Latest Market News

Marine biodiesel demand slips in Rotterdam 2Q sales

  • Spanish Market: Biofuels, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 30/07/24

Sales of fossil bunker fuels and marine biodiesel blends at the port of Rotterdam inched higher in the second quarter of the year, but were below levels of a year earlier, according to official port data.

Marine biodiesel blend sales retracted by about 10.5pc quarter-on-quarter (see table). Market participants pointed to muted spot demand as a consequence of limited regulatory incentives and cheaper marine biodiesel prices east of Suez. The premium held by B30 used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome) dob ARA to B24 Ucome dob Singapore averaged $93.17/t in the April-June period, compared with $40.98/t in the two months prior to April.

But blend sales were 26.5pc above April-June 2023, with stable voluntary demand from cargo owners seeking scope 3 emissions rights and shipowners conducting trials ahead of the introduction of FuelEU Maritime regulations next year.

High-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) sales rose slightly on the quarter and fell from the second quarter of last year. Chronic traffic disruption in the Red Sea has continued to redirect vessels on a longer journey around the Cape of Good Hope.

Market participants told Argus this has lent support to HSFO demand in Rotterdam, with the high-sulphur product a lucrative option for scrubber-fitted vessels embarking on the east-west route. Sales of very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) and ultra-low sulphur fuel oil (ULSFO) rose by 7pc compared with the first three months of the year, but tumbled from the second quarter of 2023. Market participants reported limited VLSFO demand and steady production during the quarter.

Combined sales for marine gasoil (MGO) and marine diesel oil (MDO) fell on the quarter and on the year in April-June with mostly lacklustre demand.

LNG bunker fuel sales continued to rise, further complimented by 2,200m³ of bio-LNG sold, the highest since official records for bio-LNG sales began.

Rotterdam bunker salest
Fuel2Q241Q242Q23q-o-q%y-o-y%
VLSFO & ULSFO917,253857,5791,127,1457-18.6
HSFO825,125818,028847,1890.9-2.6
MGO & MDO369,267383,409404,872-3.7-8.8
Biofuel blends235,043262,634185,824-10.526.5
Total2,346,6882,321,6502,565,0301.1-8.5
LNG (m³)148,932131,960110,23112.935.1
bio-LNG (m³)2,20000--

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

12/09/24

Production cuts lift Asian seaborne bitumen values

Production cuts lift Asian seaborne bitumen values

Singapore, 12 September (Argus) — Tighter export supplies from production cuts and firmer import demand from southeast Asia has lifted seaborne Asian bitumen prices to their highest level since last year's final quarter. Argus assessed the weekly fob Singapore ABX 1 at $452.50/t on 6 September, the highest since early December 2023 and up by $7/t from the previous week. Argus assessed the weekly fob South Korea ABX 2 at $446/t on 6 September, the highest since the end of October 2023 and up by $3.50/t from a week earlier. Argus assessed weekly fob Thailand and fob Taiwan prices at $450/t on 6 September, up by $7.50/t from the previous week. This was their highest since mid-November and early December respectively. Export supplies have been curbed from Singapore, South Korea, Thailand and Taiwan since this year's second quarter because of strong high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) prices and weaker export margins . The daily fob Singapore ABX 1 was trading at a discount of about $75-80/t to 3.5pc 380cst HSFO fob Singapore values in March. The discount widened to $107.75/t to HSFO on 5 July, the widest this year. Enquiries were weak especially from monsoon-hit Vietnam , with higher availability of relatively cheaper Middle East-origin cargoes also depressing domestic values and reducing buying capacity. Import demand from south China continues to be weak from higher inventories and limited consumption. This is despite its existing production cuts. Only Indonesia was seeking some volumes to restock. Some Indonesian importers have been seeking October-December laycan cargoes in advance before Singapore's export supplies dry up, ahead of the year-end peak demand season. At least two importers have issued import tenders to secure October cargoes. But drier weather and the return of some national highway and maintenance projects in central and north Vietnam, along with unusually higher domestic demand in Thailand , increased enquiries for Singapore and Taiwan cargoes this quarter that supported prices. Importers from southeast Asia are also seeking other Asia-origin cargoes. This strengthened enquiries for South Korea-origin cargoes , for which southeast Asia is not a major market. Prolonged weak demand from traditional importer east China because of competitive domestic offers made South Korean cargoes available for southeast Asian buyers but demand continued to outpace supplies. Limited output At least two of three refineries in Singapore were under partial turnaround this quarter. The Singapore Refining Company's 290,000 b/d refinery is expected to return towards the end of September, while Shell's 237,000 b/d Pulau Bukom refinery is estimated to resume around mid-October. A Yeosu-based refiner in South Korea issued a tender to sell about 5-6 cargoes each month for loading across the fourth quarter from its 800,000 b/d refinery. But an Onsan-based 669,000 b/d refiner did not issue an export tender for September-laycan cargoes for unspecified reasons. Market participants are unsure if an export tender for October cargoes will be issued. Export supplies from Taiwan were also limited with refiners mostly catering to their term commitments. Thailand's 275,000 b/d Sriracha refinery and 215,000 b/d Rayong refinery limited production, while the 175,000 b/d Map Ta Phut refinery has opted to produce more fuel oil. A refinery in Malaysia had halted bitumen sales since mid-June because of limited production and is likely to return next month. This increased demand for Singapore-origin tank truck cargoes and some Singapore refiners allocated more volumes for tank truck sales, further limiting export supplies. Export supplies in Asia are expected to be tight in the short term despite seaborne prices currently trading at a premium to HSFO values, market participants close to refiners told Argus , indicating that bitumen production might not increase soon. Bitumen has been at a premium to HSFO values since the end of August. Argus assessed the daily fob Singapore ABX 1 at $460/t on 11 September, at a $48.25/t premium to 3.5pc 380cst HSFO fob Singapore that was assessed at $411.75/t. By Sathya Narayanan, Claire Ng and Chloe Choo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia’s Victoria seeks further gas storage capacity


