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Polish seaborne LPG imports rise on Russia embargo

  • Spanish Market: LPG
  • 07/05/25

The EU ban on some Russian imports led to higher utilisation of Poland's Baltic Sea terminals, writes Waldemar Jaszczyk

Polish seaborne LPG imports surged in the first quarter as the country's Baltic Sea terminals became the market's main supply route following the EU's ban on Russian propane-butane mix and propane arrivals. But the growth was capped by reduced re-exports to Ukraine, softening domestic demand and more butane arriving from Russia.

The four Baltic Sea terminals received 320,000t of LPG in January-March, up from 282,000t a year earlier, Kpler data show. European LPG distributor SHV's 900,000 t/yr Gdansk facility received 181,000t, and the Alpetrol-run 420,000 t/yr Gdynia terminal took 89,000t, up by 26pc and 37pc, respectively. Deliveries to state-owned fuel supplier Orlen Paliwa's 250,000 t/yr Szczecin terminal rose by 24pc to 37,000t but were below the 50,000-60,000 t/yr seen in previous years given modernisation works. The firm plans to raise Szczecin throughputs by 50pc to 400,000 t/yr by mid-2025.

These offset a decline in imports to petrochemical producer Azoty's 437,000 t/yr propane dehydrogenation (PDH) complex in Police by more than a half to 19,000t. Azoty is negotiating a sale of the plant to Polish oil firm Orlen as it looks to cut debt accrued largely to develop it.

The EU embargo on Russian LPG, which took effect on 20 December, boosted seaborne intake by forcing Polish importers to shift their supply routes to northwest Europe. Propane and propane-butane mix accounted for over 90pc of Russia's LPG exports to Poland, while normal butane and isobutane, which are not sanctioned, took the balance. Russia was the key supplier to Poland historically, with a 43pc share of all imports in 2024 at 1mn t/yr, according to Polish LPG association POGP.

But weaker import demand as a result of stockbuilding prior to the embargo's start and reduced re-exports to Ukraine, which has shifted its supply routes to Danube river ports in the south, limited the increase in seaborne arrivals. And rising intakes of pure normal butane and isobutane from Russia by rail, which is then blended with propane and sold as autogas, has also weighed on Baltic imports. Russian butane deliveries averaged around 30,000 t/month in the first quarter compared with the more typical 80,000 t/month prior to sanctions.

Poland seaborne LPG imports

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09/06/25

Mexico inflation quickens in May

Mexico inflation quickens in May

Mexico City, 9 June (Argus) — Mexico's consumer price index (CPI) accelerated to an annual 4.42pc in May, with strong pressures on meat and egg prices and modest acceleration in core inflation. The index increased for a fourth consecutive month, accelerating from 3.93pc in April after reaching a four-year low of 3.59pc in January. The result from statistics agency Inegi came in above the 4.37pc median estimate of analysts polled in Citi Research's 5 June survey to reach the fastest inflation since November 2024. It also pushes CPI to above the central bank's long-term objective inflation range of between 2pc and 4pc. Nevertheless, the central bank has been clear in its communication that the rate-cutting cycle will continue, with a likely half-point cut in the target interest rate to 8pc at the next policy meeting on 26 June. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy, reached an annual 4.06pc in May from 3.93pc in April, ending a run of eight consecutive months below the 4pc level. Within the core, consumer goods inflation rose to 3.67pc from 3.38pc the previous month. while services accelerated to 4.63pc from 4.56pc in April. Meanwhile, annual non-core inflation surged to 5.34pc in May from 3.76pc in April, largely tied to agricultural goods prices. Annual energy inflation in May reached 3.5pc with regular 87-octane gasoline inflation just 0.54pc, as prices remain capped at Ps24/l ($4.78/USG) under a voluntary price cap between fuel retailers and the government. Month-over-month, headline CPI rose by 0.28pc in May after a 0.33pc increase in April. Core prices were up by 0.30pc from 0.43pc from April, while non-core prices sped 1.24pc, driven by a 3.5pc month-over-month acceleration in meat and egg prices, as well as produce prices speeding 2.8pc from April. This more than offset the moderation in energy prices with a second tranche of seasonal subsidies starting in May, slowing electricity inflation 18pc monthly. Looking ahead, Mexican bank Banorte said it would continue to monitor inflationary pressures on eggs and poultry after a ban on the import of the products from Brazil, as well as the evolution of the screwworm outbreak in the south of the country and on the coming tropical cyclone season and its impacts on fruits and vegetables prices. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

