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US inflation quickens to 3pc in January

  • Spanish Market: Metals, Natural gas
  • 12/02/25

US consumer inflation accelerated in January to the fastest pace in half a year, supporting the Federal Reserve's recent decision to pause in its course of rate cuts.

The consumer price index (CPI) rose by 3pc in January from a year before, accelerating from 2.9pc in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. That marked a fourth month of annual gains from a low of 2.4pc in September.

Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy, rose by an annual 3.3pc in January from 3.2pc in December.

The acceleration in inflation reinforces the Fed's decision last month to hold its target rate steady after three prior rate cuts. The Fed has said it does "not need to be in a hurry" to change its stance while it weighs the impacts of President Donald Trump's tariff policies and other "incoming information". Trump won the November election partly on a pledge to bring down inflation.

The energy index rose by 1pc in January following a 0.5pc contraction through December. Gasoline fell by 0.2pc in January after a 3.5pc contraction through December. Piped gas rose by 4.9pc for a second month.

Food rose by an annual 2.5pc, matching the prior month's annual gain. Eggs surged by an annual 53pc, as avian flu has slashed supply.

Shelter rose by 4.4pc, accounting for 30pc of the overall monthly gain in CPI, slowing from 4.6pc in December.

Services less energy services rose by 4.3pc in January following a 4.4pc gain

New vehicles fell by 0.3pc after a 0.4pc contraction.

Transportation services rose by an annual 8pc in January after a 7.3pc gain in December. Car insurance was up by an annual 11.8pc and airline fares were up by 7.1pc.

CPI accelerated to 0.5pc in January from the prior month, the most since August 2023. That followed a monthly gain of 0.4pc in December, 0.3pc in November and three prior months of 0.2pc gains.


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15/11/25

Cop: 'Tangible' transition from fossil fuels needed

Cop: 'Tangible' transition from fossil fuels needed

Belem, 15 November (Argus) — Kazakhstan's deputy minister of natural resources Mansur Oshurbayev today called for a "tangible, not rhetorical" transition away from fossil fuels at a panel during the UN Cop 30 climate summit in northern Brazil. Nigerian and Fijian representatives at the same panel noted the need for "real alternatives" for industry and workers, and for the finance to support a transition, respectively. The topic of moving away from fossil fuels has drawn attention at Cop 30, with host country Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva calling for a roadmap to overcome dependence on them . But talks on the topic are moving slowly. Cop 30 chief strategy and alignment officer Tulio Andrade said earlier this week that they are not on the formal negotiation table. Almost 200 countries agreed to transition away from fossil fuels at Cop 28 in 2023. Some developing nations such as Colombia are eager for a phase-out plan at Cop 30, but others, especially in the Middle East and Africa, are concerned that it might hinder their development, according to delegates. A growing number of countries are discussing an option similar to the so-called Baku to Belem roadmap , which sets out paths to scale climate finance for developing countries to $1.3 trillion/yr by 2035. A fossil fuel phase-out roadmap could look similar, a French delegation source said. Any reduction in fossil fuel production can only come "with real alternatives for firms, workers and regions", Oshurbayev said during the panel. "We must preserve and redeploy this human capital into activities that support the climate transition and do not directly compete with the coal and oil and [natural] gas operations", he added. The phase out of fossil fuels is a "difficult conversation", the director general of Nigeria's national council on climate change Omotenioye Majekodunmi said. Around 80pc of Nigeria's economy relies on fossil fuels and the country uses about 40GW of fossil-powered generators to generate electricity, he said. But there have been some strides at the national level, such as removing taxes on photovoltaic systems, solar panels and batteries, which will allow "small mom and pop shops and homes to adopt renewable energy options other than burning gasoline and diesel", he said. The country also removed long-standing fuel subsidies in 2023. The Netherlands' vice-minister of climate and energy Michel Heijdra called on countries to reduce fossil fuels subsidies earlier in the week during a Cop 30 high-level event. And fossil fuel subsidies throughout the world are mostly "underpriced, underused or unjust", the deputy chief of IMF's climate policy division Diego Mesa said. Nigeria is also considering creating an additional tax on oil products, Majekodunmi said, which would encourage the country to "reimagine alternative energy sources to drive its economy". The country will rely on natural gas as a "transition fuel" as it winds down over-dependence on fossil fuels, Majekodunmi said. Electrification can also help countries reduce fossil fuel usage, Oshurbayev said. Bold and joint action will be needed to mitigate the consequences of irreversible climate change, including to phase out fossil fuels, the permanent secretary of Fiji's environment and climate change ministry Sivendra Michael said. And any such action will require financing, he told Argus on the sidelines. Some countries, such as India and Saudi Arabia, are pressing for the climate finance obligations of developed countries to developing countries to be addressed at this summit. This is one of four contentious topics that did not make it onto the official agenda, but that countries are discussing in consultations overseen by the Cop presidency. "The ball is [in the] rich countries' court", Michael said. The technical phase of Cop 30 is now wrapping up, as countries' ministers are starting to arrive. The talks will shift into a political phase from 17 November. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Sigma paused mine in 3Q, will sell Li tailings


