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Evo supporters target Bolivian gas installations

  • Spanish Market: Natural gas
  • 13/11/19

Supporters of Bolivia's former president Evo Morales are targeting the country's vital natural gas operations in a challenge to the fledgling interim presidency of Jeanine Anez.

Morales fled Bolivia for asylum in Mexico after resigning on 10 November, leaving behind a power vacuum. That was filled late yesterday by Anez, but without the required legislative quorum as a result of a decision by the ruling Movement toward Socialism party (MAS) to boycott the process.

Anez, a senator from the center-right Democratic Unity party, was fifth in line for the presidency, but took over after the direct chain of succession evaporated in a wave of MAS resignations. In her first declarations today, Anez stressed that her only mandate is peaceful political transition. Elections could be held as early as January.

Among her immediate challenges is quelling pockets of unrest, rebuilding the depleted executive branch, and keeping gas production and exports to Brazil and Argentina on track.Gas exports, the landlocked country's top revenue earner, have been falling in response to lower production and reduced demand in shale-rich Argentina and pre-salt star Brazil.

Combined pipeline gas exports to Brazil and Argentina averaged around 31mn m³/d in the first nine months of 2019, compared to 45.5mn m³/d in the same period last year, according to the Bolivian foreign trade institute.

Bolivia's state-owned YPFB said today that the Carrasco-Cochabamba gas pipeline shut down following a pressure drop that affected supply to Cochabamba, Oruro and La Paz. The company could not reach the affected area between the Villa Tunari and Lima Tambo valves to make repairs because of roadblocks.

YPFB on 11 November informed its Argentinian counterpart IEASA that its Carrasco field and installations had been taken over by protesters and it might have to suspend exports. IEASA reported that gas dispatches were still normal as of 12 November, averaging 11mn m³/d.

Brazilian state-controlled Petrobras confirmed that it received a similar warning from YPFB on 11 November about possible fluctuations in gas supply, but added that there are currently no disruptions.

Inside YPFB, workers are demanding the resignation of president Oscar Barriga and other senior management appointed by Morales during his 13-year presidency.

Foreign oil companies that operate in Bolivia, including Repsol, Total, Shell and Gazprom, have told Argus that their operations have not been affected. Despite his resource nationalist platform and alliance with Venezuela's disputed president Nicolas Maduro, Morales provided a relatively stable working environment for the oil and gas industry.

From his new base in Mexico, Morales is offering to return to "pacify" Bolivia. He and his supporters in the region, including Venezuela, Cuba and Mexico, claim that he was the victim of a coup. Argentina notably has kept a distance as pro-business president Mauricio Macri prepares to hand over power to Alberto Fernandez, a Morales ally. Farther afield, the US and the UK have recognized Anez and urged free and fair elections.

By Lucien Chauvin and Patricia Garip


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19/09/24

Western Australia to allow some onshore gas exports

Western Australia to allow some onshore gas exports

Darwin, 19 September (Argus) — Western Australia's (WA) state government will allow onshore developers of gas fields to export about 20pc of their output as LNG during a five-year window, in response to a growing failure to bring on new supplies for the domestic market. WA previously banned onshore gas exports, except in the case of Australian independent Beach Energy's 250 TJ/d (6.7mn m³/d) Waitsia stage 2 project . Beach may be required to share its infrastructure with fellow Perth basin firms, the WA government said, to expedite market access for new projects. Australian mining firm Mineral Resources, which has argued for permission to export 85pc of the gas from its Lockyer project as LNG and fellow WA-based firm Strike Energy may benefit from the changes, as both hold significant reserves in the Perth basin. The changes apply to new onshore developments or existing projects seeking to expand production. Developers are required to reserve 80pc of gas produced for WA, with this rising to 100pc from 2031 onwards. The policy shift follows dire outlooks for WA's gas supplies as the state attempts to wean itself off coal-fired power generation. It currently contributes about a third of the electricity into the state's largest power grid. A parliamentary report last month warned WA cannot rely on sporadic appeals for more gas to meet demand. "These policy changes are sensible responses that balance the need for Western Australia to secure its energy future while encouraging onshore producers to bring on more gas supply as and when it is needed," mines and petroleum Minister David Michael said on 19 September. The 15pc reservation for offshore LNG projects will continue, while WA has promised more transparency on the policy with the publication of a yearly WA Domestic Gas Statement to reveal how producers are meeting obligations, with a review to take place after two years. An interim parliamentary report tabled earlier this year showed about 8pc of the state's offshore gas output has reached WA consumers since 2006, representing just over half the required volumes. Following public criticism of LNG producers' contributions, Australian independent Woodside Energy has since pledged an extra 32PJ (854mn m³) of domestic supplies by the end of 2025 . WA will also seek to strengthen laws designed to prevent companies banking prospective onshore oil and gas tenements, with a review into the "use it or lose it" policy to be led by the state's energy department. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed cuts rate by half point, signals more: Update


