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US W mining essential after Trump victory: ITIA

  • Spanish Market: Metals
  • 07/11/24

The rise of protectionism and prospects of increasing tariffs between the US and China prompted discussions about the need to mine tungsten domestically in the US during the International Tungsten Industry Association (ITIA) conference in Barcelona this week.

"The development of domestic tungsten production in North America is critical," a US tungsten consumer told Argus. The hard metal is gaining attention from the Department of Defence (DoD) owing to its applications within defence industries and potential future use in nuclear fusion. The lack of domestic tungsten is considered a significant risk to US national security.

The US introduced a 25pc tariff on imported Chinese tungsten-related products effective from 1 August 2024. Furthermore, imports of tungsten-mined ore from China and Russia for DoD procurement will be banned from 2027.

The DoD is providing an increasing number of grants for companies to establish domestic manufacturing. It is doing so through programmes such as the Defence Production Act Investments (DPAI), which, since the beginning of the fiscal year 2024, issued 55 awards totalling $555mn.

"Many parties want us to move this project forward as quickly as we can," said Oliver Friesen, executive director of junior miner Guardian Metal, which is developing the largest tungsten deposit in the US, Nevada. "If we were to start production today, the tungsten concentrate from (our project) Pilot Mountain would represent the only primary domestic production in the US," Friesen said.

Guardian Metal anticipates it can source 20pc of US tungsten consumption within three years.

This funding initiative for domestic manufacturing has bipartisan support from both Republicans and Democrats, but it could accelerate with Donald Trump in the White House. The president-elect proposed tariffs of up to 20pc on all foreign goods and 60pc tariffs on all imports from China on the campaign trail. China accounts for more than 80pc of global tungsten production. One conference attendee told Argus he anticipates the tariffs to be a reality and not mere rhetoric.

Any measures could provoke a retaliatory response from China, which has already imposed export controls on dual-use materials such as antimony, gallium and germanium.

Despite this, some traders express scepticism about the need for the US to produce its tungsten, as consumers are sourcing material from "friendly jurisdictions" and political allies such as Portugal and Spain, and have plans to buy from South Korea. Additionally, the demand for virgin material may decrease, given the increasing viability of recycling, suggesting that less material may be necessary.

However, amid regional shifts, one participant emphasised, "If the US becomes isolated, the material needs to be produced domestically."


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21/05/25

Mexican GDP outlook dims on tariffs: IMEF

Mexican GDP outlook dims on tariffs: IMEF

Mexico City, 21 May (Argus) — Mexico's association of finance executives IMEF lowered its 2025 growth forecast for a fourth consecutive month, citing the growing impact of US tariffs on the economy. GDP is now expected to grow just 0.1pc in 2025, according to IMEF's May survey, down from 0.2pc estimates in April, 0.6pc in March and 1pc in February. The number of respondents forecasting a contraction in GDP rose to 16, or 37pc of the sample, from nine in April. While the US has granted some exemptions and discounts for Mexican goods meeting regional content rules, IMEF said the effective tariff rate on Mexican exports remains higher than that for Canada, Brazil, India, Vietnam and others. "We're already seeing the [tariffs'] impacts," said IMEF economic studies director Victor Herrera, adding that May trade data will likely show a sharp drop in Mexican exports to the US. Trade is also being hit by a screwworm outbreak in cattle that led to port closures last week and curtailed beef exports, which account for $1.3bn in annual exports. More automakers could relocate or scale back production in Mexico, Herrera said, after Stellantis confirmed plans to shift some operations to the US and recent reports Nissan may close one or both of its Mexican plants. In response, Mexico this week sent deputy economy minister Luis Rosendo Gutierrez to Tokyo to meet with Mazda, Nissan, Toyota and Honda executives. IMEF cut its 2025 job creation forecast to 200,000 in May from 220,000 in April. Mexico's social security administration IMSS reported only 43,500 new jobs over the past 12 months as of 5 May. Beyond trade, IMEF flagged uncertainty from recent constitutional reforms and the potential for a US tax on remittances as additional risks to growth. The group held its 2025 inflation forecast steady at 3.8pc, despite Mexico's consumer price index rising to 3.93pc in April from 3.80pc in March . IMEF noted concerns about a potential rebound in inflation later this year after the central bank cut its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 9pc on 8 May — the third such cut in 2025. The group now sees the end-2025 rate at 7.75pc, down from 8pc previously. IMEF expects the peso to end the year at Ps20.80/$1, slightly lower than the Ps20.90/$1 forecast in April. The peso recently strengthened to Ps19.34/$1, though Herrera said this reflected dollar weakness more than peso strength. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

