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Shell eyes LNG expansion

  • Spanish Market: Natural gas
  • 11/02/21

Shell aims to expand its LNG portfolio in the coming years, with plans to create additional demand in new markets, as part of its energy transition strategy.

The firm aims to create 3mn t/yr of additional demand from new markets by 2025, the firm said in its energy transition strategy presentation. New target markets include the Philippines, Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan and the Bahamas.

Shell is also looking to expand its LNG portfolio with additional offtake agreements, including its 2mn t/yr deal with Mozambique LNG and a similar contract with US firm Venture Global, the developer of the 10mn t/yr Calcasieu Pass export facility. Additional agreements will add to Shell's production capacity, which is expected to increase by 7mn t/yr by 2025 once the Canada LNG facility and the seventh liquefaction train at Nigeria's Bonny liquefaction complex are on line.

The firm plans to invest only in competitive LNG assets with a technical cost of less than $5/mn Btu, the firm said. This would be in line with its average existing cost, which has fallen by approximately 40pc to $4.80/mn Btu from about $8/mn Btu in 2015.

Shell expects global LNG trade to continue to expand in the coming years and reach roughly 670mn t/yr by 2040. Global LNG deliveries totalled 365mn t in 2020, according to Vortexa.

Shell delivered 70mn t of LNG last year, it said, with its fleet of LNG carriers standing at 60 vessels.


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20/03/25

Brazil central bank raises target rate to 14.25pc

Brazil central bank raises target rate to 14.25pc

Sao Paulo, 20 March (Argus) — Brazil's central bank raised its target interest rate by 1 percentage point to 14.25pc amid accelerating inflation in a decelerating — but still heated — economy. The hike in the target rate, announced Wednesday, was the fifth in a row from a cyclical low of 10.5pc at the end of September last year, partly prompted by accelerating depreciation of the currency, the real, to the US dollar. Brazil's annualized inflation hit 5.06pc in February and is poised to keep accelerating. The bank's Focus economic report increased its inflation forecast to 5.7pc for the end-of-year 2025 from 5.5pc in January, when the bank's policy-making committee last met. Brazil's current government has an inflation ceiling goal of 3pc with tolerance of 1.5 percentage point above or below. The bank has recently changed the way it tracks the inflation goal. Instead of tracking inflation on a calendar year basis, it now monitors the goal on a rolling 12-month basis. The bank cited heated economic activity and a strong labor market as factors that have contributed to rising inflation. But the bank forecasts "modest GDP growth" for Brazil of almost 2pc in 2025, down from 3.4pc growth last year. Further tightening will also be linked to global economic uncertainty prompted by US president Donald Trump's aggressive trade and other policies and the monetary policies of the US Federal Reserve , according to the bank. Brazil's target interest rate is expected to keep rising at the bank's next meeting in 6-7 May, albeit to "a lesser extent" as the contributing factors are set to moderate, according to the committee. By Maria Frazatto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia must rethink gas strategy: Grattan


20/03/25
20/03/25

Australia must rethink gas strategy: Grattan

Sydney, 20 March (Argus) — Grattan's Orange Book 2025: Policy priorities for the federal government report suggests redesigning Canberra's future gas strategy, coordinating a shift away from gas for households and some industries while changing market control mechanisms. Australia's next federal government must act to address a shortfall of gas in the country's southeastern states by creating a demand response mechanism for the national gas market and bringing together stakeholders to permit initial LNG imports in mid-2026, according to Grattan. Australia has always been both an exporter and importer of LPG, proving it is possible to build infrastructure to ship gas to the nation's south for the next 3-4 years in line with expected shortfalls, director of Grattan's energy program Tony Wood told a Sydney forum on 19 March. Building or expanding gas pipelines would be expensive and inefficient as the nation decarbonises, Wood said, with less gas forecast to be used as Australia targets net zero emissions by 2050. Canberra should institute a working group involving producers, users, traders, terminal owners, governments and the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission — which reports on market supply — to achieve seasonal imports of LNG in winter months, according to the Grattan report. A rule change to create a demand response mechanism akin to that under national electricity market rules would assist in meeting small shortfalls, such as during severe weather or unexpected supply outages. Demand is expected to rise on the back the closure of coal-fired power stations in the 2030s, according to Canberra's future gas strategy released in 2024. Gas-fired power demand may double in the decade to 2043 because of the need to support a solar and wind-heavy grid. This requires a reworking of the future gas strategy to specify plans to reduce demand and clarify future gas requirements outside of power generation, Grattan's report said. Assistance for households and industries to electrify processes is also needed, together with optimising infrastructure to ensure residual users in power generation and industry can access gas supply. The main controls on east coast gas grids, the Australian Domestic Gas Security Mechanism (ADGSM) and code of conduct , should be revised to allow for interstate transfers of gas, Grattan said, likely from Queensland's Gladstone-based LNG projects to the southern states. The code of conduct, which mandates an A$12/GJ ($8/GJ) price on domestic gas, came into effect in 2023 amid booming global gas prices but must be reviewed in 2025. Australia's energy and climate change ministerial council met on 14 March but declined to decide on expanding the Australian Energy Market Operator's powers, to enable it to address the gas shortage possibly through underwriting LNG import terminals. More analysis will be commissioned ahead of a decision at the next meeting in mid-2025. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed keeps rate flat, eyes 2 cuts in '25: Update


