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New Zealand Labour party pledges NZ ETS overhaul

  • Spanish Market: Emissions
  • 09/09/26

New Zealand's opposition Labour party has pledged to urgently review and reform the country's Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS), arguing that carbon prices are too low to drive meaningful emissions reductions and that current settings have over-incentivised forestry offsets.

Labour leader Chris Hipkins said on 8 September that a future Labour government would prioritise repairing the ETS by conducting an urgent review of the scheme and moving quickly to implement any resulting changes. Labour is seeking to return to power in the upcoming 7 November national election after losing the 2023 election to a coalition led by the National party.

The review would examine ways to prioritise emissions reductions over offsets, reconsider the role of forestry in the scheme, align the ETS with New Zealand's Paris Agreement commitments, and develop new rules to prevent whole-farm forestry conversions. Labour also said that new forestry registrations into the ETS would be paused while the review is conducted.

The proposal comes as growing scrutiny of the NZ ETS from governing coalition partners ACT New Zealand and New Zealand First. Both parties have asked for changes to New Zealand's climate policies and have questioned the country's participation in the Paris Agreement. But prime minister Christopher Luxon has described remaining in the accord as a non-negotiable position.

Labour's call for reform comes after a prolonged period of weakness in the local carbon market. Spot New Zealand emissions units (NZUs) had been slowly moving down over the past month in the secondary market from mid-NZ$50s/t CO2 equivalent ($29.30/t CO2e) and fell sharply on 8 September to the mid-NZ$40s/t CO2e following Labour's announcement.

The announcement would in theory be bullish for prices, but some market participants have reacted negatively due to policy uncertainty, traders said.

Prices recovered slightly today, closing just above NZ$48/t CO2e.

Weak secondary market prices have contributed to a string of unsuccessful quarterly NZU auctions, with the latest auction attracting no bids on 8 September. The current auction price floor is NZ$71/t.

The government said in June that the market appeared "well supplied" and noted that none of the ETS auctions held in 2026 had cleared at that point. Despite the lack of auction demand, Wellington subsequently confirmed ETS settings through 2031 and retained the existing trajectory for auction price controls, with the auction floor set to rise from NZ$75/t in 2027 to NZ$93/t in 2031.

Forestry remains one area of debate within the NZ ETS as the government seeks to balance food production and its climate goals. The sector continues to play a dominant role within the ETS, with reported post-1989 forestry removals reaching 26.13mn t CO2e in the 2025-26 reporting year, while the number of forestry participants rose to 5,902 from 4,923 a year earlier.


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