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PdV El Palito refinery at capacity in 2 months: Update

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Oil products
  • 20/06/23

Adds comment from Maduro legislator in paragraphs 6-8

Venezuela's 140,000 b/d El Palito refinery will be operating at full capacity within two months, according to Iranian state-owned engineering company NIOEC, which has been carrying out critical repairs on the facility.

"Some of the refining units have already begun working following the completion of major repairs," NIOEC chief executive Farhad Ahmadi said today. "But there is still work ongoing on several other units, including the distillation column and the vacuum distillation unit (VDU)."

Ahmadi said all repair work will be completed, and the refinery "fully operational, all within the next two months."

NIOEC, a subsidiary of Iran's state-owned refinery operator NIORDC, has been leading repair work at El Palito as part of an agreement signed in May 2022 between Tehran and Caracas to supply Venezuela with equipment and expertise to revamp the facility. Iran's oil minister Javad Owji has previously said that as part of those agreements, Iran plans to send up to 100,000 b/d of its crude for refining at El Palito.

The refinery had been offline for much of the past 10 months after key processing units were damaged in August, allegedly by Iranian crude that did not meet the refinery's specifications. State-owned PdV then relied more on its 635,000 b/d Amuay and 305,000 b/d Cardon refineries, but these have suffered repeated power outages, fires and related compressor problems.

A Venezuela-based source told Argus last week that El Palito was undergoing "major maintenance," but said some units were operational and producing around 20,000 b/d of diesel and gasoline combined.

But the El Palito refinery still lacks enough crude, especially lighter grades from the Venezuelan states of Apure and Barinas, said Elbano Sanchez, a lawmaker with the party of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. More work is needed before the plant, beset by maintenance problems being addressed by the Iranians, can ramp up, Sanchez said.

Still, "there will be more gasoline in the next few days," he said. Shortages have worsened in recent weeks.

Growing partnership

The May 2022 downstream-focused agreement built on an existing co-operation between the two sanctions-hit Opec producers that saw Iran support the recovery in Venezuela's crude production from lows of around 500,000 b/d in early 2021.

Iran was sending shipments of condensate to dilute and upgrade Venezuela's extra heavy Orinoco belt crude into an exportable grade. The latest shipment, according to Vortexa, was a 2.05mn bl cargo of South Pars condensate that discharged at Venezuela's Jose terminal on 23 April.

Argus estimated Venezuelan crude production at 790,000 b/d in May, around 45,000 b/d below PdV's own estimate. PdV president Pedro Tellechea said this week that crude output could reach 900,000 b/d this month, and 1mn b/d by August.

Venezuela has been trying to revamp its neglected and sanctions-hit oil infrastructure through its partnership with Iran, which has expanded in recent months. Earlier this month, Iran's President Ebrahim Raisi said the two countries had signed an agreement during his visit to Caracas that aimed to increase bilateral trade to as much as $20bn/yr, up from around $3bn/yr today.

Iran separately signed an agreement this month to help revamp an unnamed Venezuelan ammonia complex as part of Caracas' efforts to restore its operational petrochemical production capacity to 12mn t/yr from just 2mn t/yr today.