New Zealand official gas reserves fall by 27pc in 2024


05/06/25
05/06/25

New Zealand official gas reserves fall by 27pc in 2024

Sydney, 5 June (Argus) — New Zealand's estimated gas reserves fell by more than a quarter last year, highlighting the need for financial incentives to improve supply, resources minister Shane Jones said on 5 June. Proven and probable (2P) gas reserves dropped to 948PJ (25bn m³) on 1 January, down by 27pc from 1300PJ a year earlier, according to New Zealand's business, innovation and employment ministry, MBIE. The 352PJ write-down comprises 119PJ of extracted reserves and a 234PJ of downward revision of reserves by operators of existing fields. Previous MBIE forecasts predicted that annual output would fall below 100 PJ/yr by 2029, but the latest revisions show that this level will be reached by 2026 ( see table ). Oil and condensate 2P reserves were at an estimated 37.2mn bl on 1 January, down from 44.7mn bl a year earlier. New Zealand's only refinery closed in 2022, meaning the nation is now wholly reliant on oil product imports. The Coalition government has reiterated its plans to remove the country's 2018 offshore exploration ban , put in place by the former Labour administration. Rising gas prices are putting increasing pressure on manufacturers, Jones said. TheCrown Minerals Act Amendment Bill will returns to parliament this year, and if approved it will reduce decommissioning risks, reform regulation and make exploration permit issuance more flexible, Jones added. The bill was first tabled in October. New Zealand last month promised NZ$200mn ($120mn) to buy stakes of up to 15pc in new gas fields, as part of efforts to drive new supply. Quarterly gas output reached a 40-year low in October-December , with major industrial users cutting production to reduce strain on the nation's power grid and gas supply. But investors no longer have confidence in the nation because of the exploration ban , Australian independent Beach Energy chief executive Brett Woods said. Beach Energy operates New Zealand's Taranaki basin offshore Kupe gas project. Utility Meridian Energy is urging Wellington to prepare LNG import facilities , as the expected supply shortfall will be "structural and significant". By Tom Major New Zealand oil, gas production outlook PJ/yr 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Gas 106.8 100 94.8 80.6 73.8 66.8 60.6 56.2 50.4 43.8 34.9 LPG 5.7 5.3 4.6 3.5 3 2.8 2.5 2.1 2 1.8 0.7 Crude/condensate ( b/d ) 13,700 13,000 12,100 10,400 9,200 8,300 7,500 4,700 4,200 3,600 2,900 Source: MBIE Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Oil prices more concerning than steel tariffs: Drillers