14/11/25
14/11/25

Sigma paused mine in 3Q, will sell Li tailings

Sao Paulo, 14 November (Argus) — Sigma Lithium confirmed it froze production at its flagship project in Brazil between late September and for the entirety of October in order to upgrade mining equipment, which curtailed output in the period. Sigma on 6 October said that it would be enhancing its mining efficiency by switching feedstock providers and upgrading equipment at its Grota do Cirilo mine, in Brazil. The plant began to phase down in September and was shutdown in October, which led to a "significant production decrease," the company's chief executive Ana Cabral said during an earnings call. Third quarter output fell to 44,000 metric tonnes (t) of spodumene, a 27pc decrease over the year and a 36pc sequential drop from the previous quarter. Sigma also failed to export any material in October because of the mining halt. The mine was restarted earlier this week and will ramp up back to normal production levels in the next 2-3 weeks, Cabral said. Sigma declined to share its fourth quarter production guidance, saying it would do so after production resumed. Given the upgrades, however, the company expects to produce 73,000t in the first quarter of 2026, which would be a 6.8pc increased compared to the same period this year. The miner also revised the delivery timeline for its first expansion, now scheduled for completion by the end of 2026, which will lift Grota do Cirilo's total capacity to 520,000t/yr from 245,000t/yr today. It sold 48,600t of spodumene for a total net revenue of $28.5mn in the third quarter. Li tailings will be sold to China Sigma will also begin to sell chemically unaffected dry lithium tailings to Chinese buyers in order to maximize profits and monetize "all lithium we have", Cabral said. The company plans on offloading 950,000t of dry, solid mining byproducts with 1-1.3pc lithium concentration to buyers in China. The company quoted the tailings — which it calls "lithium middlings" — at $120/t at current market prices, which would bring $33mn of additional revenue in the fourth quarter, according to Cabral. There are 100,000t of "middlings" stocked at the port of Vitoria and another 850,000t at the mine, with shipping to China priced at $40/t and $85/t, respectively. Sigma commits first Li batches The company said it secured two offtake agreements with different clients and is negotiating a third to be sealed by year's end. Sigma has, for the first time, committed 100,000t of spodumene to two different customers through long-term offtake agreements. The first agreement covers 80,000t and is structured as a three-month rolling contract at market prices. Under this arrangement, the customer prepays for upcoming production, with payments extending until 30 March 2026. Sigma plans to use the funds as working capital. In the second offtake, the customer has paid $25mn up front in exchange for 20,000t of production over the next three years. Sigma intends to use this funding to support its recent mining upgrade. The company is also negotiating a third offtake with a European-based trading company to partly fund its expansion plans. It expects to close a three-year contract for 40,000t, valued at $51mn upfront, by year-end —bringing total committed production to 140,000t. Additionally, Sigma is in talks for two more offtakes totaling 260,000t, scheduled to close in 2026: one for 80,000t over three years at $100mn, and another for 40,000 t over three years at $51mn. The proceeds from these agreements will be used to repay shareholder debt and fund growth initiatives, respectively. Overall, the miner is set to commit 400,000t of spodumene by the end of 2029. By Pedro Consoli Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

