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Viewpoint: Japan eyes methanol as marine bridging fuel

  • Spanish Market: E-fuels, Hydrogen, Petrochemicals
  • 18/12/24

Japanese demand for methanol as an alternative marine fuel is expected to increase, especially after 2027, but it is likely it will mainly be used as a transition fuel before the commercial launch of ammonia- and hydrogen-fuelled vessels.

The Japanese shipping industry is expected to launch more methanol-fuelled vessels from 2027 (see table), to help reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the global maritime sector.

Global regulatory body the International Maritime Organization (IMO) in 2023 pledged to achieve net zero emissions in international waters by or around 2050.

To help achieve the IMO's target, a total of 26 methanol-powered vessels are expected to be commissioned worldwide by the end of this year, followed by 54 ships in 2025 and 96 carriers in 2026, according to a report released in November by Japanese classification society ClassNK. This would increase global methanol demand to 4.5mn t/yr by 2026, said the report. As of June, there are 33 methanol-fuelled vessels currently in use.

Methanol-fuelled vessels can refuel at around 130 major ports all over the world, except in Japan, according to Japanese shipowner Mitsui OSK Lines (Mol). The city of Yokohama in the eastern prefecture of Kanagawa, in co-operation with Mitsubishi Gas Chemical (MGC) and Maersk, launched a study on methanol and green methanol bunkering in the port of Yokohama in December 2023. Since then, the group, in collaboration with new partners — Japanese refiner Idemitsu, MGC's shipping subsidiary Kokuka Sangyo, domestic shipping firm Uyeno Transtech and Yokohama Kawasaki international port — has conducted a ship-to-ship bunkering simulation at the port of Yokohama in September.

Expectations of the increase in methanol use, especially cleaner e-methanol, have led Japanese firms to become more involved in upstream projects to secure the fuel. Japanese firms have invested in more than 10 e-methanol production projects both in and outside of Japan (see table), with the number of projects likely to increase, according to the ministry of economy, trade and industry.

Japanese firms are developing new carriers, but at the same time are also trying to modify existing vessels — which currently use fuel oil, LNG, LPG and methanol — to be able to burn renewable fuels such as biofuels, e-methane and e-methanol. It would be easy to increase the number of methanol-fuelled ships, given their relatively low initial or modification costs compared with LNG-fed vessels, according to Mol. Methanol is also a stable liquid at room temperature and atmosphere pressure, making it easy to transport and store compared to other alternative fuels, Mol added.

Fellow shipping company Nippon Yusen Kaisha (NYK line) is also mulling the development of smaller methanol-fuelled handymax ships that are unable to be equipped with large ammonia fuel tanks, to aid with decarbonisation.

Methanol a temporary solution

But Japanese firms see methanol mostly as a "bridging fuel" rather than a zero-emission fuel, as methanol can reduce GHG emissions only by 15pc compared to traditional bunker fuel, although it can curb sulphur oxide and nitrogen oxide emissions by up to 99pc and 80pc, respectively. It would be vital to begin introducing much cleaner marine fuels, such as ammonia and hydrogen, to meet the maritime sector's net-zero goal.

Tokyo is trying to promote the development of ammonia and hydrogen-fuelled ships by providing financial support, while the utilisation of such clean vessels could materialise from around 2030, the ministry of land, infrastructure, transport and tourism (Mlit) said.

Japan's state-owned research institute Nedo plans to provide ¥35bn ($229mn) to support the development of engines, fuel tanks, fuel supply systems and other core technologies for zero-emission ships that use hydrogen and ammonia, as well as LNG and e-methane, under its ¥2.76 trillion green innovation fund. But the grants are much larger than those for the development of methanol-fuelled ships, which are currently available only from Mlit and the environment ministry, with the amount of ¥100mn per vessel over two to three years. The scheme has been open for application every year since 2023. But the ministries' scheme also targets LNG-fuelled ships, with a breakdown of allotment for methanol-powered vessels unclear.

