More Iranian gasoline cargoes head to Venezuela: Update

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Oil products
  • 16/09/20

Adds details on the condensate shipment, comments from Chevron

At least three Iranian-flagged tankers are on their way to Venezuela to provide a brief reprieve to the South American Opec member's critical gasoline shortages.

The cargoes are believed to be aboard three Handysize tankers, the Forest, the Fortune and the Faxon, which vessel tracking show loaded approximately 275,000 bl each in Iran in late August and early September and are now in the south Atlantic Ocean.The three tankers were among the five vessels, all Iran-flagged and owned, that delivered 1.5mn bl of gasoline and alkylate — an octane-enhancing gasoline blendstock — to Venezuela in late May and early June.

Both parties have commercial reasons for the trade. For Venezuela the supply will briefly alleviate a severe fuel shortage ahead of politically sensitive legislative elections in December. For Iran the shipments help Iranian state-owned NIOC, which has struggled to sell or store oil domestically because of Covid-19 containment measures and US sanctions that cut Iran's exports to nearly every destination.

But the gasoline shipments also have the political significance of needling Washington, which has boasted of the success of its sanctions policies against both Tehran and Caracas.

The three tankers would provide "only a few weeks worth of gasoline" consumption in Venezuela, the US State Department's special Iran and Venezuela envoy, Elliott Abrams, said today. "If you wanted to prevent the return of the kind of shortages that are now so common in Venezuela, you would have had to leave Iran yesterday with another three tankers — a shuttle service, which we have not seen," he said.

The US says Venezuela is paying for the shipments with gold from its central bank reserves. Neither Caracas nor Tehran disclosed terms of the trade.

The US' main effort is to ensure no third party participates in the Iran-Venezuela oil trade, Abrams said. "We are making sure that other shippers, insurers, ship owners, ship captains, stay away from that trade."

No apparent US intervention

Abrams' comments acknowledge that the US is not prepared to intervene to stop deliveries aboard Iranian-flagged and owned tankers. Iran last year reacted to the seizure by the UK marines of an Iranian oil tanker, the Grace 1, near Gibraltar by seizing a UK-flagged vessel in the Mideast Gulf. The UK vessel was eventually released once the Grace 1 was allowed to leave Gibraltar, despite US attempts to arrest its cargo.

The US Justice Department said last month it took custody of 1.16mn bl of Iranian gasoline headed to Venezuela aboard four Greek-owned, Liberia-flagged tankers. The US transferred the fuel to other tankers to transport it to the US. But shippers based in the UAE, Oman and the UK have since stepped forward to claim ownership of the cargoes.

An Iranian tanker on 13 September delivered 2mn bl of condensate at Venezuela state-owned PdV's Jose terminal, to be used to dilute Venezuela's extra-heavy Orinoco crude. PdV joint ventures expected to receive some of the Iranian condensate include PetroSinovensa, PetroMonagas, PetroPiar and PetroIndependencia. Chevron, which holds a 30pc stake at PetroPiar, said it "does not participate in any deal with Iranian origin products." Chevron has a waiver from US sanctions that allows it to preserve and maintain its Venezuelan assets. The waiver has been repeatedly renewed and next expires on 1 December. Chevron said it will continue to conduct its business in compliance with US sanctions and remains hopeful the waiver will be extended again.

The US administration is still weighing an end to informal exemptions that allowed Spanish oil firm Repsol, Italy's Eni and India's Reliance to supply Caracas with diesel in exchange for crude from PdV in debt and swap-related transactions.

"We are looking very carefully at the diesel question," Abrams said. Thai bitumen trading firm Tipco said recently it will halt purchases of Venezuelan crude by the end of November to avoid the risk of US sanctions.

Proponents of continued sanctions exemptions for the diesel-for-crude swaps argue that Venezuela is using diesel for power generation, thus qualifying for a humanitarian exemption from US sanctions. But Abrams said that Venezuela continues to export the much needed diesel and other oil products to its main political ally Cuba.