IEA warns of lithium and copper deficits by 2035


21/05/25
21/05/25

IEA warns of lithium and copper deficits by 2035

London, 21 May (Argus) — The Paris-based IEA has warned that global deficits of copper and lithium by 2035 could be exacerbated in some regions owing to concentration of supply and refining, leading to a potential "Opec moment" for critical minerals. In its new Global Critical Minerals Outlook report, the IEA said lithium could see a 40pc deficit by 2035, even if all current projects proceed, while copper is expected to reach a 30pc deficit by the same year. "Diversification is the watchword for energy security, but the critical minerals world has moved in the opposite direction in recent years, particularly in refining and processing," the report's executive summary said. "The average market share of the top three refining nations of key energy minerals rose from around 82pc in 2020 to 86pc in 2024 as some 90pc of supply growth came from the top single supplier alone: Indonesia for nickel and China for cobalt, graphite and rare earths." In the lithium market, demand tripled from 2020 to 2024, and will triple again by 2035. By then, the electric vehicle (EV) sector will make up 90pc of additional demand while 95pc of future demand growth comes from battery applications: EVs, grid-scale energy storage and battery backup systems, reaching 3.7mn t LCE by 2035. Three countries — Australia, China and Chile — will control up to 69pc of lithium mining by 2030, while China is expected to control 62pc of refining by the same year. "China extracts only 22pc of lithium — but controls 70pc of global refining and 95pc of hard-rock lithium processing," the report said. The copper market is also expected to grow rapidly, supporting the energy transition, but underinvestment and dwindling resource quality will limit supply. Copper demand rises by 30pc by 2040 under the IEA's base-case (STEPS) scenario, up from 27mn t in 2024 to 34mn t by 2040. The IEA predicts a sharp deficit in supply by 2035, up to a 30pc deficit in primary supply. China is expected to dominate refining of copper, responsible for 47pc in 2030. The report said investment of up to $150bn-180bn is needed to keep pace with the global energy transition. "Despite strong copper demand from electrification, the current mine project pipeline points to a potential 30pc supply shortfall by 2035 due to declining ore grades, rising capital costs, limited resource discoveries and long lead times," the report said. By Thomas Kavanagh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Community Union lambasts Liberty Steel ownership


20/05/25
20/05/25

Community Union lambasts Liberty Steel ownership

London, 20 May (Argus) — Trade union Community and UK politicians have lambasted the "irresponsible" ownership of UK firm Liberty Steel, with the company's Speciality Steels unit facing a winding up petition tomorrow. "New, responsible ownership is needed to give the business the brighter future it needs and deserves, and that can only be achieved with a decisive change at the top. Enough is enough — Sanjeev Gupta must invest in the business or step aside," Community Union general secretary Roy Rickhuss said. "Our Stocksbridge Speciality Steels site needs new, competent ownership to maximise its potential, so that the business has a real chance for success," Labour Member of Parliament for Penistone and Stocksbridge Marie Tidball said. The business, which has operated at a fraction of its nameplate capacity in recent years, is subject to a winding up petition submitted by major creditor Harsco and supported by a number of other creditors. The petition hearing had been delayed, but the company recently withdrew its own restructuring plan as it was clear it had insufficient creditor support to be approved . Liberty had been in talks with the government, with some suggesting it was seeking investment to keep the business afloat, or a sale. "We continue to closely monitor developments around Liberty Steel, including any public hearings, which are of course a matter for the company", a spokesperson for the Department for Business and Trade said. "It is ultimately for Liberty to manage commercial decisions on the future of its companies, and we hope it succeeds with its plans to continue on a sustainable basis." Company sources suggested the winding up petition will go ahead tomorrow, with the official receiver likely to be appointed shortly after. But Liberty is seeking an adjournment to buy time, the sources said. The government's intervention in British Steel, whereby it passed a law enabling it to direct the company, has prompted some talk that it could do the same with Liberty's Speciality business. Speciality produces high-grades supplied into strategic sectors, such as aerospace, and has the benefit of already being electric arc furnace-based. Its problems in recent years have been driven more by cash constraints rather than market conditions, given the higher-value of some of its product lines. But rising costs and tough trading conditions have clearly been a factor as well. Some market participants said the government could look to connect some of the Speciality plants and British Steel to attract private investment. But others suggested the Speciality business may be more attractive to private investors as a stand-alone unit, and that there will be interest should it fall into administration. Liberty said the UK sector has "for many years faced major challenges due to high energy costs and an over reliance on cheap imports". It also said it continues to hold discussions with creditors on restructuring the unit's debt, and is "grateful for the patience and fortitude" of colleagues and stakeholders. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India's Shyam Metalics to build West Bengal wagon plant