Japanese firms' methanol projects
Methanol-fuelled ships
Company# of vesselTypeTarget commercialisationAnnouncement
Mitsubishi Gas Chemical, Mitsui OSK Line1Ocean-going methanol carrierJul-05May-23
Toyofuji Shipping, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries2Ro-Ro vessel2027-28 fiscal yearJun-24
Mitsui OSK Line1Coastal methanol carrierDec-24Jul-24
NS United Kaiun, Nihon Shipyard, Jaman Marine United, Imabari ShipbuildingMultipleBulk carrierAfter 2027-28 fiscal yearMay-24
Orix, Tsuneishi Shipbuilding2Bulk carrierJul-24
Production
CompanyProductCountryTarget commercialisationTarget capacity (t/yr)
MitsuiE-methanolUSJan-241630000
Mitsubishi Gas ChemicalBio-methanolJapanJun-24Small amount
Mitsubishi Gas Chemical, KobelcoE-methanolJapanNANA
Cosmo, Toyo EngineeringE-methanolJapanNANA
Sumitomo ChemicalE-methanolJapan2030sNA
Mitsui, Asahi KaseiBio-methanolUSJun-23NA
Toyo EngineeringE-methanolIndia2030NA
Investment
CompanyProductCountryTarget commercialisationTarget capacity (t/yr)
MitsuiE-methanolDenmarkNA42,000
IdemitsuE-methanolBrazil, US, Chile, Uruguay, Australia2,0304,000,000
JOGMECE-methanolBrazil, US, Chile, Uruguay, Australia2,0304,000,000
Mitsu OSK LineE-methanolBrazil, US, Chile, Uruguay, Australia2,0304,000,000

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30/04/25

Brazil Aneel rejects grid access for green H2 projects

Brazil Aneel rejects grid access for green H2 projects

Paris, 30 April (Argus) — Brazil's electricity regulation agency Aneel has rejected requests for electricity grid connections filed by two renewable hydrogen projects in the northeast of the country — but the decision can be reverted, according to one of the companies. Spanish project developer Solatio, which is planning a renewable ammonia project in the state of Piaui, had its request for a grid connection rejected by Aneel in a resolution published last week. In March, Solatio received approval from Brazil's industry minister to build a 3GW electrolyser facility at the Parnaiba Export Processing Zone, with operations expected to start in early 2029. The firm had previously said it aims to achieve over 11GW of electrolyser capacity in Piaui in the long run. Aneel's decision to reject access to the grid was based on recommendations made by Brazil's grid operator ONS, which found the grid connection request to not be feasible as it "could result in overload and risks of voltage collapse". In the technical note, Aneel said that this decision "does not constitute a sanction or opposition to the investment itself". Instead it is a reflection of the "current technical limitations" of the power system. The regulator expects that "in the near future, structural works capable of safely serving large loads in the northeast will be proposed and granted". Brazil's energy ministry has already requested energy planning body EPE an expansion of 4GW of capacity in the northeast grid to accommodate demand from renewable hydrogen projects in the coming years. Solatio has already submitted a "new technical solution" that was designed with support of the Piaui government and state investment promotion agency Invest Piaui and that it could be approved soon, the developer told Argus . Earlier this month, renewables firm Casa dos Ventos also had a grid connection request rejected for its 900,000 t/yr renewable ammonia project planned at the Pecem port complex, in Brazil's Ceara state. Output from the Iracema project could supply TotalEnergies , which is a shareholder in Casa dos Ventos. Casa dos Ventos' request included a grid link to power a data centre project, which was refused by Aneel too. Aneel has asked ONS to provide "the set of technical information" for its recommendation and increase transparency on its assessments. Casa dos Ventos was not immediately available to comment. Hydrogen industry participants in Brazil have grown increasingly concerned about power grid bottlenecks. Even though the government has approved plans to expand grid capacity across the country, the sector worries that this could come too late for projects that hope to be early beneficiaries of Brazil's tax credit scheme unless the procedures are sped up. By Pamela Machado Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Repsol sees Spanish refineries back to normal in a week


