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Malaysian Covid lockdown may slash UCO supplies further

  • Spanish Market: Biofuels
  • 01/06/21

Malaysia's return to a full two-week lockdown from today may worsen the scarcity of Malaysian waste-based biodiesel feedstocks.

Prices of used cooking oil (UCO) flexitank exports are already at record highs of $$1,110-1,150/t fob because of tight supplies and firm demand from renewable diesel producers.

Kuala Lumpur implemented its third round of movement control orders (MCOs) last month to curb the spread of Covid-19.

With no restaurant dining and limited travel, UCO collections may be cut by as much as 50pc of pre-pandemic levels as was the case during the first wave of infections and when MCOs were introduced last March.

Net UCO exports slumped by 77pc to 26,000t last year from 113,000t in 2019.

Palm oil production is considered essential, so output of the vegetable oil and off-shoot palm oil mill effluent should be unaffected, though suppliers said it may take a few days for operations to normalise.


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US court pauses refiner's biofuel case after EPA shift


18/02/25
18/02/25

US court pauses refiner's biofuel case after EPA shift

New York, 18 February (Argus) — A US federal appeals court has paused the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)'s rejection of a refiner's request for exemptions from federal biofuel blend mandates, with relief possible for two more refiners as the US reassesses policy under a new administration. A three-judge panel on the US 5th Circuit Court of Appeals last week granted a request from Calumet's 57,000 b/d refinery in Shreveport, Louisiana, to pause a recent EPA action denying the refinery relief from its 2023 obligations under the federal Renewable Fuel Standard. The stay will remain as the court continues reviewing the legality of EPA's rejection, issued in the waning days of President Joe Biden's administration. Under the program, EPA sets annual mandates for blending biofuels into the conventional fuel supply but allows oil refineries that process 75,000 b/d or less to apply for exemptions if they can prove they would suffer "disproportionate" economic hardship. The Biden administration denied these petitions en masse, though most of these rejections were struck down by courts concerned with the government's reasoning. During his first term, President Donald Trump was more generous with refinery relief, which in turn weighed on biofuel demand and the prices of Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credits at the time. Though the 5th Circuit did not explain its decision, EPA had shifted course after the presidential transition, telling the court earlier in the week that it did not oppose Calumet's request for a stay and that it was reconsidering the refiner's earlier exemption petition. The agency said in other court cases that it would not oppose similar pauses on recently issued waiver rejections affecting Calumet's 15,000 b/d oil refinery in Great Falls, Montana, and CVR Energy's 75,000 b/d refinery in Wynnewood, Oklahoma. EPA's ambivalence makes stays more likely, leaving those refiners with little reason for now to enter the market for RIN credits. The agency still says it "takes no position on the merits" as its review of small refinery exemptions continues but the filings at least suggest the possibility of reversing prior rejections. EPA has not yet signaled a more substantive policy around how it will handle similar small refinery requests, which have piled up in recent months. There were 139 pending petitions covering ten compliance years according to the latest program data. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Early RD investment helps refiners weather uncertainty


