API endorses a carbon price

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Emissions, Natural gas
  • 25/03/21

The American Petroleum Institute (API) has reversed its long-held opposition to putting a price on carbon emissions, endorsing the approach among other measures that the leading US oil and natural gas industry group says will address the risks of climate change while meeting global energy needs.

The API released its climate action framework, which includes advocating a carbon price, less than an hour before the Interior Department convened a virtual forum today to gather information from the industry and environmental activists before it finalizes changes to the federal oil and gas development program it has largely put on pause.

While not directly tied to the forum, the API's seemingly revolutionary advocacy reveals the dilemma for the US energy industry as President Joe Biden's administration is pushing oil and gas companies to toe the line on accelerating energy transition and achieving net zero emissions. Environmental activists are hoping the Interior pause on new oil and gas leases on federal lands would become permanent. But some industry officials hope the forum presents an opportunity to make the case for restarting development and have offered to meet the administration halfway on its climate goals.

"What we are advocating for here is that the API and our member companies will continue to make significant investments to make our future cleaner," API president Mike Sommers said. "And second, we know that government is going to have to play a role on these important programs," including carbon capture and sequestration, he said.

The API says it is not advocating a specific price on carbon or a mechanism. "What we are advocating for is a market based approach," Sommers said. "It could encompass an economy-wide transparent price, like a carbon tax, or it could include a cap on emissions, like a cap-and-trade program."

Supporting a carbon price is a remarkable reversal for the US' main oil lobbying group, which has torpedoed past attempts at climate legislation. But US majors ExxonMobil and Chevron endorsed a carbon price years ago, following on the heels of their European peers. And for environmental activists, the proposal may no longer be enough.

Short on votes, technology

Democrats stung by the failure of a 2010 emissions cap-and-trade bill are wary of giving Republican critics, who see carbon pricing as a federal tax hike, ammunition as they defend thin majorities in Congress. "The votes are just not there for a price on carbon," House of Representatives Energy and Commerce Committee chairman Frank Pallone (D-New Jersey) said earlier this month.

Sommers conceded that lawmakers from both parties might push back against the carbon price proposal, but added that "what we are pursuing here is what we think is a policy that is in the middle, and the one that harnesses the power of markets to drive innovation, and to drive emissions ever lower."

Biden's net zero pitch is not feasible "without technologies that are not currently in the marketplace today," Sommers said. "We think that the best way to do that is through a market based carbon pricing mechanism that is not picking winners and losers in the marketplace and that makes investments in lower carbon technologies more economic," he said.

The White House earlier this week hosted a virtual meeting with the API and leading oil and gas producers to urge them to "share information about their commitments and ideas for addressing the climate crisis and reducing emissions."

But not everyone in the oil industry is in a conciliatory mode, and their supporters in Congress and state governments are honing arguments on job and economic losses and preparing to challenge Biden's agenda in courts. The Interior's leasing pause is being challenged by 14 oil and gas producing states.

"Production of oil and natural gas from these areas are an important part of the nation's energy portfolio and will be key to ensuring the US remains a key player in the worldwide energy picture," Independent Petroleum Association of America president Barry Russell said at the Interior forum today.

Rescinding federal permits for TC Energy's 830,000 b/d Keystone XL pipeline project resulted in thousands of pipelayers being laid off, according to Republican critics, who contend that even more jobs are at risk. But "oil and gas jobs are not going anywhere", the White House says, and Biden's efforts to accelerate the energy transition is "where the industry is largely going anyway."