30/04/25
30/04/25

Repsol sees Spanish refineries back to normal in a week

Madrid, 30 April (Argus) — Repsol said it expects its five Spanish refineries to return to normal operations within a week following Monday's nationwide power outage. The company confirmed that power was restored to all its refineries on Monday evening, allowing the restart process to begin. It will take three days to restart the crude distillation units and 5-7 days to restart the secondary conversion units, with hydrocrackers taking the longest, according to chief executive Josu Jon Imaz. A momentary and as-yet unexplained drop in power supply on the Spanish electricity grid caused power cuts across most of Spain and Portugal, disrupting petrochemical plants and airports, as well as refineries. Imaz noted that Repsol was fortunate that its refineries avoided damage from petroleum coke formation and other solidification processes during the shutdown. Repsol's 220,000 b/d Petronor refinery in Bilbao was the first to restart, thanks to electricity imports from France, he said. State-controlled petroleum reserves corporation Cores has temporarily reduced Spain's obligation to hold 92 days of oil product consumption as strategic reserves by four days, mitigating potential supply issues from the outage. Imaz declined to speculate on the cause of the power outage. By Jonathan Gleave Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

New Trinidad PM to seek access to Venezuelan gas


29/04/25
29/04/25

New Trinidad PM to seek access to Venezuelan gas

Kingston, 29 April (Argus) — Major LNG exporter Trinidad and Tobago's new government wants to open discussions with the administration of US president Donald Trump on access to natural gas fields on the border with Venezuela. United National Congress (UNC) party leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar will be the new prime minister of the Caribbean state of 1.5mn people after the party won Monday's general election, ending 10 years of administration by the People's National Congress (PNC) party of Stuart Young. The UNC won 26 seats in the 41-member assembly. "We will work with the Trump administration to see how the discussions with the Venezuelan government on the cross-border gas fields can be reopened," the UNC's energy spokesman David Lee said. Lee is expected to be appointed the energy minister. "We do not have any closed doors on this matter," Lee said. "We will directly engage the US so it will be confident in working with us on resolving our cross-border issues." Trinidad and Tobago's gas-short economy was set back earlier this month by the Trump government's revocation of licenses granted by the administration of former US president Joe Biden to Trinidad. The waivers exempted certain work to develop two gas fields that straddle the maritime border with Venezuela from US sanctions. Access to the Dragon and Manakin-Cocuina gas fields is "vital" to reversing Trinidad's fall in gas production, Young said. Trinidad has been struggling to recover natural gas flow since November 2017, following a long slide from a peak of 4.3 Bcf/d in 2010. Gas output in 2024 was 2.53 Bcf/d, and the fall in output suppressed LNG, petrochemical and fertilizer production. Trinidad's 2024 LNG production of 16.7mn m³ was down by 4.6pc on 2023, according to the latest energy ministry data. The 11.8mn t/yr Atlantic liquefaction plant in southwestern Trinidad, which is majority owned by Shell and BP, is Trinidad's sole LNG producer. Crude production has also declined, moving from a peak of 144,400 b/d in 2005 to 50,854 b/d in 2024, according to the energy ministry. The decline in crude feedstock contributed to the 2018 shutdown of the state-owned 160,000 b/d Guaracara refinery. Young's administration failed at several attempts to engage foreign investors to reopen the plant. The government last month selected Nigerian privately owned oil and gas company Oando to lease and operate the refinery. But the incoming UNC administration will terminate negotiations with Oando to reopen the refinery and will seek new investors for the plant, the party said. By Canute James Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Orbia focused on cost in face of weak PVC market


