• 14 de agosto de 2024
  • Market: Polymers, Chemicals

In recent years, the recycled plastics market is shifting from low-cost alternatives to high-quality recycling promoted by environmental protection and carbon reduction. Argus interviewed Guo Jiawan, chairman of Guangxi Guolong, and Arnold Wang, founder of Shichai Environment, on the following topics before the Second International Rigid Polyolefin Recycling Summit hosted by Shichai Environment:

  • Prospects of China’s recycled plastics exports
  • Food contact applications of recycled plastics
  • EU’s “mirror-clause” in the Single Use Plastics Directive, etc

How much demand do you see from export markets for your products, what are the key export markets, and for which products and end-use applications (rPET, rHDPE, rPP, Packaging grades)?

Guo: The application of recycled plastics in the packaging market is mainly driven by the demand from international brands. Large brands use environmentally friendly recycled products as a way to actively fulfill their social responsibility and promote the recycling and utilization of waste plastics through their actions. In the Chinese market, international brands have been testing and trialing small batches of recycled plastics over the past two years. In the Southeast Asia, Hong Kong and Macau markets, they have begun to introduce recycled plastic packaging products. Many international brands also have production sites in China, and their export products have started to use recycled plastics. In the personal care sector, they primarily use rHDPE and rPP, while in food packaging, rPET is the main material, all of which must meet food-grade requirements and obtain FDA or EFSA certification.


Most participants are focusing on food contact recycled materials, but China currently does not allow recyclates to be used in food-contact applications. In such a situation, how should Chinese recyclers develop their business? Would pyrolysis be an appropriate approach for Chinese recyclers to look towards?

Wang: Currently, the main applications for high-value products from Chinese PET recycling enterprises are textile fibers, industrial yarns, and other non-food grade uses. Food-grade rPET products can also meet specific needs in personal care products, and other food-grade rPET supplies include exports to Hong Kong and overseas markets. 
Pyrolysis is still in the exploratory stage in China, and several commercial projects have been announced this year, but their operation will take some time and still requires market validation. On August 27-28 this year, we will have an International Rigid Polyolefin Recycling Summit in Shanghai, which will include topics related to chemical recycling and pyrolysis. Those who are interested are welcome to follow and participate.


The EU is mulling a “mirror-clause” in the Single Use Plastics Directive which would mean that recyclers from outside the EU that are sending material to the EU to count towards our recycled content targets will be held to the same feedstock, process and environmental targets as European recyclers. How do you expect this to develop and do you see any impact on your business?


Guo: [Complying with EU standards] is not difficult for Guolong Recycled Plastics, because the process technology, production equipment and environmental standards of Guolong are the same as those in Europe, as is the the use of PCR materials. 

Over the past few years, Guolong have passed various tests, factory inspections, and production environment assessments required by more than twenty international brand companies, and safely met their requirements. But, if the EU pushes this policy, it might implement certification permits through factory inspections under a case-by-case basis, which might impose certain restrictions on many other recycling enterprises in China.


What is Guolong's future development target, and does Guolong plan to invest in chemical recycling in the near future?
 
Guo: After ten years of development, Guolong has now established sizeable capacity for producing recyclates for a range of different end-uses (see table). We have successfully implemented a business model that spans the entire industrial chain, encompassing both food-grade and industrial-grade products. Currently the company has no concrete expansion plans for the future. 

 Recycling type  Capacity (t/yr)
 Food-grade rPET    60,000
  Food-grade rHDPE   20,000
 Food-grade rPP   20,000
 Pipe grade recyclates   80,000
 Industrial grade  rHDPE   20,000


Do you expect to see a market start to develop for recyclates into the food packaging market in China in the near future (i.e. a change of regulation) and what other regulatory changes in China do you expect that could support the recycling industry?

Wang: China is currently researching the safety of using recycled materials in packaging applications, which includes not only recycled plastics but also recycled metals, such as whether recycled aluminum can be used for cans. The local market is also awaiting the issuance of relevant documents.

Presently, the government has introduced various policies such as the "trade-in" policy and the reverse invoicing policy, which have all promoted the expansion of the recycling industry. These allow recyclers to issue invoices to their waste suppliers (rather than the other way around), to enable recyclers to claim a VAT deduction even when the waste seller they are working with is too small to issue invoices. Government policy may also be directed towards waste classification in the future, this could be the direction for future government policy. 

Of course, establishing a complete recycling system requires more implementation strategies and more time to explore development paths and undertake construction. 

