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US light vehicle sales surged in September

  • Spanish Market: Biofuels, Crude oil, Metals, Oil products
  • 03/10/24

Domestic sales of light vehicles rebounded in September, increasing to a seasonally adjusted rate of 15.8mn on the strength of greater truck purchases.

Sales of light vehicles — trucks and cars — rose from a seasonally adjusted annual of rate 15.3mn in August, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. Sales have whipsawed the previous four months, but September's rate largely was in line with the 15.7mn unit rate in September 2023.

The US Federal Reserve last month cut its target rate for the first time since 2020, bringing it down by 50 basis points from its 23-year highs as inflation has been easing. Lower inflation and Fed easing, which ripples across credit markets, make it more affordable for people to purchase new vehicles. Fed policymakers have penciled in another 150 basis points worth of cuts through 2025, as they hope to head off any weakening in the labor market that could scuttle the wider economy.

Higher overall sentiment about the US economy, fueled by a robust 3pc growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter, healthy labor conditions and consumer spending also have encouraged consumers to spend.

Sequentially, light truck sales increased by 3.1pc to a 12.8mn unit rate in September, while sales of cars rose by 4.4pc to a 3mn unit rate in the same time period.


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16/07/25

New tariff threat could disrupt Mexico GDP outlook

New tariff threat could disrupt Mexico GDP outlook

Mexico City, 16 July (Argus) — Mexico's association of finance executives IMEF held its 2025 GDP growth forecast steady at 0.1pc in its July survey but warned the outlook could deteriorate if the US raises tariffs to 30pc. The survey of 43 analysts maintained projections for year-end inflation at 4pc and for the central bank's benchmark interest rate to fall from 8pc to 7.5pc by the end of 2025. The sharpest variation came in formal employment, after Mexico's social security administration IMSS reported a net loss of 139,444 formal jobs in the second quarter. IMEF cut its 2025 job creation forecast to 160,000 from 190,000 in June — the seventh and largest downgrade this year. Job losses increased in April, May and June, "a situation not seen since the pandemic in 2020," IMEF said. "If this trend is not reversed, the net number of formal jobs could fall to zero by year-end." "It is still too early to call it a recession, but the rise in job losses is worrying," said Victor Herrera, head of economic studies at IMEF. "The next risk we face is in auto plants. Some halted production after the 25pc US tariff was imposed in April. They did not lay off workers right away — they sent them home with half pay. But if this is not resolved in the next 60-90 days, layoffs will follow." The July survey was conducted before US president Donald Trump said on 12 July he would raise tariffs on Mexican goods from 25pc to 30pc starting 1 August. "What we have seen in the past is that when the deadline comes, the tariffs are postponed or canceled," Herrera said. "Hopefully, that happens again. If not, you can expect GDP forecasts to shift into contraction territory." While the full impact would vary by sector, Herrera said the effective average tariff rate would rise from 4pc to 15pc, with most exports either exempt or subject to reduced rates under regional content rules. But 8–10pc of auto exports would face the full 30pc duty. IMEF expects the peso to end 2025 at Ps20.1/$1, stronger than the Ps20.45/$1 estimate in June. But the group warned that rising Japanese rates — which influence currency carry trades — and falling Mexican rates could put renewed pressure on the peso once the dollar rebounds. For 2026, the GDP growth forecast dropped to 1.3pc from 1.5pc, while the peso is seen ending that year at Ps20.75/$1, slightly stronger than the previous Ps20.90/$1 forecast. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Vessel identified in Venezuelan oil sanctions busting