More oil, gas firms have emissions action plans: OGDC


14/11/25
14/11/25

More oil, gas firms have emissions action plans: OGDC

London, 14 November (Argus) — Oil and gas firms that are signatories to the Oil and Gas Decarbonisation Charter (OGDC) have increasingly set out plans to address their operational emissions, methane emissions and flaring, a report from the OGDC said today. Of the companies signed up to the charter in 2024, 36 reported having "interim action plans" for scope 1 and 2 emissions reductions for 2030, 31 reported that they had methane action plans and 33 reported having flaring action plans — up from 31, 20 and 22, respectively, in 2023. Of the signatories, 36 have third-party verification systems in place, the report found. The charter was signed at Cop 28 in 2023 and now has 55 signatories, representing around 40pc of global oil production and around 35pc of global oil and gas output. Of the signatory companies, around two-thirds are state-owned. OGDC signatories produced nearly 59mn b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in 2024. The OGDC estimated that total operated scope 1 and 2 emissions for all charter signatories stood at around 1bn t/CO2 equivalent (CO2e) in 2024. The estimate was based on submissions for operated scope 1 and 2 emissions from 41 signatories, which totalled just above 800mn t/CO2e in 2024. Scope 1 and 2 emissions usually make up a minority of oil and gas producers' total emissions. But scope 3, or end-use, emissions represent the vast majority of oil and gas producer emissions, with estimates in the range of 80-95pc of the total. A report from a group of more than 130 scientists on 13 November found that emissions from fossil fuels are projected to reach a record high of 38.1bn t/CO2 this year. Global emissions from "human activities" stood at 53.2bn t/CO2 equivalent (CO2e) in 2024, without factoring in emissions from land use, land use change and forestry, the EU's Edgar programme found in September. Charter signatories invested around $32bn in "low-carbon solutions" which include renewables, carbon capture, hydrogen and "low-carbon fuels" in 2024, according to the report. Signatories agree to aim for net zero operations by 2050, "near-zero upstream methane emissions" by 2030, zero routine flaring by 2030 and to "set and share" a 2030 goal for scope 1 and 2 emissions. TotalEnergies, a signatory to the charter, today committed $100mn to a fund which supports technologies to cut emissions "across the oil and gas value chain". The fund — Climate Investment — is partnered with the charter and will help signatories "on their decarbonisation path", within the charter's scope, TotalEnergies said. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU states to vote on TRQ, variable duty alloy safeguard


