H2 storage needs to exceed existing gas storage: GIE

  • Spanish Market: Hydrogen, Natural gas
  • 16/06/21

Hydrogen storage capacity needed in Europe would fall "far short" of demand by 2050, even if all available gas storage facilities were repurposed, gas infrastructure body GIE said in a report based on a proposed European Hydrogen Backbone (EHB) project.

The report focuses on 19 EU member states, as well as the UK and Switzerland, the same framework used by EHB. Maximum possible hydrogen storage capacity in these 21 countries using existing gas storage sites could reach 264.7TWh by 2050, according to GIE, but this would be well below storage needs of 466.4TWh, based on the ratio of gas storage capacity to estimated demand (see table).

The group identifies about 1.1PWh of working gas capacity in these countries with demand of about 4.62 PWh/yr, but the much lower volumetric energy density of hydrogen compared with natural gas would greatly reduce the energy that can be stored in existing storage site.

Repurposing all salt caverns — the most suitable sites for large-scale hydrogen storage — could provide about 50TWh of hydrogen storage space by 2030. But this would also be insufficient to meet hydrogen storage needs of 72.2TWh. And the majority of this space would be concentrated in Germany, which would account for 39.5TWh of Europe's salt cavern storage.

Other storage facilities far behind

Salt caverns are the only kind of storage facility whose suitability for hydrogen is already proven, according to GIE's report.

Hydrogen is already being stored in salt caverns in Teesside in the UK, as well as in Texas.

First hydrogen storage is expected at a lined rock cavern site in Sweden in 2022, and studies on hydrogen storage in depleted gas fields and aquifers are continuing.

Still, porous structures such as depleted gas fields and aquifers are "showing fair potential to cover further storage needs for pure and blended hydrogen", GIE said.

The group expects that the levelised cost of hydrogen storage will be cheapest in salt caverns, followed by depleted gas fields, aquifers and hard rock caverns.

Total potential hydrogen storage capacity of salt caverns in Europe is about 85PWh, of which 23PWh is located onshore, according to a 2020 study cited by GIE. Offshore capacity is concentrated in salt domes under the North Sea, but the economic and ecological viability of such caverns is still unclear.

While this would be more than enough capacity to meet Europe's needs, exploiting it would require "a tremendous number" of sites to be developed, GIE said. And the high concentration of caverns in northwest Europe and a few clusters in the continent would make balancing a hydrogen network difficult because many countries would not have access to them. There are considerable barriers to development and major practical limitations to relying on salt caverns alone, GIE said.

Repurposing existing storage sites could take 1-7 years, depending on existing infrastructure, while the development of new sites would take 3-10 years, it said.

Salt caverns typically take 3-7 years to develop, with much of that period taken up by permitting, and depleted gas fields and aquifers — which would account for 215TWh of hydrogen after repurposing — take 3-10 years to be developed.

But it is difficult to generalise findings for underground storage because of the varying geological characteristics of each site, GIE said.

H2 storage, expected demand and available supplyTWh
CountryHydrogen storage need 2030Hydrogen storage need 2050Potential hydrogen storage capacity: salt cavernsPotential hydrogen storage capacity: all types
Austria1.910.40.022.9
Belgium4.422.30.02.2
Czech Republic1.06.00.010.4
Denmark0.75.31.33.3
Estonia0.00.40.00.0
Finland1.46.30.00.0
France8.243.12.531.9
Germany15.9111.439.561.4
Greece2.210.40.00.0
Hungary0.86.00.016.8
Ireland0.47.30.00.0
Italy8.356.20.047.1
Luxemburg0.10.70.00.0
Netherlands6.331.60.934.6
Poland3.636.52.29.3
Slovakia0.65.70.012.0
Slovenia0.11.60.00.0
Spain7.339.20.08.2
Sweden2.08.20.00.0
UK6.957.93.74.8
Total72.1466.550.1264.9

