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Nacionalização no AP atrai comprador no Sul

  • Spanish Market: Oil products
  • 03/04/24

Incentivos fiscais a combustíveis concedidos pelo governo do Amapá estão atraindo distribuidores de pequeno porte no Sul do Brasil, que começam a ganhar vantagem competitiva em relação a participantes de médio e grande porte que atuam na região.

Importadores de diesel, gasolina e etanol anidro localizados no estado do Amapá estão atualmente isentos do recolhimento de ICMS no caso de transações realizadas por ordem de terceiros. A cobrança do ICMS só é aplicada no caso de importações para uso próprio, a uma alíquota efetiva de 4pc do valor da importação. Considerando a média do indicador Argus de importação de diesel de origem russa ao longo de março, isso equivaleria a R$136,9/m³.O valor atual do ICMS nos outros estados brasileiros é de R$1.063/m³ desde 1 de fevereiro.

A medida gera distorções nos preços de combustíveis, particularmente no diesel, uma vez que o país importa aproximadamente 20pc do consumo doméstico.

Distribuidores e importadores de atuação nacional afirmam que parte do fluxo estrangeiro é nacionalizado no Amapá para depois ser redirecionado a outros locais, sem a necessidade de desembarque prévio do produto no estado.

O principal destino é o porto de Paranaguá (PR), de acordo com fontes, onde as negociações no mercado à vista de diesel nacionalizado têm sido mais frequentes que as atividades nos portos de Santos (SP) e São Luís (MA). Apesar da proximidade, o impacto desse produto na região Nordeste é praticamente nulo, por ora.

A circulação desse volume no Paraná está permitindo que empresas de pequeno porte ganhem participação de mercado, o que gera um alerta aos concorrentes. A maior parte da oferta do diesel nacionalizado no Amapá é feita pela Amapá Petro, disseram fontes à Argus. A empresa não retornou às tentativas de contato.

Por enquanto, as ofertas do diesel que chega no Amapá não estão chegando a distribuidores de médio e grande porte.

A Refina Brasil, associação que reúne as refinarias de petróleo independentes do país, diz que é contrária a qualquer medida que implique distorção de preço, sobretudo às que prejudicam a reindustrialização do país.

O consultor jurídico da associação, Pedro Paulo Passos, afirma que a criação de um benefício ilegal para favorecer um contribuinte do setor cria uma guerra fiscal e afeta de forma negativa todos os esforços que permeiam a aprovação da reforma tributária, cujo mote é a neutralidade fiscal.

"No longo prazo, utiliza-se dos recursos do contribuinte amapaense para conceder um subsídio que não gera nenhum benefício para o estado", diz Passos. O consultor ainda lembra que o fluxo artificial via Amapá gera prejuízos ao meio ambiente em função da logística percorrida pelas cargas até os mercados finais.

A Refina Brasil estima que o contribuinte amapaense paga um valor próximo a R$0,83/l em subsídios para importadores.

Em janeiro e fevereiro, as importações de diesel somaram 1 milhão de m³ e 856.000m³, respectivamente, de acordo com dados do Ministério do Desenvolvimento, Indústria, Comércio e Serviços (MDIC). O estado do Amapá recebeu aproximadamente 100.000m³ por mês.

A Refina Brasil enfatiza que a previsão de uma legislação única, com definição de alíquota uniforme em todo o país, favorecerá a criação de um cenário no qual as empresas competirão por questões de mercado e não pela tributação de cada estado. "A neutralidade tributária nos faz crer que medidas como essa [adotada pelo Amapá] não terão mais espaço", disse Passos.

