UAE renewables and green hydrogen company Masdar expects output from its first hydrogen projects to be used in the production of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and green steel, as these face fewer logistical barriers than shipping and cracking ammonia back to hydrogen.
The company aims to take final investment decisions (FIDs) on hydrogen projects targeting these sectors within the next 6-18 months and could start production around three years later, its director of hydrogen business development and commercial, Andreas Bieringer, told Argus.
"We are working on green steel and would like to see some announcement to be made soon, also on sustainable aviation fuel, that's definitely what will go first in the UAE," he said.
Masdar has a 2024 pilot for a 2.1MW electrolyser to prove the concept of using hydrogen in direct reduction of iron alongside Emirates Steel Arkan. The firm also trialled methanol-to-jet last year, which offers a path to e-SAF in the future. And it is developing the region's first SAF using renewable hydrogen and municipal solid waste.
Projects where hydrogen or derivatives can be used directly — such as green steel, marine fuels and e-SAF — and the decarbonisation of industrial processes seem to be slightly ahead of the curve in general, Bieringer said.
"These are things where we can get firm offtake directly because it takes out the problem of how we ship the product to offtake markets where the logistic supply chains are not ready yet," Bieringer said. "That's one of the uncertainties we have now. Like port infrastructure, cracking for ammonia, pipelines in Europe — all this needs to be advanced much faster," he added.
Masdar's next step for its UAE projects is to sign firm offtake deals. "Structuring intelligent offtake agreements" that share the risk fairly on both sides is the "art everyone tries to figure out", he said. The company also needs to finalise the infrastructure to underpin the projects, but this should be more straightforward than long-distance shipping.
At the end of last year, Abu Dhabi launched its low-carbon hydrogen policy. It focuses on creating hydrogen "oases" and clean electricity parks to attract investment and increase operational efficiencies. Masdar said it is actively supporting the policy's implementation.
Outside of the UAE, Masdar is targeting projects in Scandinavia and the Iberian Peninsula. These are "very advanced front-end engineering designs" and are also focusing on logistically-easy offtake sectors, Bieringer said.
Masdar appears to have reshuffled the order of its project pipeline. One of the first hydrogen projects it announced was a 200MW renewable ammonia project with fertiliser company Fertiglobe in Ruwais. This had targeted FID in 2023 and start up in 2025, but the timelines appear to have changed. The company had also hoped to start operating a 2GW renewable ammonia project in Egypt in 2026, but this also looks like a stretch since no FID has been taken yet.
Many companies across the hydrogen industry have rolled back on the initial targets they set out — partly because of tough macroeconomic conditions but it also reflects a recognition that scaling up hydrogen might be tougher than first thought.
Even with its own plans changing, Masdar has not abandoned its target to produce 1mn t/yr of renewable hydrogen, but Bieringer recognised it could be a stretch to get there by 2030.
"We would definitely want to do it within a decade, 2030 is the guiding principle. If it maybe takes a little bit longer, I don't think it'd be too dramatic," he said. "The direction is still there, that's what you see in the market studies. The drive towards green hydrogen is unchanged".