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01/05/24

US Fed signals rates likely to stay high for longer

US Fed signals rates likely to stay high for longer

Houston, 1 May (Argus) — Federal Reserve policymakers signaled they are likely to hold rates higher for longer until they are confident inflation is slowing "sustainably" towards the 2pc target. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds target rate unchanged at a 23-year high of 5.25-5.5pc, for the sixth consecutive meeting. This followed 11 rate increases from March 2022 through July 2023 that amounted to the most aggressive hiking campaign in four decades. "We don't think it would be appropriate to dial back our restrictive policy stance until we've gained greater confidence that inflation is moving down sustainably," Fed chair Jerome Powell told a press conference after the meeting. "It appears it'll take longer to reach the point of confidence that rate cuts will be in scope." In a statement the FOMC cited a lack of further progress towards the committee's 2pc inflation objective in recent months as part of the decision to hold the rate steady. Despite this, the FOMC said the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals "have moved toward better balance over the past year," shifting prior language that said the goals "are moving into better balance." The decision to keep rates steady was widely expected. CME's FedWatch tool, which tracks fed funds futures trading, had assigned a 99pc probability to the Fed holding rates steady today while giving 58pc odds of rate declines beginning at the 7 November meeting. In March, Fed policymakers had signaled they believed three quarter points cuts were likely this year. Inflation has ticked up lately after falling from four-decade highs in mid-2022. The consumer price index inched back up to an annual 3.5pc in March after reaching a recent low of 3pc in June 2023. The employment cost index edged up in the first quarter to the highest in a year. At the same time, job growth, wages and demand have remained resilient. The Fed also said it would begin slowing the pace of reducing its balance sheet of Treasuries and other notes in June, partly to avoid stress in money markets. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

FERC OK’s Virginia Transco gasline expansion


01/05/24
01/05/24

FERC OK’s Virginia Transco gasline expansion

New York, 1 May (Argus) — The US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) today gave Williams the green light to expand natural gas capacity to Virginia by 101mn cf/d (2.9mn m3/d) on its Transco pipeline. The project, called the Commonwealth Energy Connector, involves the construction of 6.3 miles of new pipeline within Transco's existing right-of-way in southeast Virginia, near the border with North Carolina. The project also includes adding horsepower at compressor station 168, west of the new pipeline segment. Williams plans to begin construction this winter and put the project into service by the end of 2025. Environmental advocacy group Sierra Club opposed the project, arguing FERC failed to assess its potential greenhouse gas emissions, rendering its National Environmental Policy Act analysis moot. FERC disagreed, conceding that although the project's final Environmental Impact Statement demonstrated it would contribute to greenhouse gas emissions, the effects of those emissions on the environment could not be measured because FERC lacks the methodology to do so. The US south-Atlantic gas market has become more volatile in recent years as gas and power demand have soared, outpacing pipeline capacity expansions in the region. The combined gas consumption of Virginia and North and South Carolina in 2022 averaged 4.7 Bcf/d, up by 69pc from a decade earlier, US Energy Information Administration data show. Regional gas and power consumption is widely expected to continue climbing through the end of the decade on a massive build-out of data centers , especially in Virginia. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US gas industry pins hopes on AI power demand


