Steel
Overview
The price indices in our Argus Ferrous Markets and Argus Global Steel services are widely used by companies in physical supply contracts around the world – for iron ore, coking coal, hot-rolled coil (HRC) and ferrous scrap.
Many of them are used as the settlement prices for cash-settled futures contracts launched by exchanges to allow users of the derivatives who also transact in the physical market to minimize basis risk while hedging. These cash-settled monthly futures contracts are settled against the arithmetic mean of all the published Argus prices during each calendar month.
Using indices allows companies to trade material on an index-linked basis, not only via fixed-prices sales. This offers significant advantages when prices are volatile, yet the modern finished steel market remains primarily transacted on a fixed price basis. The addition of futures markets offers opportunities to enhance supply chain resilience further.
Latest steel news
Japan's ferrous scrap exports slip in March
Japan's ferrous scrap exports slip in March
Shanghai, 29 April (Argus) — Japan's ferrous scrap exports declined sharply in March as import demand from Vietnam diminished, while the South Korean market remained bearish. Total exports in March retreated by 17pc on the month and by 10pc from the previous year, reaching 516,000t, according to Japan's customs data. Total exports dropped by 4.6pc on the year to 1.6mn t in the first quarter. Japanese scrap exporters encountered challenges because of declining overseas demand since March, as buyers became more cautious in the face of weaker-than-expected downstream demand recovery. Scrap exports will likely remain subdued in the coming months, according to trade sources. Vietnamese buyers were active in the seaborne market at the beginning of the year, but rising inventory levels and uncertainties in the steel sector outlook led them to step back after February. Exports to Vietnam in March dropped by 21pc on the month. The South Korean market is not expected to rise significantly in the near term as domestic scrap prices continued to fall, dropping by $50-60/t over the past three months. "South Korean buyers only fulfilled long-term contracts and stayed away from the spot market," a Japanese trader said. Exports to South Korea plummeted by 38pc to 470,000t in the first quarter. Exports to Taiwan dropped significantly by 41pc from the previous month as buyers were more focused on purchases of containerised scrap. Exports to Malaysia remained steady above 30,000t in March, while exports to the Philippines decreased from 34,000t in February to 13,000t. But a depreciation of the Japanese yen allowed exporters to offer relatively more competitive prices compared to other suppliers, with buyers price sensitive given a sluggish steel market. The yen started to weaken in March, reaching above ¥155:$1 at the end of April from $146.8:$1 in mid-March. Japan ferrous scrap exports (t) Country March % ± vs Feb % ± vs Mar '23 Jan-Mar % ± on year Vietnam 210,014 -20.7 20.7 683,821 48.0 South Korea 156,851 -9.8 -32.2 469,644 -38.1 Bangladesh 43,755 13.8 N/A 91,205 79.0 Taiwan 35,329 -40.8 -62.8 140,755 -28.8 Others 70,023 -20.6 -7.2 213,587 3.0 Total 515,971 -17.4 -10.4 1,599,011 -4.6 Source: Japan customs Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Barge delays at Algiers lock near New Orleans
Barge delays at Algiers lock near New Orleans
Houston, 24 April (Argus) — Barges are facing lengthy delays at the Algiers lock near New Orleans as vessels reroute around closures at the Port Allen lock and the Algiers Canal. Delays at the Algiers Lock —at the interconnection of the Mississippi River and the Gulf Intracoastal Waterway— have reached around 37 hours in the past day, according to the US Army Corps of Engineers' lock report. Around 50 vessels are waiting to cross the Algiers lock. Another 70 vessels were waiting at the nearby Harvey lock with a six-hour wait in the past day. The closure at Port Allen lock has spurred the delays, causing vessels to reroute through the Algiers lock. The Port Allen lock is expected to reopen on 28 April, which should relieve pressure on the Algiers lock. Some traffic has been rerouted through the nearby Harvey lock since the Algiers Canal was closed by a collapsed powerline, the US Coast Guard said. The powerline fell on two barges, but no injuries or damages were reported. The wire is being removed by energy company Entergy. The canal is anticipated to reopen at midnight on 25 April. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Baltimore to temporarily open 4th shipping channel
Baltimore to temporarily open 4th shipping channel
