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Canada’s greenwashing bill muzzles oil industry

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Emissions, Pipe and tube
  • 01/07/24

A Canadian law targeting greenwashing has begun to stamp out much of the oil industry's claims relating to climate pursuits, for better or worse, but environmental policy in general may be at risk as the ruling Liberals show signs of cracking.

Companies must now show proof when making representations about climate and emissions targets, according to the law that took effect from 20 June. Any claim "not based on adequate and proper substantiation in accordance with internationally recognised methodology" could result in penalties of up to C$15mn ($11mn), or "triple the value of the benefit derived from the anti-competitive practice".

This compelled prominent oil sands producers and carbon capture and storage (CCS) venture Pathways Alliance to delete content from their websites the same day, citing the "significant uncertainty" and the risk of litigation that the new law has brought. Leading oil province Alberta's premier, Danielle Smith, said she expects the new law to have the opposite of its intended effect by stifling "many billions in investments in emissions technologies — the very technologies the world needs".

And the political winds might be blowing in her favour as her federal opponent, prime minister Justin Trudeau and his Liberal party, struggle to recover from a steady slide in the polls. Opposition leader Pierre Poilievre has been reaping the benefits of Trudeau's fall from grace, as evinced by the surprise by-election win for his Conservative Party in Toronto last week. This is the first time that a Conservative has won this particular seat — in what had been a Liberal stronghold — since 1988, but Trudeau has no plans to step aside ahead of the next general election that will take place on or before 20 October 2025.

The federal government hopes oil industry concerns will be offset by other aspects of the new law, which include the passage of important carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) investment tax credits (ITC) that energy companies have been waiting for since they were announced more than three years ago. Eligible expenditures will now receive a refundable ITC of 60pc on capital costs for direct air capture, 50pc on other capture equipment and 37.5pc for money spent on capital relating to carbon transportation, storage or usage. The benefits apply to expenditures between January 2022 and December 2040 but are halved starting in 2031 to encourage investment sooner rather than later.

Polarising effect

Less than one week later, Shell announced final investment decisions (FIDs) for two projects in Alberta that stand to benefit from these ITCs. The Polaris project will capture up to 650,000 t/yr of CO2 from the company's 114,000 b/d Scotford refinery and chemicals complex. And a joint venture between Shell and Calgary-based ATCO EnPower announced an FID for its Atlas Carbon Storage Hub, which will be connected to Polaris by a 22km pipeline. Both projects are to be operational by the end of 2028. But the CCUS ITC, along with other federal and provincial programmes and regulations, have "created an environment that makes the Polaris investment possible", Shell tells Argus.

Pathways says it is pleased the ITCs are now legislated, but that it will scrutinise how they are implemented as it considers moving forward with its massive C$16.5bn CCS project in the heart of Alberta's oil sands region. Pathways includes Canada's six leading oil sands producers, together accounting for 95pc of the province's 3.3mn b/d of oil sands production. That is likely to grow to 4mn b/d within 10 years, the Alberta Energy Regulator says. Capturing carbon will be vital for firms to get to that level while staying under a federally-proposed cap on emissions.

Alberta tar sands raw production '000m³
20222023202420252033
Mineable257.1261.9266.6271.6279.5
In situ270.0280.2293.4309.3348.8
Total527.1542.1560.0580.9628.3
Total mn b/d3.323.413.523.663.95
— Alberta Energy Regulator

