• 28 de mayo de 2024
  • Market: Rare earth, Metals

Ellie Saklatvala, Senior Editor — Nonferrous Metals, provides a bitesize overview of the key price movements that happened in Q1 and how supply and demand fundamentals are shaping up as we move through Q2.

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Rare earths

Q&A: Growth and challenges for the Ta, Nb industry

Q&A: Growth and challenges for the Ta, Nb industry

London, 18 August (Argus) — Surging consumption in the advanced electronics, artificial intelligence (AI) and aerospace industries has driven strong growth in tantalum and niobium demand this year. But this surge has come at a time when supply chains are already strained by non-state armed groups capturing key mining areas in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which has made traceability a much bigger challenge. Argus spoke to industry association the Tantalum-Niobium International Study Centre (TIC) president Silvana Fehling, who is also Germany-based producer Taniobis' senior director of materials management. Argus asked her about the outlook for the tantalum and niobium industry, the challenges facing supply chains and the importance of independent due diligence. Argus also asked about the industry's reaction to China's decision to sanction US-based industry coalition the Responsible Business Alliance (RBA), but the TIC was unable to comment at the time. In which sectors do you see the biggest growth for tantalum and niobium demand? We will see growth across many areas rather than one single sector. For tantalum, electronics will remain very important, particularly tantalum capacitors. But we also see growing demand linked to high-performance electronics such as semiconductors, because of demand from data centres and other advanced technologies. AI is definitely something that is a big driver for our industry right now. Data centres need a huge amount of very reliable and corrosion-resistant tantalum capacitors. For niobium, I think the picture is a bit broader. Steel remains a very dominant and important market, but niobium has also become more important for other industries. It is expanding into aerospace, energy applications and additive manufacturing. How do you think the industry will be able to accommodate the surge in tantalum demand from technology applications? The industry will have to do three things — increase capacity, diversify supply and improve efficiency. Increasing capacity is quite clear. Start developing a mine, investing in mine processing or refining. We are lagging a bit behind on this, but we clearly see more focus is on investing into capacities. Secondly, customers are looking for more diversified and resilient supply chains. This means looking at different regions and trying to work with different sources. And on improving efficiency, I think mining companies, refiners and producers will improve communication and transparency to improve efficiency in the supply chain and have better outcomes. Could you explain more about how the industry can diversify tantalum supply? Artisanal mining will remain an important part of the tantalum supply chain. It is contributing volume-wise but it is also generating income for the people in central Africa and it is able to quickly adjust to demand from the market. In terms of expanding or finding new capacity, in the past there were a lot of projects and mines that were not possible to run economically. Lithium by-product projects have been part of that discussion for a long time but have not made much economic sense. But we see that governments are focused more on critical minerals, and that there are corporations within totally different industries looking into new streams of recycling, regaining or trying to recover from residues. This is definitely something where I think we will see additional supply in the future. There are also regions that were not so competitive cost-wise in the past. Canada, for example, which has had a combination of problems such as environmental and cost structure. Having strong demand and better margins for tantalum and niobium mining firms will mean projects that were less attractive in the past might become more attractive. You say that central Africa will remain part of the supply base, but how is the industry adapting to the security situation in the DRC? This is one of the most common issues for our industry. We must make sure that our supply chains do not contribute to conflict or serious human rights abuses, and our focus is on helping to build transparent supply chains. But the solution is not moving away from that region. We must make sure that we get traceable, reliable and transparent systems in place and do the due diligence that allows us still to use some proportion of material from that region. There have been questions about reliability around using established third-party systems such as the International Tin Supply Chain Initiative. But in the past few years, refiners and stakeholders have had time to work on and develop confidence in their own systems. The industry is still using third parties as a supporting tool but is not relying exclusively on these parties. At the TIC, we support our members in their due diligence efforts with know-how and the advanced due diligence handbook. But in the end, due diligence remains the responsibility of each company participating in this market. H ow is the industry responding to wider geopolitical tensions and trade barriers that have targeted critical minerals in recent years? Trade restrictions can create opportunities and challenges. It may encourage new investments and diversification, but it can also increase costs and uncertainty in the short term. The TIC is a global organisation with members all over the world, trying to offer a neutral platform for dialogue between different regions. Therefore, our focus is always on helping our members grow the market and develop new applications. Ours is a global industry, working with global materials. Tantalum and niobium are mined in one region, processed in a totally different one and finished in another region. So I would say, do not touch on politics and stick to business. By Sian Morris Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US' Alcoa, Australia's Equus ink 10-year gas sales deal

