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Australia eyes 10pc renewable liquid fuel use by 2030

  • Spanish Market: Biofuels
  • 22/05/23

Australia must target 10pc renewable liquid fuel use by 2030 to help reach its goal of 43pc reduction in greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) from 2005 levels, the country's main biofuels lobby said on 22 May.

The Bioenergy Australia report, titled Transitioning Australia's Liquid Fuel Sector, recommended enacting a domestic low-carbon fuel emissions crediting system, to drive existing refiners to purchase renewable fuels from producers. It also suggested assigning tax credits for each litre of blended fuel or biofuel sold, depending on the fuel's emissions intensity, and a lowering of fuel excise rates for blended renewable fuels. The report also recommended setting government procurement targets for Australia's defence forces, which use up to 320mn l/yr of liquid fuels.

Substituting just 6pc of New South Wales' gasoline with bioethanol would result in the equivalent of taking 730,000 vehicles off the road, the report said. Replacing 2pc of diesel with biodiesel or renewable diesel around the country would effectively remove the emissions of 29,000 rigid trucks. Replacing 10pc of jet fuel with sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) would be the equivalent of reducing the distance flown by a Boeing 747 aircraft by 220mn km/yr. These could be achieved through stronger fuel efficiency standards, which Australia is likely to introduce.

The Bioenergy Australia report warned Australia faces lost economic opportunity if it fails to foster a mature bioenergy sector to help its transport industry sector abate GHG emissions.

Australia has lagged on biofuels development despite a push by farm groups for ethanol mandates to support the sugar and grains industries. Global investment in liquid renewable fuels more than doubled in 2021 to about $8bn, but Australia is falling behind countries like the US, UK, Canada, Brazil, India and others which mandate, subsidise or incentivise production at greater levels, the report said.

The nation's vast distances and remote primary industries mean that transport, mining, agriculture and construction sectors account for close to half of Australia's energy consumption in liquid fuels. But many ethanol production facilities closed in 2020 and 2021, while little investment took place during the 2010s, leaving the country heavily reliant on fuel imports.

Biomass from Australia's agricultural industry is largely underutilised. More could be exported to economies with advanced renewable fuel sectors, mirroring EU concerns about the effect of the US Inflation Reduction Act, unless greater domestic incentives are provided, the report said. Presently 70pc of tallow and 80pc of canola oil is shipped from Australia to countries where increasing quantities of biodiesel are being produced.

The federal government has largely prioritised electrification of industry and transport as part of its ambitious GHG emissions reduction targets, but last year announced a new advisory body to help it development policies to decarbonise the aviation sector and drive investment in SAF.


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EU-Minister einigen sich auf verzögerten ETS 2-Start