16/07/25
16/07/25

Vessel identified in Venezuelan oil sanctions busting

Caracas, 16 July (Argus) — A Venezuelan watchdog group said it has identified fifteen oil tankers used to circumvent US sanctions against crude sales from the country. The vessels take part in a system of clandestine ship-to-ship transfers off the Venezuelan coast at night, according to the report from the Venezuelan chapter of Transparency International, which is operating in exile. The transfers happen on a regular basis, with ship transponders turned off and with no oversight or safety monitoring from port authorities. Many of the ships that enter the sanctions-busting trade were inactive or soon-to-be scrapped — such as the Aframax Cape Balder , which was once listed as inactive and set to be scrapped, according to the report. Many of the ships also change names when starting in the sanctioned shipments realm, such as the Panamax Nabiin , which was formerly known as Euroforce , according to the report. Most of the cargoes end up in China where they are rebranded as Brazilian, Malay or Singaporean crude, according to the report. Of the 15 vessels identified, five are registered in the Comoro Islands, four in Panama, and the rest in other locations. They include seven very large crude carriers (VLCCs), seven Panamax and one Aframax. Aside from the financial incentives, Venezuela relies so heavily on the crude smuggling schemes to deal with a shortage of oil storage, according to the report. Since the first round of US sanctions on the country started in 2019, storage space in the country's Bajo Grande and Ule sites has tightened significantly and has at times forced a reduction in crude production. The other ships named in the report include: the VLCC Varada Blessing; Panamax Jacinda; Panamax Petrogaruda; VLCC Vieira; VLCC Longevo; VLCC Alice; Panamax Sinar G; VLCC Champ; VLCC Latitude; VLCC Ekta; Panamax Colon; Panamax Tailwinds; Panamax Veronica. By Carlos Camacho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Oil firms in Iraq Kurdistan shut in 200,000 b/d: Update


16/07/25
16/07/25

Oil firms in Iraq Kurdistan shut in 200,000 b/d: Update

Updates with comments from the US State Department Washington, 16 July (Argus) — Foreign oil companies operating in Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdistan region have shut in more than 200,000 b/d of production following drone attacks on key oil fields, an industry group representing them said on Wednesday. Operators are assessing damage to facilities and even firms that have not taken direct hits have taken fields off line, according to the Association of the Petroleum Industry of Kurdistan (Apikur), an industry body representing eight foreign oil companies operating in the region. The group called on the federal government of Iraq and on the Kurdistan regional government to take additional measures to ensure the safety of staff and facilities. Individual members of Apikur, including Norwegian independent DNO and UK-listed Gulf Keystone, already reported shutting in production, in some cases as a precautionary measure. The latest attacks on Wednesday targeted the Tawke, Peshkabir, and Ain Sifni oil fields, according to the Kurdistan region's Ministry of Natural Resources. In the previous two days, attacks targeted the Sarsang field operated by US independent HKN Energy, US firm Hunt Oil's facility in Baadre and the Khurmala field, according to the local authorities. No group has claimed responsibility for the attacks. But in the first public accusation from a senior Kurdistan official, former Iraqi foreign minister Hoshyar Zebari on Wednesday blamed the attacks on Wilaya-aligned factions — a militia group loyal to Iran. Deputy chief of staff to Kurdistan regional prime minister, Aziz Ahmad, via a social media post Wednesday, appealed to the US administration to enable the region "to defend ourselves", noting that the attacks targeted fields operated by two US companies. "Still no call from [US secretary of state Marco Rubio]," Ahmad posted. "We need more than words." The State Department called the attacks "unacceptable", adding that "we've expressed our dismay and our problem with them." The attacks come as tensions between the Kurdistan region and Baghdad continue over the federal government's halt of salary payments to public servants and the prolonged suspension of oil exports through Turkey's Ceyhan port. But both sides were reportedly close to a breakthrough in negotiations that could allow for the resumption of exports and a resolution to the salary dispute. By Haik Gugarats and Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US investigates Brazil barriers to US ethanol


