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UK ramps up climate action under new leadership

  • Spanish Market: Coal, Crude oil, Electricity, Emissions, Natural gas
  • 28/10/24

The UK's Labour government, elected in July, has taken the country's climate policy in a new direction, restoring pledges the previous administration scrapped and seeking to funnel investment to renewables. The UN Cop 29 climate summit presents an opportunity for it to follow this up on an international stage.

Hosting Cop 26 in 2021 allowed the UK to burnish its climate leadership credentials, but subsequent changes in the Conservative government saw policy reversals. Labour sought to differentiate its position on climate during the election campaign — possibly noting an increase in support for the UK's Green and Liberal Democrat parties, both of which hold firm pro-environment stances.

Labour promised to issue no new oil, gas or coal licences — although it said it would not revoke existing permits — and is aiming for zero-emissions power by 2030. Energy minister Ed Miliband in his first week in office lifted the de facto ban on onshore wind, and set up a taskforce to speed the country's path to a decarbonised power grid. The UK has in recent weeks pulled in around £24bn ($31bn) of investment for renewables, including from utilities Orsted and Iberdrola, and announced "up to" £21.7bn in funding over 25 years for carbon capture, use and storage (CCUS) — although it is unclear how the money will be deployed.

The government moved swiftly to raise the windfall tax on oil and gas profits, lifting it to an effective rate of 78pc and scrapping one of the investment allowances — although the decarbonisation investment allowance remains in place. And, spurred by a landmark ruling made by the UK's Supreme Court in June, the government pledged new environmental guidance for oil and gas fields by spring 2025. The judgment ruled that consent for an oil development was unlawful, as the Scope 3 emissions — those from burning the oil produced — were not considered. The government has in the meantime halted assessment of any environmental statements for oil and gas extraction, including those already being processed, until the new guidance is in place.

The Labour government has declined to defend in court decisions taken by various iterations of the Conservative administration, including the permission granted for a proposed coal mine in northwest England. The High Court quashed that planning permission in September.

International stage

Miliband has sought guidance from independent advisory the Climate Change Committee (CCC) on the country's new climate plan, known as a nationally determined contribution (NDC). The CCC assessed the previous government as off track to hit legally binding emissions-reduction targets. The UK has cut emissions by half since 1990 and is in line with all carbon budgets to date. But much of this progress was made from a baseline of a high rate of coal-fired power generation, all of which is now shut down. The next stage of the country's decarbonisation will be more fragmented and is likely to pose more of a challenge.

The UK has bucked the trend set by some European neighbours by shifting further left with Labour, although the new government has promoted fiscal caution. Climate finance will dominate the talks in Azerbaijan, and the UK has been clear it will continue to contribute.

Labour pledged in its manifesto to "return to the forefront of climate action", noting that the previous administration had "squandered [the UK's] climate leadership". Foreign minister David Lammy has embedded climate and nature issues into his foreign policy brief and the government has appointed special representatives for climate and nature. But Cop 29 will prove the first real test of the pledges made, with a global audience watching.

UK greenhouse gas emissions

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09/12/24

Braya may idle Canada RD plant by year-end

Braya may idle Canada RD plant by year-end

New York, 9 December (Argus) — The largest renewable diesel (RD) producer in Canada is weighing whether to idle its 18,000 b/d biorefinery before the end of the year, citing poor margins and uncertainty about US biofuels policy. Braya Renewable Fuels — which began commercial operations in February at a former petroleum refinery in Come-by-Chance, Newfoundland and Labrador — said any potential shutdown would be temporary to see if market conditions improve. The company had previously planned to increase capacity to 35,000 b/d and to also produce sustainable aviation fuel. "Braya plans to retain its permanent workforce if a temporary economic shutdown is required" and "all equipment would be maintained in good condition and in a ready to start mode", refinery manager Paul Burton said. Other Canadian biorefineries have criticized what they see as an unlevel playing field between US and Canadian producers, since ample supply of US-produced renewable diesel has arrived in Canada this year and helped crash prices of federal and British Columbia clean fuel credits. Economics for Canadian biofuel producers could worsen in January when a US tax credit for blenders of biomass-based diesel expires and is replaced by an incentive that can exclusively be claimed by US producers, likely deterring foreign fuel imports. Braya has seen "lower-than-normal margins" recently and "short-term market disruptions" from the looming expiration of that blenders credit, Burton said. A proposal to extend the blenders credit for another year faces long odds in Congress' lame duck session, energy lobbyists have said . Braya has exported more than 2.1mn bl of renewable diesel into the US this year, largely into California, bills of lading indicate. An additional vessel with an estimated 345,000 bl of renewable diesel was scheduled to reach Long Beach, California, last weekend according to data from trade and analytics platforms Kpler, reflecting foreign producers' incentive to rush biofuel into the US before the end of the year. Braya has also criticized policy shifts in California, where regulators recently updated the state low-carbon fuel standard to eventually limit credit generating opportunities for fuels made from soybean and canola oil. In August comments to California regulators, Braya said that it had "entered into tens of millions of dollars of soybean oil feedstock contracts for 2025" and that soybean oil at the time represented "well in excess" of 20pc of its feedstock mix. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Shale M&A to pick up pace in 2025 after hitting pause


