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G7 leaders to meet over Iran's attack on Israel

  • : Crude oil, Metals, Natural gas, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 24/04/14

Leaders of the G7 will meet today, 14 April, to co-ordinate a diplomatic response to Iran's overnight air attack on Israel, which ushered a new phase in a six-month conflict that is threatening regional escalation.

G7 presidency Italy "has organized a conference at leaders' level for the afternoon of today," Italian prime minister Giorgia Meloni said on X, formerly Twitter. US President Joe Biden has pledged a co-ordinated G7 diplomatic response and condemned the Iranian assault.

Iran fired hundreds of drones and missiles against Israel on the evening of 13 April, according to the country's state-owned news agency Irna. Almost all were intercepted before they reached Israeli airspace and there were no fatalities reported by Israel. One civilian was injured and an air force base in southern Israel was lightly damaged, according to the Israel Defence Forces (IDF).

The Iranian attack came in response to a suspected Israeli air strike on the vicinity of Iran's embassy compound in Damascus, Syria, on 1 April. Tehran's foreign minster Hossein Amir-Abdollahian said Iran considers this to be the end of its operation.

But energy markets, which have been supported in recent weeks by a geopolitical risk premium, will face a week of uncertainty about whether Israel will retaliate. The front-month June Ice Brent contract was trading at $90.45/bl before markets closed for the weekend, and hit a more-than five month high of $92.18/bl on Friday, 12 April.

Israeli officials said the attack was "a severe and dangerous escalation" from Tehran. Israel's war cabinet is meeting today to discuss a response.

"We will build a regional coalition and exact the price from Iran in the fashion and timing that is right for us," said cabinet minister Benny Gantz.

The US is urging Israel to claim victory for its defence, in an apparent effort to discourage Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government from feeling compelled to retaliate. While noting that Israel ultimately will make the decision as to how to respond, White House national security communications co-ordinator John Kirby, in a televised interview today, hailed what he called Israel's "incredible military achievement" in defending itself against the attack. Very little managed to penetrate the defensive shield, "and the damage was extraordinarily light," he said.

The US military played a role in helping to defend against the attack, bringing down "several dozens of drones and missiles," Kirby said. UK prime minister Rishi Sunak said the Royal Air Force shot down "a number of Iranian attack drones".

Israel's western allies are urging it to show restraint as they try to prevent a wider conflict in the Middle East, which could directly affect oil producers and send energy prices soaring. President Biden is especially keen to avoid such a scenario in an election year.


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24/12/05

Opec+ delays unwinding of 2.2mn b/d cut again: Update

Opec+ delays unwinding of 2.2mn b/d cut again: Update

Updates throughout Dubai, 5 December (Argus) — Opec+ producers have delayed a plan to start increasing crude output by another three months to April 2025. Eight members of the group ꟷ Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, the UAE, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman ꟷ were scheduled to begin gradually unwinding 2.2mn b/d of voluntary cuts from January over a 12-month period. They agreed today to postpone the start of the production increase until April and to return the full amount over 18 months rather than a year. The delay is designed "to support market stability", the Opec Secretariat said, adding that the unwinding of the cuts "can be paused or reversed subject to market conditions". The Opec+ group also agreed today that a 300,000 b/d production target increase for the UAE will now be phased in starting in April over an-18 month period. It was previously set to be phased in over nine months starting in January. These changes will effectively reduce the amount of additional oil being introduced to the market every month, compared to the previous plan. The return of the 2.2mn b/d of cuts should, in theory, be partially offset by those members that have pledged to compensate for exceeding their production targets this year. These compensation-related cuts were supposed to have been delivered by the end of September 2025 but this has now been extended until June 2026. Opec+ also agreed today to keep in place two other sets of cuts by an additional year to the end of 2026. These cuts — a group-wide 2mn b/d reduction to formal targets and 1.65mn b/d of voluntary cuts by nine members — had been set to remain in place until the end of 2025. And an update to the official crude production capacity levels of each member — from which quotas are calculated — was pushed back by another year to 2027. By Bachar Halabi, Nader Itayim and Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Opec+ eight to delay, extend unwinding of 2.2mn b/d cut


24/12/05
24/12/05

Opec+ eight to delay, extend unwinding of 2.2mn b/d cut

Dubai, 5 December (Argus) — Some Opec+ members have agreed to push back by three months, to April, a plan to gradually return 2.2mn b/d of production to the market, delegate sources told Argus . Eight countries ꟷ Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, the UAE, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman ꟷ were scheduled to begin unwinding the 2.2mn b/d cut over 12 months, starting from January. But three delegate sources today said the group will delay the start of this plan to April. The full amount will be returned over 18 months, according to one of the sources. This would reduce the amount of oil being introduced to the market every month. But the return of this output should, in theory, be partly offset by members who have pledged to compensate for exceeding their production targets this year. Argus calculations show that of the eight countries, only Algeria does not have any overproduction to compensate for. Iraq has the most, followed by Kazakhstan, Russia and Gabon. By Nader Itayim, Bachar Halabi and Aydin Calik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia’s Woodside inks Bechtel EPC for Louisiana LNG


