Overview

Canadian crude producers for decades sold more than 90pc of their export supplies to US buyers. This resulted in logistical bottlenecks in crude pipelines to the US, and left Canadian market participants unable to take advantage of higher prices in Asian markets.

State-owned pipeline operator Trans Mountain began operations on its 540,000 b/d Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) pipeline from Edmonton to Vancouver’s Westridge docks in May 2024. It is able to send out 34 Aframax cargoes/month of Canadian crude, almost all of which go to Asia-Pacific or the US west coast . The pipeline has removed bottlenecks on lines to the US Gulf coast and resulted in a narrowing of the price discount of western Canadian heavy crude to the calendar month average of Nymex WTI at Cushing, Oklahoma.

Argus publishes daily price assessments for Canada’s Cold Lake crude, which has a low total acid number (TAN), and for Canadian high-TAN crude, shipped through TMX and sold on a fob basis at Westridge docks. Argus also publishes daily price assessments for high-TAN TMX crude on a delivered basis at the Chinese coast. These prices are used widely by industry in negotiating physical cargo trades, for internal accounting and for strategic purposes.

Argus provides detailed market analysis and explanations of the factors that affect price changes each day, and our suite of crude market services offers proprietary daily freight assessments for routes to Asia-Pacific and the US west coast, forward curve prices, weekly logistics updates across North America, and commentary on global crude market trade flows and trends.

Argus has been a trusted source for crude market pricing and market analysis globally for decades, and all of the US Gulf coast crude market derivatives contracts with significant liquidity are settled on Argus spot physical price assessments. We are also a leader in covering daily prices in delivered crude markets at the Chinese coast. Our methodologies are known for their transparency and relevance, supported by the expertise of our market teams. Our WCS Houston price is precisely hedgeable using financial contracts settling on the Argus physical WCS Houston price, and used together these assessments give a clear idea of available arbitrages on different routes from western Canada to the US Gulf coast, US west coast and Asia-Pacific.

Argus has covered domestic Canadian crude markets from our Calgary office since 2010. Argus’ Calgary office also has full-time reporters covering LPG, natural gas, biofuels and environmental markets, as well as sales staff and a Canada country manager.

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29/06/26

Japan to introduce new energy plan in August

Japan to introduce new energy plan in August

Osaka, 29 June (Argus) — The Japanese government plans to introduce an improved energy strategy in August, tapping on lessons from unexpected disruptions to fuel shipments through the strait of Hormuz following the US-Iran conflict, it said. The resource-poor country seeks to improve energy resilience, meet rising electricity demand and accelerate decarbonisation. Japanese prime minister Sanae Takaichi tasked the country's trade and industry Meti minister Ryosei Akazawa late last week to recommend policies by the end of August that aim to improve Japan's energy supply-demand structure by expanding its energy options through crisis management investment. Easing crude oil prices offer a timely opportunity to further improve Japan's energy security in co-ordination with Asia and the G7, she added. Details of the policy package remain unclear. But the new plan may place greater emphasis on oil security and its diversification, given that Takaichi has been promoting the recently introduced Power Asia framework , which aims to ensure stable oil supply across Asia, as well as the well-established green transformation (GX) strategy, which is focused on energy security, economic growth and decarbonisation. This would build on the existing Strategic Energy Plan (SEP), which is in line with the country's green transformation plan, emphasising gas security and expanding the use of non-fossil domestic energy such as nuclear and renewables. The plan aims to consolidate measures that can be implemented without waiting for the next review of the SEP, which will likely take place in the April 2027-March 2028 fiscal year. Tokyo typically reviews the SEP every three years and updates it as needed, with the current plan last revised in February 2025 . The plan to compile the package by August is also broadly aligned with the usual timing of Japan's initial budget requests. Under the current SEP, Japan aims to have renewable energy making up 40-50pc of the country's power generation in 2040-41, up from 22.9pc in 2023-24. The share of nuclear power will increase to around 20pc from 8.5pc, and thermal power will fall to around 30-40pc from 68.6pc during the same period. Japan will need to replace its nuclear capacity to maintain nuclear power's 20pc share in the power mix because a few of its reactors are expected to be decommissioned. It will need to replace around 2.2-5.5GW of nuclear capacity — equivalent to 2-5 reactors — by the 2040s. It will then need to replace a total of 12.7-16GW — or 11-14 reactors — by the 2050s, with this figure inclusive of the capacity that it replaced in the 2040s. By Motoko Hasegawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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TotalEnergies ‘satisfied’ with French court ruling