18/02/25
18/02/25

Early RD investment helps refiners weather uncertainty

Houston, 18 February (Argus) — Major conventional refiners are confident their early investment in renewable diesel will help ease their transition from the long-running biofuel blenders' credit to a new producers' credit, given the lower value they can capitalize on and potential objectives of the new US administration. These major refiners — including Chevron, Valero, Phillips 66, and Marathon Petroleum — have greater access to capital than smaller producers and have shown they can scale even in an uncertain policy environment. They are focusing on lower carbon intensity feedstocks that will garner greater incentives this year. At the same time, the industry has gradually shifted from a focus on biodiesel to renewable diesel. Renewable diesel generates more value from federal Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credits, is made more often from lower carbon intensity feedstocks like beef tallow and used cooking oil, and can be blended or substituted at higher rates than biodiesel. Refinery tooling needed for the production of renewable diesel is also much closer to that of a conventional crude-oil fed refinery, meaning that refiners looking to repurpose refining assets have an easier path to entering the renewable fuels space. As a result, major refiners across the industry have invested more heavily in renewable diesel in recent years. Marathon Petroleum chief commercial officer Rick Hessling alluded to policy uncertainty on an earnings call this month but said the company's 48,000 b/d California renewable diesel facility was well prepared to weather the storm. "We will control what we can control, and from a feedstock optimization perspective, we're procuring advantaged feedstocks with low [carbon intensities] and then placing them, as you would certainly expect us to, in the highest-margin market as possible," he said. Underscoring the advantage renewable diesel has over biodiesel, Chevron — after idling multiple biodiesel plants last year — also announced the final commissioning of the renewable diesel expansion at its Geismar, Louisiana, facility this month. The transition from biodiesel to renewable diesel within its portfolio opens up greater opportunities for monetization of the new biofuel producers' credit, also known as 45Z, since the facility has greater access to lower-carbon feedstocks than its landlocked biodiesel plants. In general, biodiesel facilities rely more on local vegetable oils for feedstock, which are disadvantaged under the new 45Z credit's larger subsidies for lower-carbon fuels. Over the last six months, biodiesel production facilities owned by Delek, Hero BX, and Renewable Biofuels have idled production or entered prolonged maintenance in the wake of credit uncertainty, according to latest Argus estimates. Especially given lower 45Z credit values this year, these producers have to rely on the generation and monetization of RIN credits to balance the costs of feedstock inputs. When policy shifts like tariffs and limits on the use of certain feedstocks disconnect RIN values from feedstock costs, it can add even greater headwinds that only larger, well-positioned producers can handle. Given President Donald Trump's objectives within the energy space, the 45Z tax credit,under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), and other biofuel policy incentives exist in somewhat of a contradiction. Trump has made clear he wants to scale back distribution of IRA funds and has gone as far as calling investment in decarbonization "wasteful" and "a scam." But his support base and platform favor major oil refiners in their quest to maximize output and profit in the name of energy security and job creation. The 45Z credit, which adds a protectionist spin to renewable fuel production by cutting off eligibility for imported fuels, would seem to align with Trump's focus on energy dominance. Major oil and gas companies expanding renewable fuel production and increasingly outcompeting smaller and foreign rivals only add to that narrative. By Matthew Cope Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU rapeseed crush rose in Jan with Australian canola


18/02/25
18/02/25

EU rapeseed crush rose in Jan with Australian canola

London, 18 February (Argus) — European rapeseed crush volumes increased by 112,000t on the month in January. Soybean and sunflower seed crushing fell by 73,000t and 80,000t respectively, as EU and UK crushers took advantage of steady Australian canola imports. Rapeseed crushing rose by 7pc, mostly due to a strong start in Australia's canola export season, with much of the supply heading to Europe. Higher-than-average exports can be attributed to a large harvest, strong European demand and increased port capacity. High soybean oil prices helped make rapeseed oil more attractive in January. Soybean crushing fell by 5pc on the month, with high prices after the US issued guidance on the 45Z production tax credit to allow US low-carbon fuel producers to immediately start claiming credits, supporting demand for US soybeans and soybean oil. Month 1 CBOT soybeans futures reached a six-month high on 21 January, and month 1 CBOT soybean oil reached a two month high on January 17. Sunflower seeds made up just 13pc of total crushed oilseeds in the EU and the UK, down from a 2024 average of 16pc and a six-month low. Crush volumes fell significantly on the month and the year, by 16pc and 26pc respectively. Many Ukrainian sunflower crushing plants remained idle or operated at reduced rates in January, with lower demand for sunflower oil pressuring crush margins. By Madeleine Jenkins EU-27 + UK crushing volumes 1,000t January December % m-o-m change Jan-24 % y-o-y change Soybean 1,270 1,343 -5.4% 1,170 8.5% Sunflower seed 434 514 -15.6% 589 -26.3% Rapeseed 1,656 1,544 7.3% 1,680 -1.4% Semi-refined 335 332 0.9% 356 -5.9% Fully-refined 580 547 6.0% 613 -5.4% Total Total oilseed 3,360 3,401 -1.2% 3,439 -2.3% Total refined 914 878 4.1% 969 -5.7% Fediol Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Biomethanol-methanol diff widens, UK demand ticks up


