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Australia's Labor win may aid low-carbon Fe, Al sectors

  • Spanish Market: Coal, Hydrogen, Metals
  • 05/05/25

The Australian Labor party's victory in the country's 3 May parliamentary election could support low-carbon iron and aluminium developers, providing policy clarity and public capital to the sectors.

Labor's victory provides more certainty around Australia's A$14bn ($9.06bn) green hydrogen subsidy scheme, which will help steel producers transition towards hydrogen-powered steel furnaces. The opposition Coalition during the election pledged to scrap the programme, which will allow producers to claim A$2/t of green hydrogen produced from 2027.

Australian steelmaker NeoSmelt and South Korean steelmaker Posco are developing electric iron smelters in Western Australia (WA) that produce hot-briquetted iron, which is used in the green steel process. Both projects will initially rely on natural gas but may transition to hydrogen-based processing as hydrogen production rises.

Australia's hydrogen tax credits may prove crucial given ongoing hydrogen production challenges. South Australia's state government closed its Office of Hydrogen Power SA on 2 May, following a funding cut earlier this year.

Labor can now also move forward with plans for A$2bn in low-emissions aluminium production credits, beginning in 2028-29.

Smelters will be able to claim credits per tonne of low-carbon aluminium produced, based on their Scope 2 emission reductions. The party's proposal does not include any blanket credit for producers.

Labor's aluminium production credits are aimed at supporting the Australian government's goal of doubling the country's share of renewable power from about 40pc to 82pc by 2030.

Australian producers export about 1.5mn t/yr of aluminium, according to industry body Australian Aluminium Council, from four smelters located around the country.

Green iron funding

Labor's election win also secures its A$1bn lower-emission iron support pledge, first announced in late February.

Half of the fund will go towards restarting and transitioning the 1.2mn t/yr Whyalla steelworks in South Australia into a green steel plant. The other half will support new and existing green iron and steel projects to overcome initial funding barriers.

Labor has not allocated any funding through the programme yet.


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12/06/25

Philippines axes planned ban on nickel ore exports

Philippines axes planned ban on nickel ore exports

Beijing, 12 June (Argus) — The Philippines has removed a provision in its mineral bill that had banned the export of unprocessed nickel ore. The country's Senate on 3 February had passed a bill to ban unprocessed nickel ore exports by 2030 to promote domestic processing -- mirroring a similar policy in Indonesia. But this was not welcomed by the local industry. The decision to remove the ban was supported by the Philippine Nickel Industry Association (PNIA). "This is a prudent and forward-looking step that protects jobs, upholds investor confidence, and reflects a more realistic understanding of the challenges surrounding domestic mineral processing," PNIA said in a statement. The Philippines exported 44.97mn wet metric tonnes of nickel ore in 2024, up by 10.1pc year on year. Of this, 35.12mn wmt was exported to China, down by 12pc on the year. Indonesia received 9.55mn wmt, up from 215,000wmt it received in 2023. Rising demand and a lower approved mining quota, or RKAB, in Indonesia boosted the country's ore imports from the Philippines. While in China, weak demand resulted in the decline of imports. The Philippines' nickel intermediates output fell by 7.8pc on the year to 414,000t of nickel metal equivalent in 2024. Most of this production came from the Coral Bay and Taganito high-pressure acid leach plants owned by Nickel Asia, according to data from the International Nickel Study Group. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US copper group seeks tariffs, export ban


11/06/25
11/06/25

US copper group seeks tariffs, export ban

Houston, 11 June (Argus) — A US copper trade group is asking the government to impose tariffs on certain imported products while sparing some feedstocks as part of an ongoing trade investigation. In a 6 June filing to US trade regulator the US Bureau of Industry and Security, the Copper Development Association recommended that the US impose tariffs on all semi-fabricated copper and copper alloy products, such as plates, sheets, strip, and wire, and requested a tariff exemption for raw material feedstocks, including copper cathodes and scrap copper. The group seeks the exemptions because it believes tariffs on refined copper cathodes would hurt the domestic semi-fabrication industry and potentially worsen national security risks. The group also called for a ban on all US copper scrap exports to reduce access to US supplies by China and other countries. The US imported 1.7mn metric tonnes (t) of copper and its derivatives in 2024 and exported 956,700t of copper scrap, according to customs data. Copper cathode made up the majority of copper imports last year at 903,100t, which predominantly came from the US' free trade partners Chile, Canada, Peru and Mexico. Copper is currently not considered a critical mineral according to the US Geological Survey (USGS), but in the filing, the association requested copper be added to the newest version of the USGS critical minerals list, which is expected to be published later this year. Critical minerals are defined as those used to manufacture products considered essential to American economic and national security. By Angelina Contreras Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US inflation up to 2.4pc in May, energy down


11/06/25
11/06/25

US inflation up to 2.4pc in May, energy down

Houston, 11 June (Argus) — US inflation ticked up to an annualized 2.4pc in May as core inflation remained unchanged, a sign US president Donald Trump's shifting tariff policies have yet to meaningfully impact prices. The consumer price index rose from an annual 2.3pc in April, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Analysts surveyed by Trading Economics had forecast a gain of 2.5pc. Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 2.8pc over the 12-month period, unchanged from the prior month. The energy index contracted by 3.5pc for the 12 months compared with a 3.7pc contraction through April. The CME's FedWatch tool shows 99.9pc probability the Federal Reserve will hold its target rate unchanged at 4.25-4.5pc at its meeting next week, compared with 97.3pc Tuesday, and as much as a 67pc chance of a likely cut in September. The Fed has said it will monitor the evolving impacts of Trump's tariff, fiscal and other policies on prices and the broader economy before resuming its course of rate cuts, on pause since December. The food index rose by 2.9pc over the past year, quickening from 2.8pc in the 12 months through April. Services less energy services, viewed as a core services measure, rose by 3.6pc in the 12 months through May, unchanged from April. Gasoline fell by 12pc over the 12-month period through May while piped gas services rose by 15.3pc. Shelter rose by an annual 3.9pc. New vehicles rose by an annual 0.4pc. On a monthly basis, CPI rose by 0.1pc in May following a 0.2pc gain in April and a 0.1pc contraction in March. Shelter rose by 0.3pc for the month, leading the overall monthly gain. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

