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Asia draws US Gulf, west coast gasoline

  • Spanish Market: Freight, Oil products
  • 01/12/16

Asia is drawing gasoline cargoes from the US Gulf and west coasts, as the region looks beyond suppliers in Europe to cover a shortage of high-octane fuel.

An 80,000t cargo on the long range (LR2)-sized Maersk Phoenix has been booked to load 20 December from the US Gulf coast to Singapore, according to fixture reports and shipping sources. On the west coast, the Atlantic Blue will carry gasoline from the Bay Area to Asia, loading next week. A second west coast cargo could be loading gasoline to China, loading mid-December.

It is rare for an LR2 size cargo to load in the US Gulf, although larger tankers are more economical for a longer trip. It is also less common for west coast gasoline to move to Asia compared with typical outlets in Latin America.

US gasoline stocks rose to 2.26mn bl during the week ended 25 November, the highest level in more than a month and well-above five-year averages, according to data from the Energy Information Administration. The biggest build was in the Gulf coast, where stocks gained by 1.6mn bl to 82.3mn bl.

In addition to growing stocks, higher costs for domestic environmental compliance also added to incentives for US producers to export. Argus Renewable Volume Obligation (RVO), which measures the environmental compliance cost of producing gasoline and diesel for domestic consumption, rose to 10.85¢/USG yesterday, the highest level since 2013.

Some market participants anticipate wider gasoline arbitrages to Asia next year. While Latin American demand will remain strong and stable, further destinations in Asia and West Africa could become profitable, some said. A domestic specification change in the US will see the sulphur content dropping from 30ppm to 10ppm starting in January, which could mean stronger prices in the US. But higher standards of renewable fuel blending in 2017 will see the cost of compliance go up as well, which should encourage exports.

Indonesia, Asia's largest gasoline buyer, saw its imports of gasoline with a research octane number (RON) between 90 and 97 reach 3.2mn bl in September, 70pc higher from August and nearly doubling year-ago levels, according to government data. Australia, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Myanmar and the Philippines have experienced fuel shortages as well.


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LNG-burning vessels well positioned ahead of 2025


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19/09/24

LNG-burning vessels well positioned ahead of 2025

New York, 19 September (Argus) — Vessels outfitted with dual-fuel LNG-burning engines are poised to have the lowest marine fuel expense heading into 2025 when the EU will tighten its marine EU emissions trading system (ETS) regulations and add a new regulation, " FuelEU", from 1 January 2025. Considering both regulations, at current price levels, fossil LNG (also known as grey LNG) will be priced the cheapest compared with conventional marine fuels and other commonly considered alternative fuels such as biodiesel and methanol. The EU's FuelEU maritime regulation will require ship operators traveling in, out and within EU territorial waters to gradually reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity on a lifecycle basis, starting with a 2pc reduction in 2025, 6pc in 2030 and so on until getting to an 80pc drop, compared with 2020 base year levels. The FuelEU GHG intensity maximum is set at 85.69 grams of CO2-equivalent per MJ (gCO2e/MJ) from 2030 to 2034, dropping to 77.94 gCO2e/MJ in 2035. Vessel pools exceeding the FuelEU's limits will be fined €2,400/t ($2,675/t) of very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLFSO) energy equivalent. GHG emissions from grey LNG vary depending on the type of marine engine used to burn the LNG, but ranges from about 76.3-92.3 gCO2e/MJ, according to non-governmental environmental lobby group Transport & Environment. This makes a number of LNG-burning, ocean-going vessels compliant with FuelEU regulation through 2034. The EU's ETS for marine shipping commenced this year and requires that ship operators pay for 40pc of their GHG generated on voyages within, in and out of the EU. Next year, the EU ETS emissions limit will increase to 70pc. Even with the added 70pc CO2 emissions cost, US Gulf coast grey LNG was assessed at $639/t VLSFOe, compared with the second cheapest VLSFO at $689/t, B30 biodiesel at $922/t and grey methanol at $931/t VLSFOe average from 1-18 September (see chart). "In 2025, we expect [US natural gas] prices to rise as [US] LNG exports increase while domestic consumption and production remain relatively flat for much of the year," says the US Energy Information Administration. "We forecast the Henry Hub price to average around $2.20/million British thermal units (mmBtu) in 2024 and $3.10/mmBtu in 2025." Provided that prices of biodiesel and methanol remain relatively flat, the projected EIA US 2025 LNG price gains would not affect LNG's price ranking, keeping it the cheapest alternative marine fuel option for ship owners traveling between the US Gulf coast and Europe. LNG for bunkering global consumption from vessels 5,000 gross tonnes and over reached 12.9mn t in 2023, according to the International Maritime Organization (IMO), up from 11mn t in 2022 and 12.6mn t in 2021. The maritime port authority of Singapore reported 111,000t of LNG bunker sales and the port authorities of Rotterdam and Antwerp reported 319,000t in 2023 from all size vessels. Among vessels 5,000 gross tonnes and over, LNG carriers accounted for 89pc of LNG bunker demand globally, followed by container ships at 3.6pc, according to the IMO. The large gap between LNG global and LNG Singapore, Rotterdam, and Antwerp bunker demand, is likely the result of most of the demand taking place at the biggest LNG export locations where LNG carriers call, such as the US Gulf coast, Qatar, Australia, Russia and Malaysia. By Stefka Wechsler USGC bunkers and bunker alternatives $/t VLSFOe Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US court asked for third Citgo auction extension


19/09/24
19/09/24

US court asked for third Citgo auction extension

Houston, 19 September (Argus) — The court-appointed special master overseeing the auction of US refiner Citgo has asked the court to delay the announcement of a successful bidder to 26 September and a sale hearing to December. Special master Robert Pincus planned to make an announcement of the proposed buyer on or about 16 September followed by a November sale hearing, but last minute legal challenges derailed what have otherwise been "robust negotiations with a bidder," according to a court filing today. "The special master is continuing to negotiate sale documentation with a bidder," today's motion said. Pincus previously requested a second extension in August and a first extension in late July . By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Citgo auction result delayed amid last-minute motions


18/09/24
18/09/24

Citgo auction result delayed amid last-minute motions

Houston, 18 September (Argus) — The US court-appointed special master overseeing the auction of US refiner Citgo plans to object to a last-minute motion from the Venezuelan government to delay the sale process by four months. The Republic of Venezuela and state-owned oil company PdV filed a motion on Tuesday seeking a four-month pause in the sale of its refining subsidiary Citgo, which is being auctioned off to satisfy debts owed by PdV. Special master Robert Pincus said in a court filing today that he intends to object to Venezuela's motion for a pause. The last-minute motion from Venezuela comes days after the US District Court for the District of Delaware was expected to announce results of the winning bidder. The court asked for a second extension to the auction process in August, delaying announcing a successful bidder to on or about 16 September with a sale hearing on 7 November. But Pincus is now dealing with last-minute legal challenges filed last week outside of the Delaware courts by so-called "alter ego" claimants seeking to "circumvent" the Delaware court's sales process and "jump the line" for enforcing claims against PdV, the special master said in a filing last week. Bidders for Citgo's 804,000 b/d of refining capacity, terminals, retail fuel stations and other plants expect the assets to be sold free and clear of future claims by PdV creditors. Unresolved legal liabilities could lower the value bidders are willing to pay for Citgo, decreasing the pool of money available to those owed by PdV. By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Advanced Fame marine biodiesel blends hit 9-month low


18/09/24
18/09/24

Advanced Fame marine biodiesel blends hit 9-month low

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