12/09/24
12/09/24

Australia’s Victoria seeks further gas storage capacity

Singapore, 12 September (Argus) — The state Labor government of Victoria will introduce laws to allow offshore gas storage projects in its waters as it grapples with a predicted supply deficit because of declining Bass strait production. Victoria, which is Australia's largest user of household and commercial gas, will allow gas to be stored in empty gas reservoirs offshore in a bid to boost supply security, Victorian energy minister Lily D'Ambrosio said on 11 September. But the state's waters extend three nautical miles offshore, meaning the laws will not cover most of the state's depleted fields in the Otway and Gippsland basins which lie in federally administered zones. Victoria's largest storage is the 26PJ (694.3mn m³) onshore Iona facility in the state's west, owned by domestic gas storage firm Lochard Energy which plans to expand its capacity by 3PJ . But further capacity is needed to help bridge seasonal gaps, with the new laws possibly advancing privately-owned GB Energy's Golden Beach gas project, which could add 12.5PJ of storage to the grid. The Gippsland basin joint venture (GBJV) and Kipper Unit JV which feed the three Longford gas plants in the state's east have historically supplied about 60pc of southern states' gas, but operator Exxon plans to close one of the plants in July-October , cutting the 1.15 PJ/d facility's capacity to 700 TJ/d and further to 420 TJ/d later this decade. GBJV operated just 50 producing wells and six gas platforms in the 2024 southern hemisphere winter, with Exxon expecting a 70pc reduction in the number of wells from 2010 levels by next winter. The Australian Energy Market Operator's (Aemo) 2024 Victorian Gas Planning Report (VGPR) update confirmed the need for greater supply in Victoria, as declining demand would not offset the loss of supply from the GBJV. Peak southern state winter demand exceeds 2 PJ/d, but at full capacity, pipelines linking Queensland state's coal-bed methane fields to the southern states can meet only 20pc of such demand. Coal and gas-dependent Victoria this year approved its first nearshore gas project in a decade as the government softens its anti-gas stance. LNG import plans The possibility of LNG imports is firming in Victoria, with Australian refiner Viva Energy announcing public consultation has begun on its supplementary environmental effects statement (EES) for a planned floating storage and regasification unit, adjacent to its 120,000 b/d Geelong refinery. The Geelong LNG terminal would have the capacity to supply more than half of Victoria's current gas demand, Viva said on 12 September. The terminal's surplus gas could also flow into the connected southern states of South Australia, New South Wales and Tasmania. A public hearing into the proposal, which could see the import of 45 cargoes/yr, is expected to be held in December before an independent committee reports to the state's planning minister next year. Subject to a final investment decision, works could commence in 2026 to deliver first gas for winter 2028, Viva said, aligning with Aemo's expected shortfall of 50PJ in that year. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