Por Amance Boutin e Gabrielle Moreira


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07/02/25

Trump planning rollout of 'reciprocal' tariffs

Trump planning rollout of 'reciprocal' tariffs

Washington, 7 February (Argus) — President Donald Trump is considering announcing "mostly reciprocal tariffs" on an undisclosed number of countries early next week, in a possible shift from a campaign plan to impose universal tariffs of 10-20pc against all imports to the US. Trump did not provide specifics on the idea, but said he would probably have a meeting on 10 or 11 February before making an announcement. The potential rollout of the reciprocal tariffs appears likely to take place after China's planned 10 February date to start collecting a 10pc tariff on crude, coal and LNG from the US that Beijing imposed in response to a 10pc blanket tariff that Trump has placed on Chinese imports. "I think that's the only fair way to do it," Trump said of his plan to "probably" pursue reciprocal tariffs. "That way, nobody's hurt. They charge us, we charge them. It's the same thing. And I seem to be going in that line, as opposed to a flat fee tariff." Trump has said he views tariffs — which he says is his "favorite word" — as a virtually cost-free way to raise revenue that will cut the US trade deficit and boost domestic manufacturing, without raising prices for goods in the US. But earlier this week, Trump delayed his plan to place an across-the-board 25pc tariff on Canada and Mexico just hours before it was set to take effect, as stock markets began to plunge on the threat of the start of a damaging trade war between the US and its two largest trading partners. The vast majority of economists say across-the-board tariffs are an inefficient way of raising revenue, with costs that would fall the hardest on low-income and middle-income US consumers already reeling from years of inflation. US Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer (D-New York) on 2 February said kicking off a tariff war with Canada and Mexico "makes 100pc no sense" and would raise costs for US consumers. Trump discussed his reciprocal tariff idea today during a press conference with Japan's prime minister Shigeru Ishiba. Trump said he wants to "get rid of" the US' trade deficit with Japan he estimates is $100bn/yr, primarily by selling the country US oil, LNG and ethanol. Trump said he also spoke with Ishiba about efforts related to the "pipeline in Alaska", an apparent reference to the proposed 20mn t/yr Alaska LNG project, which is expected to cost more than $40bn and would require building a natural gas pipeline across Alaska. Ishiba said it was "wonderful" that Trump had lifted a temporary pause on LNG licensing on his first day in office, and said Japan was interested in purchasing US LNG, ethanol, ammonia and other resources as a way to cut down on the US trade deficit with Japan. "If we are able to buy those at a stable and reasonable price, I think it would be a wonderful situation," Ishiba said through a translator. Japan is keen to increase its overall investment in the US to $1 trillion, Ishiba said. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Crude Summit: P66 eyes US northeast renewables: Update


07/02/25
07/02/25

Crude Summit: P66 eyes US northeast renewables: Update

Adds info on SAF, other details. Houston, 7 February (Argus) — US refiner Philips 66 is weighing producing renewable fuels in the northeastern US if more states adopt low carbon fuel standards. The company is considering producing renewables at its 258,500 b/d Bayway refinery in Linden, New Jersey, if state mandates are approved and implemented, vice president of renewables Suresh Vaidyanathan said on the sidelines of the Argus Global Crude Summit Americas in Houston, Texas, on Friday. The renewables could be processed along with traditional fuels at the refinery. Bayway is the largest refinery on the US Atlantic coast. Phillips 66 could possibly produce renewable diesel or sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) at the refinery, depending on the specifics of the state laws, Vaidyanathan said. The company said it is "constantly evaluating all of our assets for lower carbon opportunities." New Jersey senators last year proposed legislation to establish what could be the first US east coast clean fuels mandate. In New York, bills to establish a clean fuel standard now count the majority of the state assembly and senate as co-sponsors. But similar proposals have stalled in prior years, in part because some progressive lawmakers worry about potentially boosting biofuels at the expense of electrification. New York state agencies are separately studying the potential impacts of a "clean transportation standard" but have given no indication of when they could release their findings. Phillips 66's Rodeo renewables plant in California reported throughputs of 42,000 b/d in the fourth quarter of 2024 after beginning full operations last year. Phillips 66 said today it is producing SAF at the Rodeo refinery. United Airlines announced in December that it agreed to buy SAF from Phillips 66's Rodeo facility as soon as the product came online. Phillips 66's renewable fuels business logged a $28mn profit in the fourth quarter of 2024 driven by higher margins at the Rodeo complex and stronger international results. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Crude Summit: Asset-backed oil trades on the rise


06/02/25
06/02/25

Crude Summit: Asset-backed oil trades on the rise

Houston, 6 February (Argus) — Asset-backed trading is becoming commonplace in the oil industry as companies up and down the supply chain bring capabilities in-house, delegates heard at the Argus Global Crude Summit Americas in Houston, Texas, today. "Traditionally, long term hedging was popular, and it still is, but in general we've seen a move towards the front end of the curve," said CME Group's managing director and global head of energy and environmental products Peter Keavey. "The risks are really in the prompt," said Keavy. "We're seeing a lot of hedging in the short term [and] that also is reflective of asset-based optimization." HC Group managing partner Paul Chapman has also noticed a continued shift in trading by banks, which either exited or scaled down operations in 2014 and 2015, to those directly in the industry. "I would argue that pretty much every single business around the world — producer, miner, refiner, retailer of fuels and major — is on some spectrum of developing some asset trading," said Chapman. "And it's driven by a need to capture more margin." Changing trade flows have naturally had a bearing on who becomes more involved in individual markets. "Over the past five years, European players have more and more exposure to US molecules, whether it be crude oil or natural gas," said Keavey, which has driven the growth of trade of WTI, RBOB, gasoline, and heating oil in international markets. Changing energy policy, and policies to reach other political objectives, have a tendency to shape energy flows, whether they are intended or not, the speakers said. The Russian-Ukraine conflict is a prime example, and there are clear signs that US president Donald Trump's second term in office will do the same. "As this world gets more shaped by trade wars and there's more and more government intervention, that itself starts to break down some of the fundamentals of how some of these markets work," said Chapman. Keavey expects Canadian crude to continue to flow even under a Canada-US trade war, but "the question is, what disruption happens to the pricing?" By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico factory activity weakens in Jan


