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Latest Market News

Colheita da soja na reta final; Milho atinge 3pc

  • Spanish Market: Agriculture, Fertilizers
  • 07/06/22

A colheita da safra de soja 2021-22 estava 99,4pc completa até o final da semana passada, ficando atrás do ritmo do ano anterior.

A colheita na semana encerrada em 4 de junho estava 0,3 ponto percentual à frente da semana anterior, mas 0,5 ponto atrás da mesma semana do ano passado, de acordo com a Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento (Conab).

A Conab monitora a safra nos 12 maiores estados produtores de soja - Tocantins, Maranhão, Piauí, Bahia, Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, Goiás, Minas Gerais, São Paulo, Paraná, Santa Catarina e Rio Grande do Sul - que respondem por 97pc da área cultivada em todo o país.

Os estados de Santa Catarina, Rio Grande do Sul e Maranhão são os únicos que ainda não terminaram a colheita, com um progresso de 99pc, 97pc e 97pc, respectivamente.

Milho

A colheita da primeira safra de milho da temporada 2021-22 estava 86,7pc concluída em 4 de junho, aumento de 1,7 ponto percentual em relação à semana anterior e 1,4 ponto à frente da mesma época um ano antes.

A Conab monitora os nove maiores estados produtores de milho - Maranhão, Piauí, Bahia, Goiás, Minas Gerais, São Paulo, Paraná, Santa Catarina e Rio Grande do Sul - que respondem por 92pc da área cultivada em todo o país. São Paulo é o único estado que concluiu a colheita.

A colheita da segunda safra de milho 2021-22 totalizou 3pc até 4 de junho, alta de 2,4 pontos percentuais em relação à semana anterior, e 2,2 pontos em relação ao ano passado.

Os estados de Mato Grosso, Tocantins e Goiás são os únicos que iniciaram a colheita da segunda safra de milho.

Algodão

A colheita da safra de algodão 2021-22 avançou lentamente. Até 4 de junho, o trabalho em todo o país totalizou 1,1pc, aumento de 0,2 ponto percentual em relação à semana anterior e 0,5 ponto em comparação com o mesmo período do ano passado.

A colheita de algodão em Mato Grosso do Sul subiu de 3pc para 4pc. O ritmo dos trabalhos na Bahia subiu para 4,5pc, comparado com 3,5pc anteriormente. Minas Gerais totalizou 7pc de progresso, ante 6pc na semana passada. Goiás começou a colheita, chegando a 1pc, em comparação com nenhum progresso anterior. Os quatro estados são os únicos do país que iniciaram a colheita até agora.

A Conab monitora os sete maiores estados produtores de algodão - Maranhão, Piauí, Bahia, Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, Goiás e Minas Gerais - que respondem por 98,2pc da área cultivada em todo o país.

Trigo

O plantio de trigo até 4 de junho estava 38,6pc completo, aumento de 6,4 pontos percentuais em relação à semana passada, mas 2,9 pontos atrás de um ano antes.

Os estados de Goiás, Minas Gerais, Bahia e Mato Grosso do Sul já concluíram o plantio do trigo.

A Conab monitora os oito maiores estados produtores de trigo - Goiás, Minas Gerais, Bahia, Rio Grande do Sul, Paraná, Santa Catarina, São Paulo e Mato Grosso do Sul - que respondem por 99,9pc da área cultivada em todo o país.

