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Qatar signs EU's second LNG supply deal beyond 2050

  • Spanish Market: Condensate, Crude oil, Natural gas
  • 18/10/23

State-owned QatarEnergy (QE) and Shell have signed two 27-year supply agreements for up to 3.5mn t/yr of LNG, starting in 2026, making the Netherlands the second European country after France to purchase gas well beyond 2050.

The LNG "will be delivered to Gate LNG terminal located in the port of Rotterdam", QE said today.

Volumes will be sourced from the two joint ventures between QE and France's TotalEnergies that hold interests in Qatar's North Field East (NFE) and North field South (NFS) projects, according to QE.

QE on 11 October signed an identical contract with TotalEnergies.

It remains unclear, in both contracts, if there is a minimum delivery obligation to France. QE already has long-standing flexible supply arrangements into Europe with no minimum delivery obligation at Belgium's 7.2mn t/yr Zeebrugge and the UK's 14.8mn t/yr Isle of Grain and 15.6mn t/yr South Hook terminals. These give the firm something akin to a put option that it can use to deliver uncommitted LNG cargoes to Europe after meeting delivery obligations to customers elsewhere who have contractual flexibility to adjust their offtake.

Shell holds a 6.25pc stake at the 32mn t/yr NFE project and 9.375pc at the 16mn t/yr NFS project.

"There is no doubt that the contracted LNG volumes underscore the vital role natural gas plays in the energy transition and in supporting energy security of customers across the globe," Qatari energy minister and QE chief executive Saad al-Kaabi said.

The EU aims to be climate-neutral by 2050 — an economy with net zero greenhouse gas emissions. This objective is at the heart of the European Green Deal and in line with the EU's commitment to global climate action under the Paris Agreement.

Al-Kaabi said in January that the 48mn t/yr NFE and NFS projects will be sold out potentially by the end of this year, with buyers in Asia-Pacific aware that there is a pull from Europe — "2023 is going to be a very big year for Qatar," he said. "A lot of things are going to be announced."


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19/03/25

US Fed keeps rate flat, eyes 2 cuts in '25: Update

US Fed keeps rate flat, eyes 2 cuts in '25: Update

Adds Powell comments, economic projections. Houston, 19 March (Argus) — Federal Reserve policymakers held their target interest rate unchanged today in their second meeting of 2025, and signaled two quarter-point cuts are still likely this year. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc. This mirrored the decision made at the last FOMC meeting at the end of January, which followed rate cuts of 100 basis points over the last three meetings of 2024, which were the first cuts since 2020. "Our current policy stance is well positioned to deal with the risks and uncertainties we are looking at," Fed chair Jerome Powell told journalists after the meeting. "The economy seems to be healthy." Powell acknowledged some of the negative market sentiment in recent weeks, which he said "... probably has to do with turmoil at the beginning of an administration." "We kind of know there are going to be tariffs and they tend to bring growth down and they tend to bring inflation up," he said, but long-term inflation expectations are "well anchored." In December the Fed said it expected 50 basis points worth of cuts for 2025, down from 100 basis points projected in the September median economic projections of Fed board members and Fed bank presidents. Policymakers and Fed officials Wednesday lowered their estimate for GDP growth this year to 1.7pc from a prior estimate of 2.1pc in the December economic projections. They see inflation rising to 2.7pc for 2025 from the prior estimate of 2.5pc. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed keeps rate unchanged, signals 2 cuts this year


19/03/25
19/03/25

US Fed keeps rate unchanged, signals 2 cuts this year

Houston, 19 March (Argus) — Federal Reserve policymakers held their target interest rate unchanged today in their second meeting of 2025, and signaled two quarter-point cuts are still likely this year. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc. This mirrored the decision made at the last FOMC meeting at the end of January, which followed cutting the rate by 100 basis points in the last three meetings of 2024, which were the first cuts since 2020. In December last year, the Fed penciled-in 50 basis points worth of cuts for 2025, down from 100 basis points projected in the September median economic projections of Fed board members and Fed bank presidents. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US imports of Canadian crude at 2-year low: Update


