Shipping decarb needs more port investment: ABL
Port infrastructure needs to be significantly upgraded if the shipping industry is to achieve its decarbonization goals, according to panelists at an industry event hosted by the AqualisBraemar LOC (ABL) Group today.
Upgrading port infrastructure, more so than providing incentives to smaller shipowners to build environmentally-friendly ships, is the most important step the shipping industry could take now to decarbonize, according to panelist Dean Goves, managing director at Longitude Engineering, which is part of the ABL Group.
The International Maritime Organization (IMO) is targeting a 50pc cut in CO2 shipping emissions, which currently account for 2-3pc of the world's total, by 2050 from a 2008 baseline, though the US and now UK have called for net-zero emissions in that time frame.
One clear way for a port to help cut shipping emissions is through so-called cold ironing, said panelist George Savvopoulos, a consultant at ABL. Cold ironing is the process by which a a port powers an idling ship via electricity.
Such a practice would allow vessels in port to turn off their diesel-burning engines, which typically use about a fifth of the fuel compared to when ships are in full steam.
"All ports should be developing this type of facility," said Savvopoulos. "This will require investment but in most cases it's just not there."
Ports also need to be able to provide whatever kind of fuels ships end up using in the coming decades, like they do now with petroleum-based bunkers. Such fuels that will likely figure into shipping's energy mix — LNG, LPG, ammonia, hydrogen, biofuels — all require different facilities to be distributed onto ships.
About 12pc of ships on order at shipyards will have the ability to burn alternative fuel.
Ports need to "find the space and supply chains" to be able to accommodate them, Savvopoulos said.
But funds for such bunkering improvements are relatively scarce because of competing priorities among port investors.
Combating rising water levels, a direct impact of climate change, is the more pressing matter for port investors, said panelist David Handley of law firm Watson, Farley and Williams.
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Australia issues offshore wind feasibility licences
Australia issues offshore wind feasibility licences
Sydney, 2 May (Argus) — The Australian federal government has issued the first feasibility licences for offshore wind projects in the country following a competitive process, for up to 12GW of capacity off the coast of Gippsland in the southern state of Victoria and a potential further 13GW in the next stage. Six projects have received approval to explore the feasibility of offshore wind farms in the Bass Strait off Gippsland's coast, which was the first offshore wind zone declared in Australia at the end of 2022. Successful applicants include Danish investment firm Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP), Danish utility Orsted, Australian utility AGL Energy, European utilities EDP Renewables and Engie and Japanese utility Jera. The government also intends to grant another six licences, subject to consultation with First Nations groups. The 12 projects could have a potential combined capacity of around 25GW, the government said ( see table ). Projects that prove feasible will be able to apply for commercial licences and move to the construction phase if they secure financing, with the most advanced wind farms expected to start generating power in the early 2030s. CIP secured site exclusivity to develop two projects with a combined 4.4GW through a newly launched platform company Southerly Ten. The projects comprise the 2.2GW Star of the South, which claims to be the most advanced offshore wind project in Australia , along with the early stage 2.2GW Kut-Wut Brataualung. Southerly Ten is also developing the Destiny Wind project in Australia's second declared offshore wind zone off the Hunter region in New South Wales. Orsted was given one licence for a 2.8GW project and might receive another one for a 2GW wind farm. It said it will proceed with site investigations, environmental assessments and supply chain development, with a view to bid in future auctions planned by the Victorian government, which are expected to start in late 2025. Victoria is targeting 2GW of offshore wind capacity by 2032 and 9GW by 2040. "Subject to the above steps and a final investment decision, the projects are expected to be completed in phases from the early 2030s, with the aim to maximise dual site synergies through shared resources and economies of scale," Orsted said. The 2.5GW Gippsland Skies offshore wind project, belongs