05/11/25
05/11/25

EU-Minister einigen sich auf verzögerten ETS 2-Start

Hamburg, 5 November (Argus) — Die Umweltminister der EU-Mitgliedstaaten planen, den Start des international Emissionshandel für den Verkehr- und den Gebäudesektor um ein Jahr auf 2028 zu verschieben. Dies ist Teil einer Einigung der Ministerien bezüglich des Klimaziels bis 2040 vom 5. November. Ursprünglich hätte der internationale Emissionshandel (ETS 2), welcher die nationale CO2-Abgabe ablösen soll, bereits 2027 starten sollen. Deutschland führt daher als Übergangsregelung für 2026 eine auktionsbasierte CO2-Abgabe ein, da auch im ETS 2 die CO2-Zertifikate versteigert werden sollen. Allerdings sieht die europäische Richtlinie für das ETS 2 die Option vor, ein Jahr später zu starten, sollten die durchschnittlichen Gas- oder Rohölpreise außergewöhnlich hoch sein. Die EU-Kommission hätte bis zum 15. Juli 2026 Zeit, dies zu evaluieren und zu entscheiden. Da die Minister jedoch vorschlagen, die Verschiebung des Starts des ETS 2 im Rahmen des Gesetzes zu verabschieden, welches auch die Klimaziele bis 2040 festlegt, müsste dies durch das EU-Parlament beschlossen werden. Dieser Beschluss wird bis Ende des Jahres erwartet. Die Initiative ging von Polen aus. Sollte die Verzögerung eintreten — sei es durch den Beschluss des EU-Parlaments auf Basis des Vorschlages der EU-Umweltminister oder aufgrund der Energiepreisklausel — würde der nationale Emissionshandel in seiner am 31. Dezember 2026 gültigen Form fortgesetzt werden. Aktuell bedeutet dies, dass Unternehmen dann zwischen 55 € und 65 € pro Zertifikat bei Auktionen bieten müssen, mit der Möglichkeit, zu einem Festpreis von 68 € pro Zertifikat nach Abverkauf der Versteigerungsmenge Zertifikate nachzukaufen. Inverkehrbringer von Heizöl, Diesel und Benzin stellt dies vor die Hürde, nicht genau zu wissen, wie hoch die CO2-Abgabe für sie ausfallen wird, da sie den Zuschlagspreis der Auktionen nicht vorhersagen können. Somit ist es für sie schwieriger, die CO2-Kosten in ihren Preiskalkulationen zu berücksichtigen. Die Minister haben sich darüber hinaus darauf geeinigt, dass die EU-Staaten ihre Treibhausgasemissionen bis 2040 um 90 % reduzieren müssen gegenüber dem Niveau von 1990. Bis zu 5 Prozentpunkte der Minderungen der gesamten EU dürfen dabei über die Anrechnung hochqualitativer internationaler Zertifikate erreicht werden. Ab 2036 soll die Anrechnung der Zertifikate möglich sein; bereits ab 2031 soll ein Pilotmarkt für den Handel mit diesen Zertifikaten initiiert werden. Deutschland — vertreten durch Bundesumweltminister Carsten Schneider — hat sich gemeinsam mit den Niederlanden dafür eingesetzt, dass maximal 3 Prozentpunkte durch Zertifikate erreicht werden können. Von Max Steinhau & Dafydd ab Iago Senden Sie Kommentare und fordern Sie weitere Informationen an feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . Alle Rechte vorbehalten.

Brazil may expand ethanol, RNG usage by 2040: Study


04/11/25
04/11/25

Brazil may expand ethanol, RNG usage by 2040: Study

Sao Paulo, 4 November (Argus) — Brazil may increase its demand for ethanol and biomethane (RNG) by 2040 thanks to increasing decarbonization targets in the transport sectors, according to a study by Brazil-based LCA consulting Brazil's ethanol demand may more than double to 52.2bn l (900,980 b/d) by 2040, driven by larger export flows and increasing share in other biofuels production, such as sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and low-emission marine fuels, the study, which was requested by low-carbon mobility institute MBC Brasil, said. LCA also projects that both aviation and maritime transport ethanol demand in 2040 could consume the equivalent of up to 80pc of 2025 ethanol consumption in motor fuels, which includes a 30pc mandate blend into gasoline (E30). LCA also projects that the aviation and maritime transport sectors could account for up to 80pc of this year's ethanol consumption. Sugarcane crop yields will double in the next 15 years — driving sugarcane-based ethanol output — while corn-based ethanol production may more than triple to 25bn l by 2040, LCA said. Ethanol can be used either for SAF's alcohol-to-jet (ATJ) production route and as an alternative for methanol to fuel vessels. As for biomethane, the waste-based biofuel may replace up to 70pc of diesel in the heavy vehicle transport segment by 2040, with 120mn m³/d. Brazil's mines and energy ministry recently submitted a 238,500 m³/d target for its first-ever biomethane mandate in 2026. Gas producers and importers will have to blend biomethane into natural gas to comply with a target to reduce greenhouse gases by 0.25pc/yr. But the study considered a 1pc mandate blend in the following years to estimate a demand of 8.5mn m³/d of biomethane by 2034, excluding the voluntary market. Brazil's diesel-fueled trucks would still represent 85pc of the national heavy vehicles fleet, regarding its increasing biodiesel mandate blend, while biomethane and battery electric vehicles would add up to 15pc by 2040, according to the study. Electric fleets will require R20.7bn-24.9bn ($3.8bn-4.6bn) in infrastructure investments to reach an estimated increase of 807,000 electric recharging stations by 2040. Brazilian public policies should include selective taxes for lower-emission vehicles and biofuels to accomplish its climate targets in both energy and transport sectors, MBC and LCA said. Another solution would be to expand markets for national biofuels. That can be done with deals such as the Mercosur-EU agreement and bilateral agreements with Mexico . By João Curi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Gulf product tanker rates near six-month lows


