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Latest Market News

Court asks US for update on biofuel quota timing

  • Spanish Market: Agriculture, Biofuels, Emissions, Oil products
  • 08/12/25

A US court told President Donald Trump's administration today to provide an update within a week on its plans for finalizing long-delayed biofuel blend mandates.

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) must file an update "briefly detailing the agency's progress toward finalizing and promulgating the 2026 renewable fuel standards" within seven days, a three-judge panel on the US District of Columbia Circuit Court of Appeals ordered Monday.

The court added that the government should provide "an estimated time frame for issuing those standards" if possible.

Under the Renewable Fuel Standard, EPA requires oil refiners and importers to annually blend different types of biofuels or buy credits from those that do. The Trump administration — after proposing major changes to how the program treats biofuel imports and exempts some small refiners — is now months behind schedule on finalizing new quotas. Agency decisions around the program are highly influential for biofuel production margins, crop demand and ultimately retail fuel prices.

The Trump administration told a separate DC court in September that it expected to finalize new biofuel quotas "this winter 2025-2026", but that was before a partial government shutdown sidelined many federal workers. EPA was supposed to provide another update in November, but that court gave the government more time to respond in civil cases because of the funding lapse.

The DC Circuit case involves a Delek refinery and an HF Sinclair refinery that argue they were unfairly deemed ineligible for exemptions from 2024 blend mandates because they processed too much crude the year before. They pushed for a quicker case, noting that the credits EPA could compensate them with will soon be worthless. EPA's current policy is to return credits to refiners that complied with past mandates but are given retroactive exemptions, but these credits can only be used the year they were generated or the subsequent compliance year.

The Monday order notes that the DC Circuit is curious about EPA's progress since the timing of new biofuel mandates will impact the date when credits from 2024 expire.

By Cole Martin

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08/12/25

US soy to take nearly 4mn acres from corn in 2026

US soy to take nearly 4mn acres from corn in 2026

St Louis, 8 December (Argus) — After reaching a record level in 2025, US corn is expected to lose nearly 4mn acres to the soybean crop in 2026, according to the US Department of Agriculture's preliminary baseline estimates. US farmers are projected to add 3.9mn acres of soybeans in 2026, pushing total planting to 85mn acres. A large portion of this expansion is expected to come at the cost of corn, which the USDA projects will see planted acres decline by 3.7mn to 95mn acres. The USDA's projections signal a reset from this year, when corn acres reach a record 98.7mn and soybean planting slump to a five-year low of 81.1mn acres. Wheat acres are projected to fall as well, with the planted area estimated at 44mn acres for the 2026-27 crop, down 1.3mn acres from this year's planting. In total, across the 8 primary US row crops, the USDA projects 247.6mn acres will be planted during the 2026-27 season, a 1.1mn acre decline from this year. The USDA's preliminary baseline estimates provide the first indications of the agency's thoughts on next year's production outlook, and precede the final baseline projections, which are scheduled to be released in February. By Ryan Koory Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Crimson Renewables to pause California biodiesel output

08/12/25
08/12/25

Crimson Renewables to pause California biodiesel output

Houston, 8 December (Argus) — US west coast biofuel and chemical producer Crimson Renewables will pause production next year at its California biodiesel plant until margins improve and the industry receives further regulatory clarity. The company's 3,000 b/d Bakersfield, California, plant will operate through the end of this year and then stop biodiesel production through at least the first half of next year, Crimson chief executive Harry Simpson told Argus . The Bakersfield plant is the largest of California's three operating biodiesel plants. Crimson's affiliated Bakersfield petrochemicals terminal, Delta Trading, will continue operations. The biodiesel plant is not closing permanently, Simpson said. Rather, it is temporarily stopping production "because of the continued poor margin environment," he said. Outstanding policy issues affecting margins include long-delayed federal biofuel blend mandates, exemptions for small refiners and future rules in California's influential low-carbon fuel standard. In November, Crimson laid off some staff as part of the decision to pause biodiesel production, but the plant has maintained a "sizeable" team so that production can resume on short notice, Simpson said. Several US biodiesel plants have either idled or fully closed over the past two years under a combination of less lucrative federal incentives and rising renewable diesel production, which competes for the same feedstocks as biodiesel but faces fewer blend limitations. By Payne Williams Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

