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Eurozone manufacturing slides deeper into contraction

  • Spanish Market: Electricity, LPG, Metals, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 01/10/24

The eurozone manufacturing sector slid further into contraction in September, when strength in Spain and Greece was unable to outweigh underperformance from other, larger, economies including France and Germany.

The Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) eurozone manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) reading, compiled by S&P Global, was 45.0 in the month, a nine-month low. It was the first fall after three months of stability at 45.8. A PMI reading of below 50 indicates a deterioration.

HCOB chief economist Cyrus de la Rubia noted a combination of falling demand and supply-chain constraints that were last seen during the Covid-19 pandemic.

"Since June, the index tracking delivery issues has been dropping alongside new orders and for the first time since February, businesses are saying they are having to wait even longer for goods than they did in the previous month," he said. "The ongoing geopolitical tensions are obviously taking their toll here." Attacks on shipping in the Red Sea have lengthened delivery times to Europe from east of Suez, with many vessels taking the longer route around the Cape of Good Hope.

Readings fell for production, new orders, employment and procurement, and producers depleted inventories. One bright spot for producers was the first fall in input costs since May, although selling prices also dropped.

In the UK the S&P Global manufacturing PMI reading was 51.5 in September, a fifth successive month of expansion, albeit at a slower rate than the 52.5 in August. Output, new orders and suppliers' delivery times were "consistent with improved manufacturing operating conditions", while levels of employment and stocks of purchases declined. Input cost inflation was at a 20-month high, and the survey noted some caution ahead of the new government setting out its fiscal priorities on 30 October.


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19/06/25

India's new steel input quality rule to curb imports

India's new steel input quality rule to curb imports

Mumbai, 19 June (Argus) — India's ministry of steel has issued an order stating raw materials used in imported finished steel products should meet Indian quality standards. This is likely to restrict imports, resulting in shortages of specialty steel products used by the automotive industry and other consumers, industry participants said. The order, issued on 13 June, will now require semi-finished products such as slab, billets and ingots to comply with Indian standards, even if the finished steel product already has a Bureau of Indian Standard (BIS) certification. If an overseas supplier has a BIS permit for IS 2062 grade hot-rolled coil, it will also need a similar certification for IS 14650-grade slab. For downstream products such as hot-dip galvanised steel, the input materials would constitute hot-rolled and cold-rolled sheets and strips, which would also need BIS certification, along with semi-finished products. Earlier exporters only needed BIS compliance for the final steel product and not the input material. The original quality control order covered 151 steel products. Steel consumers concerned A provisional 12pc safeguard duty implemented from 21 April has slowed imports of certain flat steel products. The new quality control rule, referred to by some industry participants as an additional "barrier" for imports, is applicable to imports with a bill of lading on or after 16 June. It has stoked concerns among micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) that consume overseas steel not made in India, market participants said. The order "has triggered fears of massive losses and plant closures among MSMEs that rely on imported semi-finished steel," according to a report by think-tank the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI). "Many have already paid for shipments now deemed non-compliant," the report said. The automotive industry is likely to face production hurdles. Japan has been supplying a lot of specialty steel, which is not manufactured in India, to the Indian automotive industry, sources said. An automotive end-user said they were in talks with the government and declined to comment on the new order. "Steel users across India are shocked," an international steel trader said. In certain cases such as cold-rolled non-oriented steel, a type of electrical steel used in motors, the raw materials such as cold-rolled full hard steel (CRFH) or hot-rolled coil (HRC) may have BIS licence but inputs used to make CRFH or HRC may not meet Indian standards, the trader added. There is already a shortfall of certain speciality steel grades in India. Only about 12pc of the required 400,000t of cold-rolled grain-oriented steel (CRGO) was produced domestically in April 2023-March 2024, according to GTRI. The remaining volumes were imported from overseas suppliers such as China, Japan, Russia, and South Korea. India launched a new production-linked incentive scheme for speciality steel products this year, with less criteria for investment than the previous version. The new steel input quality rule is clearly in line with the government's "Make in India" initiative, a Mumbai-based trader said. It will now be difficult to get imports purchased in recent weeks by steel consumers, another Mumbai-based trading company said, adding that market conditions are tilting in favor of domestic producers. The new order is also expected to weigh on imports of plate from South Korean producers which do not have a BIS for certain input materials, the trader said. By Amruta Khandekar Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Sri Lanka revives plan to build LNG import terminal


19/06/25
19/06/25

Sri Lanka revives plan to build LNG import terminal

Singapore, 19 June (Argus) — Sri Lanka has revived its plan to build the country's first LNG import terminal, power and energy minister Kumara Jayakody told the country's parliament on 17 June. The process to build the terminal is already underway and LNG supply is scheduled to begin in 2028, the minister said. The tender to build the import terminal was issued by state-controlled importer Ceylon Petroleum and state-run utility Ceylon Electricity Board, and the negotiation and project committees have been re-established to facilitate the eventual signing and finalisation of the project, the minister added. Sri Lanka plans to use LNG as a transition fuel despite its higher costs compared with coal, as the country looks to increase its renewables load. Sri Lanka had previously finalised an agreement with US operator New Fortress Energy to develop a new LNG terminal in Sri Lanka in 2021, but there have been no updates on the terminal since then. It is unclear if the current plan to build an LNG import terminal is linked to this floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) agreement. By Joey Chan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Syrah restarts graphite production at Mozambique mine


