Overview

As demand for semi-conductors, touch-screens and other highly engineered products continues to grow, manufactures rely on the Argus metals price data and reliable market intelligence to track volatility and specialty materials and manage their impact on production costs.

Argus covers electronic, light and high-temperature metals, as well as specialist alloys and rare earths, through Argus Non-Ferrous Markets, Argus Battery Materials and the Argus Rare Earths Analytics service.

 

Electronic metals

Argus delivers transparent price data, market news and analysis across base metals, minor metals and battery materials to allow downstream participants to achieve a sustainable supply of electronic metals and reduce their exposure to price risk, all while researching and tracking individual materials in their components.

 

Light metals

Argus is the leader in light metals price data and serves the most active consuming regions globally in aerospace, automotive and other highly engineered industries. Manufacturers of alloyed materials and light metals benefit from both primary and scrap material coverage in the Argus suite of products.

 

 

High-temperature metals

Some materials necessitate higher temperature and corrosion resistance beyond that offered by carbon steel, these often rely on a proprietary blend of alloyed materials. Argus worked closely with manufacturers to develop the Alloy Calculator tool, a one-stop solution for estimating the current value of raw materials in their specific composition to price even the most specific blends of alloys to be priced in primary and scrap form.

 

Highlights of specialty metals coverage

  • Independent reference prices for highly illiquid markets and niche materials
  • Brings transparency to markets with few global suppliers but increasing global demand
  • Exchange data with 30-minute delay standard and the option to add real-time
  • Twice weekly global bulk alloys, noble alloys and steel feedstock prices
  • Comprehensive global electronic metals price assessments
  • High-temperature metals price assessments, including full scope of tungsten coverage with optional short and long-term forecasting
  • Light metals including a suite of titanium and aerospace-grade price assessments
  • Rare earths prices assessments with short and long-term forecasts 
  • Electronic vehicle and aerospace raw materials coverage, including highly engineered components and structural materials
  • Coverage of supply chain issues, including demand, capacity, risks to responsible sourcing and supply
  • Alloy Calculator tool allows easy identification of cost implications for material substitutions in any alloyed metals
  • Synthetic prices can be created in the Alloy Calculator to provide material value in the absence of spot market assessments
 