14/11/25
14/11/25

EU states to vote on TRQ, variable duty alloy safeguard

London, 14 November (Argus) — The European Commission has proposed safeguard measures that combine tariff-rate quotas (TRQ) and out-of-quota variable duties on ferro-manganese, ferro-silicon, ferro-silico-manganese and ferro-silico-magnesium, in order to support EU ferro-alloy production and market share. EU member states are set to vote on the measures on 17 November. The commission's proposed measures were circulated by the World Trade Organisation at the request of the EU on 12 November. The EU declined to comment on the document. The vote was postponed from today and is the culmination of a safeguard investigation initiated in December 2024. The measures seek to protect seven ferro-alloy producers that have lost significant market share to lower-priced third-country imports. The commission acknowledged that buyers benefit from low prices but argued that protective measures are in the economic and strategic interest of the EU because they ensure a viable domestic industry and steady ferro-alloy supply for EU end-markets. Safeguards to combine TRQ, out-of-quota variable duty The proposed measures set a tariff-rate quota for duty free entry into the EU for each product. Imports in excess of the quota are subject to an out-of-quota variable duty that is the difference between an established price threshold for each product ( see table ) and the actual import price. The quota quantities are equivalent to 75pc of the EU's average imports of each product in 2022-24. This aims to give a 30-40pc "sustainable" market share to European producers, while still maintaining "adequate" supply for downstream users. The annual quota is divided into four three-month segments, starting on 18 November. If excess imports are made at the level of the price threshold or above, no duty needs to be paid. If imports are made at a lower price, the duty paid would be equal to the difference between the net free-at-EU frontier (cif) price and the respective price threshold. The thresholds are set at a "non-injurious price for ferro-alloy imports" determined by the cost of domestic sales for each product type, with added compliance costs, investments and a target profit. But some market participants view the price thresholds as detached from reality. The threshold proposed by the commission is €2,408/t ($2,800/t) cif Europe, which is almost double the actual market price today. Argus assessed ferro-silicon prices at €1,180-1,235/t ddp Europe on 13 November. The excessive size of the threshold means end-users will substitute the alloy with silicon metal or other alternative products, which makes it unlikely the ferro-silicon quota will be met and therefore the threshold will not be a factor, a ferro-silicon producer told Argus . Norway, Iceland subject to measures The proposed measures would apply to imports from European Economic Area (EEA) member states Norway and Iceland, affecting major producers such as Elkem and Finnfjord. The ferro-alloy industry association that was the driving force behind the safeguard investigation, Euroalliages, called for the exclusion of Norway and Iceland from the measures, in a recent interview with Argus . The measures should not apply to either country for reasons of economic integration with the EU economy and business ties, secretary-general Bob Lambrechts said. But Norway and Iceland have inflicted sustained economic injury on EU ferro-alloy producers and the proposed measures satisfy the requirements of Articles 112 and 113, which set out conditions and procedures for safeguards, the commission said. Norway and Iceland supplied 47.4pc of total EU imports last year. Those imports were priced below EU producers' but were noticeably higher than imports from third countries such as India. Silicon excluded Silicon metal imports into the EU did not increase between 2019-24, according to the commission's analysis. Silicon metal was consequently excluded from further investigations and the resulting safeguards. The EU imported 334,861t of silicon in 2024, near flat against 2019 imports of 335,415t, Eurostat data show. Imports decreased to 326,372t in the most recent reported 12-month period, 1 July 2024-30 June 2025. The commission analysed imports relative to production and consumption of ferro-alloys, but it is not clear whether this analysis was done for silicon. Absolute import volumes have not increased, but EU silicon production and consumption have decreased sharply in recent years due to lower demand from aluminium alloy and silicone producers. And EU producers are not able to compete against lower-priced imports from third countries. All EU silicon metal production is currently off line due to untenable market conditions, with shutdowns executed