19/06/25
19/06/25

Syrah restarts graphite production at Mozambique mine

Sydney, 19 June (Argus) — Australian minerals producer Syrah Resources has resumed graphite production at its 350,000 t/yr Balama mine in Mozambique and will restart large-volume shipments in September-December, following months of disruptions owing to protests. Syrah declared a force majeure on sales from Balama in December because of protests at the site, and this remains active, the company said today. But it has restarted production and intends to ramp up output at the mine to restock inventories for shipments in September-December, Syrah said. Its graphite exports in September-December will be shipped to customers outside China. The company is aiming to have a greater presence in ex-China markets and to increase sales from Balama this year, Syrah chairman Jim Askew told investors on 23 May. Syrah sold around 1,300t of natural graphite in January-March, using existing inventories. But the company failed to meet some sales obligations over the quarter. Non-violent protesters blocked access to Balama in September, citing farming resettlement grievances. The demonstrations worsened in October, after Mozambique's disputed general election triggered major protests across the country. Most protesters left the mine in April, after reaching a deal with Syrah, the company said last month —although some remaining demonstrators had to be removed by Mozambique authorities a month later. Syrah regained access to Balama on 3-4 May. Balama's operating infrastructure has not been impacted by the protests and is in good condition, Askew said in late May. By Avinash Govind Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil central bank raises target rate to 15pc


18/06/25
18/06/25

Brazil central bank raises target rate to 15pc

Sao Paulo, 18 June (Argus) — Brazil's central bank today raised its target interest rate by 0.25 of a percentage point to 15pc, the highest level since July 2006, citing a still "adverse and uncertain" global economic scenario. That is the seventh consecutive hike from a cyclical low of 10.5pc at the end of September last year. The bank had last increased the rate by 0.5 of a percentage point in May . "The [economic] scenario continues to require caution on the part of emerging countries in an environment of heightened geopolitical tension," the bank said, citing the US' "uncertain economic policies." The bank also said it increased the interest rate because Brazil's inflation remains above the ceiling of 3pc with a tolerance of 1.5 percentage points above or below. Annual inflation eased to 5.32pc in May . Central bank forecasts for 2025 and 2026 inflation remain at 5.2pc and 4.5pc, respectively, it said. "Inflation risks, both upside and downside, remain higher than usual," the bank said By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Market risks grow as Trump threatens Iran: Update


18/06/25
18/06/25

Market risks grow as Trump threatens Iran: Update

Updates with details throughout Washington, 18 June (Argus) — The prospect of wider escalation in the Middle East if the US joins Israel's attacks on Iran is affecting marine insurance, freight and middle distillate prices, even though the flow of energy commodities out of the Mideast Gulf so far remains unfettered. US president Donald Trump, in wide-ranging remarks throughout the day, hinted at a potential US role in Israel's bombing campaign against Iran. But he also suggested that a diplomatic solution is still possible, noting that he has yet to make a decision on whether to target Iran. Trump told reporters at around 3:10pm ET that he would shortly convene another meeting with his top national security advisers to discuss US options. Speaking from Tehran earlier in the day, Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, warned of "irreparable damage" to the US if it joins the attacks. Trump, in remarks to reporters at the White House this morning, said he presented an "ultimate ultimatum" to Tehran. And as for a potential US air raid on Iran, Trump said: "I may do it. I may not do it. I mean, nobody knows what I'm going to do." Speaking from the Oval Office in the afternoon, Trump said, "I'd like to make a final decision one second before it's due." Khamenei, in a televised address today, denounced Trump's "absurd, unacceptable rhetoric to openly demand that the Iranian people surrender to him". Iran will oppose any "imposed peace", Khamenei said. The escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a surge in Europe-bound freight rates for medium range tankers loading in the US Gulf coast. Mideast Gulf middle distillate premiums are at multi-month highs. Additional War Risk Premiums in the Mideast Gulf could rise sharply in the coming days, as the number of insurance underwriters willing to commit at current levels appears to be shrinking. Some LNG carriers that have held off from transiting the strait of Hormuz in recent days have since sailed through or have approached the strait, while no carriers loaded in the Mideast Gulf have slowed from sailing via the strait. Few barriers to US participation Domestically and internationally, there is no significant pushback against a potential US involvement. But the isolationist wing of Republican politicians and media figures loyal to Trump, including former Fox New anchorman Tucker Carlson, is urging him to avoid involvement in an Israel-Iran war. Trump's extensive commentary suggests a perceived need to push back on criticism of his sudden eagerness to involve the US in another war in the Middle East after years of lambasting his predecessors for having done so. Trump told reporters this afternoon that "Carlson called and apologized the other day because he thought he said things that were a little too strong." The argument Trump says he is trying to make is that preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon may be worth a military intervention. "I'm not looking to fight," Trump said. "But if it's a choice between fighting or having a nuclear weapon, you have to do what you have to do." The US intelligence community assessed, most recently in April, that Iran has not restarted work on nuclear weapons despite building up enriched uranium stockpiles since 2018, when Trump terminated a functioning agreement that curbed that program. "I've been saying for 20 years, maybe longer, that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon," Trump said today. Mixed messages on talks Trump claimed that Iran's government has reached out to him for a diplomatic solution and has expressed willingness to send a high-ranking official to the White House. The offer is "courageous", Trump said, but added, "I said it's very late to be talking." Iran's mission to the UN subsequently denied a request for a meeting at the White House. Iran after the Israeli attack canceled a round of talks scheduled to take place in Oman on 15 June. Khamenei, in his remarks today, hinted at a "suspicion" that the US diplomatic approach had been part of Israel's preparation for military strikes. "Considering their recent remarks, this suspicion is growing stronger day by day," Khamenei said. Trump said he began to consider the possibility of US military action in the immediate aftermath of the Israeli attack. "The first night was devastating, and it really knocked the one side off," Trump said. Russian president Vladimir Putin reached out with an offer to mediate in the Israel-Iran conflict, Trump said. The conversation took place on 14 June, according to the Kremlin. "I said, do me a favor, mediate your own," Trump said, referring to Russia's war in Ukraine. "Let's mediate Russia first. OK?" By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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