04/11/25
04/11/25

US Gulf product tanker rates near six-month lows

New York, 4 November (Argus) — Medium Range (MR) tanker freight rates for refined oil product shipments from the US Gulf coast are nearing six-month lows on ample vessel supply and tepid demand from geopolitical turmoil and weather disruptions. Commodity trader Sol on 4 November put the Aquila L MR tanker on subjects for a US Gulf coast-Pozos, Colombia, voyage loading from 11-12 November at $490,000 lumpsum, representing the lowest rate on that route since 20 May and a 62pc drop from the two-month high hit on 16 October at $1.3mn. Hurricane Melissa sprang up shortly after 16 October, contributing to a significant drop in Caribbean demand in the spot market and wreaking havoc in Jamaica and Cuba later that month. The drop in Caribbean buyers, one of the major demand drivers for the US Gulf coast spot market, alongside a high number of vessels ballasting into the region from west Africa, Europe and even some transiting the Panama Canal from the Pacific basin boosted the region's tonnage pool by 30 October. There were 19 MR tankers available to load within a five-day window on that day, according to a shipbroker, the highest in that window since 19 May when rates were nearing multi-year lows partly on tariff and regulatory uncertainties . Time-charter equivalent (TCE) rates represent potential returns on voyages for shipowners, and the US Gulf coast-Pozos voyage TCE rate ballooned from $11,766/d on 17 September to $50,670/d by 16 October. Meanwhile, the Rotterdam-New York voyage TCE rate dropped from $8,314/d to $6,087/d in that same period, maintaining the US Gulf coast spot market as the most alluring destination for MR tanker operators in the Atlantic basin compared to Europe and triggering the steady build-up of MR tonnage around Houston. Long-haul rates resisting downward pressure Rates for west coast Americas-bound voyages loading in the US Gulf coast may be shrugging off downward pressure on reduced competition for these voyages after rates pushed down near range lows on 3 November. Shipowners could be counting on an influx of east coast Mexico and Caribbean near-term demand in the wake of Hurricane Melissa that could chew through the prompt tonnage that had built up in recent weeks. Vessel operators who secure the short-duration voyages to these regions in the coming days would be well positioned to reenter the US Gulf coast spot market during that potential rebound, and some shipowners might be leveraging this to secure an uptick in voyage rates for longer Panama Canal-transiting routes. Chevron put the Pintail Pacific MR tanker on subjects for a US Gulf coast-west coast Central America voyage from 11-12 November at $1.55mn, a $100,000 increase from the rate's assessment on 3 November. Meanwhile, Mexican state-owned refiner Pemex's trading arm PMI put the Vukovar MR tanker on subjects for a US Gulf coast-west coast Mexico voyage at $1.99mn, a $90,000 increase from that rate's assessment on 3 November. Large tanker rates hit highs on Brazil, Asia influx Rising Brazilian and Asia-Pacific demand not only buoyed long range 1 (LR1) tanker loadings in the US Gulf coast to their highest in October since US sanctions on Venezuela barred that country from imports in May, but also boosted previously rare LR2 loadings to likely all-time highs. Brazilian diesel demand shifted to the US Gulf coast because of Russian refinery issues beginning in September, which helped to boost LR1 loadings in October to their highest since May alongside a jump in Japanese naphtha demand, according to Vortexa data. Rates for US Gulf coast-Europe and US Gulf coast-north Brazil LR1 voyages hit 18-month highs on 31 October at $38.22/t and $33.80/t, respectively, rising by around 75pc since 22 May compared to much more volatile, and overall declining, MR tanker rates in that same period. Venezuelan imports carried by LR1s in May made up the plurality of the US Gulf coast spot market for that vessel segment at 40.6pc of all shipments, according to Vortexa, representing 92,800 b/d of demand. The removal of this demand driver had pushed Argus -assessed LR1 rates for Europe and east coast South America-bound voyages to their lowest levels in two years by the end of that month. Meanwhile, previously rare LR2 tanker demand in the US Gulf coast hit its highest level in October stretching back through 2016, according to Vortexa. Brazilian buyers loaded 74,500 b/d on that vessel segment in October alongside 51,500 b/d to Europe and 48,000 b/d to South Korea. The uptick in long range tanker demand overall is eating into the typically MR tanker-dominated US Gulf coast spot market and contributing to the persistently high vessel supply within that segment. US president Donald Trump's October tour of Asia-Pacific countries like Japan and South Korea could contribute to internal pressure within those countries to expand US business ties, pushing additional buyers toward US Gulf coast LR1 and LR2 loadings of naphtha over closer Mideast Gulf suppliers. By Ross Griffith Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil's 2024 GHG emissions reach 6-year low