in France, Spain, Germany and Bosnia-Herzegovina. Silicon metal may be affected indirectly if steel mills substitute silicon metal for ferro-silicon, although this is dependent on adjustment of production processes and ferro-silicon prices. Major producer Ferroglobe expressed concern that silicon was excluded from these measures, but welcomed "the commission's commitment to address this in a second step in the coming months". The EU has not publicly communicated any additional trade defence investigations for silicon metal. By Maeve Flaherty and Samuel Wood Price thresholds for tariff increase €/t Product type HS / CN codes Price threshold Ferro-manganese 7202 11, 7202 19 1,316 Ferro-silicon 7202 21, 7202 29 2,408 Ferro-silico-manganese 7202 30 1,392 Ferro-silico-magnesium 7202 99 30 3,647 — WTO, European Commission Volumes of tariff–rate quotas - Year 1 Product type HS and CN codes Allocation by country (where applicable) Year 1 From 18.11.2025 to 17.2.2026 From 18.2.2026 to 17.5.2026 From 18.5.2026 to 17.8.2026 From 18.8.2026 to 17.11.2026 Volume of tariff quota (net tonnes) Ferro-Manganese 7202 11. 7202 19 Norway 28,972.70 28,027.93 28,972.70 28,972.70 India 17,625.79 17,051.04 17,625.79 17,625.79 South Africa 8,272.87 8,003.10 8,272.87 8,272.87 Malaysia 6,765.92 6,545.29 6,765.92 6,765.92 South Korea 4,832.82 4,675.23 4,832.82 4,832.82 Other countries 5,557.54 5,376.31 5,557.54 5,557.54 Ferro-Silicon 7202 21. 7202 29 Norway 35,136.16 33,990.41 35,136.16 35,136.16 Iceland 13,373.32 12,937.24 13,373.32 13,373.32 Kazakhstan 8,090.25 7,826.44 8,090.25 8,090.25 Brazil 6,316.02 6,110.06 6,316.02 6,316.02 Other countries 24,984.27 24,169.56 24,984.27 24,984.27 Ferro-Silico-Magnesium 7202 99 30 China 468.90 453.61 468.90 468.90 Brazil 99.81 96.55 99.81 99.81 India 78.90 76.33 78.90 78.90 Thailand 76.83 74.32 76.83 76.83 Other countries 18.89 18.28 18.89 18.89 Ferro-Silico-Manganese 7202 30 Norway 37,067.71 35,858.98 37,067.71 37,067.71 India 31,958.61 30,916.48 31,958.61 31,958.61 Zambia 7,882.49 7,625.45 7,882.49 7,882.49 Other countries 18,955.56 18,337.44 18,955.56 18,955.56 - WTO, European Commission Volumes of tariff–rate quotas - Year 2 Product type HS and CN codes Allocation by country (where applicable) Year 2 From 18.11.2026 to 17.2.2027 From 18.11.2026 to 17.2.2027 From 18.11.2026 to 17.2.2027 From 18.11.2026 to 17.2.2027 Volume of tariff quota (net tonnes) Ferro-Manganese 7202 11. 7202 19 Norway 29,001.67 28,055.96 29,001.67 29,001.67 India 17,643.42 17,068.09 17,643.42 17,643.42 South Africa 8,281.14 8,011.10 8,281.14 8,281.14 Malaysia 6,772.68 6,551.83 6,772.68 6,772.68 South Korea 4,837.65 4,679.90 4,837.65 4,837.65 Other countries 5,563.09 5,381.69 5,563.09 5,563.09 Ferro-Silicon 7202 21. 7202 29 Norway 35,171.30 34,024.41 35,171.30 35,171.30 Iceland 13,386.70 12,950.18 13,386.70 13,386.70 Kazakhstan 8,098.34 7,834.27 8,098.34 8,098.34 Brazil 6,322.34 6,116.17 6,322.34 6,322.34 Other countries 25,009.25 24,193.73 25,009.25 25,009.25 Ferro-Silico-Magnesium 7202 99 30 China 469.37 454.07 469.37 469.37 Brazil 99.91 96.65 99.91 99.91 India 78.98 76.40 78.98 78.98 Thailand 76.91 74.40 76.91 76.91 Other countries 18.91 18.30 18.91 18.91 Ferro-Silico-Manganese 7202 30 Norway 37,104.78 35,894.84 37,104.78 37,104.78 India 31,990.57 30,947.40 31,990.57 31,990.57 Zambia 7,890.37 7,633.08 7,890.37 7,890.37 Other countries 18,974.51 18,355.78 18,974.51 18,974.51 — WTO, European Commission Volumes of tariff–rate quotas - Year 3 Product type HS and CN codes Allocation by country (where applicable) Year 3 From 18.11.2027 to 17.2.2028 From 18.11.2027 to 17.2.2028 From 18.11.2027 to 17.2.2028 From 18.11.2027 to 17.2.2028 Volume of tariff quota (net tonnes) Ferro-Manganese 7202 11. 7202 19 Norway 28,951.35 28,321.98 28,951.35 28,951.35 India 17,612.81 17,229.92 17,612.81 17,612.81 South Africa 8,266.77 8,087.06 8,266.77 8,266.77 Malaysia 6,760.93 6,613.95 6,760.93 6,760.93 Korea. Republic of 4,829.26 4,724.28 4,829.26 4,829.26 Other countries 5,553.44 5,432.71 5,553.44 5,553.44 Ferro-Silicon 7202 21. 7202 29 Norway 35,110.27 34,347.01 35,110.27 35,110.27 Iceland 13,363.47 13,072.96 13,363.47 13,363.47 Kazakhstan 8,084.29 7,908.55 8,084.29 8,084.29 Brazil 6,311.37 6,174.16 6,311.37 6,311.37 Other countries 24,965.86 24,423.13 24,965.86 24,965.86 Ferro-Silico-Magnesium 7202 99 30 China 468.56 458.37 468.56 468.56 Brazil 99.73 97.56 99.73 99.73 India 78.84 77.13 78.84 78.84 Thailand 76.77 75.10 76.77 76.77 Other countries 18.88 18.47 18.88 18.88 Ferro-Silico-Manganese 7202 30 Norway 37,040.40 36,235.18 37,040.40 37,040.40 India 31,935.07 31,240.83 31,935.07 31,935.07 Zambia 7,876.68 7,705.45 7,876.68 7,876.68 Other countries 18,941.59 18,529.82 18,941.59 18,941.59 — WTO, European Commission Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

