait," Alan Armstrong, chief executive of Williams, the largest US gas pipeline company, told Argus in an interview. "They are going to go to states that allow you to go behind the meter." In this scenario, construction of an AI data center in a state like Louisiana, for instance, might accompany construction of a new intrastate pipeline connecting the state's prolific Haynesville gas field with a new gas-fired power plant. Intrastate pipelines bypass the federal oversight triggered by interstate pipeline construction, and new gas power plants only take 2-3 years to build, East Daley Analytics analyst Zachary Krause told Argus . Most of the incremental power needed to run AI data centers this decade will be generated by new gas plants, Krause said. Even ExxonMobil in December said it was in talks to provide "fully islanded" gas-fired power to AI data centers. It claimed it could even capture 90pc of the CO2 emissions from power generation, appeasing tech companies' climate ambitions. ExxonMobil's non-grid gas generation fleet is "independent of utility timelines, so they can be installed at a pace that other alternatives — including US nuclear — just can't match," ExxonMobil chief financial officer Kathy Mikells said. But connecting to the grid may offer better reliability and economics than behind-the-meter gas power. If an off-grid gas generator trips off line, for instance, an always-on data center without back-up generation depending on that facility would be in trouble. Grid connection also allows generators to sell excess power into the grid. For those reasons, most new data centers this decade will rely on the grid as their primary power source, Adam Robinson, research associate at consultancy Enverus, told Argus . Small modular future But if the 2020s become the decade of gas-powered AI, the 2030s may be when nuclear-powered AI gets its due. The long-awaited nuclear renaissance may come not from conventional reactors, but from next-generation small modular reactors (SMRs), which can theoretically be built much faster and cheaper. No US SMRs yet exist, but given the number of SMR start-ups with expected start dates before 2030, and money pouring into the sector from the likes of Google and Microsoft, at least one of these next-generation reactors should be operating by 2030, Adam Stein, director of nuclear energy innovation at research center Breakthrough Institute, told Argus . SMRs' smaller price tag relative to conventional 1 GW nuclear reactors may also accelerate their adoption, Stein said. "Not every utility needs a GW-scale plant of any kind, but they might need a 300 or 600MW plant," he said. "So the total addressable market is larger for SMRs." By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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