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UK political parties repeat existing stances on energy

  • Spanish Market: Crude oil, Electricity, Emissions, Natural gas
  • 13/06/24

The two main UK political parties have set out their plans, including on energy and climate change, with just three weeks until the general election. Energy security and the cost to consumers is a recurring theme for both, but the manifestos present some marked differences in approach to the energy transition.

Both the incumbent Conservative and opposition Labour parties doubled down on existing positions in their respective manifestos. The Conservative party said that it remains committed to the UK's 2050 net zero emissions target, but promises a "pragmatic and proportionate" route. The party's manifesto guarantees "no new green levies or charges while accelerating the rollout of renewables".

The UK's net zero goal is legally-binding, and was passed with significant cross-party support under a Conservative government in 2019. The Conservatives have been in power since 2010, and fielded five prime ministers in that time. Recent polling data show a substantial lead for Labour, which performed well at local elections in May.

Labour placed strong focus on the opportunity the transition offers, saying that it would place the UK at the "forefront of climate action by creating the green jobs of the future at home and driving forward the energy transition on the global stage". The party has committed to zero-carbon power by 2030, although it would "maintain a strategic reserve of gas power stations to guarantee security of supply", it said. The Conservative manifesto reiterates the party's plans to build new gas-fired power plants. The party had previously committed to a decarbonised power grid by 2035, in line with a G7 pledge, although that is not mentioned in its manifesto.

The two main parties clearly diverge on their approaches to North Sea oil and gas production. The Conservatives aim to keep the windfall tax — which effectively results in a 75pc rate — on oil and gas producers in place "until 2028-29, unless prices fall back to normal sooner". Labour confirmed plans to lift the rate to 78pc and run the tax until the end of the next parliament, which is likely to be mid-2029. Labour is also clear that it "will not revoke existing licences" in the North Sea, but it will not issue any new licences — for oil, gas or coal. The Conservatives restated the party's aim to legislate for annual North Sea licensing rounds.

Both parties back nuclear energy, including small modular reactors — though those are unlikely to be operational until after 2030. And both pledge to cut planning bureaucracy and tackle grid connections. Labour's plans to "double onshore wind, triple solar power, and quadruple offshore wind by 2030" would result in installed capacity of 31GW, 48GW and 59GW, respectively, from a baseline of end-2023. The Conservatives' target to triple offshore wind by the end of the next parliament would put installed capacity at 44GW in 2029 — below the 50GW target for 2030 set in 2022 — while it said it supports solar and onshore wind in some circumstances.

Finance in focus

Both parties are keen to pull in private-sector investment, while Labour took up an original Conservative pledge to "make the UK the green finance capital of the world". And both pledge to address the cost of energy for consumers — Labour through local power generation projects and home insulation upgrades, and the Conservatives by ruling out any further "green levies". The latter plans to reverse London's expansion of the ultra-low emissions zone — originally planned by Conservative then-mayor and later prime minister Boris Johnson. Labour said that it would restore a phase-out date of 2030 for new internal combustion engine cars — which prime minister Rishi Sunak in September pushed back to 2035.

On an international level, both parties mention climate leadership at summits such as UN Cops. The Conservatives pledged to "ring-fence" the UK's climate finance commitments, while Labour committed to restore development spending to 0.7pc of gross national income "as soon as fiscal circumstances allow".


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15/07/25

Brazil attorney general asks court to convict Bolsonaro

Brazil attorney general asks court to convict Bolsonaro

Sao Paulo, 15 July (Argus) — Brazilian prosecutors said the country's supreme court (STF) should find former president Jair Bolsonaro and seven other defendants guilty of an attempted coup. In a 517-page briefing that is part of attorney general Paulo Gonet's closing arguments at trial, prosecutors argue that Bolsonaro and the other defendants should be convicted of the crimes of armed criminal organization, attempted violent abolition of the democratic rule of law, coup d'état, damage qualified by violence and serious threat, and damage to government assets. Bolsonaro was the "main orchestrator and biggest beneficiary" of a plot to make sure that he stayed in power despite losing the election to President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Gonet said during the trial. The plot included the 8 January 2023 storming of government buildings in the capital Brasilia and plans to kill his political opponents . Also as part of the plot, Bolsonaro used the power of the state and operated in a "persistent scheme" to attack public institutions and the succession process after the presidential election results, Gonet said. The seven other defendants include Bolsonaro's running mate Walter Braga Netto; former minister Augusto Heleno, who is also an army general; Bolsonaro's former justice minister Anderson Torres; former defense minister Paulo Sergio Nogueira; and Bolsonaro's top aide Mauro Cid. If convicted, Cid is expected to have his sentence suspended due to a plea bargain agreement signed with the federal police during investigations. Cid will now have 15 days to present his final defense. The other defendants will then have an additional 15 days to do the same. A date for the justices to begin deliberations will be set after STF receives all statements. That is expected for September this year, according to the government. If convicted, the defendants, including Bolsonaro, can face up to 43 years in prison. Bolsonaro, Trump push back Bolsonaro — who is barred from running for any public office until 2030 — used social media to call the trial a "shameful farce". Bolsonaro's trial gained a new spotlight after US president Donald Trump threatened to impose a 50pc tariff on imports from Brazil from 1 August, citing an alleged "witch hunt" against Bolsonaro. Lula said Brazil will reciprocate the US tariffs. "Any unilateral tariff increases will be addressed in accordance with Brazil's economic reciprocity law," he said on social media last week. He also added that the country "will not accept any form of tutelage." Lula signed the reciprocity law on Monday, according to the government. It authorizes Brazil to suspend trade, investment and obligation concessions to countries that impose unilateral barriers to Brazilian products in the global market. It also creates a committee — which will be comprised of the ministers of trade, finance, foreign relations and the chief of staff — that will be in charge of deciding trade responses to other countries' unilateral measures. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec sticks to strong oil demand growth forecast


