US investigates UAE tanker attack report

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil
  • 13/05/19

US government agencies and the Pentagon have reacted with caution to reports of attacks on oil and products tankers in UAE-controlled waters off the coast of the emirate of Fujairah yesterday.

A total of four ships were "sabotaged," the UAE said. Two Saudi Arabian oil tankers were hit by a "sabotage attack", the Saudi energy ministry said.

The US Central Command, which oversees US military assets providing protection for critical oil shipping lanes in the Middle East, said it is aiding the investigation at the request of the UAE government. The US Maritime Administration in an alert said that the incident and precise means of the attack have not been confirmed and advised "exercising caution when transiting the area."

The Department of Energy said it was "aware of efforts to disrupt oil shipping as reported by the governments of Saudi Arabia and the UAE," adding that it is "monitoring the oil markets, and is confident they remain well-supplied." The State Department referred inquiries to the UAE government.

The incident did not result in any injuries or spills, and details on the attack remain scant. The attack on the tankers comes amid rising tension in the Mideast Gulf following Washington's decision not to renew sanctions waivers for buyers of Iranian crude and the escalation in the US rhetoric directed at Iran.

Saudi, UAE and US officials have not publicly blamed Iran for the attacks. But oil futures prices initially surged by $1.50-1.90/bl in early trading on concerns that the incident could lead to a confrontation between Iran and the US that would threaten crude, products and LNG flows through the critical strait of Hormuz. Fujairah is located at the entrance to the straits of Hormuz in the Gulf of Oman.

Prices later retreated on the lack of any solid news linking Iran to the attacks, and on expectations of a slowdown in oil demand growth amid a worsening trade dispute between the US and China.

Oil markets remain on tenterhooks, awaiting further information on the attacks. Just two days before the incident, the US Maritime Administration issued an advisory warning of an increased possibility since early May "that Iran and/or its regional proxies could take action against US and partner interests," including oil production infrastructure.

The White House last week announced the deployment of a US carrier group and a bomber task force to the Middle East as a means to confront an unspecified threat from Iran.

But US officials never have detailed the threat or explained their reasons for believing why the security situation would deteriorate. The US Navy regularly rotates its forces, including carrier groups, in the Mideast Gulf. On 8 April, the Pentagon announced deployment of the USS Abraham Lincoln, which is now en route to the Mideast Gulf.

"We will see what happens with Iran. If they do anything, it will be a very big mistake," President Donald Trump said at the White House today.

The tougher rhetoric likely signals a further escalation in the administration's "maximum pressure" campaign against Tehran. Secretary of state Mike Pompeo sought to underscore the point by making an unscheduled visit in Brussels today for a meeting with the EU member countries' foreign ministers. The EU foreign affairs council was meeting to discuss steps to preserve the Iran nuclear deal, among other agenda items.

Pompeo planned to discuss "recent threatening actions and statements" from Iran, the State Department said ahead of the meeting. "Secretary Pompeo will continue to coordinate closely with our allies and partners to ensure the security of our mutual interests in the Middle East and around the world."

But his European counterparts urged him to exercise restraint.

"Mike Pompeo heard very clearly from us today, not only from myself, but also from the other EU member states' ministers, that we are living in a crucial and delicate moment, where the most relevant and responsible attitude to take is that of maximum restraint and avoiding any escalation on the military side," EU foreign affairs commissioner Federica Mogherini said following the meeting.

"We are really worried about the risk of a conflict happening by accident with an escalation that is unintended on either side, with some kind of conflict," UK foreign minister Jeremy Hunt said.