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13/06/25

Freight market on alert after Israeli strikes on Iran

Freight market on alert after Israeli strikes on Iran

Singapore, 13 June (Argus) — Israeli air and missile strikes on Iran in the early hours of Friday have raised the risk of disruption to shipping in the Mideast Gulf, prompting concerns over rising freight rates, insurance costs and vessel safety. The escalation has heightened tensions in one of the world's most critical oil and shipping corridors, centred on the Strait of Hormuz — a chokepoint for about a fifth of global oil supply. Market participants warn that freight rates could surge if the conflict drags on or if Iran launches a retaliatory strike. The Israeli operation targeted military facilities and infrastructure linked to Iran's nuclear programme, according to Israeli officials, who described the strikes as an act of self-defence. Israel has warned that Iran is closer than ever to acquiring a nuclear weapon. Oil prices surged following the strikes, reflecting concern about possible supply disruptions. At 08:30 GMT, the Ice front-month August Brent contract was at $73.51/bl, up by $4.15/bl from its 12 June settlement. Nymex July WTI was at $72.24/bl, up by $4.20/bl. Earlier in Asian trading, Brent had climbed as high as $78.50/bl and WTI reached $77.62/bl. Freight Market Reacts Ships operating in or transiting the Mideast Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz could face higher costs and delays. "Insurance companies could raise the cost of additional war risk premiums (AWRP) if the conflict continues for a long time," a shipbroker said. Other freight market participants echoed this view. "Mideast Gulf freight rates could spike because owners will avoid going there," another source said, adding that shipowners are likely to err on the side of caution. The extent of the impact will depend on how long the hostilities last and of and how Iran retaliates. "The main thing to watch... is how Iran will retaliate. Shipping's stance would highly hinge on the degree of retaliation," a tanker broker said. The situation could also trigger operational disruptions, particularly for cargoes yet to load. "There is a possibility that the latest spat could fall under the force majeure clause, which could allow the cancellation of charters," a broker said. Force majeure clauses in charter parties release both parties from liability when extraordinary events — such as war — prevent contract fulfilment. But it remains unclear whether this incident meets that threshold. Higher oil prices could also push up bunker fuel costs, adding further upward pressure on freight rates, a shipowner said. Freight and energy markets are closely watching for signs of Iranian retaliation, which could worsen supply risks and increase volatility. "That [Zionist] regime should anticipate a severe punishment. By God's grace, the powerful arm of the Islamic Republic's Armed Forces won't let them go unpunished," Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on 13 June on social media platform X. While spot rates and war risk premiums are expected to rise in the short term, most market participants are adopting a wait-and-see approach. "The freight market has not yet reacted and rates in the Mideast Gulf did not jump on Friday, but nobody can predict how the conflict will develop further or how many more black swans there will be," a broker said. By Sureka Elangovan and Sean Lui Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Israel strikes Iran, US claims non-involvement: Update


13/06/25
13/06/25

Israel strikes Iran, US claims non-involvement: Update

Washington, 12 June (Argus) — Israel carried out air and missile strikes against Iran in the early hours of Friday local time, setting the stage for a major escalation in the world's largest oil producing region. Israel said it struck military targets and infrastructure associated with Iran's nuclear programme across the country. It claimed the attack was carried out in self-defense, as "Iran is closer than ever to obtaining a nuclear weapon." Iranian state media reported a first wave of strikes over the capital city, Tehran, at around 03:20 local time (23:50 GMT). Images and videos published by the state broadcaster showed residential towers that had been struck in the attack, causing numerous casualties. There were reports soon after of fire and smoke at the general command headquarters of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) in the east of the capital, and strikes elsewhere in the country, among them key sites like the Shahid Ahmadi Roshan nuclear site in Natanz, around 200km south of the capital. Iran's civil aviation authority announced within two hours of the initial strikes that all flights had been grounded at all of the country's airports, and that the airspace over Iran will be closed "until further notice." Following the strikes on the IRGC headquarters, Iranian state media was quick to dismiss reports suggesting casualties among the country's top military officers. But news has emerged on the death of key individuals, including the IRGC's commander-in-chief Hossein Salami and Iran's army chief, Mohammad Bagheri. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said Israel should "expect a severe punishment" in the face of the early morning strikes which "struck residential centers." "Several commanders and scientists were martyred in the enemy's attacks," Khamenei said. "Their successors and colleagues will immediately resume their duties… with this crime, [Israel] has prepared a bitter and painful fate for itself, which it will definitely see." Iran's foreign ministry said that Iran "has the legal and legitimate right to respond" to the Israeli attacks "in accordance with Article 51 of the United Nations Charter," and called on the president of the UN Security Council "to take immediate action" to confront Israel's aggression "as soon as possible." Article 51 states that "nothing in the present charter shall impair the inherent right of individual or collective self-defense if an armed attack occurs against a member of the UN, until the security council has taken measures necessary to maintain international peace and security." 'Not involved' The US said it was not involved in the Israeli strikes and advised Tehran not to retaliate against US personnel in the Middle East. "Israel advised us that they believe this action was necessary for its self-defense," secretary of state Marco Rubio said, adding that the Trump administration has "taken all necessary steps to protect our forces and remain in close contact with our regional partners." Iran's defense minister Aziz Nasirzadeh just this week warned that Iran could and would target US bases in the region if conflict was "imposed on us." The US administration appeared to have at least advance warning of the imminent attack and on Wednesday ordered non-essential US personnel in Iraq and Israel to evacuate immediately. Less than a day before the Israeli attack, Trump told reporters at the White House that he advised Israel against striking Iran as it may jeopardize his diplomacy with Tehran. US and Iranian diplomats were scheduled to meet on Sunday for another round of talks on a new deal to curb Tehran's nuclear program. As long as the US and Iran are negotiating, "I don't want [Israel] going in because, I mean, that would blow it," Trump said. "Might help it actually but it also could blow it." Crude oil futures surged in early Asian trading following news of the attacks. The front-month August Ice Brent contract rose by as much as 13pc to a high of $78.50/bl in early trading. July WTI futures on Nymex traded as high as $77.62/bl. By Haik Gugarats and Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Israel strikes Iran, US claims non-involvement


