UK windfall tax would weigh on N Sea future: Harbour

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Natural gas
  • 24/05/22

A windfall tax on UK oil and gas producers' profits would have consequences for the future of investments in the UK North Sea and would be "detrimental" for the energy transition, according to Harbour Energy's chief executive Linda Cook.

Speaking at the OEUK conference today, 24 May, Cook said she was surprised at media reports about ongoing talks on a possible windfall tax, but said she was grateful for UK government support of the oil and gas industry, which "is not always popular".

The UK government is facing a dilemma on how to tackle rising consumer energy bills — the regulator today said the household gas and electricity price cap may increase by 40pc in October — with a windfall tax on profits achieved during the time of high oil and gas prices one possibility. A motion to impose a windfall tax was defeated in parliament recently, but finance minister Rishi Sunak has since said all options are "still on the table".

"Higher taxes mean we have less funds available to invest," Cook said. "This is at a time when we are being encouraged to increase domestic oil and gas production and to fund projects to support the energy transition." She said higher taxes limit the industry's ability to raise debt and equity, and weakens balance sheets.

Harbour Energy is the largest UK-listed independent, with production of 199,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) from UK assets during the first quarter. Its main focus this year is its operated Tolmount field, where an output ramp-up to 40,000 boe/d is under way.

"Government rightly has an expectation that our industry will deliver on commitments to participate in the energy transition to boost investment and improve energy security," Cook said. "In return, we ask for a stable regulatory and fiscal environment, one which enables us to make the long term decisions required to continue to provide domestic oil and gas, while also investing for a lower carbon future."

She said a windfall tax would lead to fewer projects being sanctioned, and fiscal instability would create uncertainty that would make the UK less attractive for investors in the long term.

OEUK chief executive Deirdre Michie said the UK energy industry was facing "the threat of punitive taxes and regulations, just at a time when the UK needs to focus on long-term issues like energy security and working for net zero". She said the industry needs stability to invest and create jobs.

Michie said the benefit of a windfall tax would probably fade faster than the damage it could cause, in the form of declining investments and production levels.


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06/05/24

Panama's new president faces copper, canal issues

Panama's new president faces copper, canal issues

Kingston, 6 May (Argus) — Stand-in candidate Jose Raul Mulino will take office on 1 July as president of Panama with a challenge to decide on the future of one of the biggest copper mines in the Americas. The 64 year-old lawyer won yesterday's presidential election in the central American country, promising a "pro-investment and pro-business" policy. He won with 35pc of the vote and an about 10 percentage point lead over his next closest rival, Ricardo Lombana. But he has delivered no comment on the future on the shuttered Canadian-owned copper facility that is one pillar of the country's economy. His government will use public works projects and incentives for foreign investors to restore economic growth, Molino said, without giving details. Panama also faces a crippling drought that has lowered water levels and reduced transit through the economically important Panama Canal. First Quantum intends to meet the new government to discuss reopening the mine, the company's chairman Robert Harding said in March. "Whatever government is elected, we will work with it," Harding said. "We would like to see this mine reopen." Panama closed the $10bn Cobre Panama mine after a supreme court ruling in November that First Quantum's contract was unconstitutional. The mine accounted for 5pc of the country's economy and 1.5pc of global copper output, according to the government. The shutdown will limit the country's economic growth to 2.5pc this year against 7.5pc in 2023, the IMF has forecast. The supreme court's order to close the mine followed weeks of protests over the terms given to First Quantum in October. Protests wracked the country as opposition parties, trade unions, environmental lobbies and non-governmental organizations objected to the terms. "Although the mine's owners would be happy to negotiate a reopening with the new administration, this is a very hot and controversial matter for the new government," a senior official of the outgoing government of President Laurentino Cortizo told Argus today. "Any suggestion of negotiating a reopening would again bring people on the streets." Mulino ran with former president Ricardo Martinelli until the courts disqualified Martinelli because of a money laundering conviction. Martinelli had proposed that Panama renegotiate the contract with First Quantum to secure higher royalties and a stake. "Mulino is a mentee of Martinelli, but I doubt he would stoke public anger by seeking to reopen the mine," the official said. Cobre Panama produced 331,000 t in 2023, 5pc less than 2022 output, First Quantum said. By Canute James Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US majors widen output gap over European rivals