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01/05/24

US Fed signals rates likely to stay high for longer

US Fed signals rates likely to stay high for longer

Houston, 1 May (Argus) — Federal Reserve policymakers signaled they are likely to hold rates higher for longer until they are confident inflation is slowing "sustainably" towards the 2pc target. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds target rate unchanged at a 23-year high of 5.25-5.5pc, for the sixth consecutive meeting. This followed 11 rate increases from March 2022 through July 2023 that amounted to the most aggressive hiking campaign in four decades. "We don't think it would be appropriate to dial back our restrictive policy stance until we've gained greater confidence that inflation is moving down sustainably," Fed chair Jerome Powell told a press conference after the meeting. "It appears it'll take longer to reach the point of confidence that rate cuts will be in scope." In a statement the FOMC cited a lack of further progress towards the committee's 2pc inflation objective in recent months as part of the decision to hold the rate steady. Despite this, the FOMC said the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals "have moved toward better balance over the past year," shifting prior language that said the goals "are moving into better balance." The decision to keep rates steady was widely expected. CME's FedWatch tool, which tracks fed funds futures trading, had assigned a 99pc probability to the Fed holding rates steady today while giving 58pc odds of rate declines beginning at the 7 November meeting. In March, Fed policymakers had signaled they believed three quarter points cuts were likely this year. Inflation has ticked up lately after falling from four-decade highs in mid-2022. The consumer price index inched back up to an annual 3.5pc in March after reaching a recent low of 3pc in June 2023. The employment cost index edged up in the first quarter to the highest in a year. At the same time, job growth, wages and demand have remained resilient. The Fed also said it would begin slowing the pace of reducing its balance sheet of Treasuries and other notes in June, partly to avoid stress in money markets. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cenovus boosts oil sands output by 4pc in 1Q


01/05/24
01/05/24

Cenovus boosts oil sands output by 4pc in 1Q

Calgary, 1 May (Argus) — Canadian integrated Cenovus Energy increased its oil sands production by 4pc in the first quarter, led by gains at Lloydminster Thermal and Foster Creek heavy crude assets, and the company plans to boost output further to supply the newly opened Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) pipeline. Cenovus pumped out 613,000 b/d of crude from its oil sands projects in Alberta, up from 588,000 b/d in the same quarter last year, the Calgary-based company reported on Wednesday. This was one of the highest producing quarters for Cenovus' oil sands assets since acquiring Husky in early 2021, second only to the 625,000 b/d produced in the fourth quarter that year. Cenovus has a commitment of about 144,000 b/d on the newly completed 590,000 b/d TMX pipeline, which was placed into service on Wednesday , and the company has plans to push upstream output higher over the next several years across its portfolio to meet its commitment. The pipeline nearly triples the amount of Canadian crude that can reach the Pacific coast without first having to go through the US. First-quarter production from the Lloydminster Thermal segment rose to 114,000 b/d, up from 99,000 b/d a year earlier, because of higher reliability, according to Cenovus. Cenovus' Foster Creek production rose to 196,000 b/d of bitumen, up from 190,000 b/d in first quarter 2023. The company plans to bring another 30,000 b/d online at the steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) asset by the end of 2027 through optimization projects. To the north, Christina Lake's first-quarter bitumen output of 237,000 b/d was steady with previous quarters. The asset is expected to get a significant boost by the end of 2025 when a pipeline connecting the project to output from the neighbouring Narrows Lake asset is completed. The 17 kilometer (11 mile) Narrows Lake tie-back will add 20,000-30,000 b/d of bitumen to Christina Lake, which already ranks as the industry's largest SAGD project. The pipeline is 67pc complete and should be placed into service in early 2025, Cenovus executives said Wednesday on an earnings call. Northeast of Fort McMurray, Alberta, new well pads are planned at Sunrise in 2025, where Cenovus also plans to push production higher by 20,000 b/d. Sunrise produced an average of 49,000 b/d in the first quarter this year, up from 45,000 b/d in the same quarter 2023. Cenovus' output company-wide rose to 801,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in the first quarter, up from 779,000 boe/d a year earlier. This includes oil sands, natural gas liquids, natural gas, conventional and offshore assets. Cenovus posted a profit of C$1.2bn ($871mn) in the quarter, up from a C$636mn profit during the same quarter of 2023. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Tankers can take TMX crude mid-May: Trans Mountain


01/05/24
01/05/24

Tankers can take TMX crude mid-May: Trans Mountain

Calgary, 1 May (Argus) — Commercial operations for the 590,000 b/d Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) crude pipeline in western Canada have officially started today, but tankers will not be able to load crude from the line until later this month. Line fill activities, which began on 16 April, are still ongoing for the C$34bn ($25bn) project that stretches from Edmonton, Alberta, to the docks in Burnaby, British Columbia. About 70pc of the volumes needed are in the 1,181 kilometre (733 mile) line, Trans Mountain said on Wednesday. "As of today, all deliveries for shippers will be subject to the Expanded System tariff and tolls, and tankers will be able to receive oil from Line 2 by mid-May," Trans Mountain said. Aframax-size crude tankers started to take position on the west coast last month in anticipation of the new line. But the inability to deliver crude at Burnaby, while still having to pay full tolls, was a concern raised by several shippers on 23 April. "Trans Mountain must be able to receive, transport and deliver a shipper's contract volume," the shippers said in a letter to the CER. The ability to deliver the crude is "clearly central and fundamental qualities of firm service." The CER in November approved interim tolls for the system that will further connect Albertan oil sands producers to Pacific Rim markets. Shippers will, at least initially, pay C$11.46/bl to move crude from Edmonton, Alberta, to the Westridge terminal in Burnaby, British Columbia. The fixed portion accounts for C$10.88/bl of this and has nearly doubled from a C$5.76/bl estimate in 2017. The Canada Energy Regulator (CER) on 30 April gave Trans Mountain a green light to put TMX into service , ending years of uncertainty that the project would ever be completed. The expansion project, or Line 2, nearly triples the capacity of Canadian crude that can flow to the Pacific coast, complementing the original 300,000 b/d line, or Line 1, that has been operating since 1953. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Canada’s TMX pipeline ready to move crude: Update