to a consortium made of Irish renewables firm Mainstream Renewable Power with 35pc, UK-based firm Reventus Power 35pc, AGL Energy 20pc and Australian developer Direct Infrastructure 10pc. The first phase of the project is expected to be operational in 2032, according to the consortium. The list of six projects already granted feasibility licences also include High Sea Wind, a proposed 1.28GW wind farm developed by EDP Renewables' and Engie's 50:50 joint venture Ocean Winds, along with Blue Mackerel North, a 1GW development by Japanese utility Jera Nex's subsidiary Parkwind. Parkwind is also developing another offshore wind project in Australia, with Australian utility Alinta Energy, the 1GW Spinifex in the Southern Ocean off Victoria, which was declared Australia's third wind zone in March. The other projects that might receive licences are being developed by companies such as Spanish utility Iberdrola, Spanish developer Bluefloat Energy, Australian firm Macquarie's wind developer Corio Generation, German utility RWE and a joint venture between Australia's Origin Energy and UK-based developer RES Group. By Juan Weik Australian offshore wind projects with feasibility licences Developer Capacity Licence Orsted Offshore Australia 1 Orsted 2.8 Granted Gippsland Skies Consortium* 2.5 Granted Star of the South Southerly Ten 2.2 Offered Kut-Wut Brataualung Southerly Ten 2.2 Granted High Sea Wind Ocean Winds 1.3 Granted Blue Mackerel North Parkwind 1.0 Granted Aurora Green Iberdrola 3.0 Under consultation Great Eastern Offshore Wind Corio Generation 2.5 Under consultation Gippsland Dawn Bluefloat Energy 2.1 Under consultation Orsted Offshore Australia 2 Orsted 2.0 Under consultation Navigator North Origin Energy, RES 1.5 Under consultation Kent Offshore Wind RWE N/A Under consultation Source: federal government, companies *Mainstream Renewable Power, Reventus Power, AGL, Direct Infrastructure Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
India’s Coromandel to build Kakinada fertilizer complex
India’s Coromandel to build Kakinada fertilizer complex
Singapore, 2 May (Argus) — Indian fertilizer producer Coromandel International will build a 650 t/d phosphoric acid-sulphuric acid complex facility in Kakinada, Andhra Pradesh with an investment of approximately 10bn rupees ($120mn). The project is expected to commission in two years' time, CIL's executive chairman Arun Alagappan said on 26 April. Phosphoric acid and sulphuric acid are used in the production of phosphate fertilizers like DAP and NPKs. CIL's new phosphoric acid facility aims to provide for its fertilizer manufacturing and to replace more than 50pc of the plant's import requirements. It also plans to build a 1,800 t/d sulphuric acid plant to supplement phosphoric acid production. By Deon Ngee Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US southbound barge demand falls off earlier than usual
US southbound barge demand falls off earlier than usual
Houston, 1 May (Argus) — Southbound barge rates in the US have fallen on unseasonably low demand because of increased competition in the international grain market. Rates for voyages down river have deteriorated to "unsustainable" levels, said American Commercial Barge Line. Southbound rates declined in April to an average tariff of 284pc across all rivers this April, according to the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), which is below breakeven levels for many barge carriers. Rates typically do not fall below a 300pc tariff until May or June. Southbound freight values for May are expected to hold steady or move lower, said sources this week. Southbound activity has increased recently because of the low rates, but not enough to push prices up. The US has already sold 84pc of its forecast corn exports and 89pc of forecast soybean exports with only five months left until the end of the corn and soybean marketing year, according to the USDA. US corn and soybean prices have come down since the beginning of the year in order to stay competitive with other origins. The USDA lowered its forecast for US soybean exports by 545,000t in its April report as soybeans from Brazil and Argentina were more competitively priced. US farmers are holding onto more of their harvest from last year because of low crop prices, curbing exports. Prompt CBOT corn futures averaged $435/bushel in April, down 34pc from April 2023. Weak southbound demand could last until fall when the US enters harvest season and exports ramp up southbound barge demand. Major agriculture-producing countries such as Argentina and Brazil are expected to export their grain harvest before the US. Brazil has finished planting corn on time . unlike last year. The US may face less competition from Brazil in the fall as a result. Carriers are tying up barges earlier than usual to avoid losses on southbound barge voyages. Carriers that have already parked their barges will take their time re-entering the market unless tariffs become profitable again. The carriers who remain on the river will gain more southbound market share and possibly more northbound spot interest. By Meghan Yoyotte and Eduardo Gonzalez Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US gas industry pins hopes on AI power demand