Rare earths

US' Alcoa, Australia's Equus ink 10-year gas sales deal

Sydney, 14 August (Argus) — Australian gas developer Equus Energy has signed a binding 10-year gas sales agreement (GSA) with global aluminium producer Alcoa to supply gas from the planned Equus project offshore Western Australia to Alcoa. Equus will provide 50 TJ/d of gas to Alcoa, equivalent to 182PJ over the term of the deal, the company said on 14 August. Alcoa will use the supplies to power its expanding portfolio of Western Australia-based (WA) alumina refineries. In return, Alcoa will provide advance payment of $30mn to complete a front-end engineering design (Feed) study for the Equus project in Western Australia's North West Shelf region. The funding will cover project costs until it reaches a final investment decision (FID), Equus said. It did not specify a timeline for the FID. Equus, which was known as Western Gas until December 2025, completed a pre-Feed study for the Equus project in May, confirming project design of 50 TJ/d of domestic gas, 2mn t/yr of LNG for export markets, and 12,000 b/d of condensate production over a 15-year project life. The project will address a peak day gas supply shortfall in Western Australia and will represent 5pc of the Western Australian domestic gas market upon completion, Equus said. Annual peak day gas demand in Western Australia is set to increase from 2026 by 36pc to 558 TJ/d in 2035 with the winter season recording the highest demand levels, according to the Australian Energy Market Operator's (Aemo) 2025 Western Australian Gas Statement of Opportunities . This is despite an expected decline in overall annual gas consumption over the same period due to increased large-scale wind and solar generation, Aemo said. The deal with Alcoa will fully satisfy Equus' commitments under Western Australia's domestic gas reservation policy, the company said. The reservation policy mandates that Western Australia-based gas producers retain at least 15pc of production for sale in the domestic market over a project's life. Alcoa operates the 30.5mn t/yr bauxite mine and the 4.2mn t/yr Pinjarra and 2.85mn t/yr Wagerup alumina refineries in Western Australia. Alcoa bought most of Australian mining company South32's aluminium supply chain stakes in June, including the 37mn t/yr Worsley bauxite mine and 4.4mn t/yr Worsley alumina refinery in Western Asutralia. Alcoa signed a three-year gas sales agreement with Australian independent Woodside Energy for 31.1PJ in June, which will begin in 2027. The company also secured a 10-year gas sales agreement with LNG operator Chevron in December 2024 for 130PJ, starting from 2028. This has built on Alcoa's existing 10-year gas sales agreements with Chevron, ExxonMobil and Australian independent Warrego Energy for a total of 198PJ of gas to its alumina refineries in Western Australia, starting in 2024. By Daniel Gage-Brown Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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2A expanding aluminum die-cast ops in Alabama

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2A expanding aluminum die-cast ops in Alabama

Houston, 13 August (Argus) — High-pressure aluminum die-caster 2A USA plans to increase production capacity through a $32mn expansion at its manufacturing facility in Auburn, Alabama. The project will add casting and machining capabilities for "complex and large aluminum components" used in heavy-duty trucks, Alabama governor Kay Ivey said on Wednesday. Neither a construction timeline nor details about how much output would grow were disclosed. 2A USA's plans come as the US has sought to increase domestic manufacturing through trade policies, which have included global import tariffs on both aluminum products and heavy-duty trucks . The White House currently is seeking to tighten minimum US-origin content requirements for products covered under the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement, as part of its efforts to renegotiate the pact. The company, which is the North American segment of Italy-based 2A, acquired the Auburn facility in 2014 and has continually invested in its operations there, including a $15mn expansion in 2019. By Alex Nicoll Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Australia bails out Tomago Al smelter for $1.77bn

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Australia bails out Tomago Al smelter for $1.77bn