N EU HRC market anticipates price rise/import surge


11/06/25
11/06/25

N EU HRC market anticipates price rise/import surge

London, 11 June (Argus) — North European hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices are expected to increase later this year, as buyers move early to avoid anticipated supply-side constraints. Europe's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) will increase the cost of imports from January 2026. There are unconfirmed reports that the commission will set the CBAM benchmark for blast furnace-based imports at 1.4t. If true, this would add nearly €53/t to the cost of importing HRC with a carbon intensity of 2.1t, assuming a carbon cost of €72.07/t. The commission will also provide more clarity around its proposed melt-and-pour clause in the third quarter. Should this be imposed in the first half of 2026, it will increase the cost of importing cold-rolled coil (CRC) and hot-dip galvanised. Legal sources suggest that the commission could mandate payment of anti-dumping duties for those that continue to use Chinese substrate. For example, if a re-roller buys Chinese HRC, processes it into CRC and sells it in the EU, it may be liable for the dumping duties currently in place on Chinese HRC, the lowest of which is around 18.1pc. This would not necessarily reduce EU imports of downstream products, and is hard to enforce, but could raise the floor price as re-rollers source more domestically. There will also be changes made to the current steel safeguard, which lapses in June 2026. European steel association Eurofer wants the safeguard to be replaced as early as January 2026 to reduce import penetration, and given the risk of supposed trade diversion from the US where tariffs have now been increased to 50pc for most exporters. Eurofer has been outspoken in its demand for a 50pc cut in imports, to realign market share with historical norms. It is not clear if the commission will acquiesce to this request, but officials have already stated that the new measure will be stricter than the current mechanism. However, some suggest a pre-emptive import surge — as traders race to clear customs before costs rise — could increase supply rapidly in a subdued demand environment. A number of traders have openly admitted to trying to import substantial quantities for fourth-quarter clearance to beat the CBAM and any other potential tariffs. Whatever regulatory obstacles may appear, demand is still the major issue for the steel supply chain. There is potential demand upside from German stimulus efforts, and should wider geopolitical uncertainty ease this year. EU industrial production has started to grow of late, after years of decline, and German manufacturing inventories and new orders are trending the right way too — stocks are falling from high levels, and new orders are contracting less than before. But slower economic growth and rising trade uncertainty also pose downside demand risks — for example, automotive companies and their supply chains are currently grappling with production issues because of reduced Chinese rare earth exports . Should trade tension increase, there is a risk of further supply-side constraints impacting steel-using sectors. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Vietnam's coal imports hit 23-month high in May


11/06/25
11/06/25

Vietnam's coal imports hit 23-month high in May

Singapore, 11 June (Argus) — Vietnam's coal imports in May rose on the year to the highest level in 23 months, supported by restocking by utilities to cater for an increase in power demand in northern parts of the country. Seaborne receipts reached 7.2mn t in May, up from about 6.5mn t a year earlier and 7.16mn t in April , according to customs data. This marks the highest level since the 7.21mn t of coal imported in June 2023. Imports reached 31.64mn t in January-May, up from 27.06mn t a year earlier, Vietnamese customs data show. The data do not differentiate between coking and thermal coal. Receipts rose in May on restocking by utilities and steady industrial coal consumption in line with the economic activity in the country. The country's industrial output grew by 9.4pc in May from a year earlier, according to Vietnam's General Statistics Office (GSO), supporting its economic growth outlook. The utility restocking comes as hot weather peaks in June in northern Vietnam, which could buoy power demand and prompt utilities to boost coal-fired generation. This could support imports as power plants could continue to restock imported cargoes given that seaborne prices are at multi-year lows. Argus assessed the GAR 4,200 kcal/kg coal market for geared Supramaxes at $42.41/t fob Kalimantan on 6 June, the lowest since 26 March, 2021, when it was marked at $39.37/t. The country's overall generation last month stood at 28.62TWh , edging higher from 28.09TWh a year earlier, and 26.85TWh in April, data from state-owned utility EVN show. Coal-fired power accounted for the bulk of the generation last month at 15.8TWh, although this was down from 17.08TWh a year earlier and 16.09TWh in April. Hydropower output rose to 7.65TWh, up by 64pc from a year earlier, and also rising from an estimated 4.7TWh in April. EVN has asked all its units and plants to ensure stable supply of electricity, it said, and it will also ask local authorities to implement measures to save electricity to help manage loads on the grid. Indonesian coal accounted for the bulk of Vietnam's imports at 2.9mn t in in May, little changed from a year earlier and from April, the customs data show. Imports from Australia rose to 2.38mn t in May, up from 1.18mn t a year earlier, and from 2.23mn t in April. By Saurabh Chaturvedi Vietnam coal imports mn t Vietnam coal import trend mn t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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