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13/04/26

EU virgin-recycled premiums extend record gains

EU virgin-recycled premiums extend record gains

London, 13 April (Argus) — The competitiveness of recycled polymers compared with their virgin equivalents in Europe have extended records in April, as exports of plastic and petrochemical feedstocks from the Middle East remain highly disrupted. Demand for recycled polymers increased, particularly for less-demanding and cost-saving applications. But many recyclers are concerned about the longer-term implications of the entirely supply-driven price rally on their demand and margins. Based on spot prices, the current cost comparison between virgin and recycled polyolefins and polyethylene terephthalate (PET) is the most skewed in favour of recyclates as a cheaper option since Argus began assessments. Data start in 2022 for polyolefins and in early 2024 for PET, when Argus launched its delivered northwest Europe PET resin spot assessment. In polyolefins, buyers of low- and linear low-density polyethylene (LDPE and LLDPE) on the spot market to make black or dark-coloured films could save more than 50pc by using recycled pellets, notwithstanding additional processing costs. Manufacturers of corrugated HDPE pipes could save 40-50pc by switching to recycled material. For PET, rPET flakes are now €300/t less expensive than virgin PET, having only become cheaper — for the first time in two years — in early March. Higher virgin polymer prices result from growing tightness and rising production costs, particularly because of disruption to exports of polyethylene (PE), polypropylene (PP), crude oil and naphtha through the strait of Hormuz. Recyclate prices have risen to a much lesser extent than the virgin equivalents, as the direct effects of the war on recycled supply chains has been much less. Higher demand for recyclates is particularly prevalent in non-packaging applications with fewer technical barriers to material substitution. It can also be seen in more complex applications where converters may not have maximised their allowance for recycled content in 2025 and early 2026 because of cheap virgin polymer prices. The increase in demand is leading recyclers to target margin improvement, following a long period in which cheap virgin polymers squeezed profitability in the industry. Margins for rPET, rHDPE pipe and rLDPE/LLDPE have increased since the start of the war. Margins for rPP have not yet gained by much, owing to rising feedstock costs, but more upward pressure on rPP pellet prices is likely in the coming weeks. Downstream demand at risk Recyclers may be benefitting from geopolitical turmoil in the short term, but many are concerned about the longer-term effects. Unlike in the Covid-19 pandemic, when virgin polymer prices rose in part because of higher consumer spending power, price inflation arising from the war is likely to negatively effect demand. The latest S&P Global eurozone construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) survey showed the most pronounced fall in new orders since October, with firms pointing to surging energy prices as a key factor. Consumer confidence in the EU27 countries hit a 2.5-year low in March, Eurostat data show. Converters are concerned about their ability to pass through the recent cost increases within supply chains. Many downstream customers may not yet have seen the full extent of the increases, which are passed down the chain with a delay. Some converters said they are at a juncture, where some production lines would need to be stopped if downstream buyers are unwilling to pay higher prices. Recyclers are already facing higher energy costs, with tighter global natural gas supply because of Emirati and Qatari LNG outages. European gas and electricity price increases have been capped since the start of the conflict by higher year-on-year supply from elsewhere, relatively warm recent temperatures and market expectation of a return to 'normal' supply in the coming months. In a scenario where a ceasefire is agreed and supply starts to normalise within the next four to six weeks, Argus Consulting projections suggest Europe can avoid a significant storage deficit into the winter. But the risk of major tightness increases the longer the war continues, and the risk of low EU natural gas storage levels heading into next winter is a concern for the recycling industry, with gas-fired generation setting the marginal power price in most of Europe. By Will Collins Virgin PET premiums to rPET, spot del NWE €/t Virgin PE PP premiums to rPE PP, spot del NWE €/t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Ceasefire offers little relief to Indian plastic makers