01/05/24
01/05/24

US gas industry pins hopes on AI power demand

New York, 1 May (Argus) — US natural gas producers and pipelines have pivoted almost in unison this year to talking up what they see as one of the strongest bullish cases for gas this decade: surging electricity demand from yet-to-be-built data centers to power artificial intelligence software. EQT, the largest US gas producer by volume, in an investor presentation last week called growing data center demand the "cornerstone" to the "natural gas bull case." Combining its own research with data from the US Energy Information Administration, the gas giant forecast an increase in gas demand of 10 Bcf/d (283mn m3/d) by 2030 to generate electricity, mostly to run data centers. Its more aggressive data center build-out scenario envisions a whopping 18 Bcf/d increase in gas demand through 2030. Total US gas production is currently about 100 Bcf/d. Kinder Morgan, one of the largest US gas pipeline operators, this month forecast 20pc of US power being gobbled up by data centers in 2030, up from a 2.5pc share in 2022. Cobbling together projections from several consultancies and financial advisories, the company said the electricity needed to run artificial intelligence software alone will comprise 15pc of US power demand by 2030. If just 40pc of that demand is met by gas, that would represent an increase in gas demand of 7-10 Bcf/d, it said. This is roughly in line with the high end of US bank Tudor Pickering Holt's forecast for gas demand to power data centers through 2030 (1.3-8.5 Bcf/d) and well above Goldman Sachs' and consultancy Enverus' projections of 3.3 Bcf/d and 2 Bcf/d, respectively. New tech, old problems Separating the wide ranges of these projections is the highly speculative nature of forecasting demand years into the future for competing energy sources to power next-generation technology. But the major upside and downside risks, analysts say, concern the more humdrum challenges of permitting and building out energy infrastructure. Goldman Sachs expects 28GW, or 60pc, of the generation capacity needed to power new data centers through 2030 will come from natural gas — 9GW from combined cycle gas turbines and 19GW from gas peaker plants. But with an average lag of four years from the time a gas transmission project is announced to the time it enters service, to say nothing of the high probability of litigation being brought by environmentalists and landowners, construction and permitting timelines are "the most top of mind constraint for natural gas," the bank said. Indeed, litigation and opposition from state regulators have ultimately led developers to call off several interstate pipeline projects in the eastern US in recent years. The exception to the rule, Equitrans' 2 Bcf/d Mountain Valley Pipeline is moving forward only because congressional action allowed it to bypass federal permitting hurdles. This is a particular problem for the gas industry's hopes of exploiting the data center boom, as a large share of future data centers are slated to be built in the southeast US, far from the major US gas fields. New data centers representing 2 Bcf/d of gas demand in Georgia probably requires a new pipeline into the southeast, FactSet senior energy analyst Connor McLean said. Southeast premium A significant data-center buildout in the southeast without new pipelines could put upward pressure on regional gas prices, McLean said. This could exacerbate the effects of what has become perhaps the most prominent bullish case for US gas: a massive build-out of LNG export terminals along the US Gulf coast. With new export terminals pulling increasing volumes of gas south along the Transcontinental gas pipeline to super-chill and ship overseas in the coming years, the build-out in data centers will likely produce "an even bigger deficit in that southeast (gas) market," EQT chief financial officer Jeremy Knop told investors last week. "We think that market really, in time, becomes the most premium market in the country," he said. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Larger EU H2 bank auction could still clear below €1/kg


01/05/24
01/05/24

Larger EU H2 bank auction could still clear below €1/kg

Hamburg, 1 May (Argus) — The EU will launch a second European hydrogen bank auction later this year, ramping up the budget from a pilot for which results were published on 30 April. A bigger budget will allow more projects to win subsidies, but developers might still have to bid at or below €1/kg to stand a chance of being successful. As a result of the pilot, the EU will subsidise seven renewable hydrogen projects in Spain, Portugal, Norway and Finland with a total €720mn ($768mn), to be disbursed as a fixed premium per kg produced over a 10-year period. The European Commission picked the projects that requested the least support and the auction cleared at €0.48/kg, far below the bid ceiling of €4.50/kg . A second auction later this year is slated to have a much larger budget of around €2.2bn. This could open the door for projects with less competitive bids, but developers may still have to bid for less than €1/kg, data released by the commission suggest. If another €2.2bn had been available to the "next best projects" in the pilot, bringing the total budget to nearly €3bn, the auction would have cleared at around €1/kg, the data indicate. Spanish projects would have been the main beneficiaries of the larger budget. But it would have also unlocked subsidies for projects that did not field any winners in the pilot, including Germany, France, Austria and the Netherlands. This suggests that projects in these countries might be able to get subsidies in the second auction. That said, some German projects that participated in the pilot are bound to get funds from a separate €350mn budget set aside by Berlin , meaning they could not take part in the next round. In any case, the second round could clear even far below €1/kg, if developers revise their bidding strategies now they have indications from the pilot on how low they might have to go. Such signposts were not available for the first round, other than from a Danish auction last year with similar parameters — which had indicated that winning bids in the hydrogen bank pilot were likely to stay well below €1/kg . The commission plans to tighten some of the eligibility criteria for the second round , which might prevent some projects from participating again. A draft document suggests winners of the second round would have to commission their plants within three years, down from five in the pilot. And developers would have to provide a completion guarantee equivalent to 10pc of the requested subsidies, up from 4pc. The second auction will also have a lower bid ceiling of €3.50/kg based on the draft, although this is highly unlikely to be tested by the successful submissions. Budget uncertainties While previous commission comments suggested a budget of around €2.2bn for the second round, the draft rules leave the exact funds open. The commission initially earmarked €800mn for the pilot and might top up the second round with the unused €80mn. It plans to set an unspecified slice of the budget aside exclusively for projects targeting offtake for maritime transport, adding a degree of complexity. Austria is planning to top up the second auction with €400mn , while others, such as Belgium , could follow suit. Moving the needle? While bids in the pilot auction came in well below the ceiling — and are bound to do so again in the second round — the funds will only be enough to support a fraction of the EU's 10mn t/yr renewable hydrogen production target by 2030. The pilot auction will subsidise 1.58mn t, or 158,000 t/yr, of production from the seven selected projects — assuming the support they secured will be enough to get them built as planned. If the next best projects from the pilot were to repeat their bids in a €2.2bn second round successfully, the round could support close to 300,000 t/yr. While this would lift subsidised output across both auctions to nearly 460,000 t/yr, it would still be less than 5pc of the 10mn t/yr target. Assuming developers that missed out in the first round shoot lower in the second and the volume-weighted average of successful bids is in line with the pilot's €0.45/kg, 480,000 t/yr could be subsidised. Together with the pilot, this would yield 640,000 t/yr, or just over 6pc of the EU's target, although extra funds from Germany, Austria and potentially others could lift this further. The EU hopes this initial operating support, combined with subsidies for capital expenses, infrastructure developments and demand-side initiatives, will be enough to kickstart the sector and other projects will follow even without hydrogen bank support. By Stefan Krumpelmann Renewable H2 projects selected in hydrogen bank pilot auction Project Coordinator Project location H2 output t/yr Electrolyser capacity MW Bid price €/kg Requested funding mn € eNRG Lahti Nordic Ren-Gas Finland 12,200 90 0.37 45.2 El Alamillo H2 Benbros Energy Spain 6,500 60 0.38 24.6 Grey2Green-II Petrogal Portugal 21,600 200 0.39 84.2 Hysencia Angus Spain 1,700 35 0.48 8.1 Skiga Skiga Norway 16,900 117 0.48 81.3 Catalina Renato PtX Spain 48,000 500 0.48 230.5 MP2X Madoqua Power2X Portugal 51,100 500 0.48 245.2 - European Commission Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Milei's bid to open Argentina's economy passes