26/06/26
News
26/06/26

TotalEnergies ‘satisfied’ with French court ruling

London, 26 June (Argus) — TotalEnergies said it responded "with satisfaction" to a 25 June ruling by the Paris Judicial Court ordering the French firm to submit a new, expanded climate plan. The court ordered TotalEnergies to submit within six months a plan setting out the climate risks linked to its scope 3 emissions and measures to address them. Scope 3 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions — end-use emissions from the combustion of its products such as gasoline — typically represent 85-95pc of an oil and gas producer's total GHG emissions. TotalEnergies "will therefore supplement its vigilance plan", the company said. The firm said it will draw from its sustainability report, "in which it describes the actions implemented to support its customers in reducing their emissions, notably by developing electricity and biofuel production and sales activities". It "aims to" cut the carbon intensity of energy products sold by 25pc by 2030, from a 2015 baseline. It had reduced that carbon intensity by 18pc by the end of 2025, it added. The case was brought by the City of Paris and French non-governmental organisations Notre Affaire a Tous, Sherpa and France Nature Environment, which challenged TotalEnergies' oil and gas expansion strategy. The court did not make any further judgments in the case, and referred it to a hearing on 21 January 2027. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Dozens of ships transit Hormuz via Omani corridor


25/06/26
News
25/06/26

Dozens of ships transit Hormuz via Omani corridor

London, 25 June (Argus) — More than 50 ships have exited the Mideast Gulf through a southern route around the strait of Hormuz in the past three days, including 14 crude and oil product tankers, according to shiptracking data. The route runs around the tip of Oman and avoids sea lanes designated by Iran. It had been used sporadically during the US-Iran conflict, but was later defined as a temporary corridor under an International Maritime Organisation (IMO)- and Oman-led evacuation plan announced on 23 June. Seven VLCCs, three Suezmaxes and four other crude or clean product tankers have since exited the Gulf along the route. Other vessels using it included 15 bulk carriers — three of them Capesize — alongside containerships, LPG and LNG carriers and other ships. This is likely the busiest period on the route since the start of the conflict, as shipping through Hormuz begins to recover following the US-Iran memorandum of understanding aimed at ending hostilities. At least nine ships have also used the corridor to enter the Mideast Gulf, including the VLCC Ocean Lily , suggesting owners are becoming more confident about operating in the region. But use of the route remains contested. Earlier today, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) warned vessels against using any routes through the strait of Hormuz that have not been designated as safe by Tehran. The IRGC Navy said "some authorities" had announced a new route for ships to transit Hormuz "without informing or co-ordinating with" Iran, which it described as "unacceptable and completely dangerous". "The only permitted routes for passing through the strait of Hormuz are those which were announced by the Islamic Republic of Iran," it said. "Any movement of vessels outside these routes is very dangerous and prohibited." Lower war-risk premiums may support a further recovery in tanker activity. Additional war-risk premiums (AWRPs) for VLCCs have fallen to around 2pc of vessel value from about 5pc previously. Charterers have secured the Olympic Lady to load a crude cargo, marking one of the few VLCC fixtures from within the Mideast Gulf since the start of the war, according to market participants. Oil product trade has also begun to pick up as transit conditions improve. Mideast Gulf refiners have started to offer a wider range of products. Kuwaiti refiner KPC was among the first to return to the spot market this week after lifting force majeure on 18 June, following the US-Iran memorandum. KPC sold naphtha for July loading from Kuwait, likely its first spot fob tender since the start of the conflict. Market participants expect further product offers from KPC to follow. By Rhys van Dinther and John Ollett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Paris court says TotalEnergies must expand climate plan