16/07/25
16/07/25

US investigates Brazil barriers to US ethanol

Houston, 16 July (Argus) — The US Trade Representative (USTR) has launched an investigation into Brazilian trade practices that include import barriers against US ethanol. The USTR investigation will look at Brazilian trade barriers that US ambassador Jamieson Greer claims "restrict the ability of US exporters to access its market." "Brazil's tariff and non-tariff barriers merit a thorough investigation, and potentially, responsive action," he said. The notice for the investigation said US ethanol producers are unfairly affected by an 18pc tariff that Brazil imposes on US ethanol exports. The US and Brazil are the two largest ethanol-producing countries, combining for 52pc and 28pc of global production, respectively, according to data from the Renewable Fuels Association, an ethanol trade group. US exports to Brazil averaged 3,800 b/d, or just 2.7pc of overall US exports from January to May, according to US Department of Agriculture data. Exports to Brazil in 2024 were valued at $53mn, down from a peak of $761mn in 2018, according to the investigation notice. The US imported just 491 b/d from Brazil during the first five months of the year, equivalent to 81pc of total ethanol imports. The US imposes a combined 12.5pc tariff on Brazilian ethanol, which includes the blanket 10pc tariff announced in April and the existing 2.5pc duty. Growth Energy, another US ethanol trade organization, applauded the investigation. "Today's action by USTR is a sign that the old days of Brazil enjoying unfettered access to the US ethanol market while unfairly putting a tariff on American ethanol imports could soon come to an end," chief executive Emily Skor said. US President Donald Trump's administration earlier this year specifically noted Brazilian trade barriers against US ethanol as unfair and worth addressing. Trump has recently threatened to impose a 50pc tariff on Brazilian imports starting 1 August, but tied those threats to the country's prosecution of former president Jair Bolsonaro for trying to overthrow elections in 2022. The Trump administration has discouraged Brazilian ethanol imports in other ways, including by proposing to revamp a long-running biofuel blend mandate by reducing lucrative credits for fuels made abroad. Last year, the Renewable Fuels Association and Growth Energy threatened to not cooperate with Brazil on ethanol or sustainable aviation fuel partnerships if the country did not eliminate the tariff. Reducing trade barriers in Brazil has been a longtime priority for the US ethanol lobby, which sees the potential to compete more in Brazil's Renovabio biofuel program. USTR will accept comments through 18 August with a hearing for the investigation scheduled for 3 September. By Payne Williams Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Oil firms in Iraqi Kurdistan shut in 200,000 b/d


16/07/25
16/07/25

Oil firms in Iraqi Kurdistan shut in 200,000 b/d

Washington, 16 July (Argus) — Foreign oil companies operating in Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdistan region have shut in more than 200,000 b/d of production following drone attacks on key oil fields, an industry group representing them said on Wednesday. Operators are assessing damage to facilities and even firms that have not taken direct hits have taken fields off line, according to the Association of the Petroleum Industry of Kurdistan (Apikur), an industry body representing eight foreign oil companies operating in the region. The group called on the federal government of Iraq and on the Kurdistan regional government to take additional measures to ensure the safety of staff and facilities. Individual members of Apikur, including Norwegian independent DNO and UK-listed Gulf Keystone, already reported shutting in production, in some cases as a precautionary measure. The latest attacks on Wednesday targeted the Tawke, Peshkabir, and Ain Sifni oil fields, according to the Kurdistan region's Ministry of Natural Resources. In the previous two days, attacks targeted the Sarsang field operated by US independent HKN Energy, US firm Hunt Oil's facility in Baadre and the Khurmala field, according to the local authorities. No group has claimed responsibility for the attacks. But in the first public accusation from a senior Kurdistan official, former Iraqi foreign minister Hoshyar Zebari on Wednesday blamed the attacks on Wilaya-aligned factions — a militia group loyal to Iran. Deputy chief of staff to Kurdistan regional prime minister, Aziz Ahmad, via a social media post Wednesday, appealed to the US administration to enable the region "to defend ourselves", noting that the attacks targeted fields operated by two US companies. "Still no call from [US secretary of state Marco Rubio]," Ahmad posted. "We need more than words." The State Department was not immediately available to comment. The attacks come as tensions between the Kurdistan region and Baghdad continue over the federal government's halt of salary payments to public servants and the prolonged suspension of oil exports through Turkey's Ceyhan port. But both sides were reportedly close to a breakthrough in negotiations that could allow for the resumption of exports and a resolution to the salary dispute. By Haik Gugarats and Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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