09/12/24
09/12/24

Shale M&A to pick up pace in 2025 after hitting pause

New York, 9 December (Argus) — A slowdown in shale deals in recent months is set to be reversed next year, helped in part by speculation that oil and gas mergers will have an easier time getting anti-trust approval under president-elect Donald Trump. The $12bn in upstream deals recorded in the third quarter was the lowest tally since the first three months of 2023, just before a record-breaking streak that reshaped the shale landscape and was dominated by blockbuster transactions involving ExxonMobil and Chevron. While buyers have been focused on winning approval from a zealous regulator and pushing deals over the finish line, attention is turning to the billions of dollars of unwanted assets they are likely to want to offload, with companies from ExxonMobil to Occidental Petroleum already active on this front. "You do one of these mega-mergers and now you have to pay for it," law firm Hogan Lovells partner Niki Roberts says. "You pay for it by selling off all the stuff you didn't really want to begin with." One potential upside from the Trump administration may be less attention from the Federal Trade Commission, which has paid closer scrutiny to oil deals in recent months as it cracks down on anti-competitive behaviour. Tie-ups have been delayed while the regulator has sought more details, and two high-profile oil executives were barred from the boards of their acquirers as a condition of approving deals. "The antitrust regulators have been viewed by particularly the traditional oil and gas industry of late as not being friendly to that industry," law firm Sidley global leader of energy, transport and infrastructure Cliff Vrielink says. "You're going to see less resistance to consolidation and you're going to see more people pursuing those opportunities." Oil market volatility has hampered mergers and acquisitions in the past, but observers say price swings are less of a factor these days. And more deals are needed to help companies boost their inventory of drilling locations for as long as cash flow remains king and growing through the drillbit is challenged. Lower interest rates, controlled inflation and regulatory reforms all point to a "robust" M&A market, Sidley partner Stephen Boone says. The majority of deal-making has been focused on oil in recent years, but natural gas is "having a bit of a moment", aided by the surge in demand from a boom in energy-hungry US data centres that are developing and supporting artificial intelligence, Boone says. Privates on parade Private equity is also making a gradual comeback, with teams looking to deploy fresh capital in oil and gas. Quantum Capital Group raised over $10bn in October and EnCap Investments has reloaded with about $6.4bn. "We are just now getting back to pre-pandemic levels of commitment," Boone says. "That bodes towards probably more private equity involvement in the oil and gas space." Fierce competition to get a foothold in the prized Permian basin of west Texas and southeastern New Mexico has sent valuations soaring, and prompted some would-be buyers to look further afield to plays such as the Uinta in Utah and North Dakota's Bakken. "The Permian stays of interest to many because of its consistent returns, but the Permian is a crowded place right now, and so I do think we'll see development of other basins," Roberts says. "But it's all going to depend on price." Close to $300bn in upstream deals were signed in the US over the past two years and this has whittled down the list of remaining targets. But the largest producers may not be done when it comes to seeking out potential acquisitions. "We don't stop looking," ConocoPhillips vice-president and treasurer Konnie Haynes-Welsh told the Rice Energy Finance Summit on 15 November. "We're always looking to be opportunistic." By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia’s QPM to buy Moranbah gas-fired power station


09/12/24
09/12/24

Australia’s QPM to buy Moranbah gas-fired power station

Sydney, 9 December (Argus) — Australian independent QPM Energy will buy the 12.8MW gas-fired Moranbah power station (MPS) as the firm pivots from battery materials to being a central Queensland-focused gas developer. Carbon Logica signed an agreement to acquire the power plant from Sustainable Energy Infrastructure, owned by infrastructure management firm Whitehelm Capital, for A$10.5mn ($6.7mn), QPM said on 9 December. QPM will then lease the facility from Australian mining services firm Carbon Logica, before it takes ownership of the plant. The sale will settle over a four-year period, with operations and maintenance to be conducted by QPM, which will also receive all MPS' electricity sales. QPM also owns the 64 TJ/d (1.74mn m³/d) Moranbah gas project. QPM renamed itself from Queensland Pacific Metals last month, and in April announced it would cut spending on its Townsville Energy Chemicals Hub project which aims to produce 16,000 t/yr of nickel and 1,750 t/yr of cobalt sulphates from imported laterite ore, citing the slumping global nickel price. The company is seeking to increase waste gas production from the Bowen basin's coal mines to 35 TJ/d by late 2024, up from October-December 2023's 28 TJ/d. Coal mines captured under Australia's greenhouse emissions reduction laws must reduce methane gas flaring under stricter laws to be imposed from 1 July 2025. QPM signed a revenue-sharing deal for excess power generated from Thai-owned Ratch Australia's Townsville Power Station (TPS) on 4 December. The 10-year agreement begins on 1 July next year and will cover revenue from the plant above QPM gas supply levels of 12 TJ/d, with operating costs for TPS and the 108 TJ/d North Queensland gas pipeline to be recovered first. Gas peaking plants can generate significant profits as Australia's electricity markets transition supply from thermal to renewable generators, particularly during the evening peak when wholesale spot electricity market prices can soar above A$1,000/MWh. QPM wants to develop 300MW of new gas-fired power generation at its Moranbah project, because of the state government's policy for an additional 3GW of new gas-fired generation as it retires coal-fired plants in the coming years. Only 2.2GW of the presently installed 2.9GW of capacity is being dispatched, mainly owing to a lack of domestic gas supply, QPM said on 14 November. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Atlantic LNG: US fob prices edge lower