25/06/26
News
25/06/26

Paris court says TotalEnergies must expand climate plan

London, 25 June (Argus) — The Paris Judicial Court today ordered TotalEnergies to publish within six months a plan which sets out the climate risks attached to its scope 3, or end-use, emissions and measures to address them. The court found that TotalEnergies has a duty under French law to identify the risks its activities pose to the climate. The decision was made in a case which saw the City of Paris and French non-governmental organisations (NGOs) Notre Affaire a Tous, Sherpa and France Nature Environment challenge TotalEnergies' oil and gas expansion strategy. "The court recognises that large French companies subject to the duty of vigilance law are obligated to identify the climate risks resulting from their activities and those of their subsidiaries and to take the necessary measures to reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions", the NGOs said. This obligation encompasses scope 1 and 2, or direct emissions, and extends to TotalEnergies' scope 3 emissions — end-use GHG emissions from the combustion of its products such as gasoline — the court found. Scope 3 emissions typically represent 85-95pc of an oil and gas producer's total GHG emissions. The court's position differs to that of the French public prosecutor, which argued at a hearing that the vigilance law did not apply to climate risks. The court suspended any further decisions pending the submission of the new plan and referred the case to a hearing on 21 January 2027 without imposing a penalty payment. Climate litigation is maturing and expanding across geographies , a report from the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at the London School of Economics found today. New Zealand's government said in May that it would change the law to stop companies being sued over climate change damage caused by GHG emissions. But "ultimately, someone has to pay for climate damages", NGO ClientEarth chief executive Laura Clarke told the Financial Times Climate and Impact Summit last week. If corporations are shielded, it may leave governments more exposed, Clarke added. Argus has contacted TotalEnergies for comment. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Iraq denies Opec exit reports, seeks higher output cap


25/06/26
News
25/06/26

Iraq denies Opec exit reports, seeks higher output cap

Dubai, 25 June (Argus) — Iraq's oil ministry on Thursday denied reports that Baghdad had considered leaving Opec, saying claims of a possible withdrawal "do not reflect the official position" of the government. Neither prime minister Ali al-Zaidi nor the government had proposed leaving, the ministry said. The clarification follows reports claiming Iraq had weighed exiting the group and is keeping all available options open if its crude production quota is not raised significantly. In response, the ministry said Iraq continues to advocate a reassessment of production ceilings within the framework agreed by Opec and its allies in the wider Opec+ alliance, to better reflect members' sustainable production capacity. It said the assessment should take account of Iraq's security and economic circumstances. The ministry was referring to the agreed independent maximum sustainable capacity assessment process within Opec+, which is designed to recalibrate production baselines from 2027 onwards. The assessment process is underway, Iraq is taking part and it is being conducted by an independent US consulting firm according to the agreed timetable, the ministry said. While the review will shape baselines and quotas from next year, Iraq's production target has been steadily rising this year as Opec+ restores previously curtailed output. The alliance "expects all voluntary cuts to be fully unwound over the coming months", the ministry said. Seven core Opec+ members agreed on 8 June to another 188,000 b/d increase in their collective production target for July, despite conflict in the Middle East continuing to disrupt supplies from several of the group's biggest producers. The increase is part of a wider process to unwind 1.65mn b/d of previous production cuts. As part of that process, Iraq's production target has risen to 4.35mn b/d for June and 4.38mn b/d for July. But the higher targets do not yet mean higher Iraqi output. The country remained well below its Opec+ target in May after the US-Israel war on Iran disrupted exports through the strait of Hormuz and forced Mideast Gulf producers to rein in output. Iraq produced just 1.55mn b/d in May, compared with a target of 4.33mn b/d, according to Argus estimates. Baghdad reiterated that future discussions over production ceilings and sustainable capacity would continue through the alliance's established technical and consensus-based mechanisms. Long-running campaign The ministry's statement reinforces a position successive Iraqi governments have advanced for several years. Former prime minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani repeatedly argued that Iraq's production quota should better reflect the country's reserves, production capacity, population and reconstruction needs. Before taking office in October 2022, al-Sudani criticised Opec+ production agreements as unfavourable to Iraq and pledged to seek a review of the country's allocation if appointed prime minister. He continued pressing that case while in office, most recently calling in October last year for a formal review of Iraq's production quota after arguing the country's existing allocation no longer reflected its resource base or development requirements. Iraqi officials contend the country's reserves, production potential and reconstruction needs justify a greater role within the alliance over the longer term. The UAE's exit from Opec earlier this year is seen in Baghdad as an opportunity to advance that goal, Argus understands. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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