20/05/25
20/05/25

India's Shyam Metalics to build West Bengal wagon plant

Mumbai, 20 May (Argus) — Indian metals producer Shyam Metalics will build a state-of-the-art wagon manufacturing facility in Kharagpur, West Bengal, with an annual production capacity of 4,800 wagons, the firm announced on 19 May. The company plans to build the facility under its step-down subsidiary, Ramsarup Industries, and expects to begin operations by March 2026. The plant will be developed in two phases. The first phase will have a production capacity of 2,400 wagons/yr, or approximately 8 wagons/d, while the second phase will double output to 4,800 wagons/yr. The firm aims to produce a variety of wagons at the plant, including flat, open, box, covered, tank and specialised wagons. The plant will adopt the "Uni-Flow" manufacturing layout according to international standards to ensure efficient production, said company director Sheetij Agarwal. The move is a key part of Shyam Metalics' defined five-year capital expenditure plan and aligns closely with the government's "Make in India" and "Atmanirbhar Bharat" initiatives, highlighting Shyam Metalics' dedication to fostering self-reliance in critical infrastructure, the firm said. The facility reflects the company's commitment to innovation, sustainability, and nation-building, it added. By Deepika Singh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

GFG puts Australian Mn plant on care and maintenance


20/05/25
20/05/25

GFG puts Australian Mn plant on care and maintenance

Sydney, 20 May (Argus) — UK-owned steelmaker GFG Alliances has placed its Liberty Bell Bay manganese alloy smelter in Tasmania into care and maintenance over manganese ore supply issues, Tasmanian minister for business, industry and resources Eric Abetz said on 19 May. GFG is committed to the long term success of the Liberty Bell smelter and expects the pause to be temporary, a company spokesperson told Argus on 20 May. The Tasmanian state government is working with GFG and the Australian federal government to address challenges at the plant. It has also asked prime minister Anthony Albanese to support Liberty Bell, state premier Jeremy Rockcliff said on 20 May. Liberty Bell Bay is Australia's only ferroalloy plant and is permitted to produce a combined total of 290,000 t/yr of ferromanganese and silicomanganese. GFG sources Liberty Bell Bay's manganese ore from Australian metal producer South32's Australian Gemco mine and South African sites, which have faced recent production disruptions because of bad weather and maintenance shutdowns. Cyclone Megan flooded and damaged parts of Gemco in March 2024, taking it off line for four months. South32 closed the mine again in January-March 2025 to complete mine dewatering work. South32 also cut manganese production at its South African operations by 10pc on the year in January-March because of scheduled maintenance work and an unplanned shutdown at its Wessels mine. Gemco's manganese production is forecast to reach approximately 5mn t in the 2025-26 financial year ending 30 June, the Northern Territory state government said in a budget announcement. South32 has not released its Gemco production guidance for 2025-26. Liberty Bell Bay's production pause comes after the South Australian state government placed GFG's 1.2mn t/yr Whyalla steelworks into administration in February. The state government later announced plans to transfer control of the Whyalla port from GFG to the steelwork's administrators. Liberty Bell Bay is one of only six facilities in Tasmania covered under Australia's federal safeguard mechanism. It received 8,762 safeguard mechanism credits (SMCs) for the July 2023-June 2024 compliance year as its covered scope 1 emissions of 196,125t of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) were below its baseline of 204,887t of CO2e. Two facilities operated by GFG — the Whyalla steelworks and the Middleback Range iron ore mine — ended the compliance year in an excess emissions situation because they were in administration, according to the Clean Energy Regulator (CER). By Avinash Govind and Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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