24/12/05
24/12/05

Australia’s Woodside inks Bechtel EPC for Louisiana LNG

Sydney, 5 December (Argus) — Australian independent Woodside Energy has signed an engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract with US engineering firm Bechtel for its Louisiana LNG terminal located in the US Gulf region. Bechtel has maintained operations at the partially constructed site since Woodside took over the project in October, after acquiring US LNG developer Tellurian , with works to continue subject to a limited notice to proceed under contract revisions, Woodside said. The Louisiana LNG foundation development comprises phases 1 and 2, which total 16.5mn t/yr capacity across three trains. Originally named Driftwood, Louisiana has permitting for a total five-train, 27.6mn t/yr capacity, with a final investment decision (FID) for phase 1 planned for January-March 2025. "In a short period of time, we have completed the acquisition, secured competitive revised EPC pricing that covers all three trains and opened the data room with strong interest from potential project partners," chief executive Meg O'Neill said on 5 December. Analysts have identified Tokyo Gas as a potential project partner, with RBC Capital Markets' Gordon Ramsay describing Louisiana LNG as a "good fit" with the Japanese utility's strategy of diversifying long-term offtake and locking in US gas supply, most recently through its purchase of independent Haynesville shale producer Rockcliff Energy for $2.7bn last year. First LNG at Louisiana is expected ahead of the project's US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission approval, expiring on 30 June 2029, O'Neill told an investor call in July, saying such a timeframe was consistent with a first quarter of 2025 FID. Perth-based Woodside heralded its fully permitted status when it announced it would buy Tellurian in July . But the election of Donald Trump as US president means a pause on issuing LNG export permits to non-free trade agreement nations is expected to be lifted in 2025 . Under O'Neill, Woodside has moved to increase its exposure to Atlantic basin LNG, inking a sales and purchase deal with the 9.5mn t/yr Commonwealth LNG in addition to an offtake deal with the 17.4mn t/yr Corpus Christi LNG in 2014. This adds to its existing 10mn t/yr equity production on Australia's west coast. Louisiana LNG expenditure from December to the end of March will be $1.3bn, Woodside said, estimating forward costs for the initial stage will be $900-960/t, unchanged from the figure at acquisition. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Nippon, US Steel deal will be blocked: Trump


24/12/04
24/12/04

Nippon, US Steel deal will be blocked: Trump

Houston, 4 December (Argus) — President-elect Donald Trump reiterated Tuesday his opposition to Japanese steelmaker Nippon Steel's purchase of US Steel. "I am totally against the once great and powerful US Steel being bought by a foreign company, in this case Nippon Steel of Japan," Trump posted to his Truth Social account. Trump added that by using tax incentives and tariffs he would make US Steel "strong and great again". Trump did not specify the tax incentives and tariffs he would impose. The president-elect has threatened 25pc tariffs against Canada and Mexico and to impose 20pc tariffs on all imports into the US. The proposed sale of US Steel has faced contention ever since its competitor Cleveland-Cliffs made an unsolicited bid for US Steel in August 2023. US Steel went with Nippon's $15bn takeover bid in December of that year , which has since been opposed by the United Steel Workers (USW) union, politicians, and Cliffs. The merger is currently under review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), before it goes to the president for a final decision. President Joe Biden, who has publicly said he would block the deal, may have the opportunity to make the final decision on the transaction before his term is up in January. If Biden makes a decision to allow the transaction to go through, it is unclear what, if any, recourse Trump would have with regards to the deal when he assumes office on 20 January. The US currently has 25pc Section 232 national security tariffs levied against steel imports from much of the world, a policy that Trump began in March 2018 during his first term. Since then both Trump and Biden allowed a number of countries and regions to be excluded from the 232 tariffs. The Steel Manufacturers Association (SMA), which represents the majority of US steel producers, on Monday called on Trump to remove most 232 exclusions and reimpose the 25pc tariffs on steel from Mexico. By Rye Druzchetta Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Williams sues ET over gasline fight: Clarification


24/12/04
24/12/04

Williams sues ET over gasline fight: Clarification

Clarifies that Williams filed suit earlier this year. New York, 4 December (Argus) — US natural gas pipeline company Williams has brought a "very large lawsuit" against its US midstream rival Energy Transfer after a legal dispute between the companies delayed construction of a project by Williams, Williams chief executive Alan Armstrong told Argus in an interview on 3 December. Armstrong said Energy Transfer is the only company in "pipeline history" to have defied industry norms over pipeline crossings in a bid to block competitors' projects. The market "was always very honorable" before that, he said. Armstrong said he hopes the lawsuit against Energy Transfer will undercut the "very bad precedent" set by Energy Transfer's alleged legal strategy and "stop the industry from spiraling into that kind of behavior." Energy Transfer did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Energy Transfer throughout 2023-24 tried to block Williams and other rival pipeline companies from building new gas pipelines across its own Tiger pipeline in northern Louisiana, located in the Haynesville shale near a cluster of planned LNG export terminals on the US Gulf coast. Energy Transfer argued that Williams and other pipeline companies' projects proposed an excessive number of crossings under and over its own pipelines, while its opponents argued it was merely interested in controlling market share. Beyond trying to block Williams from crossing the Tiger pipeline, Energy Transfer also prevailed upon federal regulators to review Williams' proposed 1.8 Bcf/d (51mn m³/d) Louisiana Energy Gateway (LEG) pipeline as an interstate transmission line, rather than a gathering line, as Williams claimed. This would have subjected LEG to more regulatory oversight. But the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission in September denied the request . The broad legal strategy by Energy Transfer provoked ire from industry groups and now-Louisiana governor Jeff Landry (R), who warned it could threaten production growth out of the Haynesville and the coming US LNG export boom. Energy Transfer lost case after case to Williams in lawsuits spanning parishes across Louisiana, but the litigation pushed back the in-service date of LEG from late 2024 to the second half of 2025. The Tiger-LEG pipeline dispute was not the first time Williams and Energy Transfer had seen each other in court. After agreeing to merge in 2015, Energy Transfer in 2016 terminated the merger because of a tax issue that arose before closing. This led a Delaware judge in 2021 to make Energy Transfer pay Williams a $410mn breakup fee for deciding to pull out of its proposed $33bn merger. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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