06/02/25
06/02/25

Mexico factory activity weakens in Jan

Mexico City, 6 February (Argus) — Mexico's manufacturing sector contracted further in January, according to the latest purchasing managers index (PMI) survey from the finance executive association IMEF. Both manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs decreased for a second month in January, falling deeper into contraction territory. "Mexico's economy began 2025 with no growth at all," said IMEF, "with the outlook made highly uncertain moving forward by US President Donald Trump's first actions in office." While Trump's proposed tariffs remain on hold, IMEF warned they could severely impact Mexico's economy by further stalling growth and triggering inflation. The manufacturing PMI dropped to 45.6 from 47.5 in December, marking its tenth consecutive month below the 50-point expansion threshold. Manufacturing, which accounts for about a fifth of Mexico's economy, is led by the auto sector, contributing about 18pc of manufacturing GDP. Within the manufacturing PMI, the new orders index dropped 3.5 points to 42.9 and deeper into contraction. Similarly, production fell 3.0 points to 42.8. Employment held at 47.4 in January, now in contraction for 12 consecutive months. The non-manufacturing PMI — covering services and commerce — declined again, slipping to 49.1 in January from 49.6 in December. New orders dropped 1.9 points to 47.9, production fell 1.4 points to 47.1 and employment held at 48.7. IMEF further raised concerns over Mexico's trade and services sectors — key drivers of Mexico's post-pandemic recovery, noting a recent loss of momentum. The group added this may have implications on the non-manufacturing PMI with its associated sub-components "on the verge of contraction". By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

BP puts Gelsenkirchen refinery in Germany up for sale


06/02/25
06/02/25

BP puts Gelsenkirchen refinery in Germany up for sale

Hamburg, 6 February (Argus) — BP said today it will begin seeking buyers for its Ruhr Oel business, which includes the 257,800 b/d Gelsenkirchen refinery and an associated petrochemicals plant in western Germany. The UK company hopes to reach a sales agreement in 2025, although the exact timing will depend on approval of local competition authorities, it said. The sale should have no affect on short-term supply of oil products in western Germany as the refinery will keep up normal production in the interim, the company said in a press release. BP had said it planned to downsize Gelsenkirchen , shutting four unitsand reducing its crude capacity by a third. The shutdown of the affected units is scheduled for the end of the 2025 and will go ahead, BP told Argus . Potential buyers are not yet known. BP is the latest in a series of companies looking to sell or reduce their refinery shares in Germany. Shell is still searching for a buyer for its 37.5pc stake in the PCK consortium's 226,000 b/d Schwedt refinery, in eastern Germany, after a sale to UK energy firm Prax fell through in late December. Shell was also in discussions to sell its 32.25pc stake in the Miro's consortium's 310,000 b/d Karlsruhe refinery to czech company MERO CR in 2024, which did not result in a sales agreement. Shell is further on track to shut down the Wesseling plant at its 334,000 b/d Rhineland refinery complex. Russian state-controlled Rosneft intends to sell its German subsidiaries, Rosneft Deutschland and RN Refining & Marketing, which are held under the trusteeship of the Federal Network Agency. These assets include a controlling stake in the PCK joint venture, a 24pc share in the Miro's consortium and a 28.6pc share in the Bayernoil joint venture, operator of the 207,000 b/d Neustadt-Vohburg refinery in Bavaria. ExxonMobil announced its intention to sell its 25pc stake in the Karlsruhe refinery to Austria's Alcmene, a subsidiary of Estonia's Liwathon, in 2023. The sale fell through in July 2024 after a German court upheld a ruling banning the company from selling its stakes in the Miro consortium following an injunction filed by Shell. BP also operates the 95,000 b/d Lingen refinery in western Germany. This is unaffected by the sale plan for Gelsenkirchen. By Natalie Müller Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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