China slowdown drags global oil demand: IEA


12/09/24
12/09/24

China slowdown drags global oil demand: IEA

London, 12 September (Argus) — A sharp slowdown in China continues to weigh on global oil demand growth, the IEA said today. In its latest Oil Market Report (OMR), the IEA sees China's demand increasing by just 180,000 b/d in 2024, compared with its forecast for 300,000 b/d last month and well below the 710,000 b/d it had projected in January. This was the main reason the IEA cut its 2024 global oil demand forecast by 70,000 b/d to 900,000 b/d. The Paris-based agency said year on year gains of just 800,000 b/d in the first half were the lowest since 2020 and based on "actual data received year-to-date." It sees demand growth remaining subdued in 2025 at 950,000 b/d, unchanged from last month's estimate. The gloomy outlook comes after China recorded a fourth consecutive oil monthly consumption decline in July, at 280,000 b/d, the IEA said. The Paris-based agency attributes the slowdown in China's oil use to a "broad-based economic slowdown and an accelerating substitution away from oil in favour of alternative fuels weigh on consumption." China is not the only country where oil demand is weaker than previously anticipated. The IEA halved its US oil demand growth estimate for this year to just 70,000 b/d, noting a sharp drop in gasoline deliveries in June. "With the steam seemingly running out of Chinese oil demand growth, and only modest increases or declines in most other countries, current trends reinforce our expectation that global demand will plateau by the end of this decade," the IEA said. The agency's latest medium term oil outlook sees world oil demand peaking at 105.6mn b/d in 2029. The IEA's latest projections add to concerns about the health of oil demand this year. Even Opec, which had until August kept its highly bullish oil demand forecast unchanged, has trimmed its expectations for this year and next although its 2024 projection of over 2mn b/d demand growth remains well above most other outlooks. Supply surplus incoming The IEA's forecast does not bode well for a plan by some members of Opec+ to start unwinding 2.2mn b/d of voluntary cuts starting in December. "With non-Opec+ supply rising faster than overall demand — barring a prolonged stand-off in Libya — Opec+ may be staring at a substantial surplus [next year], even if its extra curbs were to remain in place," the agency said. The IEA's latest balances show a supply surplus of more than 1mn b/d in 2025. On global supply, the IEA lowered its growth estimate to 660,000 b/d compared with 730,000 b/d last month. But global growth next year could be as high as 2.1mn b/d even if all Opec+ cuts are maintained, the IEA said. The agency said global observed oil stocks declined for a second consecutive month in July, by 47.1mn bl, although it noted a steep build in oil products stocks to the highest since January 2021. The IEA attributes the recent oil price declines to demand-based fears centred on China and noted the falls came despite "hefty supply losses in Libya and continued crude oil inventory draws." By Aydin Calik Global oil demand/supply balance mn b/d Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US summer gasoline demand lagged pre-Covid levels


11/09/24
11/09/24

US summer gasoline demand lagged pre-Covid levels

Houston, 11 September (Argus) — US gasoline demand ended the 2024 summer driving season well below pre Covid-19 pandemic norms and at the lower end of average post-Covid levels. US summer driving season gasoline demand — measured from the last Monday in May to the first Monday in September — averaged 9.1mn b/d this year, according to US Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly demand data released Wednesday. That is up by 49,000 b/d from the same period in 2023 and up by 291,000 b/d from 2022 but well below the 9.4mn b/d levels in the summer of 2021 when demand surged in the wake of the pandemic as the US economy reopened. In the ten years prior to the pandemic, weekly US gasoline demand averaged 9.3mn b/d in the peak summer months ( See chart) . Even as Americans drive more than ever , demand has failed to keep pace, likely due to increases in the efficiency of internal combustion engines and fully-electric vehicles (EVs) and hybrids comprising a greater portion of the automotive fleet. The weekly EIA data released Wednesday is less accurate than the monthly numbers published by the agency at a lag, but those too have shown summer demand below pre-pandemic levels . Gasoline demand was 9.1mn b/d in June, the most recent monthly data, down by 246,000 b/d from the same month last year and down by 583,000 b/d from June 2019. Future outlook lowered The agency has also downgraded its demand outlook in recent days. On Tuesday it lowered its demand, price and inventory expectations for road fuels such as gasoline in its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). The agency revised down its expectations for gasoline demand in the second and third quarters of this year by 1.1pc and 0.4pc respectively to just over 9.1mn b/d. Demand in the second quarter of next year is expected to be 30,000 b/d higher than this year, but third quarter demand is expected to be 90,000 b/d lower, helping drive an overall 20,000 b/d gasoline demand decline next year. Headed into the third quarter, US refiners have been cutting runs after weaker-than-expected summer gasoline demand raised inventories and narrowed margins. Refiners also take plants offline for maintenance in the fall amid seasonally narrower margins. Access to the export markets could be a hedge against an uncertain domestic demand outlook, and several coastal refineries up for sale in North America could give a buyer access to global markets for the road fuel. US refiners have steadily exported more gasoline since about 2007, sending 298mn bls overseas last year compared to 46mn bls in 2007. By Nathan Risser US summer driving season gasoline demand ’000 b/d Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Francine spurs more US Gulf oil shut-ins: Update 2


11/09/24
11/09/24

Francine spurs more US Gulf oil shut-ins: Update 2

Update with BSEE production data. New York, 11 September (Argus) — US energy producers curtailed nearly 39pc of offshore Gulf of Mexico oil production as Hurricane Francine bore down on the Louisiana coastline today. About 674,833 b/d of offshore oil output was off line as of 12:30pm ET, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). Around 907mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 49pc of the region's output, was also off line. Operators evacuated workers from 171 platforms. Companies including Chevron, ExxonMobil and Shell relocated offshore workers and suspending some drilling operations ahead of the hurricane. Ports along the hurricane's path announced traffic restrictions in advance, with some setting out plans to close until it passes, including the port of New Orleans. Francine was last about 60 miles south-southwest of Morgan City, Louisiana, according to a 4pm ET update from the National Hurricane Center. Maximum sustained winds were reported at 90mph. The hurricane is set to make landfall in Louisiana by this evening before moving north across Mississippi on Thursday. Rapid weakening is forecast and Francine is expected to be a post-tropical system on Thursday. With the hurricane's track locked in on Louisiana, the port of Houston reopened to all vessel traffic at 1pm ET Wednesday, a ship agent said, after closing Tuesday afternoon. The Gulf of Mexico accounts for around 15pc of total US crude output and 5pc of US natural gas production. By Stephen Cunningham and Tray Swanson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more