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News
25/12/24

Viewpoint: US tariffs altering UBC buying in ’26

Viewpoint: US tariffs altering UBC buying in ’26

Houston, 24 December (Argus) — Consumers of used beverage cans (UBCs) likely will seek to purchase more of the scrap grade on a spot basis in 2026, minimizing their exposure to long-term supply agreements after buying spreads widened to historical lows this year on the back of a record-high regional premium. Sell-side sources estimate that most rolling mills reduced their volumes under contract between 10-20pc for next year compared to 2025 levels, reflecting a shift in consumers' procurement strategies after US tariffs on aluminum imports disrupted price mechanisms against which UBCs and other grades of scrap are traded. "All mills directionally did less contract pounds. That showed up everywhere," a broker said about 2026 negotiations. "They all want more flexibility to buy spot." Rolling mills locked in annual contracts for 2025 at tight discounts to the Midwest transaction price (MWTP), with sources saying that most deals were struck on either side of 80pc within a narrow range. Supply availability of UBCs was constrained at the end of 2024, prompting consumers to accept brokers' and dealers' higher offers to ensure stable inflows of scrap. But US trade policies and White House threats against major trading partners provoked a surge in the Midwest P1020 premium, which led to a sharp rise in the MWTP and an influx of UBC imports from overseas suppliers, with shipments setting a one-month high of 30,082 metric tonnes (t) in May as importers sought to take advantage of higher prices in the US, customs data showed. The US imported an average 16,230t of the scrap every month from 2023-2024, according to customs data. The regional upcharge climbed by more than 270pc from the start of the year to an all-time high of 88¢/lb as of 10 December, Argusdata showed. The MWTP rose by 56pc to $2.1665/lb in the same timeframe, with gains in the premium far outpacing increases in the London Metal Exchange (LME) cash settlement — the other component that comprises the MWTP. Buying spreads, as a result, dropped from an average of 80.8pc in January to an average of 45.3pc in November — reaching a low of 44.4pc on 29 October — after supply tightness eased and consumers widened discounts, saying underlying fundamentals did not support paying more for UBCs just because intrinsic values had risen, which several viewed as artificial increases. That sentiment from buyers has been reflected in outright prices for UBCs, which fell by a smaller margin — down by 13¢/lb, or by 12pc, to 98.5¢/lb at the end of November — compared to buying spreads. Still, that divergence in discounts led to a significant discrepancy between what rolling mills had to pay brokers and at what levels they could purchase UBCs in the spot market. This compelled consumers to take on more volumes from the trade or under shorter-term supply deals in 2026 in efforts to avoid a repeat of 2025. Consumers have already entered the spot market for significant tonnage for January, with one rolling mill having already closed out its next-month position and another procuring north of 40 truckloads so far. Buyers at the consumer level say they want to purchase more UBCs on the spot market to help fill the balance of their needs despite lower contract volumes. Sources noted that most rolling mills' overall consumption forecasts for 2026 are relatively stable based on downstream demand for beverage-can sheet. Adding to upward pressure on UBC demand are Section 232 import tariffs, which currently stand at 50pc. Consumers have sought to utilize more scrap for their melts to help offset elevated costs for P1020 and other grades of primary aluminum — a trend that most expect to persist next year. Beverage-can sheet can utilize a higher percentage — as high as 90pc, Argus understands — of scrap as an input compared to other flat-rolled products, precluding the need for rolling mills to use primary aluminum in their melts. Sources have signaled that first-quarter contracts with rolling mills have been locked in between 51-54pc of the MWTP, with buying spreads for annual deals that have been concluded coming in between 55-62pc broadly — depending on volume and the quality of UBCs. With those discounts, buyers effectively have priced in expectations that US tariffs on primary aluminum will persist throughout the year. Some market participants are optimistic that negotiations on a new US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement will result in a tariff carveout for aluminum from top US supplier Canada. Still, there have been no concrete indications that such a reduction, which likely would spur a drop in the Midwest premium, will come. Challenges to 2026 consumption While most consumers' indicated demand levels have not changed significantly, suppliers and brokers are monitoring developments with two major rolling mills to see how certain constraints may impact industrywide consumption for UBCs in 2026. Aluminum-roller Novelis' hot-rolling mill outage at its facility in Oswego, New York, which primarily produces flat-rolled products for the automotive industry, has forced the company and its domestic competitors to scramble to meet automakers' needs. Those efforts have included shifting manufacturing lines away from other end markets to focus on producing automotive-grade sheet or hot-rolled coil, also known as "hot band". Sources also noted that new entrant Aluminum Dynamics' (ADI) demand for UBCs may not be as significant for next year as market participants originally thought when the company first announced its 650,000 metric tonne (t)/yr plant in Columbus, Mississippi. ADI planned to build satellite facilities in Arizona and Mexico to supply Columbus, with those sites recycling UBCs to melt into slab for production of beverage-can sheet. The Arizona plant has yet to be built, with the company contending with locals who have been fighting its construction, while the Mexico facility is operational, but products from the site have been subject to import tariffs, sources said. By Alex Nicoll Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Viewpoint: EU safeguards may shift FeSi, Si demand