Por João Petrini

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19/12/25

Global beef production to decline in 2026: Rabobank

Global beef production to decline in 2026: Rabobank

Dalby, 19 December (Argus) — Global beef production will decline in 2026, marking the first contraction in animal protein output in six years, according to the Global Animal Protein Outlook 2026 by Netherlands-based investment bank Rabobank. Herd rebuilding in North America and Brazil, combined with structural adjustments in China, will tighten supply and keep prices firm across major markets, according to the report. North America Beef cattle numbers in the US and Canada fell for six straight years in 2020-25, but stronger profitability is slowing liquidation and supporting herd rebuilding. US beef cow slaughter dropped by 19pc on the year in 2025, with the culling rate projected at 8.5pc for 2026, below the long-term average. Canada is also stabilising its herd, while Mexico faces supply constraints from disease-related import restrictions. Per capita beef supplies will likely fall by 6pc from 2020 highs, maintaining upward pressure on prices. Feeder cattle prices rose by 26pc in the US and 28pc in Canada in 2025, with further increases likely in 2026, according to Rabobank. North American imports have narrowed the supply gap, but trade tensions may cap volumes. Exports from the region will likely decline because domestic demand remains strong. Brazil and Argentina Brazilian beef production will likely fall by 5-6pc in 2026 to 10.5mn t because producers may retain cattle to rebuild herds. But exports will likely hit a record 4.4mn t because of strong global demand, a weak Brazilian real and reduced competition from other suppliers, despite lower output. China is set to remain Brazil's largest buyer, while trade diversification targets Mexico and other markets. Domestic consumption will likely drop by up to 9pc because high prices are pushing consumers toward cheaper proteins. Argentina faces similar dynamics. Production is expected to hold steady at 3.23mn t, but exports will likely reach the second-highest level on record at 880,000t, because of competitive pricing and strong demand from China, the US and EU. Local consumption will likely fall by 4pc on the back of an accelerating shift to poultry and pork. China China's beef production rose in early 2025 because of herd liquidation but will likely decline slightly in 2026 due to shrinking inventories. Beef prices will rise because of tighter supply, while the country's imports may ease by 2-3pc because of global supply constraints and higher prices. Imports account for 30pc of China's total supply. Meanwhile, retail demand remains resilient, with growth in online channels, but food service recovery will be modest. Australia and New Zealand Australian beef production will remain near record highs at 2.85mn t in 2026, supported by large cattle inventories and strong export demand from the US, Japan, South Korea and China. Prices are expected to hold firm, with the National Young Cattle Indicator forecast at A$4.30-4.80/kg ($2.84-3.17/kg). New Zealand beef output will recover gradually. The cattle population is projected to rise by 3pc and export prices are forecast to stay 15pc above the five-year average in 2026. By Amy Phillips Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Indian local urea sales on track for record in December

18/12/25
18/12/25

Indian local urea sales on track for record in December

Amsterdam, 18 December (Argus) — Indian urea sales to end-users could reach close to 6mn t this month, which would set a fresh record for offtake in any month. It has been a strong start to sales so far in December, in what typically marks the peak consumption month for the winter rabi season. Domestic urea production is relatively stable at the equivalent of 2.6mn t/month, latest provisional data indicate. Urea sales were 5.2mn t in December 2024. The highest amount sold in any month on record was 5.4mn t in July this year . The country's urea stocks were around 6.3mn t in mid-December, down from 7.1mn t at the start of the month , the data show. The strong sales figures this month are likely to be the key driver behind Indian importer and supplier NFL's earlier-than-expected tender issuance on Tuesday , closing on 2 January and seeking 1.5mn t of urea for shipment up to 20 February. India is typically the largest urea importer, and its regular state-backed tenders are closely watched in the international urea market. The country has bought 9.23mn t of urea this calendar year through tenders. By Harry Minihan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

CBAM documents outline preliminary ammonia values

17/12/25
17/12/25

CBAM documents outline preliminary ammonia values

London, 17 December (Argus) — CBAM documents outline preliminary ammonia values Preliminary documents from the European Commission released today confirm details for the ammonia free allocations benchmark and country-specific default values in the carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM). The documents outline that the ammonia free allocations benchmark is being revised lower to 1.522t of CO2 equivalent (CO2e), down from 1.57t, in line with leaked documentation seen last week . This will be subject to a 2.5pc reduction in 2026, lowering it to 1.484t. The documents are likely to be made official in 2026. The preliminary documents also confirm that the default emissions value for US ammonia is being revised to 3.44t of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) in 2026, with most other key supply regions to Europe in line with previous estimates. Algeria is valued at 2.10t CO2e in 2026, Trinidad is higher at 2.44t CO2e, and Egypt is 2.07t CO2e. The default emissions values apply if there are no verified emissions data available for the imported product. The default value for US anhydrous ammonia has increased because the production route for US ammonia has changed from natural gas to petroleum coke, which has resulted in the steep rise to the emissions value. The commission has outlined a 1pc mark-up for all country default values in 2026. Theoretical default costs range up to $196/t for ammonia supplied from the US into Europe, with Trinidad supply at $96/t, Algeria valued at $62/t, and Egypt at $59/t. This is based on the prompt emissions trading system (ETS) price of $100.35/t on 16 December. The Argus Fertilizer CBAM calculator can be accessed here . By Ruth Sharpe Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil's 2025-26 soy planting at 94.1pc