19/03/25
19/03/25

US imports of Canadian crude at 2-year low: Update

Adds preliminary import data for Canada, Mexico. Calgary, 19 March (Argus) — Imports of Canadian crude into the US fell to a two-year low last week with tariffs giving shippers pause, according to Energy Information Administration (EIA) data reported today. Canada is by far the largest source of foreign crude for the US but flows fell to 3.1mn b/d in the week ended 14 March, according to preliminary estimates. This is down by 541,000 b/d from the week before and the lowest since the week ended 24 March 2023, when 3mn b/d was imported. While weekly data can be volatile, the volume of crude from Canada has trended lower in February and the first half of March with shippers likely sensitive to the ever-changing US policy on imports. A 25pc tariff, later reduced to 10pc, on Canadian energy was threatened to start in early February before being delayed by 30 days. It then went into effect from 4-7 March before being lifted again for goods covered under the US-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) free trade agreement. US president Donald Trump is threatening more tariffs will be imposed on 2 April. South Bow, the owner of the 622,000 b/d Keystone pipeline connecting Alberta to the US midcontinent and beyond said just the threat of tariffs prompted uncommitted shippers to dial back exports to the US. Crude imports from Mexico, who have also been targeted by Trump tariffs, were also down on the week at 195,000 b/d. This is lower by 118,000 b/d and is the fifth-lowest on record, according to EIA data going back to 2010. Overall crude imports to the US were only down by 85,000 b/d to 5.4mn b/d on higher deliveries from Colombia, Nigeria and Venezuela, while crude exports rose last week by 1.4mn b/d to 4.6mn b/d. As a result, net imports fell by 1.4mn b/d to 741,000 b/d, the third-lowest level on record in data going back to 2001. Crude stocks rise by 1.7mn bl US crude inventories rose last week as a gain in the Gulf coast region outweighed draws elsewhere. US crude inventories rose to 437mn bl in the week ended 14 March, up from 435.2mn bl a week earlier. This is the highest level since 436.5mn bl in the week ended 12 July 2024. Compared with a year earlier, inventories last week are still down by 8.1mn bl. Stockpiles in the US Gulf coast region rose to 252.3mn bl from 248.8mn bl a week earlier and the highest since June 2024. Inventories at the Cushing storage hub in Oklahoma fell by 1mn bl to 23.5mn bl and are down by 8mn bl from a year earlier. Inventories in the greater US midcontinent region, including Cushing, fell on the week by 2.3mn bl to 105.5mn bl. Crude inventories at the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) came in at 395.9mn bl for a weekly gain of 275,000 bl. SPR stocks are not included in the overall EIA commercial crude inventory figures. US crude production fell by 2,000 b/d on the week to 13.57mn b/d. By Brett Holmes US weekly crude stocks/movements Stocks mn bl 14-Mar 7-Mar ±% Year ago ±% Crude oil (excluding SPR) 437.0 435.2 0.4% 445.0 -1.8% - Cushing crude 23.5 24.5 -4.1% 31.4 -25.4% Imports/exports '000 b/d Crude imports 5,385 5,470 -1.6% 6,278 -14.2% Crude exports 4,644 3,290 41.2% 4,881 -4.9% Refinery usage Refinery inputs '000 b/d 15,949 15,880 0.4% 16,102 -1.0% Refinery utilisation % 86.9 86.5 0.5% 87.8 -1.0% Production mn b/d 13.6 13.6 0.0% 13.1 3.8% — US Energy Information Administration Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Turkish lira at all-time low against dollar