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19/04/24

US restricts future oil leasing in NPR-A

US restricts future oil leasing in NPR-A

Washington, 19 April (Argus) — President Joe Biden's administration today finalized a rule to prohibit future oil leasing on nearly half of the 23mn-acre National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska (NPR-A), adding to a flurry of recent environmental regulations that have frustrated oil interests. The rule will make it harder for oil producers to expand beyond development in the northeast section of NPR-A, where ConocoPhillips is developing its $8bn Willow drilling project. The rule outright bans new leasing on 10.6mn acres of the reserve, including around the ecologically sensitive Teshekpuk lake "special area" that is believed to hold large volumes of crude. The rule also restricts future leasing on an additional 2mn acres in the NPR-A that includes other special areas. "These natural wonders demand our protection," Biden said. "I am proud that my administration is taking action to conserve more than 13mn acres in the western Arctic." The US Bureau of Land Management (BLM) said it received more than 100,000 comments on its proposal to limit oil leasing in the NPR-A, a federal area established in 1923 where commercial oil production began only in 2015. The restrictions came after former president Donald Trump tried to increase drilling in the NPR-A through a plan to allow leasing on an additional 7mn acres, including around Teshekpuk lake. With the rule complete, BLM said it plans to solicit input on whether to revise the boundaries of the "special areas" and identify additional lands in NPR-A that could qualify for protection. Biden administration officials previously described the rule as creating a "one-way ratchet" for conservation that a new administration could not reverse. The rule will not affect existing oil and gas leases in NPR-A, including Biden's decision in 2023 to approve the Willow project, which is expected to reach a peak output of 180,000 b/d and that environmentalists strongly opposed. BLM said the 10.6mn acres of NPR-A that it closed to leasing has only medium or low potential for oil and gas resources. Environmentalists cheered the new NPR-A restrictions, with Sierra Club executive director Ben Jealous calling it a "major victory" for the arctic. But oil industry groups say the restrictions are a step in the wrong direction, adding to other recent regulations they say will make it hard to produce energy on federal land. BLM recently finalized more stringent bonding requirements for onshore and offshore land, in addition to finalizing a plan to lease federal land for conservation. "This misguided rule from the Biden administration sharply limits future oil and natural gas development in Alaska's National Petroleum Reserve, a region explicitly intended by Congress to bolster America's energy security," American Petroleum Institute senior vice president of regulatory affairs Dustin Meyer said. The administration has been working to finish regulations in recent weeks ahead of an upcoming deadline where any rule could be subject to "disapproval" in 2025 under the Congressional Review Act. The exact deadline remains in flux because it depends on how long the US Congress stays in session, but it could arrive as early as next month. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Limited strike on Iran opens door to de-escalation


19/04/24
19/04/24

Limited strike on Iran opens door to de-escalation

Dubai, 19 April (Argus) — A limited aerial assault on the central Iranian city of Isfahan earlier today could mark the beginning of the end of the latest escalation in the Mideast Gulf. Iranian state media reported in the early hours of Friday, 19 April, several explosions over Isfahan at 04:00 local time. These were later confirmed by the Iranian military to have been the result of air defences bringing down three small drones over the city. Isfahan is the home to a number of strategically important facilities, among them the Shekari airbase that houses some of Iran's F-14 Tomcat fighter planes and SU-24 Sukhoi bombers, and a uranium conversion facility. There was "no impact or damage" to either, according to Iranian army commander-in-chief Seyyed Abdolrahim Mousavi. Other Iranian officials also sought to downplay the strike. Hossein Dalirian, spokesman for Iran's National Center for Cyberspace, said on social media platform X that it was so minor "it would not be considered an attack anywhere in the world." Ice Brent crude futures rose by nearly $3/bl earlier today, but are now trading below the previous settlement level. Iran and the wider Mideast Gulf region were on high alert as Israel weighed its options for a response to Tehran's assault on Israeli territory last weekend. That attack, involving more than 300 drones, ballistic missiles and cruise missiles, was the first ever direct assault on Israel from Iranian territory. As yet, there has been no official confirmation from either side that today's attack originated from Israel. Media reports quoted unnamed US and Israeli officials saying Israel had launched the drones, and Oman's foreign ministry condemned Israel "for its attack this morning on Isfahan". Iran's attack on Israel last weekend was itself in response to a suspected Israeli air strike on an Iranian diplomatic compound in the Syrian capital, Damascus, at the start of April. That killed seven members of Iran's powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), including two generals. Despite its magnitude, the Iranian retaliation was not only highly choreographed, but also telegraphed to key stakeholders beforehand in an effort to limit damage and casualties. Israel said immediately after the attack that almost all of Iran's drones and missiles were intercepted with the help of allied forces in the region and that there were no fatalities, only "light" damage to the Nevatim military base in Israel's Negev desert. De-escalatory strike The limited nature of Iran's strike prompted Israel's western allies to urge it to show restraint. The US appealed to Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu to "take the win" and claim victory for its defence. But as it became increasingly clear that a response without a military dimension would be unpalatable for Israel, the US and Europe turned their efforts to making sure whatever Israel chose to do was also limited and fell below a threshold that could trigger yet another escalation in tensions. "This was probably the level of attack that on one hand was necessitated by internal Israeli calculations within the security cabinet and broader political coalition, and by virtue of the pressure by allies and what the US was willing to countenance," said Geneva Graduate Institute senior research associate Farzan Sabet. "It was a limited strike with the message that we can hit you anywhere, anytime, and without having to resort to a major strike involving 300-plus missiles." In the days following Iran's attack on Israel, several key IRGC figures said Tehran had "decided to create a new equation with Israel" ꟷ specifically that Tehran would retaliate to any Israeli attack on its interests or citizens from Iranian territory. This would be a shift from the previous status quo, which would see Israel regularly target Iranian interest and officials in third countries, many times without response from Tehran. But the limited nature of Israel's latest attack, and the very concerted effort by Iranian officials, military personnel and media to downplay its severity and impact so far, suggests it could feasibly provide a de-escalatory off-ramp for Iran. "Should Israel's response be limited to this, the Islamic Republic will not be under pressure to retaliate," said Arab Gulf States Institute senior fellow Ali Alfoneh. But is too early to say whether today's incident is the totality of Israel's response. "We're running up to [the Jewish holiday of] Passover [on 22-30 April]. The Israelis may not have wanted to carry out a major retaliation ahead of Passover so as to avoid the threat of war hanging over the country during the holiday," Sabet said. "So it is very possible that more [retaliatory attacks] could come after Passover." By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Karoon cuts 2024 guidance on lower US output