15/07/25
15/07/25

Opec sticks to strong oil demand growth forecast

London, 15 July (Argus) — Opec has kept its global oil demand growth projection for 2025 and 2026 broadly unchanged for the fourth consecutive month, maintaining a more bullish view than other major forecasters. The group expects demand to rise by 1.29mn b/d to 105.13mn b/d in 2025, and by a further 1.28mn b/d to 106.42mn b/d in 2026, according to its latest Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) published today. These projections remain significantly higher than those from the IEA and the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). The IEA forecasts demand growth of 700,000 b/d in 2025 and 720,000 b/d in 2026, while the EIA sees increases of 800,000 b/d this year and 1.05mn b/d next year. Crude prices were volatile in the first half of 2025, driven by uncertainty over US trade policy and geopolitical tensions linked to the Israel-Iran conflict and the Russia-Ukraine war. Despite this, "physical market fundamentals remained robust, with global oil supply and demand broadly balanced", Opec said. The group also pointed to a year-on-year decline in OECD oil inventories in the first half of 2025, alongside strong crude intake by refiners ahead of the seasonal rise in summer demand. On the supply side, Opec left its forecast for non-Opec+ liquids output growth unchanged at 810,000 b/d in 2025 and 730,000 b/d in 2026. Opec+ crude production — including Mexico — rose by 349,000 b/d to 41.56mn b/d in June, based on an average of secondary sources including Argus . The group estimates the call on Opec+ crude at 42.5mn b/d in 2025 and 42.9mn b/d in 2026. By Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

New Zealand releases national fuel security plan


15/07/25
15/07/25

New Zealand releases national fuel security plan

Sydney, 15 July (Argus) — New Zealand's centre-right coalition government has released a draft plan to make its fuel supply chains resilient and invited feedback from the local stakeholders and industry on the proposals. New Zealand wants to guard against supply disruptions, improve domestic infrastructure, develop low-carbon fuel alternatives locally and transition to new energy technologies in the next decade. Public submissions on the plan open 15 July and run until 25 August. Special economic zones have been mooted to provide tailored regulatory areas for developers of biofuels and other alternatives such as hydrogen to ease investment hurdles. The draft comes after New Zealand pledged to increase legally required fuel reserves and mandate that more jet fuel is kept at Auckland airport — the nation's busiest. Earlier this year, a government study found that reopening the shuttered 135,000 b/d Marsden Point refinery to ensure fuel supply could cost the country billions of dollars and take years to complete. Instead, it was recommended that the government find alternative solutions to securing supply like increasing in-country reserves and developing biofuels. The Marsden Point refinery supplied about 70pc of New Zealand's fuel requirements before it was transformed into an oil products import terminal in 2022. As New Zealand's transport sector starts adopting electric vehicles, gasoline consumption will diminish. Diesel demand will taper off by 2035 while the jet fuel market is expected to grow for the foreseeable future due to a lack of alternatives currently, the draft said. Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) could eventually form part of New Zealand's energy mix. New Zealand's gasoline imports totalled 53,000 b/d in January-March , diesel imports were 71,000 b/d and jet fuel 33,000 b/d, according to the country's business, innovation and employment ministry. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump amplifies attacks on renewable energy


