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US ethane supply gains seen trailing demand growth

  • Spanish Market: LPG, Petrochemicals
  • 23/05/24

Export and domestic demand growth for US ethane is expected to outpace US supply growth by as much as 72,000 b/d by 2026, according to a recent forecast from consultancy East Daley Analytics.

A surplus of US ethane production, bolstered by gains in natural gas drilling and production to meet growing demand for electricity generation and LNG exports, has led to increasing investments in additional ethane export terminal capacity to provide other outlets for the petrochemical feedstock.

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed US ethane production from natural gas processing rose to a record 2.78mn b/d in October of 2023 and fell to 2.69mn b/d in February, the latest data the agency has available. Those volumes don't take into account ethane that is rejected into the gas stream at processing plants during periods of restrained capacity or when natural gas prices spike on weather-related outages, incentivizing lower ethane recovery.

Mont Belvieu, Texas, EPC ethane's premium relative to its natural gas fuel value at Waha reached a peak of 50.31¢/USG on 6 May, a 16-month high, and has averaged 26.08¢/USG in May so far, according to Argus data. As ethane margins versus natural gas rise, ethane extraction at natural gas processing plants becomes even more profitable, pushing ethane recovery rates higher.

Yet East Daley's forecasts suggest projects to absorb this additional feedstock may quickly outpace production.

The consultancy projects US ethane production will rise by 283,000 b/d by 2026, driven mostly by gains in natural gas production in the Permian and Marcellus basins.

Increased gas takeaway capacity from the completion of maintenance on Kinder Morgan's Permian Highway pipeline (PHP), the Gulf Coast Express (GCX) pipeline, and the Transwestern pipeline at the end of this month, will allow for higher levels of ethane rejection, according to Rob Wilson, East Daley's vice president of analytics, limiting potential gains in ethane production from the additional gas.

Further gas capacity restrictions in the Permian are expected to be mitigated when the 2.5 Bcf/d Matterhorn Express pipeline — which runs from the Waha, Texas, gas hub to Katy, Texas, on the Gulf coast — comes online in the third quarter of this year.

Domestic demand for ethane is projected to rise by 129,000 b/d by 2026 with the addition of Chevron Phillips Chemical's joint venture with QatarEnergy to construct a 2mn t/yr ethane cracker on the Texas Gulf coast that is scheduled to come online in 2026. That joint venture will consume 118,000 b/d of ethane when at full capacity, but will operate at 50pc of capacity when first on line in 2026, according to East Daley.

Increased US ethane cracking will come on top of a 231,000 b/d increase in ethane exports by 2026, driven by demand from Chinese crackers and burgeoning demand from Indian crackers, according to the consultancy. Ethane export expansions at Energy Transfer's Marcus Hook terminal in Pennsylvania and Enterprise Products Partners' new flexible LPG and ethane terminal at Beaumont, Texas, are expected to be complete by 2025 and 2026, respectively.

Combined, these projects add another 360,000 b/d of ethane demand by 2026, outstripping expected supply growth by an estimated 72,000 b/d, according to East Daley's forecast.

By Abby Downing-Beaver


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11/02/25

Trump bans federal use of paper drinking straws

Trump bans federal use of paper drinking straws

Houston, 11 February (Argus) — President Donald Trump has signed an executive order to ban the procurement of paper drinking straws by the US government and to take steps toward enacting a similar ban nationwide. An "irrational" campaign against plastic straws had forced Americans to use "nonfunctional" paper straws that are more expensive and may pose a risk to human health, Trump said in the order signed Monday. Health risks include the leaching of polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) from paper straws into drinks, the White House said. The order signed on Monday bans the purchase of paper straws for use in federal buildings and requires within 45 days the development of a " National Strategy to End the Use of Paper Straws". Former president Joe Biden had directed the federal government to end the use of single-use plastic in food applications by 2027. The Plastics Industry Association praised the executive order. "Plastic is the best material for nearly everything it is used for, while being sustainable," Plastics Industry Association chief executive Matt Seaholm said. "Straws are just the beginning — 'Back to Plastic' is a movement we should all get behind." Plastic straws are typically made from polypropylene. Environmental group Greenpeace USA accused Trump of signing the order as a distraction from his administration's moves to prevent federal institutions from protecting Americans from microplastics and "dangerous chemicals". By Zach Kluver Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Feyzin bitumen output halted as part of wider stoppage


