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UK steel decoilers bracing for 50pc quota cut

  • Spanish Market: Metals
  • 17/03/26

The UK's steel market is bracing itself for a halving of tariff-rate quotas, service centres told Argus today.

The department of business and trade is leaning towards quota cuts of up to 50pc, with a 50pc out-of-quota tariff, but will drop the cap on residual quotas and may reintroduce the carryover of unused quota, service centre sources said.

The department is also considering introducing a shipping clause, because of potential disruption to shipments caused by the US-Iran war.

A halving of hot-rolled coil (HRC) quotas would lead to a shortfall of around 488,000 t/yr, compared with current annual quotas, according to Argus calculations. The drop in hot-dip galvanised (HDG) would be even more pronounced, with a shortfall of around 915,000 t/yr, assuming a 50pc cut. The removal of the residual cap on HDG would likely lead to a large number of tonnes coming from South Korea, a flow which is dominated mainly by two traders, and Vietnam.

The new safeguard regime will likely be announced by the business minister at Tata Steel's Port Talbot site on 19 March.

The UK market has firmed markedly in the past two weeks, after seriously lagging European prices, since Tata Steel hiked its offer by £125/t. Replacement costs for European and domestic HRC are now £650/t ddp or above, according to service centres, while sheet prices have rocketed from lows of around £550/t to over £700/t in some cases.

Local producer Tata Steel is likely to add another £20-25/t to its prices immediately, because of increased shipping and costs, and is eyeing another jump of around £100/t for July, sources said.


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