Overview

Canadian crude producers for decades sold more than 90pc of their export supplies to US buyers. This resulted in logistical bottlenecks in crude pipelines to the US, and left Canadian market participants unable to take advantage of higher prices in Asian markets.

State-owned pipeline operator Trans Mountain began operations on its 540,000 b/d Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) pipeline from Edmonton to Vancouver’s Westridge docks in May 2024. It is able to send out 34 Aframax cargoes/month of Canadian crude, almost all of which go to Asia-Pacific or the US west coast . The pipeline has removed bottlenecks on lines to the US Gulf coast and resulted in a narrowing of the price discount of western Canadian heavy crude to the calendar month average of Nymex WTI at Cushing, Oklahoma.

Argus publishes daily price assessments for Canada’s Cold Lake crude, which has a low total acid number (TAN), and for Canadian high-TAN crude, shipped through TMX and sold on a fob basis at Westridge docks. Argus also publishes daily price assessments for high-TAN TMX crude on a delivered basis at the Chinese coast. These prices are used widely by industry in negotiating physical cargo trades, for internal accounting and for strategic purposes.

Argus provides detailed market analysis and explanations of the factors that affect price changes each day, and our suite of crude market services offers proprietary daily freight assessments for routes to Asia-Pacific and the US west coast, forward curve prices, weekly logistics updates across North America, and commentary on global crude market trade flows and trends.

Argus has been a trusted source for crude market pricing and market analysis globally for decades, and all of the US Gulf coast crude market derivatives contracts with significant liquidity are settled on Argus spot physical price assessments. We are also a leader in covering daily prices in delivered crude markets at the Chinese coast. Our methodologies are known for their transparency and relevance, supported by the expertise of our market teams. Our WCS Houston price is precisely hedgeable using financial contracts settling on the Argus physical WCS Houston price, and used together these assessments give a clear idea of available arbitrages on different routes from western Canada to the US Gulf coast, US west coast and Asia-Pacific.

Argus has covered domestic Canadian crude markets from our Calgary office since 2010. Argus’ Calgary office also has full-time reporters covering LPG, natural gas, biofuels and environmental markets, as well as sales staff and a Canada country manager.

Latest crude news

Browse the latest crude news and analysis, including freight news

News
13/07/26

Canada oil sands deal advances Pathways CO2 project

Canada oil sands deal advances Pathways CO2 project

Calgary, 13 July (Argus) — Alberta's largest oil sands producers have struck a trilateral memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the provincial and federal governments to advance a major carbon capture project and potentially end years of negotiations. The Oil Sands Alliance is moving forward with the Pathways project in northeast Alberta that will capture 6mn metric tonnes/yr by January 2035. The group is comprised of Canadian Natural Resources, Cenovus, Suncor, Imperial Oil and ConocoPhillips Canada. Together they represent about 95pc of Canada's oil sands production. The first phase of the proposed Pathways initiative would divert carbon dioxide (CO2) from 13 oil sands facilities in the Fort McMurray, Christina Lake and Cold Lake regions of the province to an underground storage hub in the Cold Lake area. More than 650km (400 miles) of pipeline would be required and the Oil Sands Alliance must make best efforts to procure it from Canadian suppliers. Another 10mn metric tonnes/yr of emissions reductions would be achieved through future Pathways expansions, with half of that increase coming by 2040 and the balance by 2045. A cost estimate was not provided by the Oil Sands Alliance, but Cenovus chief executive Jon McKenzie estimated in June that it could be as much as C$30bn ($21bn). Canada is offering investment tax credits for capital expenditures related to carbon capture, utilization and storage, and is planning to legislate investment tax credits for enhanced oil recovery related carbon capture. Definitive agreements between the oil sands members and the two levels of government are expected by 15 November this year. Broadly, the trilateral agreement lays out a shared goal of expanding market access, increasing oil production, reducing emissions and engaging with indigenous groups. As such, Pathways is tied to the proposed 1mn b/d oil pipeline to greater Vancouver, British Columbia, that was announced earlier this month and was referred to the federal Major Projects Office for potential fast-tracking. The planned West Coast Oil Pipeline (WCOP) will follow a similar route as the Trans Mountain system and is led by Canada and Alberta, with Pembina Pipeline owning a 10pc stake. WCOP is estimated to cost as much as C$44bn. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Opec downgrades 2026 oil demand forecast