25/12/23
News
25/12/23

Viewpoint: EU safeguards may shift FeSi, Si demand

London, 23 December (Argus) — New European Commission safeguard measures will support ferro-silicon prices in 2026, but they will also drive increased substitution of the alloy with silicon metal. The commission imposed safeguard measures on manganese alloys, ferro-silicon and ferro-silico-magnesium on 18 November. The safeguard measures comprise tariff-rate quotas and out-of-quota variable duties. Imports in excess of the quota are subject to an out-of-quota variable duty that is the difference between the established price threshold and the actual import price. The commission has imposed an established price threshold of $2,408/t on ferro-silicon. This is more than double the average Argus assessment of $1,371/t ddp NWE as of 12 December. Market gains clarity after a tumultuous 2025 The safeguard investigation that led to the implementation of safeguards drove several extreme spikes in volatility in the ferro-silicon market over the course of 2025. Rare updates on the safeguard process, sudden bursts of speculation and delays led to periods with sharp surges in imports and transactions and then periods with almost no liquidity, as market participants waited for news from the commission. As a result, ferro-silicon prices were volatile across the year, with buyers and sellers alike unsure how to react. Market participants, particularly trading firms, bemoaned their inability to carry out advanced planning. Prices rose in the first quarter, as market participants stocked up on third-country material in expectation of an announcement from the commission by April. When no outcome was announced, prices decreased from March-June. Prices rose sharply in late July and early August because of speculation that the announcement was forthcoming, and then plummeted again for September, October and much of November. Safeguards to drive higher prices, volatility in 2026 After the announcement of the new measures on 18 November, prices jumped by almost $300/t and have since remained at around and slightly above $1,500/t. Most market participants expect prices to stay at current levels or higher in the coming year. But continued volatility is expected. The new quota system, which renews every three months, is expected to result in altered purchasing habits as material enters the European market in bursts after the quotas renew. In this first three months of the safeguard measures, many of the quotas have been utilised more slowly than market participants expected. Some are still not full. But that has been attributed in part to hesitation from importers to try out the new system and in part due to low demand from end-users, which stocked up ahead of 18 November and are not buying in large quantities at present. One steel producer continues to refrain from buying and has been holding off since before the safeguards took effect, a senior executive at the company told Argus . Many market participants expect a more rapid utilisation of the available quotas in the first and second quarters of 2026, as industry players adapt to the new dynamics and consumers work through much of their existing stocks. Significant quantities of ferro-silicon are expected to enter Europe over the days that immediately follow the start of each new period. For consumers and importers, supply chain management has become significantly more complex and requires newly advanced planning. Importers now have more customs exposure, increasing their risk. Silicon substitution may increase Silicon metal can be substituted for ferro-silicon in many steel applications, although the deoxidisation provided by ferro-silicon cannot be completely replicated using silicon metal and iron powder. Silicon metal has not been included in the safeguards, despite a strong desire for it to be subject to the measures from many ferro-alloy producers. Euroalliages, the main ferro-alloys industry association, [sought]( https://metals.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/2752028) the inclusion of safeguards in the initial measures. And major European ferro-alloys producer Ferroglobe continues to call for protectionist measures on silicon. But with silicon currently not subject to any such measures, consumers are likely to purchase silicon in place of ferro-silicon when it makes sense to do so on cost. Substitution is already taking place. Multiple large tenders after the implementation of safeguards went to silicon metal rather than ferro-silicon, a ferro-silicon producer told Argus . "As a manufacturer, we see it as an inconvenience that the customer gets used to using alternative products, and we are trying to avoid that by not pushing very high prices," the producer said. The substitution possibility is likely to put a ceiling on ferro-silicon prices below that of the minimum import price in 2026. If out-of-quota material is too expensive, consumers will turn to silicon metal, reducing demand for ferro-silicon and holding prices lower. "Price dynamics will be following silicon metal instead of market supply and demand. It will be silicon metal substitution that will be the price setter, and that is far below the ferro-silicon market," the producer said. But there is ongoing speculation that anti-dumping procedures for silicon metal are being prepared by the commission. If implemented, silicon metal would be more expensive than ferro-silicon from certain origins, which would reduce the substitution effect and support higher ferro-silicon prices. By Maeve Flaherty Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Viewpoint: US FeTi to stagnate on oversupply in 2026