09/04/26
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09/04/26

Ceasefire offers little relief to Indian plastic makers

Mumbai, 9 April (Argus) — The fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran is unlikely to offer an immediate respite to Indian plastic converters who are grappling with rising feedstock prices that are eroding their production margins. Since the Iran war began, prices have increased by nearly 50pc, with no indication that they will decrease anytime soon. Indian PP raffia prices were last assessed at $1,300-1,400/t cfr India on 2 April, up by $445/t or 49pc compared with $890-920/t on February 27 before the war started. Indian low-density polyethylene prices were assessed at $1,600-1,700/t cfr India on 2 April, up by $580/t or 54pc compared with $1,060-1,080/t on February 27. Lower polymer imports from the Middle East and rising domestic prices are putting pressure on plastic converters which manufacture packaging materials among other products. And their customers, such as fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) firms, are reluctant to accept the hike in packaging material costs, leaving them in a challenging situation. "A large percentage of plastic converters in India are micro, small and medium enterprises, who have been hit the worst," Amit Kumar Agarwal, the President of Indian Plastics Federation (IPF), told Argus . Even for orders that were booked before the war, suppliers are demanding surcharges amounting to hundreds of dollars per metric ton due to shipping constraints, which are adding more pressure on converters. Middle East imports hit The Middle East conflict has put at least of half of India's total polymer imports in jeopardy, as the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) countries supply most of the imports. For 2025, the Middle East supplied around 62pc of India's polyethylene (PE) imports, or 1.41 mn t. The region also supplied 51pc of India's polypropylene (PP) imports, or 930,000 t. The de facto closure of the strait of Hormuz has led suppliers to use Oman's East Coast ports such as Salalah and Sohar to send limited material. But overall exports from the region remain significantly reduced since the war. The market is also sceptical about whether the ceasefire will hold and for how long. Less than 24 hours after the announcement on Tuesday, the two sides are offering conflicting accounts of key terms of the ceasefire and of a potential peace agreement. Attacks on energy infrastructure in Iran and in neighbouring Mideast Gulf states continued in the hours after the ceasefire was announced. Even if the conflict ends, there's no certainty on product availability as several petrochemicals production units have been hit in missile and drone attacks, Dubai-based traders said. Petrochemical producers in the Middle East, including UAE's Borouge and Kuwait's Petrochemical Industries Company, faced drone and missile attacks on Sunday. Iranian attacks also caused fires in Saudi Arabia's Jubail — a key hub for petrochemicals. Supply crunch goes on In India, domestic producers have had to cut production further tightening supply. State-controlled Indian Oil, Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals (MRPL), HPCL-Mittal Energy, and Reliance Industries (RIL) have all cut PP output , after the Indian government asked refiners to divert propane, butene and propylene toward cooking gas production, limiting feedstock availability for petrochemicals. "We have only passed down the higher feedstock costs partially," an official with a state-owned producer said. Several producers expect prices to stay elevated in the near-term unless the feedstock prices come down. State-owned Opal and Gail also cut production, squeezing PE supplies. To alleviate the pain of high feedstock prices, the Indian government slashed import duties on petrochemicals products to zero until the end of June. But this has had little effect on offers from China, which has stepped in to fill the void left by Middle East producers, several traders said. Following the ceasefire announcement on 9 April, some China-based traders cut their offers. But others continue to offer at high levels citing market uncertainty and high Indian domestic prices. The IPF has written to the government to extend the import tax waiver for six months as the war could go on for a long time, Agarwal told Argus . The outcome of that petition is awaited. Sooner or later consumer product makers will need to pass the higher costs to the end-users. The Indian consumers will likely feel the impact of rising packaging material costs from this month with producers either hiking prices or cutting volumes, Dhairyashil Patil, president of the All India Consumer Products Distributors Federation, told Argus . By Sourasis Bose Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EIA raises US NGL production, demand forecasts


08/04/26
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08/04/26

EIA raises US NGL production, demand forecasts

Houston, 8 April (Argus) — The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) raised its 10-year outlook for average production of natural gas plant liquids (NGLs) by 14.4pc. In its Annual Energy Outlook (AEO), the EIA estimated production of NGLs would average 8.85mn b/d from 2026 to 2035, up from the estimate of 7.74mn b/d for that period in its report last year . By 2050, production will reach 11.3mn b/d, EIA said, a 32.3pc hike from the agency's previous 2050 forecast. Consumption of hydrocarbon gas liquids (HGLs), which the EIA defines as ethane, propane, normal butane, isobutane, natural gasoline, and refinery olefins, is projected to average 3.82mn b/d over the next 10 years, up from the 3.69mn b/d forecast in the 2025 AEO. The agency continues to expect much of this demand to come from the industrial sector, including petrochemical manufacturing. EIA forecast 3,710 trillion Btu/y of industrial-sector HGL consumption between 2026-2035, up from its 3,630 trillion Btu/y forecast for the period last year. EIA also raised its estimate for domestic propane use in the residential, commercial, and transportation sectors across the period to 727 trillion Btu/y, up from 697 trillion Btu/y as estimated in 2025. The increase was almost entirely attributable to the residential sector, which the agency predicts will consume 485 trillion Btu/y, up from its previous 456 trillion Btu/y forecast for the period. By Joseph Barbour Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Brazil's Braskem on brink of control reset


08/04/26
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Brazil's Braskem on brink of control reset

