Market insight papers
2025: The year of SAF mandates pt.2
Global SAF mandates accelerate demand growth, capacity expansion, and feedstock diversification, while driving innovation beyond HEFA toward advanced and synthetic fuels.
This global SAF guide includes insights on:
SAF Mandates & Compliance
- ReFuelEU obligations for fuel suppliers, aircraft operators, and airports, plus penalties for non-compliance.
Incentives & EU ETS Support
- 20 million carbon allowances reserved to offset SAF price differential; coverage varies by SAF type.
Global Legislative Landscape
- Europe leads with binding mandates; Asia-Pacific and Americas focus on targets and tax credits (e.g., US “45Z” credit).
Market Outlook: Demand & Capacity
- SAF demand projected to grow from 1.9 mn t (2025) to 17.6 mn t (2035); capacity could exceed 33 mn t by 2030.
Feedstock & Technology Evolution
- Current reliance on UCO; future shift to advanced feedstocks and synthetic/e-SAF as HEFA caps tighten.
Download the insight paper
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