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US light vehicle sales surged in September

  • Market: Biofuels, Crude oil, Metals, Oil products
  • 03/10/24

Domestic sales of light vehicles rebounded in September, increasing to a seasonally adjusted rate of 15.8mn on the strength of greater truck purchases.

Sales of light vehicles — trucks and cars — rose from a seasonally adjusted annual of rate 15.3mn in August, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. Sales have whipsawed the previous four months, but September's rate largely was in line with the 15.7mn unit rate in September 2023.

The US Federal Reserve last month cut its target rate for the first time since 2020, bringing it down by 50 basis points from its 23-year highs as inflation has been easing. Lower inflation and Fed easing, which ripples across credit markets, make it more affordable for people to purchase new vehicles. Fed policymakers have penciled in another 150 basis points worth of cuts through 2025, as they hope to head off any weakening in the labor market that could scuttle the wider economy.

Higher overall sentiment about the US economy, fueled by a robust 3pc growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter, healthy labor conditions and consumer spending also have encouraged consumers to spend.

Sequentially, light truck sales increased by 3.1pc to a 12.8mn unit rate in September, while sales of cars rose by 4.4pc to a 3mn unit rate in the same time period.


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13/06/25

VLCC rates exposed to disruption after Israeli strike

VLCC rates exposed to disruption after Israeli strike

London, 13 June (Argus) — The cost of freight for Mideast Gulf-origin very large crude carrier (VLCC) voyages could increase after Israeli air and missile strikes hit Iran in the early hours of today, 13 June. The VLCC market is exposed to volatility as around 65pc of all shipments in that class are from the Mideast Gulf. In October 2024, when Iran launched more than 200 missiles against Israel, the Argus- assessed rate for the Mideast Gulf to China route increased by more than 13pc, to $14.10/t, in three days. So far is appears there is no disruption to oil flows through the Mideast Gulf and the strait of Hormuz, and remains unclear as Iran's oil infrastructure was unscathed by the Israeli air and missile strikes according to Iran's state news agency Irna and Argus sources. But some shipowners have become increasingly cautious of the region, with some market participants suggesting more risk-averse owners might avoid the area until the conflict de-escalates. This could encourage some owners to increase their offers as the risk of transiting the area mounts, and discourage some from visiting the region at all. Charterers made multiple cargoes available to the Mideast Gulf market today, but most remained unfixed. But the rise in crude prices today — front month Ice Brent is trading around 5.5pc higher having rise as much as 13pc earlier — could discourage China, the largest importer of Mideast Gulf grades, from purchasing more crude. This could curtail any jump in freight rates and perhaps create a ceiling to cap the increase. By Rhys van Dinther Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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WTI crude surges after Israel attack on Iran


13/06/25
News
13/06/25

WTI crude surges after Israel attack on Iran

Houston, 13 June (Argus) — WTI crude futures jumped by as much as 14pc today after Israel carried out strikes against Iran, sparking concerns over possible disruptions to Middle East oil supplies. WTI prices rose as high as $77.62/bl early, a nearly five-month high, but gave up some of the gains later in the morning. The July Nymex WTI contract was trading near $73/bl at 10:30am ET, about 7pc above yesterday's settlement price. In equity markets, the Nasdaq was down by 1.44pc and the S&P 500 fell by 0.97pc as of 10:30am ET. Iranian state media reported a first wave of strikes over the capital city, Tehran, at around 03:20 local time (23:50 GMT). Images and videos published by the state broadcaster showed residential towers that had been struck in the attack, causing numerous casualties. The US said it was not involved in the Israeli strikes and advised Tehran not to retaliate against US personnel in the Middle East. Iran's [oil infrastructure appeared to be unscathed from the strikes}(https://direct.argusmedia.com/article/2698642), according to Iran's state news agency Irna and Argus sources. But the attacks have raised the prospect of a broader escalation in the world's largest oil-producing region. Israel said the strikes targeted military facilities and infrastructure linked to Iran's nuclear program. It described the operation as an act of self-defense, claiming Iran is "closer than ever" to acquiring a nuclear weapon. Iranian officials said talks with US officials over its nuclear program scheduled for this weekend can no longer take place . Iran informed the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) that its Bushehr nuclear power plant was not targeted and that no increase in radiation levels had been observed at its Natanz site, IAEA director general Rafael Grossi said today. The attacks have raised the risk of disruption to shipping in the region, prompting concerns over rising freight rates, insurance costs and vessel safety. Market participants warn that freight rates could surge if the conflict drags on or if Iran launches a retaliatory strike. The region includes one of the world's most critical oil and shipping corridors, centered on the Strait of Hormuz — a chokepoint for about a fifth of global oil supply. Ships operating in or transiting the Mideast Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz could face higher costs and delays. "Insurance companies could raise the cost of additional war risk premiums (AWRP) if the conflict continues for a long time," a shipbroker said. Other freight market participants echoed this view. "Mideast Gulf freight rates could spike because owners will avoid going there," another source said, adding that shipowners are likely to err on the side of caution. All Egyptian urea plants have stopped production because of a drop in natural gas flows from Israel, with suppliers withdrawing urea offers. Greek independent oil and gas producer Energean has suspended production from its Karish gas field offshore Israel in line with an Israeli government order after the strikes. Several international airlines have diverted or cancelled flights. Iran's civil aviation authority announced that the airspace over Tehran will be closed "until further notice" following the initial strikes, and all flights have been grounded across the country's airports. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Iran suggests upcoming nuclear talks with US are off