19/04/24
19/04/24

Karoon cuts 2024 guidance on lower US output

Sydney, 19 April (Argus) — Australia-listed oil producer Karoon Energy has cut its production guidance for 2024 to reflect lower production from its stake in the Who Dat floating production system in the US' Gulf of Mexico. Who Dat's weaker well and facility performance has led to the lower guidance, with Karoon now expecting to produce 29,000-34,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in 2024, down from a previous 31,000-37,000 boe/d guidance. Karoon said it and joint-venture partner LLOG Exploration will continue to prioritise higher value oil production over gas for the remainder of the year. The firm's January-March output rose by 17pc against October-December 2023 . Who Dat's production on a net revenue interest (NRI) basis was 9,000 boe/d for January-March, with Karoon downgrading its forecast NRI production from 4mn-4.5mn boe in 2024 to 3-3.5mn boe. But output from Karoon's Bauna asset offshore Brazil was 15pc lower than the previous quarter because of continuing reliability problems with Bauna's floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) vessel, the shut-in of the SPS-88 well for the full period and natural field decline. Production for January-March at Bauna was 24,000 b/d, down from 28,000 b/d the previous quarter. Karoon expects to resume production from the well during July-September following an intervention, assuming no delays in regulatory approval. Bauna's annual maintenance will take place next month with a three-week shutdown of the FPSO planned to boost reliability. By Tom Major Karoon Energy results Jan-Mar '24 Oct-Dec '23 Jan-Mar '23 y-o-y % ± q-o-q % ± Sales revenue ($mn) 197 209 144 37 -6 Production (b/d) 34,000 29,000 22,000 55 17 Sales volume (b/d) 30,000 28,000 22,000 36 7 Average prices ($/bl) Bauna oil price 76 83 73 4 -8 Who Dat sales gas ($/mn ft³) 2.95 2.22 n/a n/a 33 Who Dat oil, condensate, NGLs 78 73 n/a n/a 7 Source: Karoon Energy Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia’s Woodside records weaker Jan-Mar LNG output