Cheyenne, 24 April (Argus) — The Port of Baltimore is preparing to open another, deeper temporary shipping channel this week so at least some of the vessels that have been stranded at the port can depart. The new 35-ft deep Fort McHenry Limited Access Channel is scheduled to be open to commercially essential vessels from 25 April until 6am ET on 29 April or 30 April "if weather adversely impacts vessel transits," according to a US Coast Guard Marine Safety Information Bulletin. The channel will then be closed again until 10 May. The channel also will have a 300-ft horizontal clearance and 214-ft vertical clearance. This will be the fourth and largest channel opened since the 26 March collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge. The Unified Command has said that the new limited access channel should allow passage of about 75pc of the types of vessels that typically move through the waterway. Vessels that have greater than 60,000 long tons (60,963 metric tonnes) of displacement will likely not be able to move through the channel and those between 50,000-60,000 long tons of displacement "will be closely evaluated" for transit. There were seven vessels blocked from exiting the port as of 27 March, including three dry bulk carriers, one vehicle carrier and one tanker, according to the US Department of Transportation. Two of the bulk carriers at berth in Baltimore are Kamsarmax-sized coal vessels, data from analytics firm Kpler show. The US Army Corps of Engineers still expects to reopen the Port of Baltimore's permanent 700-foot wide, 50-foot deep channel by the end of May. The Key Bridge collapsed into the water late last month when the 116,851dwt container ship Dali lost power and crashed into a bridge support column. Salvage teams have been working to remove debris from the water and containers from the ship in order to clear the main channel. By Courtney Schlisserman Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Inversión en autos eléctricos en México crecerá
Inversión en autos eléctricos en México crecerá
Mexico City, 23 April (Argus) — Las inversiones en México en ensamblaje de vehículos eléctricos (EV) y cadenas de suministro alcanzaron un máximo histórico en 2023 y se espera que crezcan en 2024, a pesar de una reciente desaceleración de la demanda global de EV y las próximas elecciones presidenciales. Se realizaron 96 inversiones en México durante 2023 en vehículos eléctricos y gastos relacionados con la electromovilidad, que alcanzaron los $5,600 millones, según el último informe de electromovilidad de la empresa mexicana de investigación Directorio Automotriz (DA). La empresa espera que esto se expanda en 11pc a $6,200 millones en 2024. Las expectativas de crecimiento global se han moderado para los vehículos eléctricos, pero DA señaló que la trayectoria sigue siendo positiva con proyecciones para las ventas globales de EV en 13.3 millones de unidades vendidas este año frente a los 9.6 millones vendidos en 2023. El año comenzó con varios anuncios de inversión. En febrero, Volkswagen dijo que invertirá $942 millones en su centro de electromovilidad de Puebla para agregar producción de EV. Magna, una empresa de piezas estructurales de EV, invertirá $166 millones para suministrar el complejo de General Motors en Ramos Arizpe, Coahuila. Seojin Mobility de Corea planea una inversión de hasta $260 millones para una planta de montaje de motores eléctricos en Escobedo, cerca de Monterrey, Nuevo León, con planes de completarla en febrero de 2025. Hay más anuncios de inversiones relacionadas con los vehículos eléctricos en el horizonte a finales de este año para empresas chinas como BYD, el principal competidor global de Tesla, así como Chirey Motors y SAIC, afirmó DA. El factor político El momento político en el país es importante, con elecciones presidenciales el 2 de junio y leyes electorales que limitan la participación de funcionarios gubernamentales en cualquier anuncio de inversión importante o evento relacionado desde el 1 de marzo. La perspectiva de la fabricación de automóviles chinos en suelo mexicano también está provocando nerviosismo entre los grupos comerciales estadounidenses que afirman que las empresas chinas están utilizando México como centro de representación para evitar aranceles. Aunque EE. UU. tiene un arancel de 27.5pc sobre los vehículos eléctricos chinos, incluso si se fabrican en suelo mexicano, las importaciones desde México de EV construidos con piezas chinas solo pagan un arancel de 2.5pc. "Pekín ya está utilizando a México como puerta trasera para eludir los aranceles de las importaciones a EE. UU. y está siguiendo el mismo plan de juego que casi destruyó las industrias del acero y solar de EE. UU.", dijo la Alianza para la Fabricación Estadounidense (AAM, por sus siglas en ingles) en un informe a finales de febrero. La presión sobre el gobierno de EE. UU. para tomar medidas está aumentando, con la presidencia y muchos asientos del congreso en juego en las elecciones de noviembre. A finales de 2023, en México había 262 empresas registradas relacionadas con el ensamblaje, la producción y la venta de vehículos eléctricos, según DA. Esta cifra se expandió en 19.6pc solo en los últimos cuatro meses, de acuerdo con la misma información. México podría producir 214,040 vehículos eléctricos en 2024, un aumento de 96pc comparado con 2023, luego de un crecimiento de 38pc el año pasado en 2022, estima DA. El principal anuncio hasta la fecha relacionado con