14/07/25
14/07/25

Trump amplifies attacks on renewable energy

Washington, 14 July (Argus) — President Donald Trump is ratcheting up criticism of wind and solar projects he says are a "blight", adding uncertainty for investors deciding which projects can still move forward despite the coming end to most of the industry's clean energy tax credits. Trump mounted one of his most expansive attacks yet on the renewable sector last week. For years, Trump has detailed his disgust for wind farms he sees as unsightly and too expensive, whereas he said he was a "big fan of solar" in last year's presidential debate. But Trump's perspective appears to have shifted. He now believes large solar projects are hated by farmers, "very, very inefficient and very ugly too", and should no longer be built. "We don't want wind, and we don't want solar, because they're a blight on our country," Trump said during a cabinet meeting on 8 July. "They hurt our country very badly." That stance offers another troubling sign for investors in wind and solar projects hoping to qualify for the 45Y and 48E clean energy tax credits before they are terminated under Trump's recently signed tax and energy law . Trump already signed an executive order last week seeking a "strict" interpretation of the end of those tax credits, such that fewer projects will meet a safe harbor deadline that will arrive as soon as 31 December. The administration has other potential tools to undermine wind and solar projects, many of which are depending on new electric transmission lines to connect to load centers. Last week, US senator Josh Hawley (R-Arkansas) said he had received assurances from US energy secretary Chris Wright that the administration would be "putting a stop" to the 800-mile Grain Belt Express transmission line, which would connect wind farms in Kansas to the eastern US. Last month, Wright said he sees intermittent power sources as a "parasite on the grid". The Energy Department did not respond to a request for comment. The Energy Department, in a document released this month, indicated it did not plan to spend $383mn that had already been appropriated for wind and solar projects this fiscal year under a bipartisan funding law Trump signed, a unilateral spending reduction that US senator Patty Murray (D-Washington) and US representative Marcy Kaptur (D-Ohio) said was "outrageous" and unlawful. The Trump administration also temporarily halted construction of the fully permitted Empire Wind project off the coast of New York, before allowing work to continue in May. US interior secretary Doug Burgum last month said in congressional testimony that the administration was reviewing "all offshore wind projects" and said there was "no appetite" for adding more "intermittent, unreliable [power] to the grid." Threat to dominance Democrats say attempts to undermine wind and solar will be counterproductive to Trump's own priorities of "energy dominance" because they are among the limited types of projects that can be brought on line quickly. US utility executives and data center developers have said they are facing wait times of three years or more for delivery of turbines for gas-fired turbine, given a surge of global demand for electricity needed for artificial intelligence. "There's a backlog of gas turbines, and geothermal and nuclear takes many years. Nothing else is ready," US senator Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii) said in a social media post last week. "Republican energy policy is to create shortages because they think solar is liberal." Clean energy groups are hoping that Republican lawmakers will pay a political price for voting to cut clean energy tax credits through Trump's recently signed tax and energy law. The industry group Clean Energy for America last week said it launched a billboard advertising campaign that it said was targeted against seven House Republicans who voted for the law. "We're making it clear who is responsible when constituents lose their jobs and find that their monthly electricity bill is higher than they can afford," Clean Energy for America president Andrew Reagan said. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico to negotiate Trump’s tariffs: Sheinbaum


14/07/25
14/07/25

Mexico to negotiate Trump’s tariffs: Sheinbaum

Mexico City, 14 July (Argus) — Mexico believes it can reach a deal with US president Donald Trump after he said he would impose 30pc tariffs on goods imported from Mexico beginning on 1 August. Over the weekend Trump made public on his social media platform a letter sent to Mexican president Claudia Sheinbaum on Friday, threatening the new tariffs. The move could significantly disrupt crude flows from Mexico to the US, and refined product flows from the US to Mexico. Mexico's ministries of the economy, foreign affairs, finance, security and energy said in a statement Saturday that they met with their US counterparts on Friday to begin negotiations to head off the new tariffs before 1 August. The Mexican ministries called the new tariff plan "unfair treatment." With the working group— created by the US State Department — leading the talks, Sheinbaum said today she trusts a deal can be made before 1 August. It is not clear if the 30pc tariff threat applies to trade currently covered by the US-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (USMCA). A White House official said previously that a 35pc tariff against Canada would not include USMCA-covered trade, but that those terms could change. Mexico also has a plan should no deal be reached, Sheinbaum said, without specifying details. When previously threatened with tariffs, Sheinbaum discussed plans to bolster Mexico's economy to become more resilient in the face of disrupted trade with its top trade partner, as well as unspecified retaliatory tariffs. But Trump vowed to raise the tariffs even higher if Mexico was to retaliate with its own measures. In his initial letter to Sheinbaum, Trump repeated previous justifications for higher tariffs by pointing to Mexico's "failure" to stop criminal groups from smuggling fentanyl into the US. Trump recognized that Mexico is working on the issue but does not consider these efforts fruitful: "Mexico has been helping me secure the border, BUT, what Mexico has done is not enough," Trump wrote. Trump sent a similar letter threatening tariffs on Friday to European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen. The US has clinched only one limited trade deal, which keeps in place a 10pc tariff on US imports from the UK while granting a lower-tariff import quota for UK-made cars. Trump has announced a deal with Vietnam, setting tariffs at 20pc. By Cas Biekmann Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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