German heating oil demand still high on lower prices

08/12/25
08/12/25

German heating oil demand still high on lower prices

Hamburg, 8 December (Argus) — German heating oil demand remained strong nationwide in the week ending 7 November. Traders in the country have differing views on how the increase in CO2 tax and greenhouse gas reduction quota (GHG) from January will affect consumer purchasing behaviour at the end of the year. Traded heating oil spot volumes reported to Argus fell slightly in most regions from the previous week, but remained high compared with a weak October. Wholesale heating oil prices fell to their lowest since late October in line with Ice gasoil futures, which supported demand. Traders have differing views on how heating oil demand will develop in December. Some companies had expected higher demand because of low prices. Other market participants said there has been a steady increase in buying interest compared with previous weeks. It is unclear if this is related to the 1 January increase in the CO2 tax and GHG quota. The topic has not received enough media attention to make consumers aware of the pending price hike. Still, many expect a rise in demand before the year comes to a close. High utilisation of the inland barge fleet in the week ending 7 December, following a long period of low demand for shipping capacity, points to traders on the Rhine stocking up in preparation. How much prices in Germany will actually rise at the turn of the year is still unclear because the CO2 tax is moving from the current fixed-price model of €55/t CO2e to an auction system, where the price of an emission allowance can fluctuate between €55/t CO2e and €65/t CO2e. Some market participants are still holding back on offers for 2026. Others are offering a surcharge for heating oil of around €4/100l, traders said. One seller is already offering diesel for truck loading in January with a premium of about €14/100l to the current market price in that region. By Johannes Guhlke Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Harvest progress no help to Argentina wheat quality

05/12/25
05/12/25

Harvest progress no help to Argentina wheat quality

Sao Paulo, 5 December (Argus) — Argentina's wheat harvest advanced in the latest week, registering high yields and low protein content as work moved south into areas that typically produce higher-quality grain. The wheat harvest advanced 11.4 percentage points in the week through 3 December, reaching just over 45pc completion, the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange (Bage) reported. Yields so far range from 3.5 metric tonnes (t) per hectare (ha) to 5.9t/ha, with the national average reported at a record 3.92t/ha. Bage maintained its forecast for production of 25.5mn t. Yields in Argentina's so-called core agricultural area are even higher, from about 5t/ha to as high as 7t/ha, according to the Rosario Board of Trade (BCR). The core area, consisting of parts of the provinces of Buenos Aires, Cordoba and Santa Fe, is producing wheat with uneven test weights depending on variety and "extremely low" protein and gluten levels, BCR said. The wheat harvesting was again delayed by rain in parts of central and southern Buenos Aires province, though work advanced more in the central region while it is just starting in the south of the province, the Secretariat of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries (SAGyP) said. Some southern regions of Buenos Aires province, particularly around the port city of Bahia Blanca, generally produce lower yields and higher protein content compared with other parts of the country, according to market participants. Yields around Bahia Blanca are expected to be higher than normal this year, but not as high as in areas to the north, they said. Soybeans overtake corn Soybean planting progressed 8.7 points in the week through 3 December, reaching 44.7pc complete, Bage said. That was 9 points behind the same time last year and 1.1 point behind the five year average. Planting of early soybeans is nearly finished, with work in some areas in central Buenos Aires province delayed by soggy fields, Bage reported. Planting of late soybeans is advancing where harvesting of wheat and other crops has finished, according to the Exchange. Recent precipitation in the core region has left good soil moisture levels in areas planted with soybeans, BCR reported. Farmers in some parts of the core are applying more fertilizer with an eye to boosting yields, though not all producers have the financial resources to boost fertilizer use, according to the Board. Corn planting lagged soybean sowing in the week, advancing 5 points to 44pc finished, Bage said. In the area already planted, 86pc of the crop is in good to excellent condition, and 94pc of the total estimated area has adequate to optimal soil moisture levels. Barley harvesting continued in the week, despite some flooded fields. The crop remained in generally good condition, despite the appearance of some diseases, with yields ranging from 2.9t/ha to 4.3t/ha, SAGyP reported. By Jeffrey T. Lewis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU maintains wheat export pace, but lags on average

05/12/25
05/12/25

EU maintains wheat export pace, but lags on average

London, 5 December (Argus) — The EU has exported slightly more non-durum wheat on the year in July-November ― given missing data from Poland in the latest updates ― but exports remained below the five-year average for the bloc, according to European Commission data. Wheat exports have increased slightly for the rest of the EU in the 2025-26 (July-June) marketing year when excluding Polish exports from previous years. Commission data have not included Polish wheat exports since 21 September. Soft wheat exports from the rest of the EU reached 9.29mn t as of 30 November, compared with 9.24mn t last season, although still below the average for the period in 2020-24 for the rest of the EU at 11.4mn t. The EU exported 9.66mn t of wheat, including limited available Polish soft wheat export data, by the end of November in 2025-26, down from 10.14mn t a year earlier, and the whole bloc's five-year average of 12.6mn t by this time in the season in 2020-24. The preliminary data showed fewer EU exports on the year without the latest data from Poland, which has been one of the EU's largest wheat exporters in recent years, making up more than 10pc of the EU's soft wheat exports in 2020-24. EU wheat exports are set to continue facing strong competition this season with other exporters, some of which could see a record harvest. Argentina and Australia are forecast to see record crops. Australia is expected to produce 36mn t, up from 34.1mn t in the previous year, according to the US Department of Agriculture (USDA). Argentina is expected to produce as much as 24.5mn t, up from 18.5mn t in 2024-25, according to the USDA. Algeria's recent milling wheat tender has set the stage for competition among origins to further develop. EU Black Sea and Argentinian new crop wheat are likely to be delivered to Algeria, despite the longer distance and higher freight rates for Argentinian wheat. By Erik Metaliaj Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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