19/03/25
19/03/25

Turkish lira at all-time low against dollar

London, 19 March (Argus) — Turkey's lira currency fell to record lows against the US dollar today, after the arrest of Istanbul's mayor provoked concern about instability. The depreciation could cause imports of dollar-denominated commodities to become more expensive, although reaction was mixed across markets. The lira went as low at 40/$1 in early trading, from below 37/$1 on Tuesday 18 March, before easing to around 38/$1 later in the day. The lira has been slowly depreciating against the dollar for many years, but the sharp fall today came after Ekrem Imamoglu, one of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's main political rivals, was held on suspicion of corruption and aiding a terrorist organisation. Turkey is a significant importer of natural gas, crude and LPG, as well as coal and petcoke, although demand for many commodities will be muted currently because of the Islamic fasting month of Ramadan. Early indications from the coal and petcoke markets were that all import trades had halted as the lira hit the record low. In polymers markets the focus is on whether demand recovers after Ramadan ends on 30 March. But a trading source in Turkey said the fall is not enough for "massive changes" to imports of oil products. The OECD forecasts headline inflation in Turkey at 31.4pc this year, the highest among its members, easing to 17.3pc in 2026. The IMF has forecast Turkey's economy will grow by 2.6pc this year, after an expansion of 2.7pc in 2024. By Ben Winkley, Aydin Calik, Joseph Clarke, Amaar Khan and Dila Odluyurt Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

UK study sets out Grangemouth's post-refining future


19/03/25
19/03/25

UK study sets out Grangemouth's post-refining future

Edinburgh, 19 March (Argus) — A government-funded study has identified nine potential low-carbon and renewable options for the Grangemouth site in Scotland following the planned closure of its 150,000 b/d refinery in the second quarter this year. The nine possible projects outlined in the Project Willow study centre around waste, bio-feedstocks and industries supporting the development of offshore wind. They could benefit each other through synergies and create up to 800 direct jobs, but their success "will require significant contributions from both the public and private sector", with an initial £3.5bn ($4.5bn) in capital investments needed, the study said. The £1.5mn report, paid for by the UK and Scottish governments, was commissioned by Grangemouth refinery operator Petroineos, which announced in November 2023 that it was going to close the plant and convert it into a fuel import terminal. The UK and Scottish governments have since set aside £25mn and £200mn for Grangemouth, along with other initiatives such as Scotland's £100mn Falkirk and Grangemouth Growth Deal package. The study's 'waste' pathway comprises a hydrothermal plastic recycling project, a dissolution plastic recycling facility and a bio-refining project relying on bacterial fermentation (ABE). Under the 'bio-feedstock' pathway, the study envisages a second-generation bioethanol plant on Scottish timber feedstock and an anaerobic digestion facility using organic waste to produce biomethane. Second-generation bioethanol refers to ethanol made from non-edible resources such as biomass. This pathway also suggests a sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) plant, with production made from hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids (HEFA). UK trade union Unite has been supportive of this option , but Petroineos deemed it unviable "under current regulatory conditions". The third pathway — called conduit for offshore wind — is mostly focused on hydrogen. It includes fuel switching, producing jet from e-methanol and methanol as well as producing low-carbon ammonia for the shipping and chemicals industry. The second-generation ethanol plant and the HEFA facility, as well as the e-methanol and e-ammonia projects, would have a longer 2030-40 timeline, against a 2028-30 timeline for the other projects. The projects would benefit from existing infrastructure such as Grangemouth's port, which includes container, bulk and liquid fuel terminals. "There are also opportunities to reuse existing tank storage, ethanol facilities, and other ancillary assets at the site," the study said. Unite has criticised the study's project timelines, pointing out most would start years after the refinery had closed, by which time jobs would have been lost. Many of the projects "could be fast tracked and implemented now", including converting the refinery to SAF production, the union said. "Project Willow was created by Petroineos as a fig leaf to justify its act of industrial vandalism of shutting the refinery and axing jobs. It asked the wrong questions and then failed to provide the answers that Grangemouth refinery workers need," Unite general secretary Sharon Graham said. "There are projects like SAF production which can be swiftly enacted to protect jobs and those opportunities must not be lost. This would pave the way for the UK to become a world leader in green aviation." By Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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