Indonesia slips into recession
Indonesia slipped into an economic recession in the July-September quarter, for the first time since the 1998 Asian financial crisis, as the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic continued to take its toll on southeast Asia's largest economy.
The country's economy contracted by 3.49pc from a year earlier for the third quarter, following a contraction of 5.32pc in the April-June quarter, according to Indonesia's statistics agency BPS.
Indonesia's most populous region of Java saw its economy contract by 4pc during July-September. Indonesia's capital Jakarta, which is in Java, started a second Covid-19 lockdown in the middle of September. Bali-Nusa Tenggara, which relies heavily on the tourism sector that has been decimated by Covid-19, saw the deepest contraction at 6.8pc.
Economic forecasters had predicted the impact of Covid-19 to hit developing economies hard in Asia-Pacific, with the Asia Development Bank expecting them to shrink for the first time in almost 60 years.
Indonesia is the world's largest thermal coal exporter, shipping 456.4mn t last year. It planned to export 435mn t this year. But its exports hit a three-year low of 29.3mn t in August, customs data show, because of Covid-19 disruptions and reduced demand. They may have dropped below 25mn t in September, according to Argus estimates based on shipping data.
Indonesia is also Asia-Pacific's largest gasoline buyer but its demand has slowed considerably this year because of reduced driving activity with Covid-19 lockdowns. It bought around 277,000 b/d of gasoline during January-September according to GTT customs data, down from 341,000 b/d for the same period last year. But September imports of 307,000 b/d rebounded to their highest level since April this year as volumes moved closer to pre-pandemic levels.
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India’s Adani Power raises imported coal use in Jan-Mar
India’s Adani Power raises imported coal use in Jan-Mar
Singapore, 6 May (Argus) — India's leading private sector utility Adani Power more than doubled its use of imported thermal coal during January-March and in the April 2023-March 2024 fiscal year to meet rising power demand. The Bombay Stock Exchange-listed firm used 5.19mn t of imported coal over January-March, more than twice that of 1.99mn t a year earlier. Domestic coal burn also rose by nearly 18pc on the year to 8.83mn t during January-March, following higher availability of local fuel and increased dispatches to utilities. Adani Power consumed 19.44mn t of imported coal over India's April 2023-March 2024 fiscal year. This was also more than double that of 7.66mn t in 2022-23. Its domestic coal burn increased by 10pc on the year to 31.72mn t in 2023-24. Higher imports came on the back of a sharp drop in seaborne prices. The Argus -assessed Indonesian GAR 4,200 kcal/kg coal averaged $57.88/t fob Kalimantan over April 2023-March 2024, down by over 31pc from an average of $84.45/t in the year earlier. The company's fuel cost stood at 3.33 rupees/kWh sold (0.04¢/kWh sold) in January-March, down from Rs5.30/kWh sold a year earlier because of lower blended fuel costs, following a decline in seaborne coal prices. Fuel cost for 2023-24 stood at Rs3.59/kWh compared with Rs4.78/kWh in the previous year. Lower imported coal prices also boosted power offtake under imported coal-based power purchase agreements. The company sold 22.13bn units of electricity in January-March, up significantly from 14.25bn units sold a year earlier. It sold 79.27bn units in 2023-24, up from 53.39bn units in the year earlier. Higher volumes during January-March and the fiscal year were driven by its Mundra, Udupi, Raipur, and Mahan plants — apart from the incremental contribution of the Godda unit — which were commissioned in April 2023. Domestic power sales volumes were driven by growing power demand across the country, the company said. Utility demand could continue to support imports by utilities and lift overall Indian demand for seaborne coal. India imported 14.27mn t of thermal coal in March, up by 8pc from 13.2mn t a year earlier, according to shipping broker Interocean data. Thermal power expansion plans Adani Power operates 15.25GW of thermal generation capacity in the Gujarat and Maharashtra states of west India, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh in central India, Rajasthan in north India, Karnataka in south India and Jharkhand in eastern India. The firm is eyeing a capacity of more than 24GW by 2029. It is undertaking a brownfield thermal capacity expansion of 1.6GW at its 1.2GW Mahan power project in Madhya Pradesh. It has started developing a 1.6GW expansion at its existing 600MW unit in Chhattisgarh. Adani Power has also emerged as the frontrunner to acquire thermal generation capacity and an under-construction project from domestic debt-ridden Lanco Amarkantak Power. Lanco owned and operated a 600MW thermal power plant in central India's Chhattisgarh state and was planning 1.32GW of generating capacity under the second phase of the project. Adani is in the process of acquiring a 1.2GW debt-ridden thermal power project in south India's Tamil Nadu state. Plant operator Coastal Energen is also having a corporate resolution insolvency process. It is evaluating an organic expansion of 1.6GW, besides considering other inorganic acquisition opportunities, to meet strong demand for thermal power in the coming years, the company said. By Ajay Modi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Indonesia’s PIS seeks MR vessels to ship oil products
Indonesia’s PIS seeks MR vessels to ship oil products