los vehículos eléctricos en México sigue siendo el que hizo Tesla el 1 de marzo. La Gigafactoría México podría atraer hasta $15 mil millones, incluyendo inversiones adicionales. Pero el progreso en la Gigafactoría ha sido lento, luego de que Tesla no participó en una ceremonia en febrero, organizada por el gobernador del estado. Grupos ecologistas también se han quejado de su posible impacto en el suministro de agua en la región propensa a la sequía. Aunque la inversión en vehículos eléctricos está ganando terreno debido a factores como el nearshoring (relocalización de las cadenas de suministro más cerca de los mercados finales), no se garantiza un crecimiento continuo. La agencia de calificación Moody's ha mencionado recientemente una desaceleración global en inversiones como en las calificaciones de Nemak de México, líder en la fabricación de carcasas y soportes de aluminio para baterías de litio utilizadas en vehículos eléctricos. Mientras tanto, las ventas nacionales de vehículos eléctricos e híbridos en México continúan expandiéndose, subiendo en 75pc año tras año hasta 7,442 en enero, representando 6.6pc de todas las ventas nacionales de automóviles en el mes, según los datos de la agencia de estadísticas Inegi. Por James Young Planes recientes de inversión en EV y electromovilidad en México Anunciado Compañía Proyecto Inversión Ubicación Feb 23 Stellantis Producción de la van de carga EV RAM ProMaster 200 Saltillo, Coahuila Marzo 23 Tesla and OEM suppliers Tesla Gigafactoría e inversiones asociadas 15,000 Santa Catarina, Nuevo Leon Marzo 23 Jetour Planta de ensamblaje de vehículos híbridos y de combustión interna 3,000 Ramos Arizpe, Coahuila Feb 24 Volkswagen Centro estratégico para EV 942 Puebla Marzo 24 Magna Agregar dos divisiones para partes de EV 166 El bajío Marzo 24 BMW Construir planta de ensamblaje de baterías para EV 849 San Luis Potosí Marzo 24 Seojin Mobility Construir planta de motores para EV 260 Sonora Abril 24* ZF Group Centro de I+D en electromovilidad 200 Monterrey, Nuevo León — Anuncios de la compañías *Abierto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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China Flat Steel Futures - Risk management for the wider global steel trade
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PodcastExpanding into the Mexican ferrous market
The Mexican steel industry stands as the second largest in Latin America and continues to grow. As a result, Argus launched new Monterrey and Saltillo ferrous scrap prices.
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FOB China HRC
The rise of the Chinese steel market has moved in lock-step with the development of the country’s economy. Crude steel output soared since the start of the millennium and that spurred raging raw material demand, which upended the coking coal and iron ore markets.
By 2012, China had established itself as a source of steel without peer, and while export volumes have moderated since then, China still exerts the dominant influence over Asia’s steel pricing.
In March 2019, the London Metal Exchange (LME) launched a new FOB China HRC futures contract to help market participants to manage their price risk. The contract is settled against the monthly average of the daily price assessments published in our Argus Ferrous Markets and Argus Global Steel services, and it has rapidly established itself as the most successful finished steel futures launch to-date.
European HRC
Current European steel capacity is most densely concentrated in an area encompassing parts of France, Germany and Benelux. While capacity has rationalized, the European industry has proven resilient throughout decades of change and faces the problems of raw material and finished goods price volatility as well as globalized price competition.
Steel prices remain regional by nature and, like Asia, Europe is only beginning to experiment with steel price indexation. To support market participants with their price risk management, CME Group launched a North European HRC futures contract in March 2020. The LME has announced plans to launch their own N. Europe HRC futures contract in late 2020.
Argus has been selected as the provider of choice by both exchanges, and both futures contracts will be settled against the monthly average of the daily Argus price assessments provided in our Argus Ferrous Markets service.
CFR Taiwan Ferrous Scrap
The US East Coast and Europe look to Turkey to set bulk scrap price direction. Conversely, the US West Coast & Japanese supply looks to Taiwan to set container scrap price direction, which sets wider Asian scrap pricing.
Container markets parcel sizes are more liquid and frequently-traded markets, and the LME has launched a new Steel Scrap CFR Taiwan futures contract in July 2021 to support market participants hedge their risk.
Argus has been selected as the provider of choice by both exchanges, and both futures contracts will be settled against the monthly average of the daily Argus price assessments provided in our Argus Ferrous Markets and Argus Global Steel service.