13/07/26
News
13/07/26

Opec downgrades 2026 oil demand forecast

London, 13 July (Argus) — Opec has downgraded its 2026 global oil demand forecast for a third month in a row, while raising its projection for next year. In its latest Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), the group revised down its oil demand projection for this year by 190,000 b/d to 780,000 b/d, which would leave total consumption at 105.94mn b/d. Opec did not give a clear reason for the downgrade. But it follows several months of global economic instability, spurred by the US-Iran war. The downgrades to demand were mainly driven by China and India, which saw their oil consumption forecasts cut by 110,000 b/d and 60,000 b/d, respectively. But Opec has upgraded its oil demand growth forecasts for 2027 by 210,000 b/d to 1.73mn b/d, which would leave total consumption for the year at 107.86mn b/d. Opec's global demand forecasts are much higher than those of the IEA, which sees oil demand declining by 1mn b/d to 103.5mn b/d in 2026, largely due to the US-Iran war. Opec kept its non-Opec+ supply growth forecast broadly unchanged 640,000 b/d and 620,000 b/d. It does not forecast Opec+ production but publishes estimates from secondary sources, which include Argus . These show Opec+ crude output — including Mexico — rose by 2.999mn b/d to 36.278mn b/d in June, which remain around 6.5mn b/d down on pre-war levels. Should oil production in the Mideast Gulf remain constrained at anything close to current levels, Opec's demand figures imply a large supply deficit this year. By Aydin Calik and Parie Desai Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Hormuz transits sparse after US-Iran clashes: Update


12/07/26
News
12/07/26

Hormuz transits sparse after US-Iran clashes: Update

Updates with details throughout London, 12 July (Argus) — Ship transits through the strait of Hormuz fell further following fresh clashes between the US and Iranian militaries over the weekend. US and Iranian forces both expanded their attacks for two consecutive days on Saturday and Sunday, hitting defense targets and, in the case of Iran, resuming attacks on ships and oil infrastructure in the Mideast Gulf. US forces launched another round of attacks against Iran at 22:00 GMT on Sunday, according to US Central Command (Centcom), which oversees Middle East-based US forces. Iran's forces earlier on Sunday targeted Kuwaiti border checkpoints and an offshore oil facility, Kuwait's defense ministry said. Iran's Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) said early on Sunday that the strait of Hormuz would be closed until further notice, after the US on Saturday carried out another round of strikes on Iranian military targets. IRGC also claimed that its attacks on a Kuwait-based US military base resulted in US casualties. Centcom disputed the claim. Centcom also disputed Tehran's claim of having shut down Hormuz. "Iran does not control the strait," Centcom said in a social media post. "Traffic is flowing." But visible AIS data from MarineTraffic showed no traffic through the strait, although vessels may be transiting with tracking systems switched off. The growing security risk could limit such attempts and threaten the nascent recovery in Gulf crude and product exports. Iran's forces appeared to have attacked Cyprus-flagged containership GFS Galaxy as it transited the strait of Hormuz via the southern route near Oman on Saturday. The vessel was hit nine nautical miles east of the Omani coast, prompting the crew to abandon the ship in a lifeboat. The lifeboat has since been rescued by local authorities, the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) said. The vessel appeared to have its AIS tracking switched off at the time. In a separate IRGC statement carried by the Sepah news agency early on Sunday, the force claimed its aerospace arm had struck logistics support centres and refuelling platforms linked to US aircraft carriers at Duqm port in Oman. Duqm is a significant distance from the strait of Hormuz and was hit in the early days of the war, but it has been less severely affected since. Oman's state news agency also reported drone strikes across Musandam governorate, Oman's northernmost governorate. Oman condemned the attacks, the agency added. By John Ollett, Rithika Krishna and Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Iran says Hormuz shut after fresh US attacks