30/04/24
30/04/24

Milei's bid to open Argentina's economy passes

Montevideo, 30 April (Argus) — Argentina's congress today approved the government's sweeping economic legislation that could open the door to more private-sector investment in energy and commodities. The bill passed on a 142-106 vote, with five abstentions, after a marathon 20-hour debate. Changes include privatizing some state-owned companies, controversial labor reforms and measures to promote LNG development. The omnibus legislation, which includes 279 articles, is an important victory for President Javier Milei's administration and will change the way many sectors, including energy, operate in the country. Lawmakers aligned with Milei's Liberty Advances party swiftly moved to the second stage of the process, which requires approval of individual articles. The omnibus bill was initially approved in February, but the administration withdrew it after congress failed to approve several key individual articles. That original version included 664 articles. Several of the more controversial articles were brought up immediately after the blanket approval and easily passed. They included an article allowing for privatization of state-run enterprises — national power company Enarsa is on the list — and another delegating to the administration the power to eliminate state agencies without having to consult with congress. Also approved was the article on labor reform. The country's oilseed industry and port workers' unions called a strike the previous day to pressure congress to modify the labor reform. That did not happen. It passed in a separate 136-113 vote. The strike started to fizzle with approval of the legislation. Approval of the package includes several articles the administration says will open the door to major investments in the energy sector. Chapter II specifically covers natural gas, and introduces new regulations for LNG. The chapter includes five articles that allow for 30-year contracts for LNG export projects and guarantees that gas supply cannot be interrupted for any reason. The energy secretariat has six months to design the implementing rules for LNG. The government wants to speed up monetization of the Vaca Muerta unconventional play, which has an estimated 308 trillion cf of natural gas reserves. It is pushing for Malaysia's Petronas to fully commit to a large-scale LNG facility that would start with a $10bn investment. Chapter IX of the legislation creates a new framework, known as the Rigi, for investments above $200mn. It offers tax, fiscal and customs benefits. Companies have two years from implementation of the legislation to take advantage of the Rigi. The chapter on this framework is one of the most complex in the bill, including 56 articles. It includes specific references to energy projects, from power generation to unconventional oil and gas development. The administration claims the legislation will help tame inflation and stabilize the economy. Inflation was 276pc annualized through February, but is declining, and Milei announced that monthly inflation would be in single digits when the March numbers are announced. The country recorded a 0.2pc quarterly fiscal surplus in the first quarter of this year, something not achieved since 2008. By Lucien Chauvin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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