US gas industry pins hopes on AI power demand
New York, 1 May (Argus) — US natural gas producers and pipelines have pivoted almost in unison this year to talking up what they see as one of the strongest bullish cases for gas this decade: surging electricity demand from yet-to-be-built data centers to power artificial intelligence software. EQT, the largest US gas producer by volume, in an investor presentation last week called growing data center demand the "cornerstone" to the "natural gas bull case." Combining its own research with data from the US Energy Information Administration, the gas giant forecast an increase in gas demand of 10 Bcf/d (283mn m3/d) by 2030 to generate electricity, mostly to run data centers. Its more aggressive data center build-out scenario envisions a whopping 18 Bcf/d increase in gas demand through 2030. Total US gas production is currently about 100 Bcf/d. Kinder Morgan, one of the largest US gas pipeline operators, this month forecast 20pc of US power being gobbled up by data centers in 2030, up from a 2.5pc share in 2022. Cobbling together projections from several consultancies and financial advisories, the company said the electricity needed to run artificial intelligence software alone will comprise 15pc of US power demand by 2030. If just 40pc of that demand is met by gas, that would represent an increase in gas demand of 7-10 Bcf/d, it said. This is roughly in line with the high end of US bank Tudor Pickering Holt's forecast for gas demand to power data centers through 2030 (1.3-8.5 Bcf/d) and well above Goldman Sachs' and consultancy Enverus' projections of 3.3 Bcf/d and 2 Bcf/d, respectively. New tech, old problems Separating the wide ranges of these projections is the highly speculative nature of forecasting demand years into the future for competing energy sources to power next-generation technology. But the major upside and downside risks, analysts say, concern the more humdrum challenges of permitting and building out energy infrastructure. Goldman Sachs expects 28GW, or 60pc, of the generation capacity needed to power new data centers through 2030 will come from natural gas — 9GW from combined cycle gas turbines and 19GW from gas peaker plants. But with an average lag of four years from the time a gas transmission project is announced to the time it enters service, to say nothing of the high probability of litigation being brought by environmentalists and landowners, construction and permitting timelines are "the most top of mind constraint for natural gas," the bank said. Indeed, litigation and opposition from state regulators have ultimately led developers to call off several interstate pipeline projects in the eastern US in recent years. The exception to the rule, Equitrans' 2 Bcf/d Mountain Valley Pipeline is moving forward only because congressional action allowed it to bypass federal permitting hurdles. This is a particular problem for the gas industry's hopes of exploiting the data center boom, as a large share of future data centers are slated to be built in the southeast US, far from the major US gas fields. New data centers representing 2 Bcf/d of gas demand in Georgia probably requires a new pipeline into the southeast, FactSet senior energy analyst Connor McLean said. Southeast premium A significant data-center buildout in the southeast without new pipelines could put upward pressure on regional gas prices, McLean said. This could exacerbate the effects of what has become perhaps the most prominent bullish case for US gas: a massive build-out of LNG export terminals along the US Gulf coast. With new export terminals pulling increasing volumes of gas south along the Transcontinental gas pipeline to super-chill and ship overseas in the coming years, the build-out in data centers will likely produce "an even bigger deficit in that southeast (gas) market," EQT chief financial officer Jeremy Knop told investors last week. "We think that market really, in time, becomes the most premium market in the country," he said. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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