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18/06/25

Market risks grow as Trump threatens Iran: Update

Market risks grow as Trump threatens Iran: Update

Updates with details throughout Washington, 18 June (Argus) — The prospect of wider escalation in the Middle East if the US joins Israel's attacks on Iran is affecting marine insurance, freight and middle distillate prices, even though the flow of energy commodities out of the Mideast Gulf so far remains unfettered. US president Donald Trump, in wide-ranging remarks throughout the day, hinted at a potential US role in Israel's bombing campaign against Iran. But he also suggested that a diplomatic solution is still possible, noting that he has yet to make a decision on whether to target Iran. Trump told reporters at around 3:10pm ET that he would shortly convene another meeting with his top national security advisers to discuss US options. Speaking from Tehran earlier in the day, Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, warned of "irreparable damage" to the US if it joins the attacks. Trump, in remarks to reporters at the White House this morning, said he presented an "ultimate ultimatum" to Tehran. And as for a potential US air raid on Iran, Trump said: "I may do it. I may not do it. I mean, nobody knows what I'm going to do." Speaking from the Oval Office in the afternoon, Trump said, "I'd like to make a final decision one second before it's due." Khamenei, in a televised address today, denounced Trump's "absurd, unacceptable rhetoric to openly demand that the Iranian people surrender to him". Iran will oppose any "imposed peace", Khamenei said. The escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a surge in Europe-bound freight rates for medium range tankers loading in the US Gulf coast. Mideast Gulf middle distillate premiums are at multi-month highs. Additional War Risk Premiums in the Mideast Gulf could rise sharply in the coming days, as the number of insurance underwriters willing to commit at current levels appears to be shrinking. Some LNG carriers that have held off from transiting the strait of Hormuz in recent days have since sailed through or have approached the strait, while no carriers loaded in the Mideast Gulf have slowed from sailing via the strait. Few barriers to US participation Domestically and internationally, there is no significant pushback against a potential US involvement. But the isolationist wing of Republican politicians and media figures loyal to Trump, including former Fox New anchorman Tucker Carlson, is urging him to avoid involvement in an Israel-Iran war. Trump's extensive commentary suggests a perceived need to push back on criticism of his sudden eagerness to involve the US in another war in the Middle East after years of lambasting his predecessors for having done so. Trump told reporters this afternoon that "Carlson called and apologized the other day because he thought he said things that were a little too strong." The argument Trump says he is trying to make is that preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon may be worth a military intervention. "I'm not looking to fight," Trump said. "But if it's a choice between fighting or having a nuclear weapon, you have to do what you have to do." The US intelligence community assessed, most recently in April, that Iran has not restarted work on nuclear weapons despite building up enriched uranium stockpiles since 2018, when Trump terminated a functioning agreement that curbed that program. "I've been saying for 20 years, maybe longer, that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon," Trump said today. Mixed messages on talks Trump claimed that Iran's government has reached out to him for a diplomatic solution and has expressed willingness to send a high-ranking official to the White House. The offer is "courageous", Trump said, but added, "I said it's very late to be talking." Iran's mission to the UN subsequently denied a request for a meeting at the White House. Iran after the Israeli attack canceled a round of talks scheduled to take place in Oman on 15 June. Khamenei, in his remarks today, hinted at a "suspicion" that the US diplomatic approach had been part of Israel's preparation for military strikes. "Considering their recent remarks, this suspicion is growing stronger day by day," Khamenei said. Trump said he began to consider the possibility of US military action in the immediate aftermath of the Israeli attack. "The first night was devastating, and it really knocked the one side off," Trump said. Russian president Vladimir Putin reached out with an offer to mediate in the Israel-Iran conflict, Trump said. The conversation took place on 14 June, according to the Kremlin. "I said, do me a favor, mediate your own," Trump said, referring to Russia's war in Ukraine. "Let's mediate Russia first. OK?" By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed sees 2 rate cuts in '25, eyes tariffs: Update


18/06/25
18/06/25

US Fed sees 2 rate cuts in '25, eyes tariffs: Update

Adds Powell comments, economic backdrop. Houston, 18 June (Argus) — US Federal Reserve policymakers kept the target interest rate unchanged today and signaled two quarter-point cuts are still likely this year while downgrading forecasts for the US economy in the face of largely tariff-driven uncertainty. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc, in the fourth meeting of 2025. This followed rate cuts of 100 basis points over the last three meetings of 2024, which lowered the target rate from more than two-decade highs. In the Fed's first release of updated economic projections since President Donald Trump's 2 April "Liberation Day" announcement of far-ranging tariffs, policymakers continued to pencil in two quarter-point rate cuts for the remainder of the year. "Changes to trade, immigration, fiscal and regulatory policies continue to evolve and their effects on the economy remain uncertain," Fed chair Jerome Powell told reporters after the meeting. "Today, the amount of the tariff effects — the size of the tariff effects, their duration and the time it will take, are all highly uncertain. So that is why we think the appropriate thing to do is to hold where we are as we learn more." Policymakers and Fed officials Wednesday lowered their median estimate for GDP growth this year to 1.4pc from a prior estimate of 1.7pc in the March economic outlook. They see inflation rising to a median 3pc for 2025 from the prior estimate of 2.7pc, with unemployment rising to 4.5pc from 4.4pc in the prior forecast. Economists have warned that Trump's erratic use of tariffs and plans to raise the national debt, along with mounting geopolitical risk highlighted by the latest Israel-Iran clashes, threaten to throw the economy into a recession or marked slowdown. Consumer confidence has tumbled and financial markets have been volatile while the dollar has slumped to three-year lows. Still, the labor market and inflation — the two pillars of the Fed's policy mandate — have remained relatively stable into the fifth month of Trump's administration. "As long as the economy is solid, as long as we're seeing the kind of labor market that we have and reasonably decent growth, and inflation moving down, we feel like the right thing to do is to be where we are, where our policy stance is and learn more," Powell said. US job growth slowed to 139,000 in May, near the average gain of 149,000 over the prior 12 months and unemployment has remained in a range of 4-4.2pc since May 2024. Consumer inflation was at an annual 2.4pc in May, down from 3pc in January. US GDP growth contracted by an annual 0.2pc in the first quarter, largely due to an increase in imports on pre-tariff stockpiling, down from 2.4pc in the fourth quarter and the lowest in three years. "What we're waiting for to reduce rates is to understand what will happen with the tariff inflation," Powell said. "And there's a lot of uncertainty about that. Every forecaster you can name who is a professional is forecasting a meaningful increase in inflation in coming months from tariffs because someone has to pay for the tariffs." Before Wednesday's FOMC announcement, Trump made a rambling attack on the Fed's policy under Powell, in remarks to reporters at the White House. "I call him 'too late Powell', because he's always too late" in lowering rates. "Am I allowed to appoint myself at the Fed? I do a much better job than these people." Powell's term in office as Fed chair expires in May 2026. Powell declined to directly address Trump's comments. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Tarifas podem incentivar interesse dos EUA na AL


