Overview

The Argus Quarterly Potash Outlook service is your reliable and proven source of quarterly unbiased, independent short-term potash price forecasts and actionable market intelligence on regional market dynamics, including supply, demand and trade.

We empower market participants to make informed business decisions. Use the service to:

  • Inform your business plans: Get accurate, reliable and actionable insight on short- and medium-term developments.
  • Mitigate risk to your business: Stay up to date with potential regulations, policy changes and challenges.
  • Access comprehensive market data: Examine extensive raw data to assist your research and planning.
  • Find your next big opportunity: Our independent market data and expert insight help you identify future opportunities
 

Key features

Potash price forecasts

Potash prices are forecasted for the next three months and the next three quarters (covering Vancouver fob, FSU fob, Southeast Asia cfr, Brazil cfr, Europe cfr €/t)

Country/regional analysis and outlook - Demand

The Argus Quarterly Potash Outlook service includes country and region focused analysis and outlook for demand, covering Brazil, USA, China, India, Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, Northwest Europe, South Africa and Australia

Country/regional analysis and outlook - Supply

The Argus Quarterly Potash Outlook service includes country and region focused analysis and outlook for supply, covering USA, Canada, Belarus, Russia, Germany, Israel, Spain, UK, Jordan, China, Laos and Chile

SOP Market outlook

The Argus Quarterly Potash Outlook service includes an SOP market outlook, focusing on China, Taiwan, Pakistan, US, Australia and Europe

New capacity analysis (MOP and SOP)

The Argus Quarterly Potash Outlook service incudes analysis of new capacity (planned/under-construction) for the year ahead and up to 2026, listing company, location, expected date and capacity alongside additional insights and notes

Agriculture market analysis

The service includes analysis of the agriculture market, including crop fundamentals and the outlook for corn, soybean, wheat and rice prices

Production maintenance analysis

The Argus Quarterly Potash Outlook service includes analysis of production curtailments/losses and sales reductions

Macroeconomic outlook

The Argus Quarterly Potash Outlook service provides analysis of the macroeconomic outlook, including the GDP growth forecast for major fertilizer-consuming countries and regions

Freight analysis

The Argus Quarterly Potash Outlook service incorporates analysis of relevant freight developments, covering ocean freight, barge (US) and rail (Germany).

Customers that benefit

Anyone with exposure to the global potash market will find the Argus Quarterly Potash Outlook service essential.
Below are examples of clients that use this service:
  • Producers and suppliers  

  • Traders 

  • Agricultural producers including palm oil

  • Shipping and port authorities

  • Procurement teams

  • Industry analysts 

  • Governments 

  • Financial institutions including bankers and investors 

  • Wholesalers 

  • Co-ops and retailers

Key price assessments

Argus potash price assessments are recognised by the market as trusted and reliable indicators of the real market value. Explore some of our most widely used and relevant price assessments.