Sydney, 13 August (Argus) — The Australian federal and New South Wales (NSW) state governments have committed A$2.5bn ($1.77bn) to keep UK-Australian mining firm Rio Tinto's 590,000 t/yr Tomago aluminium smelter in NSW running until 2038. Tomago's current power supply agreement is set to expire on 31 December 2028, but the subsidy will support a 10-year power purchase agreement (PPA) for the smelter until 2038, which will be fully powered by renewable energy from 2033, Rio Tinto said on 13 August. The government funds will be used to build 3GW of new renewable generation and firming capacity, the federal government said today, finalising a promise made in late 2025 . Rio Tinto will also invest A$1.1bn of its own capital to fund the PPA, including a A$100mn allocation to decarbonise the smelter. Rio Tinto owns 51.55pc of Tomago. The remainder is controlled by Australian distributor Gove Aluminium Finance and Norwegian producer Norsk Hydro, with 36.05pc and 12.4pc respectively. Rio Tinto also operates the 39mn t/yr Weipa and 13mn t/yr Gove bauxite mines in northern Queensland, as well as the 3.95mn t/yr QAL and 1.7mn t/yr Yarwun alumina refineries near Gladstone in Queensland. Rio Tinto's 190,000 t/yr Bell Bay aluminium smelter in Tasmania also deserves similar federal support, Tasmanian premier Jeremy Rockliff said on 12 August. Federal and state governments gave A$2bn to Rio Tinto's 500,000 t/yr Boyne smelter in central Queensland in March to subsidise its operations until 2038. They have also issued billions of dollars in grants and loans to copper, steel and zinc smelters since last year. Price uncertainty Taxpayers will "receive the added benefit of a monetary return on [the] investment" if aluminium prices rise, the government said. Aluminium prices have been supported since February by supply disruption in the Mideast Gulf caused by the US-Iran war, as well as strong electric vehicle demand in China. But acute supply tightness has pushed prices higher than demand levels would normally justify, meaning that an end to the conflict may push prices down again. Prices have already dropped sharply from a peak in early June following expectations of a resolution to the war. Moreover, supply fundamentals could shift well before 2038, as Indonesia is set to almost triple aluminium production to 2.5mn t/yr by 2027. Argus -assessed London Metal Exchange aluminium cash official prices were down at $3,307.250/t on 12 August ( see graph ). By Daniel Gage-Brown Aluminium prices 2025-26 USD/t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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China's spodumene market awaits supply-demand signals

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China's spodumene market awaits supply-demand signals

Beijing, 13 August (Argus) — China's imported spodumene market has remained relatively stable on broadly balanced market fundamentals, with its direction in the coming months likely to depend on how supply and demand dynamics evolve. Argus assessed 6pc spodumene concentrate at $2,020-2,120/t cif China on 11 August, unchanged from 4 August. Prices held steady over the period, as increased supply from Zimbabwe offset the impact of higher lithium salt prices and prevented further gains. Argus launched the world's first 5-5.5pc spodumene concentrate assessment in December 2025. The assessment stood at $1,820-1,970/t cif China on 11 August, also unchanged from 4 August. The launch reflected growing demand for lower-grade material, as years of intensive mining have reduced average spodumene grades from around 5.5-6.2pc to 5-5.5pc or lower at some operations. Shipments from Zimbabwe to China have continued to recover following the country's resumption of spodumene exports in April after an export ban introduced in February. This has been reflected in higher spodumene exports from South Africa, through which a significant portion of Zimbabwean shipments is routed. South Africa exported 111,514t of spodumene in May and 110,829t in June, up from 56,506t in April, according to customs data. China's spodumene supply base is also becoming more diversified. Australia remains the country's largest supplier, while Nigeria, South Africa, Brazil, Mali and Zimbabwe have emerged as important sources in recent years. Current lithium prices are viewed by market participants as attractive enough to encourage new project development and capacity expansion. Argus -assessed battery-grade lithium carbonate prices stood at 145,000-150,000 yuan/t ex-works on 12 August, a key benchmark indicator for the wider lithium market, up by around 20pc from the start of the year. Supply is increasing as Zimbabwean shipments recover and additional capacity comes on line in other regions. At the same time, demand is also growing. The direction of spodumene prices in the coming months will largely depend on whether supply or demand expands at a faster pace, market participants said. Global lithium demand has remained robust this year, driven by continued growth in the electric vehicle (EV) and energy storage sectors. China's new energy vehicle (NEV) sales continued to rise in July, with the penetration rate reaching a record 60.4pc, supported primarily by strong export demand. Higher oil prices linked to tensions in the Middle East have continued to improve the cost competitiveness of NEVs relative to conventional internal combustion engine vehicles. Energy storage systems are also seeing rapid global deployment. The sector has been characterised by accelerating project commissioning, expanding overseas partnerships by Chinese battery manufacturers and increasing competition among battery chemistries. Global cumulative energy storage capacity reached around 280GW at the end of 2025, up by about 67pc from a year earlier, according to industry estimates. Strong downstream demand has also supported lithium chemical production. China's combined output of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide reached 724,000t lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) in January-June, up by 26pc from a year earlier, according to data from the Lithium Branch of the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.