Sao Paulo, 8 April (Argus) — Brazilian petrochemical producer Braskem secured the EU's competition clearance on 8 April, the last regulatory obstacle to its long-anticipated change of control. The transition is no longer a matter of approvals but of execution, placing governance mechanics, creditor coordination and shareholder alignment at the center of the company's near-term agenda. The transaction will introduce a new joint control structure, transferring voting power away from its former controlling shareholder, fellow conglomerate Novonor, through a debt-backed equity conversion while preserving a significant strategic role for state-controlled oil firm Petrobras. The framework has now been accepted across the jurisdictions most relevant to Braskem's industrial footprint — Brazil, the US, Mexico and the EU — leaving the completion of documentation, share transfers and the activation of a revised shareholders agreement as the remaining steps before the new structure becomes effective. The EU nod follows Brazil's antitrust authority Cade approving without restrictions on 6 March and the transfer of Novonor's stake in Braskem to an investment fund advised by IG4 Sol, marking a significant shift in the long-running dispute over control of the petrochemical producer. IG4 Sol is part of IG4 Capital, a private equity firm specializing in distressed assets. Its proposal involves acquiring Novonor's debt from a consortium of banks — including Itau, Bradesco, Santander, Banco do Brasil and national development bank Bndes — and converting it into equity in Braskem. This debt-for-equity approach could allow IG4 to assume Braskem's control without a direct share purchase. These steps carry meaningful implications for Braskem's operational latitude. Prolonged uncertainty over control has limited the company's ability to take decisive action on capital structure, portfolio optimization and longer term investment planning. Finalizing the control transition would remove a key overhang that has constrained strategic decision making during a prolonged and punishing petrochemical downturn. Timing The timing of the control reset is delicate but potentially consequential, as Braskem begins the second quarter after an extended period of margin compression driven by global oversupply, subdued demand and elevated fixed costs. Company disclosures have consistently highlighted pressure on cash generation and leverage, even as liquidity buffers have remained intact. Against that backdrop, near term operating conditions are showing tentative signs of improvement. Seasonal demand recovery, inventory repricing and firmer product prices relative to the first quarter are expected to support sequential margin expansion in April-June. While this does not represent a structural recovery of the petrochemical cycle, it may provide temporary relief to operating cash flow at a critical juncture, reducing immediate financial stress as governance changes take hold. External macro forces are also influencing this short-term window. Escalating tensions between the US and Iran have disrupted global energy flows, increased freight risk and pushed crude prices higher. For petrochemical producers, the effects are mixed. Sustained oil inflation ultimately raises feedstock costs and challenges naphtha-based economics, but initial price movements tend to favor resin producers, as selling prices adjust more rapidly than feedstock benchmarks. This dynamic has supported margins in certain chains, especially for polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), both Braskem's products, despite broader instability. For Braskem, the overlap of these forces creates a narrow but meaningful corridor. On one side lies the structural necessity of financial and governance reorganization after years of shareholder instability. On the other is the possibility that short-term operating conditions may soften the adjustment, offering incremental breathing space as the new control structure is implemented. The stakes extend beyond the company. As Latin America's largest petrochemical producer, Braskem plays a central role in regional polymer supply, pricing formation and investment signaling. A completed control transition would not only reshape internal governance but could recalibrate expectations across the region's chemical markets, influencing capacity decisions, import dynamics and competitive behavior. Whether this moment marks the beginning of a broader reset or merely a stabilization phase remains uncertain. What is clear is that Braskem has moved beyond regulatory limbo and into a decisive phase where execution, market conditions and geopolitics will jointly determine its trajectory. The coming quarters will reveal whether marginal operating relief can coincide with structural change or whether deeper intervention will still be required. By Fred Fernandes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Gdansk refinery ups output after maintenance


08/04/26
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Gdansk refinery ups output after maintenance

Warsaw, 8 April (Argus) — Poland's 210,000 b/d Gdansk refinery is increasing production after completing scheduled maintenance earlier this month. Most of the units taken off line for between late February and early April have restarted, as planned, operator Rafineria Gdanska said on 7 April. Maintenance was conducted on crude and vacuum distillation units, a diesel hydrotreater, the MHC mild hydrocracker, a reformer, the jet fuel Merox and hydrogen generation units, and two sulphur recovery units. A second phase of planned maintenance at Gdansk takes the refinery's three base oil units off line from 8 April until mid-May. Rafineria Gdanska is a joint venture of state-controlled Orlen with 70pc and state-controlled Saudi Aramco holding 30pc. Orlen is planning maintenance on a hydrocracker at its 373,000 b/d Plock refinery in Poland from 13 May until 24 June. The Polish company's 63,000 b/d Kralupy refinery in the Czech Republic has been shut down for scheduled maintenance since mid-March and should restart in early May. Orlen's 190,000 b/d Mazeikiai refinery in Lithuania was off line for 30 days of planned maintenance last month. By Tomasz Stepien Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.