18/09/24
18/09/24

US Fed cuts rate by half point, signals more: Update

Adds chairman Powell comments, economic projections. Houston, 18 September (Argus) — The US Federal Reserve cut its target interest rate by 50 basis points today, the first rate cut since 2020, with policymakers signaling they expect to make another half-point worth of cuts by the end of 2024. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the federal funds rate to 4.75-5pc from the prior range of 5.25-5.5pc, which was a 23-year high. The Fed had kept the target rate unchanged since July 2023 after hiking it for more than a year in the most intense rate-tightening campaign in four decades to quash inflation, which peaked at 9.1pc in mid-2022. "The committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2pc, and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance," the FOMC said in its statement after the two-day meeting. "Job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low." In their latest economic projections, the Fed board and policymakers expect the target rate range will end 2024 near a midpoint of 4.4pc compared with an end of year midpoint of 5.1pc projected in June, which implies further cuts amounting to 50 basis points by the end of 2024. Policymakers also penciled in another 100 basis points of cuts over the course of 2025. "We're recalibrating policy down over time to a more neutral level and we're moving at the pace that we think is appropriate given developments in the economy," Fed chair Jerome Powell told a press conference after the meeting. "The economy can develop in a way that will cause us to go faster or slower. The US economy is in a good place and our decision today is designed to keep it there." The Fed's economic projections see core Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation — the Fed's favorite measure of inflation — ending 2024 at a median rate of 2.6pc, down from a prior forecast of 2.8pc. Policymakers see core PCE inflation falling to a median of 2.2pc by the end of next year. The outlook for the unemployment rate for the end of 2024 climbed to 4.4pc from 4pc penciled in at the June meeting. Policymakers expect gross domestic product (GDP) growth to end 2024 at an annual 2pc, slightly down from a prior 2.1pc projection. The latest policy meeting comes as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased to an annual 2.5pc in August , down from 2.9pc in July, the Labor Department reported on 11 September. Inflation had ticked up to 3.5pc in March from 3.1pc in January, prompting the Fed to turn more cautious about beginning its rate cuts. US job growth has recently slowed sharply, falling to an average 116,000 in the three months through August from 211,000 for the prior three months. The jobless rate rose to 4.3pc in July, the highest in three years, before edging down to 4.2pc in August. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Volatile energy prices risk the transition: IEF


18/09/24
18/09/24

Volatile energy prices risk the transition: IEF

Houston, 18 September (Argus) — High or volatile energy prices risk undermining emissions reductions efforts, International Energy Forum (IEF) secretary-general Joseph McMonigle said today at the Gastech conference in Houston, Texas. "If the public starts to connect high prices and volatility to the energy transition, we're in big trouble and we risk losing public support for the transition and climate policy," he said. McMonigle made his comments on a panel with several energy ministers, who discussed the issues of balancing energy security concerns with transitioning to cleaner fuel sources for electricity. When asked what he would consider a "call to action" for the global energy sector, McMonigle suggested investments in emerging technologies. "I think to allow trading of carbon credits is really important to accelerate the transition," he said. "Also, to provide financing for CCS (carbon capture and storage), which I think is one of the technologies that does not have enough investment behind it." By David Haydon Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed cuts rate by half point, signals more to come


18/09/24
18/09/24

US Fed cuts rate by half point, signals more to come

Houston, 18 September (Argus) — The US Federal Reserve cut its target interest rate by 50 basis points today, the first rate cut since 2020, with officials signaling they expect to make another half point worth of cuts by the end of 2024. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the federal funds rate to 4.75-5pc from the prior range of 5.25-5.5pc, which was a two-decade high. The Fed had kept the target rate unchanged since July 2023 after hiking it for more than a year in the most aggressive increase campaign in four decades to quash inflation, which peaked at 9.1pc in mid-2022. "The committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2pc and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance," the FOMC said in its statement after the two-day meeting. "Job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low." The Fed board and policymakers, in their latest economic projections, expect the target rate range will end 2024 near a midpoint of 4.4pc compared with an end of year midpoint of 5.1pc projected in June, which implies further cuts amounting to 50 basis points by the end of 2024. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Dutch government eyes gas storage levy from 2026


18/09/24
18/09/24

Dutch government eyes gas storage levy from 2026

London, 18 September (Argus) — The Dutch government has proposed a new levy from 2026 to recoup the cost of filling the Bergermeer gas storage facility since 2022 in its 2025 budget plan. The government's draft budget presented on Tuesday said that preparations were ongoing to introduce a levy on booked capacity on top of gas system operator GTS' transport tariffs. The levy would apply to both domestic users and "users abroad" to ensure that "the costs associated with the gas storage filling measures are borne by the users who benefit from the filling of storages", the government said. The levy is expected to generate €146.7mn/yr ($163mn/yr) from 2026 until at least 2029, according to the draft budget. That phrasing suggests that the levy may not take effect before 2026. The government tasked state-owned holding company EBN with filling Bergermeer to 90pc of capacity in summer 2022 if market participants failed to do so, and has left that legal requirement in place until 2025. And the Dutch government's draft budget earmarks more money for the stockbuild in coming years, amounting to about €256mn for 2025 and €233mn for 2026, up from €67mn in 2023 and €105mn in 2024. The Hague's new coalition government has focussed on gas security of supply, proposing further steps to support domestic production and ensure that storages are filled. As part of this, it intends to propose legislation to prevent and react to an energy supply crisis, while aiming to reduce demand, maintain LNG capacity and focus on long-term contracts, the government said. The government also plans to amend the mining act, the gas act and other existing laws to "structurally safeguard the security of gas supply", it said. In its government programme released on Friday , the cabinet said it was examining how the government could more proactively ensure the gas stockfill. All the country's storage sites remain "crucial for guaranteeing security of supply and realising energy independence", the budget said. This includes the country's largest storage site at Norg, where the government compensates operator Nam — a 50:50 joint venture between Shell and ExxonMobil — to use the facility to ensure security of supply . The government has paid Nam €491mn for that this year, down from €757mn a year earlier, because of lower gas prices, the budget shows. The German government implemented a similar storage levy in 2022 to recoup the cost of filling storage sites ahead of the winter heating season. But after EU pressure from central and eastern European neighbours regarding the large negative impacts of the levy on their effort to diversify away from Russian gas, the German government decided to stop charging the levy on outbound flows from the beginning of next year. By Lucas Waelbroeck Boix and Till Stehr Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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