Two out of the three Long Range (LR) tankers that were waiting outside the strait of Hormuz, booked to load oil products from the Mideast Gulf, have turned away last night and set off back into the Arabian Sea.
The Clear Stars and the DF Montmartre set off southeast during the night of 4-5 March, Vortexa and Kpler tracking show, and were passing Muscat by dawn. They had both been waiting off Fujairah in the UAE, just outside the strait of Hormuz, since around 1 March. Kpler reports that both were booked to load oil products inside the gulf for journeys to Europe.
This leaves only one LR tanker, the Khairpur, waiting outside the strait with a booking to load oil products this week. Kpler reports it has been booked to load from Kuwait for a journey to Pakistan.
Israel and the US attacked Iran on 28 February and the latter responded by telling ships they were not permitted to use the strait. At least eight commercial ships have been attacked in the waters around the strait in the days since, including one off Kuwait on the night of 4-5 March. Insurers have cancelled war risk cover for ships on concerns that re-insurers will withdraw cover at short notice, paralysing shipping. US president Donald Trump and treasury secretary Scott Bessent have indicated that the US will take steps to restore energy trade, but the details have not yet clarified.
Arguscounts another 22 LR tankers already inside the gulf, either already carrying oil products or booked to load them this week. And there are two other LR tankers further out in the Indian Ocean, with bookings to load clean products in the Mideast Gulf this week.
Oil product prices have rallied extremely rapidly in the opening days of the war. Jet fuel has been most severely impacted, with a closing premium to crude in Europe of more than $70/bl on 3 and 4 March, the highest on Argus record. Intraday swap trading has been extremely volatile, indicating jet fuel premiums of more than $100/bl against crude on 4 March. Europe relies upon Mideast Gulf exports for roughly half of its jet fuel imports, which means around 15-20pc of its overall demand. Europe's next option will be importing from Asia, but prices there have soared at the same time, as well as freight costs. Apart from jet fuel, the products most physically affected by the disruption of gulf exports will be diesel, naphtha and LPG.