Singapore, 6 May (Argus) — Indonesia's Pertamina International Shipping (PIS) is seeking two Medium Range (MR) vessels to ship clean oil products to Sulawesi and Central Java provinces for early-May loading. PIS — a wholly-owned subsidiary of Indonesian state-owned refiner Pertamina — has issued two spot tenders. The shipments can have a maximum unavoidable transportation loss of up to 0.07pc, according to the tenders. A 200,000 bl shipment will load either from Singapore or Malaysia's Tanjung Bin, Tanjung Langsat or Pengerang during 10-11 May, before heading to two discharge ports in Indonesia's Baubau and Semarang. The tender closed at 10am Jakarta time (3am GMT) on 6 May. The firm issued another tender that closed at 2pm Jakarta time on 3 May. The 300,000 bl shipment will load from the same potential ports during 8-9 May, before heading to Indonesia's Semarang. PIS booked the 2021-built, 34,752 deadweight tonne Bowmore at $800,000 for a 200,000 bl shipment from Singapore to two discharge ports in Indonesia's Bau Bau and Wayame with loading from 17 April, through a tender that closed on 9 April . By Sean Zhuang Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Dutch FincoEnergies supplies B100 biodiesel to HAL
Dutch FincoEnergies supplies B100 biodiesel to HAL
London, 3 May (Argus) — Dutch supplier FincoEnergies has supplied shipowner Holland America Line (HAL)with B100 marine biodiesel at the port of Rotterdam for a pilot test. This follows a collaboration between HAL, FincoEnergies' subsidiary GoodFuels, and engine manufacturer Wartsila to trial blends of B30 and B100 marine biodiesel . HAL's vessel the Rotterdam bunkered with B100 on 27 April before embarking on a journey through the Norwegian heritage fjords to test the use of the biofuel. The vessel will utilise one of its four engines to combust B100, which will reportedly cut greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 86pc on a well-to-wake basis compared with conventional fossil fuel marine gasoil (MGO), according to GoodFuels. There is no engine or fuel structure modification required for the combustion of B100, confirmed HAL. The B100 marine biodiesel blend comprised of sustainable feedstock such as waste fats and oils. The firms did not disclose how much B100 was supplied, or whether this is the beginning of a longer-term supply agreement. Argus assessed the price of B100 advanced fatty acid methyl ester (Fame) 0°C cold filter plugging point dob ARA — a calculated price which includes a deduction of the value of Dutch HBE-G renewable fuel tickets — at an average of $1,177.32/t in April. This is a premium of $410.20/t to MGO dob ARA prices for the same month, which narrows to $321.68/t with the inclusion of EU emissions trading system (ETS) costs for the same time period. By Hussein Al-Khalisy Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US job growth nearly halved in April: Update
US job growth nearly halved in April: Update
Adds services PMI in first, fifth paragraphs, factory PMI reference in sixth paragraph. Houston, 3 May (Argus) — The US added fewer jobs in April as the unemployment rate ticked up and average earnings growth slowed, signs of gradually weakening labor market conditions. A separate survey showed the services sector contracted last month. The US added 175,000 jobs in April, the Labor Department reported today, fewer than the 238,000 analysts anticipated. That compared with an upwardly revised 315,000 jobs in March and a downwardly revised 236,000 jobs in February. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9pc from 3.8pc. The unemployment rate has ranged from 3.7-3.9pc since August 2023, near the five-decade low of 3.4pc. The latest employment report comes after the Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its target lending rate unchanged for a sixth time and signaled it would be slower in cutting rates from two-decade highs as the labor market has remained "strong" and inflation, even while easing, is "still too high". US stocks opened more than 1pc higher today after the jobs report and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.47pc. Futures markets showed odds of a September rate cut rose by about 10 percentage points to about 70pc after the report. Services weakness Another report today showed the biggest segment of the economy contracted last month. The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) services purchasing managers index (PMI) fell to 49.4 in April from 51.4 in March, ending 15 months of expansion. The services PMI employment index fell to 45.9, the fourth contraction in five months, in today's report. Readings below 50 signal contraction. On 1 May, ISM reported that the manufacturing PMI fell to 49.2 in April, after one month of growth following 16 months of contraction. In today's employment report from the Labor Department, average hourly earnings grew by 3.9pc over the 12 month period, down from 4.1pc in the period ended in March. Job gains in the 12 months through March averaged 242,000. Gains, including revisions, averaged 276,000 in the prior three-month period. Job gains occurred in health care, social services and transportation and warehousing. Health care added 56,000 jobs, in line with the gains over the prior 12 months. Transportation and warehousing added 22,000, also near the 12-month average. Retail trade added 20,000. Construction added 9,000 following 40,000 in March. Government added 8,000, slowing from an average of 55,000 in the prior 12 months. Manufacturing added 9,000 jobs after posting 4,000 jobs the prior month. Mining and logging lost 3,000 jobs. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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