11/02/25
11/02/25

Feyzin bitumen output halted as part of wider stoppage

London, 11 February (Argus) — Bitumen production at TotalEnergies' 109,300 b/d Feyzin refinery near Lyon, central France, is halted from 10-20 February as part of a wider shutdown affecting the refinery's crude distillation unit (CDU) and reformer. Workers at the plant said last week there had been unexpectedly extended CDU works caused by a blockage by unspecified debris . TotalEnergies said at the time it would not comment on operations. Officials at the company confirmed today the CDU and reformer were among units shut at Feyzin, but said the halt was planned. They said the CDU had suffered no unexpected blockage or damage. Workers reiterated today that debris had been detected in the CDU and that this could result in a shutdown lasting weeks. Sources familiar with the refinery's operations said today that the bitumen halt would cause no supply disruptions in terms of the usual truck movements, with sufficient stocks held at the plant to meet current low-level requirements during the winter slow activity period in the road paving and other construction sectors. By Fenella Rhodes and Adam Porter Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

LyondellBasell mulls Dutch PO/SM plant reorganisation


11/02/25
11/02/25

LyondellBasell mulls Dutch PO/SM plant reorganisation

London, 11 February (Argus) — Chemicals firm LyondellBasell is in negotiations with workers at its Maasvlakte propylene oxide (PO) and styrene monomer (SM) production facility in the Netherlands about "a reorganisation at the plant", Dutch workers' union FNV told Argus . The union is negotiating with the company on compensation for workers whose jobs may be affected and assistance with transitioning to new roles. Members will vote on the proposed plan by the end of February. "At this stage, no definitive decisions have been made," LyondellBassell said today. The firm "continuously evaluates business conditions, our portfolio and a wide range of options for managing our assets," it said. The Maasvlakte PO/SM plant is a 50-50 joint venture between LyondellBasell and Germany's Covestro. "Covestro regularly reviews its portfolio in the light of business conditions. This includes discussions with our joint venture partner regarding the Maasvlakte site," Covestro said. LyondellBasell and Covestro both declined to comment on whether they are discussing a possible sale of the Maasvlakte facility. LyondellBasell launched a strategic review of its European assets last May. The review is ongoing, the firm said last month. The Maasvlakte plant is one of six ‘non-core' European assets, the company said in August last year. The facility has 315,000 t/yr of PO capacity and 640,000 t/yr of SM capacity. It began operations in 2003 and employs approximately 160 people. The plant has been idled since December last year 2024. It has been intermittently idled several times in recent years, reflecting a structural surplus in Europe's PO and SM production capacity. The negotiations with workers indicate LyondellBasell is considering longer-term changes to operations at the site. Europe's petrochemicals sector remains squeezed by high energy costs, a higher overall cost base compared to other production regions and stagnant regional downstream demand. LyondellBassell also has 220,000 t/yr of PO and tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) production capacity in France and 260,000 t/yr of PO and TBA capacity in the Netherlands. It also has a total of 649,000 t/yr of PO and SM capacity in the US that it operates jointly with Covestro, as well as over 1mn t/yr of its own PO and TBA capacity in the US including a 470,000 t/yr plant in Channelview, Texas, which started up in early 2023 . Production margins for PO/TBA facilities, which supply TBA for MTBE production, are generally much more favourable than for PO/SM plants. And lower US energy costs help to make US PO output more cost-efficient than in European production. US exports of PO to Europe have increased sharply since 2023, reaching 7,800 t/month in 2024, according to US customs data, up from just 760 t/month in 2020 (see graph). By Laura Tovey-Fall US PO exports '000 t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico inflation slows to 4-year low in January


