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Japan's refinery run rates rise in May despite Iran war

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Oil products
  • 20/05/26

Japan's average refinery run rates in the week to 16 May was higher compared with May levels during the previous five years, because of the country's progress on procurement of alternative crude oils and despite supply disruptions resulting from the outbreak of the US-Iran war.

Run rates at Japanese refineries averaged 76pc in the week to 16 May, up by 2.8 percentage points on the week, according to the Petroleum Association of Japan (PAJ). Operational capacity rose to 2.95mn b/d, up by 0.8pc from the previous week, while crude throughput also rose to 2.36mn b/d, up by 3.8pc on the week.

The 76pc rate is higher than the monthly average levels ranging at 61.7-75.9pc in May over 2021-25. So far in May, the weekly run rates remain strong compared with the levels in previous years, marking 73.3pc in the week of 3-9 May and 77.3pc in the week of 26 April-2 May.

Japan is making progress on purchases of alternative crude oils via routes other than the strait of Hormuz. Refinery operations have remained active even with the effective closure of the strait of Hormuz stemming from the US-Iran war as a result. Japan's oil reserves add to these procurement efforts.

Refiners are putting in a lot of effort into securing supplies of alternative crude oils, Shunichi Kito, chairperson of Japanese refiner Idemitsu and also president of the PAJ, said on 20 May. They have managed to ensure stable procurement and maintain refinery operations given their efforts and the ongoing release of national reserves, he added.

Japanese refiners have been working to secure crude cargoes after the start of the US-Iran war. The US has become one of the main sources of crude supplies. There is a possibility that supplies could be sourced from central and south America including Mexico, Ecuador and Venezuela, Kito said, adding that there is a Japanese refiner moving to procure crude from Alaska. He also pointed to Japan's sanctions-exempt Russian crude imports.

In addition to procurement efforts, the Japanese government has been providing fuel subsidies, aiming to cap the nationwide average retail gasoline price at around ¥170/litre ($1.06/litre). Japan's subsidised retail gasoline prices averaged ¥169.2/litre as of 18 May, down by ¥0.2/litre from a week earlier, according to the trade and industry ministry Meti.

Meti has set the gasoline subsidy for the week of 21-27 May at ¥41.80/litre, down from ¥42.60/litre in the previous week. It also provides the same subsidy for gasoil, kerosine and fuel oil, while setting the subsidy for jet fuel at 40pc of that for gasoline.

Japanese refinery activity
16-May-269-May-2618-Apr-2617-May-25±% w-o-w±% m-o-m±% y-o-y
Crude throughput (mn b/d)2.362.282.132.263.811.14.4
Refinery runs (%)76.0173.2568.4272.822.87.63.2
Operable capacity (mn b/d)2.952.922.842.740.83.77.5
Name plate capacity (mn b/d)3.113.113.113.11000
Crude stocks (mn bl)56.5552.955.7773.416.91.4-23
Oil product stocks (mn bl)
Gasolinen/an/an/a11.52n/an/an/a
Jet fueln/an/an/a4.72n/an/an/a
Kerosinen/an/an/a11.87n/an/an/a
Gasoiln/an/an/a11.76n/an/an/a
LS marine dieseln/an/an/a2.16n/an/an/a
HS marine dieseln/an/an/a2.69n/an/an/a
LSFOn/an/an/a3.86n/an/an/a
HSFOn/an/an/a7.53n/an/an/a
*Naphtha stocks are not available
*Month ago and year ago mean four weeks and 52 weeks ago

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