06/12/24
06/12/24

Atlantic LNG: US fob prices edge lower

London, 6 December (Argus) — Fob LNG prices for loadings in the US Gulf coast slipped on Friday, adding to losses posted over Wednesday-Thursday to end the week lower. The Argus Gulf Coast (AGC) January fob price fell to $13.81/mn Btu, from $13.90/mn Btu a day earlier, and $14.16/mn Btu at the end of last week, following similar losses in European delivered markets. But the price continued to track European des prices, as the inter-basin arbitrage for US January loadings held shut with European markets holding at a discount to Asia that was too tight to cover the additional spot freight costs — which have been buoyed by a recent small rise in prompt spot charter rates over this week. The ARV3 prompt rate for US-northeast Asia by tri-fuel diesel-electric (TFDE) carriers was assessed at $14,000/d on Friday, up from $12,000/d a week earlier, while the corresponding ARV6 two-stroke rate rose to $28,500/d on Friday from $24,000/d. US LNG production this week has been steady at six of the country's operational liquefaction terminals. But Texas' 17.3mn t/yr Freeport LNG export terminal experienced a trip at its first of three liquefaction trains on 4 December, because of an unspecified issue at a compressor system, according to a state regulatory filing by the facility. That said, the terminal's feedgas receipts quickly rebounded a day later to reach 2.02bn ft³ over the day — the most received by the terminal since 13 November. Freeport was nominated to take 2.12bn ft³ on Friday, though the terminal has historically taken less at times than it has initially nominated to receive. Even with one day of downtime at a single train this week, Freeport's gas receipts were still greater than during the previous week, when deliveries over the opening three days of the week were also at levels suggesting one train of off line. Deliveries to the planned 27.2mn t/yr Plaquemines terminal — set to be the US' eighth liquefaction terminal — have held at low levels, suggesting that the facility may still be only receiving enough gas to meet its on-site needs rather than fully starting liquefaction operations. The 174,000m³ Venture Bayou remained at the facility on Friday, where it has been since mid-November. Plaquemines received a cool-down cargo in late September, for which it has regulatory approval to re-export, as well as a further two cool-down cargoes that have not been delivered to the facility. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Republicans weigh two-step plan on energy, taxes


06/12/24
06/12/24

Republicans weigh two-step plan on energy, taxes

Washington, 6 December (Argus) — Republicans in the US Congress are considering trying to pass president-elect Donald Trump's legislative agenda by voting first on a filibuster-proof budget package that revises energy policy, then taking up a separate tax cut bill later in 2025. The two-part strategy, floated by incoming US Senate majority leader John Thune (R-South Dakota), could deliver Trump an early win by putting immigration, border security and energy policy changes into a single budget bill that could pass early next year without Democratic support. Republicans would then have more time to debate a separate — and likely more complex — budget package that would focus on extending a tax package expected to cost more than $4 trillion over 10 years. The legislative strategy is a "possibility" floated among Senate Republicans for achieving Trump's legislative goals on "energy dominance," the border, national security and extending tax cuts, Thune said in an interview with Fox News this week. Thune said he was still having conversations with House Republicans and Trump's team on what strategy to pursue. Republicans plan to use a process called budget reconciliation to advance most of Trump's legislative goals, which would avoid a Democratic filibuster but restrict the scope of policy changes to those that directly affect the budget. But some Republicans worry the potential two-part strategy could fracture the caucus and cause some key policies getting dropped, spurring a debate among Republicans over how to move forward. "We have a menu of options in front of us," US House speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) said this week in an interview with Fox News. "Leader Thune and I were talking as recently as within the last hour about the priority of how we do it and in what sequence." Republicans have yet to decide what changes they will make to the Inflation Reduction Act, which includes hundreds of billions of dollars of tax credits for wind, solar, electric vehicles, battery manufacturing, carbon capture and clean hydrogen. A group of 18 House Republicans in August said they opposed a "full repeal" of the 2022 law. Republicans next year will start with only a 220-215 majority in the House, which will then drop to 217-215 once two Republicans join the Trump administration and representative Matt Gaetz (R-Florida) resigns. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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