25/12/23
News
25/12/23

Viewpoint: US FeTi to stagnate on oversupply in 2026

Houston, 23 December (Argus) — An expected influx of ferro-titanium to the US is likely to continue to pressure prices in 2026 after imports surged this year, driven largely by weakness in the European steel market. Overseas ferro-titanium producers — facing lackluster demand in Europe — sought to take advantage of an arbitrage opportunity increasingly beginning in June, as offtake remained stronger in the US. European steel association Eurofer attributed the weakness in the European steel industry to declines in consumption from automotive and construction sectors because of volatility caused by the US's 15pc tariff on imports of EU-produced cars and heightened global tensions over country-specific tariffs. Ongoing economic uncertainty brought on by the tariffs restrained growth opportunities in manufacturing as trade disruptions and geopolitical tensions rose, according to Eurofer. US imports of ferro-titanium increased during the January-September period by 18.6pc to 1,804 metric tonnes (t) compared with the same year-prior period, according to the most recent data from the US Department of Commerce, which was delayed by the partial US government shutdown. Imports from top suppliers the UK and Canada dipped down by 10.6pc and 7.2pc, respectively, to 669t and 335t. Meanwhile, imports from Latvia surged 148pc to 447t, the largest increase, and metal began to trickle in more competitively from South Korea and Poland. The September data shows an increase of 119pc to 217t in imports from a year earlier. Five-year low prices persist Sell-side sources told Argus they hope the market has found its floor but remained concerned about ongoing weak European demand, should the pattern of offloading supply to the US continue into next year. Argus last assessed North American ferro-titanium prices at $2.15-2.30/lb fob warehouse on 18 December, down by 25pc from the beginning of the year and at a five-year low. Argus last assessed European ferro-titanium prices at $4.30-4.60/kg ($1.95-2.09/lb) on 18 December, down 26.4pc from the beginning of the year and also at a five-year low. US sellers expressed frustration and difficulty in booking spot sales. One trader cited persistent, unsustainably low prices as reasoning for exiting the ferro-titanium market altogether, with few expectations the market would rebound in the near future. Some sellers have opted to sit on their stocks, waiting for demand from cored-wire producers and mills to rebound in the new year, which is leading to a build-up of metal. Because of storage fees and other carrying costs, domestic traders said they would be unable to make a profit at the assessed range, aiming to offer in the range of $2.35-2.45/lb warehouse, but acknowledged no buying interest at those levels. During contract negotiations for 2026, some sellers incorporated price floors into their quotes in anticipation an oversupply of metal could further weigh on prices. Sellers repeatedly tied the health of the US ferro-titanium market to European mill demand, stating there would be no turnaround in US prices until offtake abroad picks up. Eurofer projected apparent steel consumption would recover slowly in 2026 but not before the first quarter. Possible tariff change could halt imports Efforts by US producers could relieve pressure, should Commerce back them. Domestic ferro-alloy producer Galt Alloys on 15 May asked Commerce to add ferro-titanium to the Section 232 national security tariffs on steel imports. The request was denied by the Commerce Department's Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) on 1 August because the agency was already investigating the security implications of the US's ferro-titanium supply chains under a separate Section 232 investigation for processed critical minerals which is due to be finalized by mid-January. BIS is expected to provide a report with policy recommendations which could include tariffs to President Donald Trump once it finishes the investigation. Currently, ferro-titanium has a general duty rate of 3.7pc. By Jenna Baer Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Viewpoint: Chile vote may aid foreign Li firms