03/11/25
03/11/25

Brazil's 2024 GHG emissions reach 6-year low

Sao Paulo, 3 November (Argus) — Brazil's greenhouse gas (GHG) total gross emissions fell by almost 17pc in 2024 from a year earlier, reaching the lowest levels since 2018, according to greenhouse gases tracking platform SEEG. The country emitted 2.14bn metric tonnes (t) of CO² — including carbon capture offsets from preserved areas and naturally recovered forests — in 2024, down from 2.57bn t of CO² a year earlier and higher than the 2.1bn t of CO² in 2018. The decrease from 2023 was mostly driven by [reduced deforestation in both the Amazon rainforest and tropical savannah Cerrado](http://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/2749051) biomes, Brazilian climate umbrella group Observatorio do Clima said. Land-use change, mostly deforestation, generated around 906mn t of CO² in 2024, down by 32pc from a year earlier. The sector accounted for 42pc of national emissions, down from 52pc in 2023. Other sectors, such as energy, industry and waste management increased emissions by 0.8pc, 2.8pc and 3.6pc, respectively, from a year earlier. Meanwhile, the livestock industry represented more than half of Brazil's total emissions in 2024. Cattle raising is Brazil's largest emitter because of its widespread deforestation practices, indirect use of energy and methane emissions from cattle digestion. Waste management and sewage emissions rose by 3.6pc last year from 2023, reaching an all-time high level. Despite representing 5pc of total emissions, a larger population and broader solid waste gathering pushed up the sector in 2024. Brazil move 70pc of its solid waste to sanitary landfills but failed to comply with its expired target to eliminate all trash dumps by 2024. As for the energy sector, record ethanol demand in 2024, reaching 36bn l (621,370 b/d), contributed to the sector's timid increase in emissions year-on-year by cutting passenger transport emissions in the period, SEEG said. Mitigation in Brazil relies heavily on countering deforestation. But the country needs to cut emissions in all sectors to achieve its nationally determined contribution (NDC) target of 1.2bn t of CO² by 2030, SEEG's coordinator David Tsai said. Brazil also reduced its net emissions to 1.49bn t of CO² last year, down from 1.92bn t of CO² in 2023, SEEG data show. National net emissions more than halved to 249mn t of CO². But the country might reach 1.44bn t of CO² in net emissions this year, about 9pc above its NDC target for 2025. Brazil will host the upcoming UN Cop 30 climate summit, in Belem, hoping to bolster itself as a [key voice in climate leadership](http://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/2734245). But it is facing backlash over some environmental decisions, such as the recent license granted to state-controlled Petrobras by environment watchdog Ibama to drill a block in the Foz do Amazonas basin , in the environmentally-sensitive equatorial margin. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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