13/06/25
News
13/06/25

Iran suggests upcoming nuclear talks with US are off

Dubai, 13 June (Argus) — Nuclear negotiations between Iran and the US scheduled for Sunday, 15 June, appear to be off following the Israeli air and missile strikes on Iran in the early hours of today. The talks were formally confirmed by mediators Oman on 12 June as taking place in the Omani capital, Muscat. With the mood around the negotiations having taken a turn for the worse this past week, the new round would provide an opportunity for the sides to re-establish their demands, and re-evaluate progress. The key outstanding issue is Iran's ability to enrich uranium, and thus, retain a theoretical path to nuclear weapons. Tehran insists it should be allowed to retain its civilian nuclear enrichment program to supply fuel to nuclear power plants, while US administration officials now appear bent on allowing zero enrichment. The Israeli attacks , which came against US President Donald Trump's advice, appear to have thrown a wrench into the US' efforts to engage Iran diplomatically. Speaking on state television today, Iranian parliament's national security and foreign policy committee member Alaeddin Boroujerdi said the attacks on Iran meant the talks with the US now cannot take place. "With respect to the talks, which we entered at America's request… we were on the verge of a sixth round," he said. "But with these latest developments, I can't see a sixth round taking place." Iran's foreign ministry, which has been leading the discussions for the Iranian side, has yet to explicitly comment on the status of the talks. Neither has Oman. On the attacks, Tehran's Guardian Council, a powerful supervisory body tasked with overseeing legislation, vowed to "give a crushing and tooth-breaking response to these criminals of history in such a way that it will serve as a less on to the enemies of Islam, and the arrogant powers of the world." Iran sent a barrage of drones towards Israel, which appeared to trigger a second round of Israeli strikes on several cities, including Shiraz in the south, Tabriz in the northwest, and Kermanshah in the west. Trump calls for deal The Trump administration has said it was not involved in the Israeli strikes, and warned Iran not to retaliate against its personnel in the Middle East. But it did appear to have at least advance warning of the imminent attack, after ordering non-essential US personnel in Iraq and Israel to evacuate. Trump today again called on Iranian leaders to "make a deal" or face even more "death and destruction" from the next waves of Israeli attacks. "I gave Iran chance after chance to make a deal… but no matter how hard they tried, no matter how close they got, they just couldn't get it done," Trump said on his Truth Social media platform. "There has already been great death and destruction, but there is still time to make this slaughter, with the next already planned attacked being even more brutal, come to an end. Iran must make a deal before there is nothing left." By Nader Itayim and Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Iran’s oil infrastructure untouched by Israeli strikes