06/05/24
06/05/24

US majors widen output gap over European rivals

New York, 6 May (Argus) — ExxonMobil and Chevron are seeing investments in Guyana and the Permian shale basin pay off, widening a gap with their transatlantic counterparts that could get even bigger with the completion of recent mega-deals. ExxonMobil is championing a speedy ramp-up of a massive offshore oil discovery in Guyana, where production has surged to more than 600,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in the space of just a few years. And Chevron recorded a 35pc jump in first-quarter US output from a year earlier, buoyed by better-than-expected performance from the Permian basin, as well as the $7.6bn acquisition of US independent PDC Energy that bolstered its footprint in Colorado's DJ basin. And after years of delays and cost overruns, its highly vaunted expansion project in Kazakhstan is finally close to seeing the light of day. Even though European rivals including Shell and BP are backtracking on previous plans to scale back their reliance on oil and gas production, the US majors are poised to extend their lead after dominating a recent round of industry consolidation. ExxonMobil will become the top producer in the Permian after wrapping up its $59bn takeover of shale giant Pioneer Natural Resources. Anti-trust regulators at the US Federal Trade Commission cleared the deal after barring Pioneer's former chief executive, Scott Sheffield, from gaining a seat on the board, following allegations that he sought to collude with Opec members. And Chevron is still optimistic that its pending $53bn purchase of independent producer Hess will close by the end of the year, even though ExxonMobil has thrown a spanner in the works by claiming its right of first refusal over Hess' 30pc stake in Guyana's prolific Stabroek block, where it is the operator. Chevron's attempt to muscle in on Guyana's oil riches would answer lingering concerns over its long-term growth profile. The dispute has now been referred to international arbitration in Paris and the company hopes the transaction can be completed this year. A failure of the deal to close would not "materially" hit Chevron's near-term valuation, according to bank HSBC. "However, the strategic gap between Chevron and ExxonMobil could widen over time if the Hess deal does not happen," the bank says. Advantage Exxon Excluding the Pioneer transaction, ExxonMobil forecasts its output will grow to 4.2mn boe/d by 2027 from about 3.8mn boe/d this year. Chief executive Darren Woods has doubled down on so-called "advantaged" projects including Guyana and the Permian, which offer the most profitable and low-cost barrels that will be key drivers of revenue growth. The company's share of overall production from such assets has increased to 44pc from 28pc in recent years. Woods sees the growing cash flow from those projects as vindication of his strategy to direct "counter-cyclical" investments before and during the pandemic, which were unpopular with some investors at the time. Spending discipline remains a key priority even as new projects start up. ExxonMobil has achieved $10.1bn of cost savings from 2019 levels, and is on course to hit $15bn by 2027. And Woods says there is scope for even more savings to be found. Meanwhile, Chevron says its output from the Permian is trending better than previous guidance for a 2-4pc decline in the first half of 2024, with more wells due to come on line later this year. The company is also preparing to start up its Anchor offshore platform in the Gulf of Mexico in the middle of the year, with more projects in the region to follow. "The outlook in the US is especially strong," chief executive Mike Wirth says. Chevron is guiding for 4-7pc overall output growth this year, after pumping a record 3.1mn boe/d last year. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico's long refining quest tilts in its favour


06/05/24
06/05/24

Mexico's long refining quest tilts in its favour

Mexico City, 6 May (Argus) — Mexico's six-year campaign to boost refinery output and cut its dependence on US oil imports is starting to pay off, but time will tell if it can sustain the effort. State-owned Pemex's six domestic refineries processed more than 1mn b/d of crude in March for the first time in almost eight years, boosting its gasoline and diesel output by 32pc and cutting its imports by 25pc from a year earlier. Combined with Pemex's still declining crude production, this has pulled approximately 500,000 b/d of Mexican crude exports — mostly medium and heavy sour grades — from the market compared with a 2023 peak of 1.2mn b/d in June — equivalent to the loss of about 175,000 b/d on average this year compared with 2023. The government said earlier this year that it was not planning "significant" export cuts after cancelling some term contracts. But the drop in shipments combined with the eventual start of its long-delayed 340,000 b/d Olmeca refinery, possibly in 2025, has the potential to shift global flows. At least two independent US Gulf coast refiners are sceptical of major shifts. Road fuel demand is expected to exceed capacity additions in the coming years, Marathon Petroleum chief executive Michael Hennigan said recently. Valero, which is opening a marine storage terminal in Mexico, where about 250 retail outlets carry its brand, expects demand from Mexico to remain strong and grow, chief operating officer Gary Simmons said in its latest earnings call. The impact of Mexico's shift to greater self-sufficiency will depend heavily on its ability to sustain its long-promised refinery renaissance. Mexico's crude exports have already picked up in April from March, to roughly 660,000 b/d based on ship tracking data, although still about 125,000 b/d lower than a year earlier. Energy independence Pemex's refining rates started to fall in 2014 after the previous administration chose to rely less on domestic production and focus more on opening the energy market to outside investment. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador vowed to make Pemex great again and build a big refinery to reach "energy independence" when he took office in late 2018. Lopez Obrador poured at least $3.7bn into maintenance alone at Pemex's ageing refineries in 2019-23, excluding major projects including uncompleted ones to add cokers at two refineries that will cost $6bn-8bn and a spiralling $16bn-20bn for the Olmeca plant. It bought out Shell's share in the Deer Park refinery in Texas , taking full control of the plant in 2022. With presidential elections set for June, it was time to show results. But Pemex has a long history of high accident rates , making refinery operations unreliable. The next administration may have to sustain some of this spending and tackle Pemex's $101.5bn debt at a time of calls for structural reform. In addition, the 330,000 b/d Salina Cruz and 315,000 b/d Tula refineries — Mexico's largest — have long struggled with elevated high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) production that takes up valuable storage space and makes it hard to run both plants at high rates simultaneously. Record-high exports of HSFO in March helped and Pemex is building coking units at both refineries to solve this, but they are unlikely to both start until early 2025. Attention is on whether and when the Olmeca refinery will affect Mexican demand and offer balance more permanently. Pemex said it will start producing diesel in late May, but also does not expect more than 9,000 b/d of output of all fuels this year . The refinery has missed multiple deadlines, the latest in April. Olmeca's crude unit — the first processing unit — faces "major issues", a source familiar with Pemex refinery operations says. But others say secondary processing units are ready. Pemex refinery operating rates % Domestic refineries Mar 24 Feb 24 Tula 78 80 Salina Cruz 72 40 Madero 69 60 Salamanca 62 60 Cadereyta 58 60 Minatitlan 53 50 Pemex Pemex exports, imports ’000 b/d Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil hydroelectric dam bursts under record rains