16/12/25
16/12/25

Brazil's 2025-26 soy planting at 94.1pc

Sao Paulo, 16 December (Argus) — Brazil's 2025-26 soybean planting advanced to 94.1pc of the expected area in the week ended 13 December, according to national supply company Conab. Planting advanced by 3.8 percentage points from the week prior. The 2024-25 sowing was 96.8pc complete at this time in 2024. The five-year average for the period is 90.6pc. Sowing activities have finished in central-western Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul, southeastern Sao Paulo and Minas Gerais, and southern Parana states. Summer corn Planting for the 2025-26 first corn crop reached 77.5pc of Brazil's expected area, up by 6.2 percentage points on the week, according to Conab. That is slightly ahead of the 75pc planted at this time last year for the 2024-25 cycle. This season's progress is also ahead of the 70.3pc five-year average for the period. Parana and Sao Paulo have already finished planting. Cotton Planting activities for the 2025-26 cotton crop reached 10.1pc completion in the week ended 13 December, according to Conab. Activities advanced by 4.8 percentage points from the previous week. Northeastern Maranhao is the only state where activities have not started. Sowing nationwide is slightly above the five-year average for the period of 5.8pc, but below the 12.2pc pace in the same week last season. Wheat The 2025 wheat harvest advanced by 1.7 percentage points to 99.7pc of the area sowed nationwide in the week ended 13 December. The 2024 crop was 100pc harvested at this time a year ago. This season's progress is slightly ahead of the 98.7pc five-year average for the week. By Bruno Castro Planting progress % State 2025 2024 Five-year average 13 Dec 6 Dec 14 Dec Soybean crop, 2025-26 Tocantins 98.0 93.0 99.0 89.8 Maranhao 42.0 38.0 59.0 51.4 Piaui 88.0 78.0 94.0 76.2 Bahia 97.0 94.0 97.0 87.2 Mato Grosso 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.7 Mato Grosso do Sul 100.0 99.0 100.0 98.8 Goias 97.0 92.0 99.3 92.4 Minas Gerais 100.0 98.2 100.0 94.6 Sao Paulo 100.0 100.0 100.0 98.8 Parana 100.0 97.0 100.0 98.0 Santa Catarina 86.0 79.0 91.0 79.9 Rio Grande do Sul 81.0 69.0 91.0 70.6 Total 94.1 90.3 96.8 90.6 Summer corn crop, 2025-26 Maranhao 6.0 4.0 5.0 5.6 Piaui 8.0 4.0 10.0 5.2 Bahia 86.0 71.0 63.0 58.0 Goias 80.0 70.0 99.0 64.4 Minas Gerais 97.0 85.2 100.0 89.8 Sao Paulo 100.0 90.0 100.0 92.2 Parana 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.6 Santa Catarina 99.7 98.9 100.0 98.4 Rio Grande do Sul 90.0 87.0 88.0 86.0 Total 77.5 71.3 75.0 70.3 Cotton crop, 2025-26 Maranhao 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 Piaui 5.0 0.0 8.0 1.0 Bahia 32.0 20.0 43.0 21.6 Mato Grosso 2.4 0.8 2.5 0.9 Mato Grosso do Sul 22.0 10.0 45.0 16.6 Goias 45.0 5.0 54.0 21.2 Minas Gerais 33.0 16.0 38.0 13.4 Total 10.1 5.3 12.2 5.8 — Conab Harvesting progress % State 2025 2024 Five-year average 13 Dec 6 Dec 14 Dec Wheat crop, 2025 Goias 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Minas Gerais 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Bahia 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Rio Grande do Sul 100.0 99.0 100.0 96.2 Parana 100.0 99.0 100.0 99.6 Santa Catarina 93.0 74.0 100.0 85.0 Sao Paulo 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Mato Grosso do Sul 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Total 99.7 98.0 100.0 98.7 — Conab Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mosaic halts SSP production in Brazil

16/12/25
16/12/25

Mosaic halts SSP production in Brazil

Sao Paulo, 16 December (Argus) — US fertilizer producer and exporter Mosaic has idled its phosphate-based SSP production in Brazil, following increases in sulphur prices. The company announced Tuesday the halt at its Fospar, in southern Parana state, and Araxa, in southeastern Minas Gerais state, facilities. Mosaic also suspended sulphur purchases. Mosaic may review the decisions after 30 days. Global sulphur prices are on an upward trend, as the metals and battery industries are also demanding the oil refinery subproduct. Prices in Brazil rose by almost threefold in 2025 to $528/t cfr on 11 December from $178/t in late 2024. Prices have been increasing especially since 20 February, when levels were at $192/t cfr. Sulphur prices have now surpassed the $525/t level from 2022, when the Ukraine-Russia conflict raised prices to their highest level since Argus began assessing the prices in 2012. In August-October, several SSP sales from Brazil's domestic production — which also encompasses Galvani and CMOC — were concluded at prices lower than the import levels, pressuring the fertilizer price down to $175-180/t cfr at ports. Prices fell to $255/t fob Paranagua, in southern Parana state, and $288/t fob Rondonopolis, in central-western Mato Grosso state, in October, the lowest level since 2023. Mosaic did not provide the production capacity data on the units. By Gisele Augusto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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