25/04/25
25/04/25

Orbia focused on cost in face of weak PVC market

Houston, 25 April (Argus) — Mexico-based chemicals producers Orbia is focusing on reducing future costs as the broader polyvinyl chloride (PVC) industry faces weakening market dynamics. Orbia said Friday it would focus on maintaining strict discipline on fixed costs, working capital, and capital investments to weather the turbulent global economic landscape. The company is targeting $250mn in savings by 2027, with cumulative savings of $160mn by the end of 2025. The company also expects $75mn of divestments by the end of the year in its building and infrastructure segment. Plants and related infrastructure in Europe were the primary targets of the optimization, according to company officials on the first-quarter earnings call. Orbia chief executive Sameer Bharadwaj said the company could revise capital expenditures lower from its initial $400mn target provided earlier this year should market conditions further deteriorate. Short-term operating costs currently face lower levels with falling ethane prices, a critical feedstock to manufacture ethylene for PVC production. The focus on cost management was spurred by sluggishness in the global PVC market. Chinese and US PVC producers drove export prices lower as a means of moving excess capacity, which Orbia expects to continue. "PVC pricing is as low as it gets" Bharadwaj said. He added producer margins would be squeezed further if product prices continue to decrease. Orbia posted a $41mn profit during the first quarter, down from the $106mn profit a year earlier. Orbia's polymer solutions segment, which includes PVC production, reported $6mn loss during the three-month period because of lower global prices for vinyls and a force majeure at its Coatzacoalcos, Veracruz, plant that was lifted in mid-April. Orbia made a $24mn profit during the same period a year ago. The building and infrastructure segment, inclusive of PVC products, posted a $3mn profit for the quarter compared to a $33mn profit a year earlier. By Aaron May Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

LyondellBasell targets 85pc cracker run rate in 2Q


25/04/25
25/04/25

LyondellBasell targets 85pc cracker run rate in 2Q

Houston, 25 April (Argus) — LyondellBasell expects utilization of its olefins and polyolefins plants in the US to increase by 5 percentage points in the second quarter to 85pc of capacity as crackers return from maintenance and an unplanned outage, the company said today. The company expected its first-quarter utilization rate of 80pc because of a planned turnaround in Channelview, Texas, but the rate was still 10 points lower than the first quarter last year. Maintenance teams in Channelview are concluding a 60-day turnaround at the company's largest US olefins producing facility that began in February. That turnaround involved work on one of its two 930,000 metric tonne (t)/yr crackers, its 473,000t/yr Flex-1 metathesis unit, and its C4 processing unit. Another key factor increasing second-quarter operating rates is the restart of the LyondellBasell's 1.54mn t/yr joint venture cracker with Sasol in Lake Charles, Louisiana. This is the company's largest US cracker, which had an unplanned shutdown in the first quarter. Also in the first quarter, a winter storm in January took other olefins-producing assets offline. The second quarter historically is absent of weather events like freezes and hurricanes that can curtail cracker operations. This second-quarter's 5 percentage point increase in operating rates comes against the backdrop of major uncertainty surrounding both US ethane and polyethylene (PE) exports to China. Beijing announced 34pc retaliatory tariffs on US goods on 4 April, then raised these to 125pc on 11 April in response to tariffs imposed by the US on Chinese manufactured goods. The sky-high rates apply to key petrochemical feedstocks LPG and ethane, as well as imports of US polyethylene. If US ethane is not exempted from China's tariff, LyondellBasell said its ethane-based production in the US would likely benefit from lower ethane feedstock costs. US ethane and certain grades of PE may be on a list of 130 products that China plans to exempt from its across-the-board tariffs on US goods, LyondellBasell said, citing "rumors" that it has also heard from its Asian customers. The uncertainty around trade caused LyondellBasell to reduce its planned capital expenditure for this year to $1.9bn, down from $2.2bn. But the company is neither cancelling nor delaying plans for its new $800mn Flex-2 metathesis unit in Channelview, Texas, which was announced at the beginning of March. Construction for that unit will begin in late 2025, and operations are scheduled to begin in late 2028. It will have a capacity of 400,000 t/yr of propylene and is expected to add $150mn/yr to earnings. In LyondellBasell's view, ethylene-to-propylene conversion technology has greater reliability and lower capital and carbon intensity than the major competing technology, propane dehydrogenation (PDH). Overall, the company views reducing its net long position in ethylene and its net short position in propylene as essential. The company during the first quarter closed its Houston refinery, which produced 164,000 t/yr of propylene. By Michael Camarda Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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