14/02/25
14/02/25

Biomethanol-methanol diff widens, UK demand ticks up

London, 14 February (Argus) — The spread between biomethanol and conventional methanol is the highest in more than nine months, at $734/t. This is partly driven by falling European methanol prices, with the methanol fob Rotterdam barge quote hitting $348.97/t on 12 February, the lowest since 7 August. Increased imports from the US, and the restart of a 900,000 t/yr capacity European plant have put downward pressure on prices. Biomethanol values ticked higher in recent sessions, tracking gains in the wider biofuels complex after record low values for renewable fuel tickets — tradeable credits generated primarily by the sale of biofuel-blended fuels — in major European demand centres in 2024. European demand for biofuels in 2025 could be supported by a combination of higher mandates for the use of renewables in transport, and by changes to regulations on the carryover of renewable fuels tickets in Germany and in the Netherlands . UK biomethanol prices and demand rise In the UK, the Argus cif biomethanol price has averaged $1,110/t so far in February, a $22/t increase from January and a $60/t rise from the September 2024 average, when prices hit a record low. The price averaged around $1,094/t in February last year. Prices have been in part supported by stronger renewable fuel ticket prices (RTFCs) in the UK recently, according to market participants. UK 2025 non-crop RTFCs averaged 25.45p in the first quarter of 2025 so far, an increase of 1.88p when compared with the previous quarter. Demand picked up in the UK and the wider European market, including from voluntary sectors, at the beginning of the year, participants said. Biomethanol is used as a gasoline blending component in the UK. Consumption in the country in 2024 rose by 45pc on the year but was lower by 7.9pc than in 2022 at 58mn litres, according to the third provisional release of the 2024 Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation statistics. The Argus biomethanol fob Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) netback quote was $1,083/t on 12 February. FuelEU fuels demand The January rollout of the FuelEU Maritime regulations could increase demand for biomethanol in shipping. Ship operators traveling in to, out of and within EU territorial waters must reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity on a lifecycle basis by 2pc. The reduction rises to 6pc from 2030 and gradually reaches 80pc by 2050. Shipping companies can choose from a range of alternative marine fuels to reduce their emissions. Only dedicated ships can run on methanol alone, but many companies, including Maersk , have ordered dual-fuel vessels that can run on methanol and traditional bunker fuels, along with biofuel blends like B24 — a mix of very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) and used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome) biodiesel. International offtake agreements for renewable methanol are also on the rise. Maersk has signed several letters of intent for procurement of biomethanol and e-methanol from producers including Equinor , Proman and OCI Global , and has an agreement with Danish shipping and logistics company Goldwind for 500,000 t/yr from 2024. Biomethanol and e-methanol are likely to be the most competitive and scalable pathways to decarbonisation this decade, Maersk said . While relatively small, Maersk's 'green marine' fuel consumption, which includes biomethanol, increased by 38pc in 2024 to 3,034 GWh. Singaporean container shipping group X-Press Feeders said it will buy biomethanol from OCI's Texas plant starting from 2024. Biomethanol bunker sales in the port of Rotterdam dropped by more than half in the fourth quarter of 2024 compared with the third quarter, to 930t, but sales were 86pc higher than those in the fourth quarter of 2023, according to Port of Rotterdam data . UDB risk to biomethanol imports The European Commission's proposal to exclude automatic certification of biomethane and biomethane-based fuels from the Union Database for Biofuels, if relying on natural gas that has been transported through grids outside the EU, has been slowing some negotiations for 2025 biomethanol imports — particularly from the US — according to market participants. Industry bodies have expressed concerns about implementation of the database, particularly that it will impede the bloc's biomethane development. Burdensome fees, overly strict deadlines, risk of double counting, and a significantly increased number of participants required to enter data will slow market growth, said the European Compost Network and the European Waste Management Association. They recommend mandatory use of the UDB be postponed until 1 January 2026 "at the earliest". By Evelina Lungu Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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