30/04/24
30/04/24

Canada’s TMX pipeline ready to move crude: Update

Adds regulatory approvals received. Calgary, 30 April (Argus) — Canada's 590,000 b/d Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) crude pipeline can now start moving volumes to the Pacific coast after receiving final regulatory approvals today, more than a decade after the project was first conceived. The Canada Energy Regulator (CER) approved Trans Mountain's final applications on Tuesday, giving the midstream company a green light to put its C$34bn ($25bn) project into service. Trans Mountain had recently maintained its commitment to being ready by 1 May. The expansion nearly triples the existing 300,000 b/d Trans Mountain line that runs from Edmonton, Alberta, to Burnaby, British Columbia. Also expanded was the Westridge Marine Terminal from one dock to three, all capable of loading Aframax-sized vessels. The line will provide Canadian oil sands producers with a significant export outlet without having to first go through the US. Much of the new volume to flow on TMX is expected to be heavy sour crude. Federally-owned Trans Mountain had submitted applications as recent as 15 April for the final section of the pipeline about 140 kilometers (87 miles) east of the line's terminus in Burnaby. The final applications concerned piping, valves and other components at two pipeline inspection device traps and the mainline pipe between the two traps. The traps were added for safety assurance when the operator was allowed by CER to use a smaller diameter pipe as part of the Mountain 3 deviation. Mountain 3 was the last segment of the pipeline to be constructed because of delays relating to difficult terrain while tunneling. The "golden weld" marking the end of construction occurred on 11 April, according to Trans Mountain. A group of shippers last week expressed concern that TMX would not be ready for commercial service by 1 May. The pipeline had been marred by legal challenges and cost over-runs since it was first proposed in 2013 by its then-owner US midstream firm Kinder Morgan. The Canadian government took ownership of it in 2018. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

New US rule may let some shippers swap railroads


30/04/24
30/04/24

New US rule may let some shippers swap railroads

Washington, 30 April (Argus) — US rail regulators today issued a final rule designed to help customers switch railroads in cases of poor rail service, but it is already drawing mixed reviews. Reciprocal switching, which allows freight shippers or receivers captive to a single railroad to access to an alternate carrier, has been allowed under US Surface Transportation Board (STB) rules. But shippers had not used existing STB rules to petition for reciprocal switching in 35 years, prompting regulators to revise rules to encourage shippers to pursue switching while helping resolve service problems. "The rule adopted today has broken new ground in the effort to provide competitive options in an extraordinarily consolidated rail industry," said outgoing STB chairman Martin Oberman. The five-person board unanimously approved a rule that would allow the board to order a reciprocal switching agreement if a facility's rail service falls below specified levels. Orders would be for 3-5 years. "Given the repeated episodes of severe service deterioration in recent years, and the continuing impediments to robust and consistent rail service despite the recent improvements accomplished by Class I carriers, the board has chosen to focus on making reciprocal switching available to shippers who have suffered service problems over an extended period of time," Oberman said today. STB commissioner Robert Primus voted to approve the rule, but also said it did not go far enough. The rule adopted today is "unlikely to accomplish what the board set out to do" since it does not cover freight moving under contract, he said. "I am voting for the final rule because something is better than nothing," Primus said. But he said the rule also does nothing to address competition in the rail industry. The Association of American Railroads (AAR) is reviewing the 154-page final rule, but carriers have been historically opposed to reciprocal switching proposals. "Railroads have been clear about the risks of expanded switching and the resulting slippery slope toward unjustified market intervention," AAR said. But the trade group was pleased that STB rejected "previous proposals that amounted to open access," which is a broad term for proposals that call for railroads to allow other carriers to operate over their tracks. The American Short Line and Regional Railroad Association declined to comment but has indicated it does not expect the rule to have an appreciable impact on shortline traffic, service or operations. Today's rule has drawn mixed reactions from some shipper groups. The National Industrial Transportation League (NITL), which filed its own reciprocal switching proposal in 2011, said it was encouraged by the collection of service metrics required under the rule. But "it is disheartened by its narrow scope as it does not appear to apply to the vast majority of freight rail traffic that moves under contracts or is subject to commodity exemptions," said NITL executive director Nancy O'Liddy, noting it was a departure from the group's original petition which sought switching as a way to facilitate railroad economic competitiveness. The Chlorine Institute said, in its initial analysis, that it does not "see significant benefit for our shipper members since it excludes contract traffic which covers the vast majority of chlorine and other relevant chemical shipments." By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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