03/05/24
03/05/24

Brazil hydroelectric dam bursts under record rains

Sao Paulo, 3 May (Argus) — Brazilian power generation company Companhia Energetica Rio das Antas (Ceran) found a partial rupture in its 100MW 14 de Julho hydroelectric plant following record precipitation in Rio Grande do Sul state. Flooding from the record rains has left 37 dead and forced more than 23,000 people out of their homes, causing widespread damage across the state, including washed out bridges and roads across several cities. Ceron reported that the dam of the hydroelectric plant on the Antas River suffered a rupture under the heavy rains and the company implemented an emergency evacuation plan on 1 May. Ceron's 130MW Monte Claro and 130MW Castro Alves plants are under intense monitoring, the company said in a statement. Rio Grande do Sul state governor Eduardo Leite declared a state of emergency and the federal government promised to release funding for emergency disaster relief. Leite said the flooding will likely go down as the worst environmental disaster in the state's history. Brazil's southernmost state along the border with Argentina has been punished by record precipitation over the past year owing to the effects of the strong El Nino weather phenomenon, according to Rio Grande do Sul-based weather forecaster MetSul Meteorologia. Brazilian power company CPFL Energia controls Ceran with a 65pc equity stake. Energy company CEEE-GT, which is owned by steel manufacturer CSN, owns another 30pc, and Norway's Statkraft owns the remaining 5pc. The state had declared a state of emergency as recently as September 2023 because of unusually heavy rains that resulted in the death of more than 30 people. Weather forecasters expect El Nino conditions to abate in the coming months over the eastern Pacific. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Chevron’s oily DJ basin buy boosts gas output


03/05/24
03/05/24

Chevron’s oily DJ basin buy boosts gas output

New York, 3 May (Argus) — Chevron's US natural gas production has surged in recent quarters due to its crude-focused acquisition of Denver-based PDC Energy last August, increasing the oil major's exposure to the US gas market months after that market entered an extended price slump. Chevron's US gas production in the first quarter was 2.7 Bcf/d (76mn m3/d), up by 53pc from the year-earlier quarter and the highest since at least 2021, according to company production data. Chevron's total US output rose by 35pc year-over-year to 1.57 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d), while US crude output increased by 21pc to 779,000 b/d. The acreage Chevron picked up last year in the DJ basin of northeast Colorado and southeast Wyoming has higher gas-oil ratios than the rest of its US portfolio. Chevron mostly focuses US production in the crude-rich Permian basin of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. Since Chevron closed its acquisition of PDC on 7 August, US gas prices have mostly languished in loss-making territory. Prompt-month Nymex gas settlements at the US benchmark Henry Hub from 7 August 2023 to 2 May 2024 averaged $2.46/mmBtu, down from an average of $4.999/mmBtu in the year-earlier period. In a May 2023 conference call over Chevron's acquisition of PDC, chief executive Mike Wirth expressed optimism for the long-run outlook for natural gas, despite the more immediately dim outlook. "There's going to be stronger global demand for gas growth than there will be for oil over the next decade and beyond as the world looks to decarbonize," Wirth said. Despite lower US gas prices, Chevron has captured $600mn in cost savings from the PDC acquisition between capital and operational expenditures, the company told Argus . Crude prices have also been more resilient. Chevron's profit in the first quarter was $5.5bn, down from $6.6bn in the year-earlier quarter, partly due to lower gas prices. US gas prices have been lower this year as unseasonably warm winter weather and resilient production have created an oversupplied US gas market. A government report Thursday showed US gas inventories up by 35pc from the five-year average. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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