19/03/25
19/03/25

US Fed keeps rate flat, eyes 2 cuts in '25: Update

Adds Powell comments, economic projections. Houston, 19 March (Argus) — Federal Reserve policymakers held their target interest rate unchanged today in their second meeting of 2025, and signaled two quarter-point cuts are still likely this year. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc. This mirrored the decision made at the last FOMC meeting at the end of January, which followed rate cuts of 100 basis points over the last three meetings of 2024, which were the first cuts since 2020. "Our current policy stance is well positioned to deal with the risks and uncertainties we are looking at," Fed chair Jerome Powell told journalists after the meeting. "The economy seems to be healthy." Powell acknowledged some of the negative market sentiment in recent weeks, which he said "... probably has to do with turmoil at the beginning of an administration." "We kind of know there are going to be tariffs and they tend to bring growth down and they tend to bring inflation up," he said, but long-term inflation expectations are "well anchored." In December the Fed said it expected 50 basis points worth of cuts for 2025, down from 100 basis points projected in the September median economic projections of Fed board members and Fed bank presidents. Policymakers and Fed officials Wednesday lowered their estimate for GDP growth this year to 1.7pc from a prior estimate of 2.1pc in the December economic projections. They see inflation rising to 2.7pc for 2025 from the prior estimate of 2.5pc. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed keeps rate unchanged, signals 2 cuts this year


19/03/25
19/03/25

US Fed keeps rate unchanged, signals 2 cuts this year

Houston, 19 March (Argus) — Federal Reserve policymakers held their target interest rate unchanged today in their second meeting of 2025, and signaled two quarter-point cuts are still likely this year. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc. This mirrored the decision made at the last FOMC meeting at the end of January, which followed cutting the rate by 100 basis points in the last three meetings of 2024, which were the first cuts since 2020. In December last year, the Fed penciled-in 50 basis points worth of cuts for 2025, down from 100 basis points projected in the September median economic projections of Fed board members and Fed bank presidents. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US DOE grants LNG export license for CP2


19/03/25
19/03/25

US DOE grants LNG export license for CP2

Houston, 19 March (Argus) — The US Department of Energy (DOE) granted a conditional export license for US developer Venture Global's proposed 28mn t/yr CP2 LNG terminal in Louisiana on Wednesday, removing one of the final regulatory hurdles for what would be among the largest LNG export facilities in the US. The order conditionally permits the CP2 facility to export LNG to countries that do not have a free trade agreement (non-FTA) with the US and clears the path for Venture Global to reach a final investment decision (FID) for phase 1 of the project, which the firm said this month it hopes to reach by mid-2025. The approval marks the fifth move by President Donald Trump's administration to buttress the US LNG industry, following a similar license for Commonwealth LNG , permit extensions for the 18.1mn t/yr Golden Pass and 13.3mn t/yr Delfin projects and the lifting of a barrier for LNG to be used as a marine fuel. The CP2 facility, capable of exporting 3.96bn ft³/d of gas, is in southwest Louisiana next to Venture Global's 12.4mn t/yr Calcasieu Pass terminal, which is set to begin commercial operations on 15 April. Venture Global said this month that the 36-train CP2 facility could export up to 550 commissioning cargoes on the spot market during the start-up process, which would include two phases. The first phase consists of 13 blocks, comprising 26 liquefaction trains, with a targeted commissioning date of mid-2029. The second phase consists of five blocks, totaling 10 trains, with a targeted FID in mid-2026 and commissioning date of mid-2030. The firm said earlier this month that it expects first LNG from the terminal in the third quarter of 2027. Some 12 of the 36 trains were being built as of 6 March. As of late December, Venture Global had entered eight 20-year sales and purchase agreements (SPAs) for CP2's nameplate capacity, all pertaining to phase 1 and equal to 9.25mn t/yr (see table) . The firm expects CP2 will cost between $27bn-28bn, according to an SEC filing this month. The project is still awaiting a final environmental analysis under its authorization from energy regulator FERC, which was granted last June. In November, FERC issued an order that partially set aside its prior analysis of the environmental impact of CP2 and began preparing a supplemental environmental impact statement (EIS). FERC issued a draft of the EIS on 7 February, with public comments due by 31 March and the final EIS to be issued by 9 May. The DOE's full authorization for CP2 to export to non-FTA countries will be "informed" by its 2024 study reviewing the economic and environmental effects of licensing more LNG projects as well as the public comments it receives, Wednesday's order said. But the DOE said the order does not rely on the study. The 90-day comment period on the DOE study concludes on 20 March. By Tray Swanson CP2 LNG SPAs mn t/yr Company Capacity Inpex 1.00 China Gas 1.00 EnBW 1.00 Chevron 1.00 ExxonMobil 1.00 New Fortress Energy 1.00 SEFE 2.25 Jera 1.00 ― US Department of Energy Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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