18/06/25
18/06/25

Tarifas podem incentivar interesse dos EUA na AL

New York, 18 June (Argus) — As tarifas dos Estados Unidos causarão uma transferência de renda da Ásia para a América Latina devido aos maiores níveis de tarifas impostas aos países asiáticos, de acordo com o ex-secretário de comércio dos EUA, Wilbur Ross. A administração do presidente Donald Trump está mais rigorosa com os países asiáticos, como a China, comparado à maioria dos países da América Latina, e isso tornará a região mais atrativa para as empresas norte-americanas, disse Ross durante a convenção Marine Money, em Nova York. "Se você perceber, muitos países asiáticos estão sendo sujeitados a tarifas em torno de 40pc, o que é basicamente dizer 'você não fará negócios conosco' porque 40pc não é uma tarifa absorvível", disse. "Ao passo que a maioria dos países latino-americanos estão sujeitos a uma tarifa de 10pc." Trump pausou o aumento de tarifas na maioria dos países por 90 dias em abril, mas elevou as tarifas na China. No último mês, os EUA e a China concordaram em cortar as tarifas bilaterais até agosto após negociações comerciais em Genebra, na Suíça. Mas Ross disse que ficou surpreso ao ver fortes tarifas mirando o Vietnã, uma vez que tem servido como polo de transbordo de exportações para os EUA para contornar as tarifas da China que começaram durante a gestão anterior de Trump. Ross previu que haverá um acordo comercial entre os EUA e o Vietnã, devido a Trump não ter razão para ser repressivo com o Vietnã e porque a China e o Vietnã são inimigos históricos. "Com sorte, eles chegarão a um acordo porque seria um pouco estranho ter encontrado neles uma reposição à China e puni-los por ter realizado essa missão", disse. Ross também disse que a aprovação de Trump à aquisição da siderúrgica US Steel pela contraparte japonesa Nippon Steel é um sinal de esperança para um acordo comercial com o Japão, porque ele não acha que o presidente teria assinado o acordo se ele não previsse um acordo mais amplo com o Japão. Por Luis Gronda Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . Todos os direitos reservados.

US Fed keeps rate flat, still eyes 2 cuts in 2025


18/06/25
18/06/25

US Fed keeps rate flat, still eyes 2 cuts in 2025

Houston, 18 June (Argus) — US Federal Reserve policymakers kept the target interest rate unchanged today and signaled two quarter-point cuts are still likely this year. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc, in the fourth meeting of 2025. This followed rate cuts of 100 basis points over the last three meetings of 2024, which lowered the target rate from more than two-decade highs. In the Fed's first release of updated economic projections since President Donald Trump's 2 April "Liberation Day" announcement of far-ranging tariffs, policymakers continued to pencil in two quarter-point rate cuts for the remainder of the year. Policymakers and Fed officials Wednesday lowered their estimate for GDP growth this year to 1.4pc from a prior estimate of 1.7pc in the March economic outlook. They see inflation rising to 3pc for 2025 from the prior estimate of 2.7pc, with unemployment rising to 4.5pc from 4.4pc in the prior forecast. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexican president floats 'general agreement' with US


18/06/25
18/06/25

Mexican president floats 'general agreement' with US

Mexico City, 18 June (Argus) — Mexico's president Claudia Sheinbaum said she proposed to US president Donald Trump that their countries could sign a "general agreement" on key cross-border problems, suggesting the deal could be made before the US, Mexico and Canada free trade agreement (USMCA) is renegotiated. The presidents were set to meet this week at the G7 summit in Canada, but Trump left early and had a "good call" with Sheinbaum on the phone instead, Sheinbaum and the White House said. Sheinbaum said today she proposed Mexico and the US sign a single agreement on cross-border security, including drugs crossing into the US, migration and commerce — topics Trump flagged as major issues between the countries. Mexico has mostly managed to steer clear of Trump's on-again/off-again trade action , but has not been able to convince Trump to remove steep import tariffs on steel, aluminum and automotive parts. Sheinbaum previously said she hoped to get Trump to remove these tariffs by addressing security and migration issues while getting support from the US to stem the flow of arms into Mexico. Trump on Monday described ongoing trade negotiations as an easy process. "We are dealing with really, if you think about it, probably 175 countries, and most of them can just be sent a letter saying, 'It will be an honor to trade with you, and here's what you're going to have to pay to do'", Trump said. But that same day he pushed back on calls from Canada and the EU to negotiate trade deals, arguing that their approach is too complicated. "You get too complex on the deals and they never get done," Trump said. Canada and the US also aim to strike a trade deal within 30 days, Canadian prime minister Mark Carney said on Monday after meeting with Trump. Trump has been pushing Mexico into an early renegotiation of the USMCA. But the talks with Canada and the call with Mexico suggest Trump could finalize separate deals with Mexico and Canada before the USMCA's renegotiations are finished. By Cas Biekmann Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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