S Korea expands car support, plans trade-in EV policy


14/11/25
14/11/25

S Korea expands car support, plans trade-in EV policy

Singapore, 14 November (Argus) — The South Korean government has announced a wide range of financing and support for its automobile industry, while raising its electric vehicle (EV) subsidies budget and disclosing plans for a trade-in scheme to spur EV purchases. Over 15 trillion South Korean won ($10.31bn) of policy financing will be earmarked by the country for its car and auto parts makers in 2026, said the country's trade and industry ministry (Motie) on 14 November. It comes as intensifying competition in artificial intelligence autonomous driving technology and impacts on the domestic automobile manufacturing base threatens the country's auto sector that is its manufacturing stronghold, Motie said without providing more details, adding to the potential burden from earlier US-South Korea tariff deal . The country is looking to maintain a domestic car production of 4mn units/yr while improving the production quality. The government will also raise its budget for EV subsidies to around W936bn next year, up from an estimated W715bn this year. It is looking to establish a new purchase financing program for electric and hydrogen buses. It also plans to introduce a trade-in subsidy of up to W1mn for new EV buyers who scrap their old cars starting in 2026, in a similar fashion to China's efforts to spur Chinese EV purchases. "Considering the South Korean government's previous policy trajectory, a gradual reduction in EV subsidies would have been the more expected approach," Beomseok Kim, analyst at South Korean market intelligence firm SNE Research told Argus today. But the government appears to have determined that stronger stimulus is needed to re-energise domestic demand given a slower pace of electrification than initially projected, Kim added. The package expanding incentives beyond the 2025 levels signals the government's commitment to keep the momentum alive. South Korea's battery EV domestic sales hit an all-time-high earlier in September, riding on its current eco-friendly vehicle domestic sales uptrend. The South Korean government is expecting an accelerated eco-friendly vehicle adoption trend and it is planning ahead by supporting internal combustion engine (ICE) car parts makers' transition. Financial and R&D support will be focused on its industrial green transformation strategy, while designating 200 "future vehicle specialised companies" by 2030 and having 70pc of its ICE parts companies transition to future vehicles parts firms. The country is eyeing mass production of autonomous vehicles by 2028, with institutional improvements supporting the ambition to be potentially achieved by the end of 2026. South Korean conglomerate Hyundai Motor earlier in October unveiled its goal of turning India into an export hub through a planned Indian investment of $5.1bn through to 2030. By Joseph Ho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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