13/06/25
News
13/06/25

Iran’s oil infrastructure untouched by Israeli strikes

Dubai, 13 June (Argus) — Iran's oil infrastructure emerged unscathed from Israeli air and missile strikes in the early hours of 13 June, according to Iran's state news agency Irna and Argus sources. But the attacks have raised the prospect of a broader escalation in the world's largest oil-producing region. Israel said the strikes targeted military facilities and infrastructure linked to Iran's nuclear programme. It described the operation as an act of self-defence, claiming Iran is "closer than ever" to acquiring a nuclear weapon. The US denied involvement and urged Tehran not to retaliate against US personnel in the region. Iran informed the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) that its Bushehr nuclear power plant was not targeted and that no increase in radiation levels had been observed at its Natanz site, IAEA director general Rafael Grossi said today. Oil operations remain unaffected. Activities at Iranian facilities are continuing "without interruption and in a stable manner," Irna reported, citing state-owned refiner NIORDC. The operator of Iran's 700,000 b/d Abadan refinery said the plant is running at full capacity with no disruption, according to the state news agency Shana. The 110,000 b/d Tabriz refinery — located near one of the reported strike zones — was not hit and "operations resumed as normal," an official at the plant told Argus . No other Iranian oil or gas facilities have been targeted so far, Argus understands. Crude futures surged in early Asian trading on news of the strikes, rising by as much as 13pc before paring gains. As of 09:00 GMT, the front-month August Ice Brent contract was trading at $74.30/bl, down from an earlier high of $78.50/bl. The absence of physical supply disruption helped ease immediate concerns, but the risk of a wider conflict remains high. In response to the strikes, Iran launched around 100 drones toward Israeli territory. "Israel is working to intercept [the drones]," Israeli military spokesperson Effie Defrin said. Israeli media later reported that all drones were intercepted. The fallout from the strikes has affected regional gas operations. Greek independent Energean suspended production from its Karish gas field offshore Israel following a government order issued after the Israeli attacks. Security concerns in key shipping lanes were already rising ahead of the strikes. On 12 June, the Joint Maritime Information Centre (JMIC) warned that the "threat will be elevated until further notice for vessels operating in or transiting the Arabian Gulf, strait of Hormuz, and Northern Arabian Sea". Any disruption to the strait of Hormuz — a chokepoint for nearly a fifth of global oil flows — could have immediate and severe consequences for global crude supply and pricing. The Yemen-based Houthi movement, part of Iran's regional proxy network known as the ‘Axis of Resistance', condemned the Israeli strikes and affirmed "Iran's right to carry out a deterrent response." It declared support for Iran's "legitimate right to respond to the aggression." So far, however, neither the Houthis nor other Iran-aligned groups — including Lebanon's Hezbollah and Shia militias in Iraq — have taken retaliatory action. Israel has significantly weakened the Axis of Resistance since the October 2023 Hamas-led attack, eliminating most of Hamas' leadership and key Hezbollah figures. Israel and Iran also exchanged missile and drone strikes in 2024. By Bachar Halabi, Yong Li Tng and Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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European products markets jump on Israel-Iran attacks


13/06/25
News
13/06/25

European products markets jump on Israel-Iran attacks

London, 13 June (Argus) — European refined product prices rose sharply in early trading on 13 June as market participants reacted to Israel's overnight air and missile strikes on Iran. At 10:29, non-oxy gasoline barges were assessed 3.5pc higher from the previous close at a volume-weighted average (VWA) of $728/t. Front-month Ice July gasoil futures were trading 6pc higher at $683.75/t. Israel launched the strikes in the early hours of Friday local time , targeting military infrastructure linked to Iran's nuclear programme. Israeli officials described the operation as an act of self-defence, warning that Iran is now closer than ever to acquiring a nuclear weapon. The escalation has raised concerns over potential supply disruptions from the Mideast Gulf, a key source of diesel and jet fuel for Europe. Iran could move to close the Strait of Hormuz — a critical chokepoint for global energy flows — which would halt exports of ultra-low sulphur diesel and jet from regional producers such as Kuwait, the UAE and Saudi Arabia. A naval blockade could also restrict LNG shipments from Qatar, tightening gas supply and raising operating costs for European refiners. Despite the sharp rise in flat prices, some market participants questioned the sustainability of the rally. Front-month gasoil futures had already eased from a peak of $706.50/t reached during Asian trading hours. A Singapore-based middle distillates trader said many participants were stepping back to "watch the market closely". A European diesel trader also expressed doubt over how long the gains would hold. By George Maher-Bonnett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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