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29/04/24

Service firms talk up long-term gas prospects

Service firms talk up long-term gas prospects

New York, 29 April (Argus) — Leading oil field service firms are bullish on the outlook for natural gas demand in coming years even though the fuel remains stuck in the doldrums for now, with US prices near pandemic lows amid oversupply after a mild winter. "This is the age of gas," Baker Hughes chief executive Lorenzo Simonelli says, adding that global demand for the power plant and heating fuel is due to climb by almost 20pc through 2040. "Gas is abundant, lower emission, low cost, and the speed to scale is unrivalled," he says. Halliburton also sees natural gas as the "next big leg of growth" in North America, driven by demand for LNG expansion projects, although its current plans do not envisage any comeback this year. Given a shrinking fracking fleet and lack of new equipment being built, the stage is set for an "incredibly tight market" in future, chief executive Jeff Miller says. A recovery in natural gas activity in the US may not happen until the end of this year or even 2025, Liberty Energy chief executive Chris Wright says. "Customers need to see that prices have firmed, that export volume demand actually is pulling upward at a meaningful rate," he says. On recent first-quarter earnings calls, service firms were upbeat about international growth prospects in the face of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The backdrop remains one of growing demand for oil and gas and an "even deeper focus" on energy security, according to Olivier Le Peuch, chief executive of SLB, the world's biggest oil field service company. SLB, formerly known as Schlumberger, expects overseas growth momentum to make up for a slowdown in North America this year. "The relevance of oil and gas in the energy mix continues to support further investments in capacity expansion, particularly in the Middle East and in long-cycle projects across global offshore markets," Le Peuch says. But results in North America will be depressed by the combination of low gas prices, capital discipline and producer consolidation. International rescue Halliburton expects international revenue growth in the "low double-digits" for the full year, with some margin expansion given the tight market for equipment and labour. Steady activity levels are seen in North America after land completion activity bottomed out in the fourth quarter of 2023 and rebounded in the first quarter. "The world requires more energy, not less, and I'm more convinced than ever that oil and gas will fill a critical role in the global energy mix for decades to come," Miller says. The positive outlook is reinforced by customers' multi-year activity plans across markets and assets. Baker Hughes forecasts "high single-digit growth" when it comes to the outlook for international drilling and completion spending this year. But customer spending in North America is expected to fall in a "low to mid-single-digit range" when compared with 2023. "We continue to anticipate declining activity in the US gas basins, partially offsetting modest improvement in oil activity during the second half of the year," Simonelli says. Beyond 2024, upstream spending is seen growing further across international markets, albeit at a "more moderate" pace than seen in recent years, according to Baker Hughes. SLB paced a decline among oil service stocks at the end of January when state-controlled Saudi Aramco scrapped plans to increase crude output capacity to 13mn b/d from 12mn b/d. But Saudi Arabia has stepped up its plans to boost gas output, by 60pc by 2030. This new energy mix was not anticipated six months ago, but it will "not have a natural impact on our ambition for growth" in Saudi Arabia, Le Peuch says. And Saudi gas plans will require substantial investment in gas infrastructure, which is a "long-term net positive" for Baker Hughes, Simonelli says. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Production, patience driving Canada’s oil sands profits


29/04/24
29/04/24

Production, patience driving Canada’s oil sands profits

Calgary, 29 April (Argus) — Canadian oil sands operators enjoying firm profits on strong production are getting ready for a major boost when a new export pipeline to the Pacific coast goes into commercial service this week. The federally owned 590,000 b/d Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) remains on track to start operations on 1 May, and the line has already started to bear fruit. More than 4mn bl of Canadian crude is being pushed into the C$34bn ($25bn) expansion for linefill, helping to work down inventory levels in Alberta while lifting local prices relative to international benchmarks, as intended. The largest four oil sands companies — Canadian Natural Resources (CNRL), Cenovus, Suncor, and Imperial Oil — are all shippers on the expansion. They closed 2023 with a new production record of 3.6mn b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) combined in the fourth quarter, and are targeting further increases as they plan to fill the new pipeline. About 80pc of their output comes from their core oil sands businesses, with the balance from natural gas and offshore projects. The higher output compensated for a slight dip in prices, helping to push profits higher. First-quarter 2024 results are likely to be a similar story, but it is the second quarter when producers look ready to shine as prices climb to multi-month highs. A combined profit of C$26bn in 2023 was a stellar result for the big four oil sands operators, despite a 25pc decline from the record C$34bn set the previous year. Their massive projects are agnostic to daily price swings, instead focused on uptime, long-term fundamentals and capitalising on key step-changes such as the one TMX presents. Patience in the oil sands is key. TMX will cater largely to heavy crude producers, which saw diluted bitumen prices in Alberta rise only slightly quarter on quarter to $58/bl in the first quarter. But climbing global benchmarks in April and a shrinking heavy sour discount with the help of TMX linefill now has the outright price for the crude approaching $70/bl. This is above guidance given in 2024 corporate budgets, and far above oil sands operating costs that for some are as low as $12/bl. The TMX factor TMX will nearly triple the existing 300,000 b/d Trans Mountain system that connects oil-rich Alberta to the docks in Burnaby, British Columbia. The expansion was first conceived more than a decade ago with the intention of being operational by late-2017, but cost overruns and repeated delays put the project in jeopardy. Canadian producers that sought growth during that period of frustration are poised to take advantage of this new era of excess export capacity. CNRL, Cenovus and Suncor have been significant buyers in the oil sands in recent years, doubling down on the world's third-largest deposit of oil while many international companies fled amid regulatory uncertainty. The government itself enabled a foreign operator to leave Canada, buying the Trans Mountain system from Kinder Morgan in 2018. But as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberal party sees TMX to completion, and then the line's planned sale, it is also readying legislation towards something more on-brand for climate-concerned Ottawa: carbon capture. A carbon capture and storage (CCS) project spearheaded by Pathways Alliance — a consortium of the six largest oil sands producers — is awaiting federal and provincial help to push their proposal forward. Federal incentives are soon to become law, the Trudeau government said this month, with the expectation that tax credits will advance the massive C$16.5bn project and start to offset oil sands greenhouse gas emissions to meet net zero pledges for all parties involved. TMX represents a new era for Canadian crude producers, but so too does CCS, as it could attract even more investment into Alberta's oil sands region. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