19/04/24
19/04/24

Australia’s Woodside records weaker Jan-Mar LNG output

Sydney, 19 April (Argus) — Australian independent Woodside Energy's January-March output dropped against a year earlier and the previous quarter, as reliability fell at its 4.9mn t/yr Pluto LNG project offshore Western Australia. Woodside produced 494,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) across its portfolio for January-March, 5pc below the 522,000 boe/d reported during October-December and 4pc below its 2023 full-year figure of 513,000 boe/d. Lower production at its Bass Strait, Pyrenees and Pluto assets was partially offset by increased production at the 140,000 b/d Mad Dog phase 2 oil field in the US Gulf of Mexico, which hit peak production of 130,000 b/d during the quarter. Reliability at Pluto was 94.6pc for the quarter because of an offshore trip and an onshore electrical fault. Woodside made a final investment decision (FID) on the Xena-3 well to support Pluto production during the quarter. The 16.9mn t/yr North West Shelf (NWS) LNG achieved 97pc reliability for the quarter with NWS' joint-venture partners taking a FID on the Lambert West field, which will support continuing production. Lower seasonal market demand and offshore maintenance activity saw production drop at the firm's Bass Strait fields, while production ended at the Gippsland basin joint venture's West Kingfish platform because of slowing oil output from Kingfish field. The Pyrenees floating production storage and offloading vessel began planned maintenance in early March and will return to crude production for April-June, Woodside said. Two 550,000 bl cargoes of Pyrenees crude loaded each quarter during 2023. Revenue dropped by 31pc to $2.97bn from $4.33bn a year earlier and 12pc from $3.36bn during October-December. Woodside's total average realised price dipped to $63/boe, 6pc down on the previous quarter's $67/boe and 26pc below the year-earlier figure of $85/boe. Woodside's average realised price for LNG produced was $10.40/mn Btu or 10pc down on the previous quarter's $11.50/mn Btu. The firm is more heavily exposed to spot prices and gas hub pricing than fellow domestic LNG producer Australian independent Santos, with about 30pc of Woodside's equity-produced LNG sold at these spot prices. By Tom Major Woodside LNG production (mn boe) NWS Pluto Wheatstone* Total Jan-Mar '24 8.2 11.8 2.4 22.3 Oct-Dec '23 7.8 12.4 2.5 22.7 Jan-Mar '23 9.7 12.2 2.5 24.3 2023 32.8 45.6 10.2 88.6 2022 29.7 46.2 9.2 85.1 y-o-y % ± -15 -3 -4 -8 q-o-q % ± 5 -5 -4 -2 Source: Woodside *Woodside controls a 13pc interest in Wheatstone LNG Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Oil firm ReconAfrica agrees to class action settlement


18/04/24
18/04/24

Oil firm ReconAfrica agrees to class action settlement

Cape Town, 18 April (Argus) — Africa-focused, Canada-based upstream firm ReconAfrica has agreed to pay $10.8mn in total to eligible shareholders to settle class action lawsuits lodged in different jurisdictions over allegations that the company made misleading statements. The company will pay $7.05mn to investors who bought its shares on the US over-the-counter (OTC) markets and $3.7mn to shareholders who bought securities in the firm on Canada's TSX Venture Exchange and the Frankfurt Stock Exchange within specified class periods. In Canada, parties reached the proposed settlement after a full-day mediation in October 2023, without any admission of liability by ReconAfrica. A hearing has been scheduled on 20 June for the British Columbia Supreme Court to approve the settlement. The plaintiffs allege that between May 2020 and September 2021, ReconAfrica released misleading statements, including its plans to undertake hydraulic fracturing of "unconventional" resources and "shale" deposits within Namibia. The firm failed to disclose that Namibia has never before allowed fracking. The plaintiffs further claim that ReconAfrica did not disclose data from its test wells that revealed poor prospects for achieving commercially viable oil and gas production. The company also stands accused of undertaking unlicensed drilling and illegal water usage, as well as other environmental and human rights violations. It denies all these allegations. ReconAfrica has a current market capitalisation of C$204.7mn. Earlier this month, it raised C$17.25mn in a public share offering. The firm plans to undertake a multi-well drilling campaign this year, with the first well in Namibia's Damara Fold Belt scheduled for June. The company controls the entire Kavango sedimentary basin, which spans over 300km from the northeast of Namibia to northwest Botswana. Early estimates claimed the basin could hold as much as 31bn bl of oil, of which 22.3bn bl are in Namibia and 8.7bn bl in Botswana. ReconAfrica has a 90pc stake in the PEL 73 licence, which extends 25,000km² across northeast Namibia. The remaining 10pc is held by Namibian state-run company Namcor. The Kavango basin includes part of the ecologically sensitive Okavango Delta, a Unesco World Heritage site. The Okavango watershed consists of the Okavango river and a network of shallow, interlinked aquifers, which is a vital water source for more than a million people. The delta also serves as a habitat and migration path for many endangered animal species. Last year, ReconAfrica received environmental approval to drill 12 more wells in the Kavango. The firm recently completed a technical review of its entire exploration inventory in Namibia and now expects to find a mix of oil and gas. ReconAfrica announced an updated prospective resource estimate for Damara last month, indicating an unrisked 15.4bn bl of undiscovered oil initially-in-place. This compares with a previous estimate that pointed only to prospective natural gas resources amounting to 22.4 trillion ft³. The change "is the result of in-depth analyses of all geochemical data, including cores, cuttings, mud logs, seeps and additional basin modelling studies," ReconAfrica said. The firm has made the updated estimates available to potential joint venture partners and expects to complete this month a farm-out process that it started in December 2023. By Elaine Mills Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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