03/06/25
03/06/25

Oil prices more concerning than steel tariffs: Drillers

Calgary, 3 June (Argus) — Tariffs on imported steel and other inputs are complicating supply chains for North American oil drillers, but are not as problematic as the broader downturn in crude prices that has cut into demand for their services. "Section 232" tariffs imposed by US president Donald Trump on steel and aluminum imports seem more likely to stay — and possibly even double to 50pc — compared with more widespread tariffs that are being challenged in court. That may have spelled higher costs for well casing and tubing, known as oil country tubular goods (OCTG), but drillers say they have seen worse before, and prices could instead be softening on account of weaker drilling demand. The OCTG Pipe Logix Index of All Items — a benchmark for casing and tubing prices used by steel mills, pipe manufacturers, distributors, and oil and gas companies — averaged $2,073/short ton (st) in May this year . That is down from $2,087/st in April and the first decline in nine months following a steady ascent that began months before Trump's return to the White House was assured by his November electoral victory. Softer OCTG prices appear to be following weaker crude benchmarks, and in turn, demand for drilling and related services. US light sweet WTI averaged $60.94/bl across May, down from $78.62/bl in the same month 2024, or 22pc lower, and the current price environment is pressuring the sector as a whole to lower costs. "It's an energy industry problem and not just a drilling services problem," Helmerich & Payne chief financial officer Kevin Vann told investors in May. The supply chain synergies have become more uncertain because of ongoing trade wars, according to Helmerich & Payne, but the Tulsa-based, oilfield services company seems to view the broader tariff-induced commodity price downturn as the larger concern, especially in the event it persists. The company's chief executive, John Lindsay, notes that most of the challenges are in the oil markets and expects more "upcoming" activity for natural gas. Supply chain disruptions appear manageable Nabors Industries president Tony Petrello also does not anticipate tariffs to have a significant impact directly to his company's business, with the exception of higher taxes on Chinese goods. "I don't think drill pipe is the biggest hit on our drilling business," Petrello told investors in April. "It's more like spares [parts], pumps, things like that, that, over the years, we have started to acquire from China." The Houston-based drilling contractor was bracing for a $10-20mn impact to free cash flow on account of US trade actions, but that was based on the 145pc tariffs against imports from China. Trump has since brought those down to 30pc, but tensions remain between the two countries. Canadian-based Precision Drilling meanwhile notes the cost of drill pipe can fluctuate considerably, regardless of tariffs, and only expects prices to increase a "little bit" on new purchases. Precision has "gotten well-ahead" of those needs with purchases over recent years, according to chief financial officer Carey Ford, while alternatives for other parts with tariff exposure have been sourced domestically. But this is not uncharted territory for drillers who had to grapple with soaring prices in the field as the Covid-19 pandemic disrupted supply chains and inflation ran rampant through the sector. This was exacerbated by higher prices for the metals used to make well casings, while producers resumed drilling more oil and gas wells as demand recovered. One need not look far back to see what level of prices drillers had to contend with, underscoring why present-day concerns lie elsewhere. Even with the recent climb, May's benchmark price is just roughly one-half the $3,867/st price recorded in October 2022. "Even with tariffs, drill pipe wouldn't be as expensive as it was a couple of years ago," Ford said in April. OCTG make up about 10pc of the total cost of an onshore well. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

NWE LPG distributors shrug off low Rhine levels


03/06/25
03/06/25

NWE LPG distributors shrug off low Rhine levels

An early end to the heating season helped to offset the region's logistical disruptions, writes Waldemar Jaszczyk London, 3 June (Argus) — Northwest Europe's downstream propane market shrugged off logistical headaches from plummeting Rhine levels as prices faced sustained pressure from an abrupt drop in heating demand and improving refinery supply. A severe decline in water levels on the Rhine river — the key waterway linking German downstream consumers to the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) hub — has upended propane barge logistics since April. Above-average temperatures have exacerbated a lack of precipitation to reduce levels at the key measuring point in Kaub, Germany — the shallowest part of the middle section of the river — to as low as 76cm, data from German monitoring service Elwis show. Most LPG barges operating on the Rhine can carry less than half of their capacity, or 500t, with the threshold for full LPG cargoes at Kaub at 120cm. This has lifted freight costs as an increasing number of barges are booked to carry the same total volume. Water levels rebounded to 152cm by the end of May, but they remain less than half of the 305cm average for the month last year. And weather forecasts for drier-than-average conditions in northern and western Europe in June are causing growing concern that logistical limitations on buyers' preferred waterborne route may become more acute this summer. But suppressed Rhine capacity for barges has failed to lift spot demand for propane transported by rail or road, with railcar prices at ARA plummeting since their February peak . The premium for 45t fca ARA railcars to cif ARA large cargoes — in 20,500t or 22,400t lots — averaged $60.25/t in May, substantially down from $156/t in March and $212.50/t over February. The outright price slid by over one-third to $490/t across the same timeframe, facing additional pressure from global tariffs-induced wider market losses. Railcar prices surged early in the year on the back of tight supply as prolonged shutdowns at several inland refineries spilled over into the start of the maintenance season. The combination of accidents and planned works removed 1mn b/d of refining capacity in Europe — the largest amount simultaneously closed since the French pension strikes in 2023. This drop in supply coincided with a cold spell in mid-February, spurring more demand for product from ARA terminals. But the market took a bearish turn as key sites came back on line in March, boosting product availability just as the weather started to warm. The average temperature for March on the continent was just over 6°C, around 2.4°C above the 1991-2020 average, making it the warmest March for Europe on record. An early end to the heating season allowed buyers to shrug off any further disruptions in supply from smaller refineries in Ingolstadt and Vohburg entering turnarounds or the shutting of Shell's 147,000 b/d Wesseling site . Kallo youth German barge importers additionally benefited from greater competition among suppliers as petrochemical producers, such as Austria's Borealis, increasingly refocused their storage tanks to sell product locally and capture the spread between large and small cargo propane. Borealis operates a 135,000m³ (78,600t) facility at the Antwerp Gas Terminal in Belgium, which will eventually supply the 750,000 t/yr propane dehydrogenation plant project in Kallo , due to launch next year. As planned and unplanned works ended, both ARA and German refineries began offering more LPG at lower prices than at seaborne terminals. Simultaneously, demand fell below contracted supplies, which increased this year owing to ultimately unfounded fears of heightened spot competition from eastern Europe following the EU's ban on Russian LPG. Downstream storage units have been filled with excess supply as a result. German LPG stocks surged to 90,000t by March, Jodi data show, more than 17pc above the five-year average for the month. ARA barge, railcar LPG prices Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Japan LPG consolidation picks up after Astomos deal