BP inks another LNG deal with Korea's Kogas: Correction


29/04/24
29/04/24

BP inks another LNG deal with Korea's Kogas: Correction

Corrects total volume of LNG supplied in paragraph 2 Singapore, 29 April (Argus) — BP has signed another long-term LNG sales and purchase agreement with South Korean state-owned importer Kogas, the former said today. BP will provide Kogas with up to 9.8mn t of LNG over 11 years from mid-2026 on a des basis. But other details regarding pricing and the origin of the contracted supplies were not available. This most recent deal is in addition to the existing long-term sales and purchase agreement between the two companies that was signed in 2022. Kogas on 22 April 2022 signed an 18-year LNG purchase agreement to buy 1.58mn t/yr of LNG from BP that will begin in 2025. Australian independent Woodside Energy and Kogas in February signed a sales and purchase deal for term supplies of LNG to South Korea. The deal for 500,000 t/yr on a des basis will start in 2026 and run for 10½ years. Kogas may be seeking more imported term supply as the firm has increased its downstream contractual supply deals. Kogas signed a series of deals to supply gas to subsidiaries of the country's state-controlled utility Kepco in December 2023. By Simone Tam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

S Korea’s SK Innovation sees firm 2Q refining margins


29/04/24
29/04/24

S Korea’s SK Innovation sees firm 2Q refining margins

Singapore, 29 April (Argus) — South Korean refiner SK Innovation expects refining margins to remain elevated in this year's second quarter because of continuing firm demand, after achieving higher operating profits in the first quarter. SK expects demand to remain solid in the second quarter given a strong real economy, expectations of higher demand in emerging markets and continuing low official selling price (OSP) levels. This is despite the US Federal Reserve's high interest rate policy and oil price rallies, which are weighing on crude demand. The company's sales revenue dropped to 18.9 trillion won ($13.7bn) in the first quarter, down by 3.5pc on the previous quarter. Its energy and chemical sales accounted for 91pc of total revenue, while battery and material sales accounted for the remaining 9pc. But SK's operating profit increased to W624.7bn in January-March from W72.6bn the previous quarter. This came as its refining business flipped from an operating loss of W165bn in October-December to an operating profit of W591.1bn in the first quarter. SK attributed this increase to elevated refining margins because of higher oil prices, as well as Opec+ production cut agreements and OSP reductions. First-quarter gasoline refining margins almost doubled on the previous quarter from $7.60/bl to $13.30/bl, although diesel and kerosine edged down to $23.10/bl and $21.10/bl respectively. SK Innovation's 840,000 b/d Ulsan refinery operated at 85pc of its capacity in the fourth quarter, steady from 85pc in the previous quarter but higher than 82pc for all of 2023. The refiner's 275,000 b/d Incheon refinery's operating rate was at 88pc, up from 84pc in the fourth quarter and from 82pc in 2023. SK plans to carry out turnarounds at its 240,000 b/d No.4 crude distillation unit and No.1 residual hydrodesulphuriser, both at Ulsan, in the second quarter. Its No.2 paraxylene unit in Ulsan will have a turnaround in the same quarter. By Tng Yong Li Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Singapore’s Jadestone cuts 2024 output guidance


29/04/24
29/04/24

Singapore’s Jadestone cuts 2024 output guidance

Sydney, 29 April (Argus) — Singapore-listed independent Jadestone Energy has cut its 2024 oil and gas production guidance, citing disappointing first-quarter group production. Jadestone said the impact of planned and unplanned downtime across its portfolio resulted in it narrowing its guidance from 20,000-23,000 bl of oil equivalent (boe/d) to 20,000-22,000 boe/d in its results for 2023 published on 29 April. Average production for January-March was 17,200 boe/d, which Jadestone said reflected the impact on its Australian assets, including the 6,000 b/d Montara oil field, of an active cyclone season at the start of 2024. The firm produced 14,000 b/d in 2023, up from 11,500 b/d in 2022. But problems at Montara and lower realised oil prices resulted in a loss of $91mn in 2023 following a $9mn profit recorded in 2023. Jadestone's realised oil price of $87.34/boe in 2023 was 16pc lower than $103.85/boe a year earlier. Proved and probable reserves at the end of 2023 totalled 68mn boe, a 5pc increase on a year's earlier 64.8mn boe, mainly because of the acquisition of a 9.52pc stake in Thailand's Sinphuhorm gas field and increases at the Cossack, Wanaea, Lambert and Hermes oil fields offshore Australia and the Akatara gas field in Indonesia's Sumatra. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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