12/07/26
News
12/07/26

Iran says Hormuz shut after fresh US attacks

London, 12 July (Argus) — Iran's Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) said early on Sunday that the strait of Hormuz would be closed until further notice, after the US carried out another round of strikes on Iranian military targets on 11 July. "The strait of Hormuz will be closed until further notice and until the end of American interventions in this region, and no vessels will be allowed to pass through," the IRGC-affiliated Tasnim news agency said. US Central Command (Centcom) later challenged the closure claim. "The strait of Hormuz is open to all vessels seeking to lawfully transit the international waterway," Centcom said on X. "Iran does not control the strait. Traffic is flowing." The conflicting statements deepen uncertainty over shipping through the key Gulf waterway and raise the risk of renewed disruption to oil and LNG flows from the region. The latest US strikes followed an attack on the containership GFS Galaxy as it transited the strait of Hormuz via the southern route near Oman. Centcom said it began the strikes at 19:15 ET (23:15 GMT) on 11 July, after IRGC forces attacked the Cyprus-flagged vessel. "A civilian crew member is missing and the vessel is unable to continue the journey due to an onboard fire and significant engine-room damage," Centcom said. The vessel was hit nine nautical miles east of the Omani coast, prompting the crew to abandon the ship in a lifeboat. The lifeboat has since been rescued by local authorities, the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) said. The vessel appeared to have its AIS tracking switched off at the time. Centcom said the US completed a third round of strikes against Iran on 11 July, hitting about 140 Iranian military targets. Targets included Iranian missile and drone sites, naval capabilities, ammunition storage facilities, communication networks and coastal surveillance locations, it said. In a separate IRGC statement carried by the Sepah news agency early on Sunday, the force claimed its aerospace arm had struck logistics support centres and refuelling platforms linked to US aircraft carriers at Duqm port in Oman. Duqm is a significant distance from the strait of Hormuz and was hit in the early days of the war, but has been less severely affected since. Oman's state news agency also reported drone strikes across Musandam governorate, Oman's northernmost governorate. Oman condemned the attacks, the agency added. Visible AIS data from MarineTraffic showed no traffic through the strait, although vessels may be transiting with tracking systems switched off. But the growing security risk could limit such attempts and threaten the nascent recovery in Gulf crude and product exports. By John Ollett and Rithika Krishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

US cuts habitat protections for at-risk species


10/07/26
News
10/07/26

US cuts habitat protections for at-risk species

Washington, 10 July (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration has finalized a regulation that would curtail protections that apply to the habitat of species at risk of going extinct, marking a major rollback to restrictions in the Endangered Species Act. The final rule, announced on Friday, would rescind a regulatory definition from 1981 that prohibited actions that would significantly harm the habitat of protected species. The administration said that definition, which has protected the land and water of at-risk species for decades, was an "unlawful intrusion that interfered with private property rights" and would be rescinded in its entirety. "This action restores common sense, respects private property, provides much-needed certainty for landowners and follows the statute Congress actually passed," US interior secretary Doug Burgum said. The US Interior Department, which has yet to release the text of the rule, said the change would reduce "unnecessary" permitting and "eliminate confusion" for landowners, energy companies, farmers and local governments. Last year, Interior said its intended revision would only apply on a prospective basis and not apply to permits that have already been issued. Environmentalists are preparing litigation challenging the rollback, which they say would make it far more likely for species to go extinct by eliminating protections of the habitat where they live. The administration's revised interpretation of the law would still prohibit directly injuring or killing wildlife, such as poaching, but would end protections that would otherwise limit energy production or other development on the remaining habitat of an at-risk species. "Habitat destruction is the number one threat to endangered species and Trump's decision to toss out the definition of harm is a death knell for America's wildlife," Center for Biological Diversity senior campaigner Tara Zuardo said. The US Supreme Court in 1995 sided with federal regulators that had said a prohibition against "harm" in the Endangered Species Act also extended to a species' habitat. But the Trump administration last year, in its proposed rule, said it no longer believes that is the best meaning of the law, prompting its decision to repeal that definition. In March, the administration exempted all offshore oil and gas operations in the US Gulf of Mexico from compliance with the Endangered Species Act by citing national security concerns. Last month, a federal judge in Maryland cited that action to throw out a lawsuit from environmentalists that said Trump-era protections for whales and other at-risk species in the Gulf were insufficient. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Related content