10/02/25
10/02/25

Mexico inflation slows to 4-year low in January

Mexico City, 10 February (Argus) — Mexico's consumer price index (CPI) eased to an annual 3.59pc January, the lowest in four years, as deceleration in agriculture prices offset faster inflation in energy and consumer goods prices. This marks the lowest annual inflation since January 2021 and a significant slowdown from July's annual peak of 5.57pc, which was driven by weather-impacted food prices. The result, reported by statistics agency Inegi on 7 January, was slightly below than the 3.63pc median estimate from 35 analysts polled in Citi Research's 5 February survey. It compares with the 4.21pc headline inflation in December, marking five months of declines in the past six months. Mexican core inflation, which excluded volatile energy and food, sped slightly to 3.66pc in January from 3.65pc in December, while non-core inflation decelerated to 3.34pc from 5.95pc the previous month. Movement, in the non-core, said Banorte, was mostly explained by a positive basis of comparison, and "will reverse as soon as the second half of February to push the headline metric above 4pc," said Banorte. Core inflation accelerated slightly to 3.66pc in January from 3.65pc in December, marking the second uptick after 22 consecutive months of deceleration. Services inflation slowed to 4.69pc from 4.94pc, while consumer goods inflation ticked up to 2.74 from 2.4pc. Non-core inflation slowed sharply to 3.34pc from 6.57pc in December. This was largely due to base effects, Banorte said, adding these base effects are likely to fade this month to speed headline annual inflation back above 4pc. The base effects most clearly impacted fruit and vegetable price inflation, contracting 7.73pc in January from 6.65pc annual inflation the previous month. Moving forward, agriculture prices are highly exposed to the coming hot, dry season in Mexico, with the La Nina climate phenomenon, adding a layer of uncertainty. Meanwhile, energy inflation accelerated to 6.34pc in January from 5.73pc the previous month, driven by higher LPG prices. Electricity inflation, meanwhile, sped to 4.32pc in January from 2.65pc in December, while inflation slowed to 0.02pc in January for domestic natural gas prices from 5.67pc in December. Monetary policy The January inflation report followed the central bank's decision Thursday to reduce its target interest rate to 9.50pc from 10pc. This was the bank's sixth rate cut since March 2024, winding down from 11.25pc. The 4-1 decision marked an acceleration in the current rate cycle, opting for a half-point reduction rather than the previous five 25-basis-point cuts. In board comments with the announcement, the bank cited "significant progress in resolving the inflationary episode derived from the global shocks" in 2021 and 2022. These triggered rate hikes from 4pc in June 2021 to 11.25pc in April 2022, the target rate's historic high. Taking into account the "country's weak economic activity" and this progress in reducing inflation, the board said it would "consider adjusting [the target] by similar magnitudes" at upcoming meetings. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

BP puts Gelsenkirchen refinery in Germany up for sale


06/02/25
06/02/25

BP puts Gelsenkirchen refinery in Germany up for sale

Hamburg, 6 February (Argus) — BP said today it will begin seeking buyers for its Ruhr Oel business, which includes the 257,800 b/d Gelsenkirchen refinery and an associated petrochemicals plant in western Germany. The UK company hopes to reach a sales agreement in 2025, although the exact timing will depend on approval of local competition authorities, it said. The sale should have no affect on short-term supply of oil products in western Germany as the refinery will keep up normal production in the interim, the company said in a press release. BP had said it planned to downsize Gelsenkirchen , shutting four unitsand reducing its crude capacity by a third. The shutdown of the affected units is scheduled for the end of the 2025 and will go ahead, BP told Argus . Potential buyers are not yet known. BP is the latest in a series of companies looking to sell or reduce their refinery shares in Germany. Shell is still searching for a buyer for its 37.5pc stake in the PCK consortium's 226,000 b/d Schwedt refinery, in eastern Germany, after a sale to UK energy firm Prax fell through in late December. Shell was also in discussions to sell its 32.25pc stake in the Miro's consortium's 310,000 b/d Karlsruhe refinery to czech company MERO CR in 2024, which did not result in a sales agreement. Shell is further on track to shut down the Wesseling plant at its 334,000 b/d Rhineland refinery complex. Russian state-controlled Rosneft intends to sell its German subsidiaries, Rosneft Deutschland and RN Refining & Marketing, which are held under the trusteeship of the Federal Network Agency. These assets include a controlling stake in the PCK joint venture, a 24pc share in the Miro's consortium and a 28.6pc share in the Bayernoil joint venture, operator of the 207,000 b/d Neustadt-Vohburg refinery in Bavaria. ExxonMobil announced its intention to sell its 25pc stake in the Karlsruhe refinery to Austria's Alcmene, a subsidiary of Estonia's Liwathon, in 2023. The sale fell through in July 2024 after a German court upheld a ruling banning the company from selling its stakes in the Miro consortium following an injunction filed by Shell. BP also operates the 95,000 b/d Lingen refinery in western Germany. This is unaffected by the sale plan for Gelsenkirchen. By Natalie Müller Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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