03/06/25
03/06/25

Japan LPG consolidation picks up after Astomos deal

The Japanese domestic market's continued decline has resulted in more partnerships between the country's leading distributors, writes Reina Maeda Tokyo, 4 June (Argus) — Consolidation in Japan's LPG industry is continuing as a result of declining domestic demand following importer and distributor Astomos' deal to acquire upstream firm Japex's LPG subsidiary late last month. Astomos reached an agreement to take over Japex Energy for around $700,000 on 29 May. Japex holds 90pc of the LPG distribution arm, with the remaining 10pc held by cement producer Mitsubishi UBE Cement. Astomos will purchase the first 33.4pc on 25 June and the remaining 56.6pc on 25 December. Japex Energy has five branches across Japan and sells around 140,000 t/yr of LPG. Japex says it sold its domestic LPG business as part of a shake-up of its portfolio as it must contribute to a carbon-neutral society. The announcement came after fellow Japanese LPG distributor Itochu Enex revealed in its fiscal year 2025-27 business plan that it intends to spend some of its $350mn allocated capital expenditure on acquiring new businesses, including investments that it says will restructure its LPG divisions. Itochu Enex did not provide any specific areas of investment it would target, but Japan's domestic LPG sector is made up of around 16,000 retailers, most of which are faced with falling residential sales. The industry is also under pressure to decarbonise under the government's energy transition goals. Itochu Enex last year set up a new subsidiary called Itochu Enex Homelife to consolidate its regional distribution businesses in Hokkaido, Tohoku, West Japan and Shikoku owing to declining demand linked to a falling rural population — something expected to continue, the company said at the time. The long-term contraction of Japan's domestic market has prompted more partnerships between Japan's leading distributors as well as rationalisation of existing operations in recent years . Astomos also announced late last month that it would join forces with Toho Gas to sell LPG in the Chukyo area in order to reduce storage costs and streamline operations. And LPG distributor Nicigas in March revealed it had acquired local LPG retailer Kadokura , which supplies around 3,000 customers in the Chiba and Ibaraki prefectures in the Kanto region, for an undisclosed sum. "It has become necessary to use storage tanks more efficiently, and thanks to digitalisation, there is no longer a need for as many staff," Astomos says. Itochu Enex's LPG sales fell by 1.4pc on the year to 416,000t in 2024-25 ending in March. Nicigas' sales over the same period dropped by 1.7pc to 288,000t, while Iwatani sold 1.5mn t, edging only 0.4pc lower, putting this down to higher temperatures weighing on household use. Toho was the only distributor to increase deliveries in 2024-25. The company's sales firmed by 1.9pc to 474,000t, which it attributed to a growing customer base. But the firm reported slower city gas sales because of higher temperatures, dropping by 0.6pc to 3.35bn m³. Temperatures in Toho Gas' sales area averaged 17.7°C in 2024-25 compared with 17.4°C a year earlier, the firm says. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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