13/06/25
13/06/25

Israel strikes Iran, US claims non-involvement

Washington, 12 June (Argus) — Israel carried out air and missile strikes against Iran in the early hours of Friday local time, setting the stage for a major escalation in the world's largest oil producing region. Israel said it struck military targets and infrastructure associated with Iran's nuclear program across the country. It claimed the attack was carried out in self-defense, as "Iran is closer than ever to obtaining a nuclear weapon." The US said it was not involved in the Israeli strikes and advised Tehran not to retaliate against US personnel in the Middle East. "Israel advised us that they believe this action was necessary for its self-defense," secretary of state Marco Rubio said, adding that the Trump administration has "taken all necessary steps to protect our forces and remain in close contact with our regional partners." The US administration appeared to have at least advance warning of the imminent attack and on Wednesday ordered non-essential US personnel in Iraq and Israel to evacuate immediately. Less than a day before the Israeli attack, Trump told reporters at the White House that he advised Israel against striking Iran as it may jeopardize his diplomacy with Tehran. US and Iranian diplomats were scheduled to meet on Sunday for another round of talks on a new deal to curb Tehran's nuclear program. As long as the US and Iran are negotiating, "I don't want [Israel] going in because, I mean, that would blow it," Trump said. "Might help it actually but it also could blow it." Iran's state news agency Irna reported explosions in and near Tehran. WTI Nymex futures were up 8pc to $73.14/bl as of 9:30pm ET on Thursday, in after-hours trading. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EPA draft biofuel blend mandate expected Friday: Update


12/06/25
12/06/25

EPA draft biofuel blend mandate expected Friday: Update

Updates with changes throughout New York, 12 June (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration plans to release draft biofuel blend mandates for 2026 and 2027 on Friday, according to three people familiar with the matter. The draft quotas, in addition to a separate final rule cutting cellulosic biofuel mandates for last year, exited White House interagency review on Wednesday, the last step before major regulations can be released. The Trump administration has meetings with legislative stakeholders on Friday morning ahead of the public release, three people said. Previously scheduled meetings through the end of the month as part of the interagency review process appear to have been cancelled, another signal that the rules' release is imminent. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has said it wants to get the frequently delayed Renewable Fuel Standard program back on its statutory timeline, which would require volumes for 2027 to be finalized before November this year. Any proposal will have to go through the typical public comment process and could be changed. EPA said the rules will be posted on its website once they are signed by Lee Zeldin, the agency's administrator. A coalition of biofuel-producing groups and feedstock suppliers, including the American Petroleum Institute, has pushed EPA to set a biomass-based diesel mandate of 5.25bn USG for 2026, hoping that a record-high target will support biorefineries that have struggled this year. Many plants have idled or run less recently, as uncertainty about future blend mandates, the halting rollout of a new clean fuel tax credit, and tariffs that up feedstock costs all hurt margins. US senator Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) said Thursday that closed biodiesel plants in his state needed a 5.25bn mandate to reopen. Meanwhile, a coalition of independent and small refiners that have long lamented the costs of the program wrote to EPA this week asking for less-aspirational future mandates, including for the conventional category mostly met by corn ethanol. RIN markets were volatile today, trading higher in the morning before slipping lower on fears the mandates would not meet industry expectations. Current year ethanol D6 RINs traded as high as 99¢/RIN before falling as low as 90¢/RIN. Current year biomass-based diesel D4 RINs ended Thursday at 102.5¢/RIN, equal to their close the prior day. Small refinery exemptions loom Zeldin told a House subcommittee last month the agency wanted "to get caught up as quickly as we can" on a backlog of small refiner requests for program exemptions. Courts took issue with EPA's exemption policy during Trump's first term and again during President Joe Biden's tenure, leaving officials now with dozens of waiver requests covering 10 compliance years still pending. It is unclear whether the rule will provide much clarity on EPA's plans for program waivers, but biofuel groups have worried that widespread exemptions would curb demand for their products. The price of Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credits used for program compliance have been volatile this year on rumors about these exemptions, which EPA has called market manipulation. In both the Trump and Biden administrations, EPA estimated future exempted volumes when calculating the percentage of biofuels individual refiners had to blend, effectively requiring those with obligations to shoulder more of the burden to meet high-level volume targets. The agency could continue that approach, but it would be more legally treacherous for the agency to similarly "reallocate" exempted volumes from past years into future standards, lawyers said. EPA by law also has to consult on exemption decisions with the Department of Energy, which a person familiar said was "still going through the scoring process" for assessing some small refinery applications, making quick resolution of the issue unlikely. Unresolved court cases, including a Supreme Court case about the proper venue for small refinery waiver disputes, could also give regulators pause until they know more. Tax credit clarity expected soon Senate committees this week have been releasing their versions of key parts of the major Republican spending bill, and the Senate Finance Committee is expected to do so soon, potentially as early as Friday according to people familiar. The incentive is crucial for biofuel production margins and thus for the viability of EPA mandates too. The version that passed the House last month would extend the "45Z" clean fuel production credit through 2031, bar regulators from considering indirect land use emissions, and restrict eligibility to fuels from North American feedstocks. While various ideas have circulated this year, lobbyists expect the Senate to preserve the general structure of the credit, which throttles benefits based on carbon intensity, rather than reinvent a new subsidy. Still, some Republicans have expressed concern with the House's phaseout of tax credit "transferability", which benefits smaller companies without much tax liability. And major oil refiners with renewable diesel plants reliant on Asian used cooking oil and South American tallow have lobbied for more flexibility around foreign feedstocks. Any changes that up the credit's costs could be controversial too among conservatives worried about the bill's impacts on a mounting federal budget deficit. And the complex tax credit will ultimately need final regulations from the US Department of Treasury clarifying eligibility. At a Senate hearing Thursday, Treasury secretary Scott Bessent said that the Trump administration planned to implement the credit in a way to "not allow for foreign actors to have a back door into the program." By Cole Martin and Matthew Cope Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil backs R32mn to counter wildfires in Amazon


12/06/25
12/06/25

Brazil backs R32mn to counter wildfires in Amazon

Sao Paulo, 12 June (Argus) — Brazil opened a public call to finance R32mn ($5.7mn) to combat wildfires in the Amazon rainforest and in the central-western Pantanal biome. The resources come from Brazilian environment ministry's FNMA fund and the federal collective rights' fund FDD, which is under the justice and public security ministry's umbrella. Projects submitted must be between R800,000-1mn and must be finished in up to two years, according to the government. Projects regarding machinery, equipment and fire-adapted light vehicle acquisitions are eligible. The investment does not comprise construction projects. The initiative aims to counter environmental damages from wildfires. Brazil is working to eliminate deforestation — both legal and illegal — by 2030, in an effort to meet its emissions reductions targets under the Paris climate agreement. Deforestation is one of Brazil's flagship issues for the UN Cop 30 summit , which it will host in northern Para state in November this year. The Amazon biome lost over 774,000ha to wildfires in the first quarter, a 72pc drop from a year earlier, while it accounted for almost 52pc of burnt areas in March. Burnt areas in the Pantanal biome, or tropical wetland, fell by 86pc in the first quarter to 10,900 hectares. By Maria Frazatto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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