25/12/23
News
25/12/23

Viewpoint: Chile vote may aid foreign Li firms

Sao Paulo, 23 December (Argus) — Foreign miners eyeing Chile's world-leading lithium reserves may benefit from right-wing president-elect Jose Antonio Kast's victory on 14 December, while a key approval eases uncertainty about a pending deal between lithium producer SQM and state-owned mining company Codelco. Kast, Chile's new president plans to overhaul the national lithium strategy , which dates from outgoing left-wing president Gabriel Boric's administration. This adds to Kast's pro-market campaign promise to streamline the approval process for mining permits aiming to expedite investments in copper and lithium. If the newly elected president keeps his word, foreign companies could get access to Chile's large lithium reserves more easily, rekindling development of its stagnant lithium industry . Chile's restrictive lithium laws make it difficult for companies to operate independently, as 1979 legislation classifies lithium as a nuclear material, meaning firms can only mine it after obtaining a special operating contract known as a CEOL — which can take years to be approved. Under Boric's lithium strategy, companies seeking to explore lithium resources in the Atacama region must also form a joint venture (JV) with a state-owned Chilean firm, on top of securing the CEOL, further complicating entry for private and foreign investors. Kast has repeatedly said that he would make lithium "concessionable," meaning it would cease to be a nuclear material, which is subject to increased oversight. This would allow interested companies to extract it through a regular concession with a new, streamlined approval process, thus facilitating foreign investment and overruling Boric's CEOL-based lithium strategy. For that to happen, he would need to alter a pair of clauses of the national mining code, rectifying the changes through law. He has the full support of Chile's mining chamber to do so, but any changes would have to go through both congress and the senate, where his allies are a minority. Changing the national lithium strategy might not be a priority itself for Kast, but it can be bundled into his larger project of boosting mining through streamlined permitting and tax cuts, something he wants to achieve in his first 18 months in office. Kast takes the presidential seat on 11 March, but the governmental transition began on 15 December, a day after the election. Chile, the world's second-largest lithium producer, has failed to establish any new lithium extraction projects other than those of Albemarle and SQM, which have dominated the domestic industry since 1984 and 1997, respectively. It has long been Latin America's leading lithium producer, but some forecasts see Argentina catching up by 2030 . Albemarle and SQM will continue to be the only producers in Chile until at least 2032, when Rio Tinto is scheduled to begin production at its Altoandinos project , or in the event that SQM's project changes hands. Chilean exports of lithium carbonate and hydroxide declined nominally in 2025 through November to 235,365 metric tonnes (t), down from 240,237t in the same period in 2024, according to customs data. SQM-Codelco almost clear of risk despite election Although Kast has publicly opposed the SQM-Codelco joint venture, he has said he would honor the agreement if it is legally signed by the time he takes office, a condition that now appears close to being met. Chile's comptroller general's office (CGR) has acknowledged the legality of the contracts that underpin the partnership between Chilean private company SQM and state-owned miner Codelco, which would allow SQM to continue lithium exploration in the Atacama salt flats until 2060. CGR's acknowledgement was the last external approval that the joint venture needed to materialize. Codelco said that it and SQM will now move forward to the deal's closing stages. The deal still could be overturned if the companies fail to close by 11 March, but that risk is slim. By Pedro Consoli Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Viewpoint: The coming lithium cycle


25/12/23
News
25/12/23

Viewpoint: The coming lithium cycle

London, 23 December (Argus) — The global lithium market is geared up to enter a new growth cycle as it navigates away from the choppy waters of 2025 and rides a wave of energy and national security-linked demand. Lithium prices have fallen steadily since the highs reached at the end of 2022, reaching a low in mid-June this year of below $7,500/t cif China for lithium carbonate. Fears of oversupply, uneven electric vehicle (EV) uptake and trade tariffs weakened sentiment over the two-and-a-half year period. But prices have since recovered. The market was at $11,500-11,600/t cif China on 9 December. And a sustained new cycle of price increases is now expected, driven by increased build-out of battery energy storage system (Bess) — which many expect will surpass demand from EVs by the late 2020s. Increased scrutiny of lithium supply chains from eco-conscious buyers and growing engagement in the market by western governments may also create an emphasis on fairer pricing and challenge monopolistic practices. EV adoption drove the last lithium cycle, but this latest cycle will rely on a few new sources of demand. Fast growth in solar power installations, artificial intelligence (AI) data centres, autonomous machines and humanoid robots will all contribute to higher demand for energy storage batteries, alongside continued growth in EV use. Record solar installations across Europe, the US and Asia-Pacific are driving growth in Bess deployments. As grids adapt to a higher penetration of renewable energy sources, storage is becoming essential to balance the intermittency of these sources, and to stabilise frequency. And operators of AI data centres are exploring on-site lithium-ion storage not just for back-up supply but also to manage peak demand and reduce pressure on energy markets. Some hyper-scale facilities now rival small cities in terms of energy use, creating a new, sustained source of industrial demand for lithium. Humanoid and autonomous robots are likely to become a meaningful new source of lithium demand in the next decade. Advances in AI, sensors and actuators are rapidly moving robots out of controlled industrial settings and into logistics, healthcare, defence, construction and domestic services. The global humanoid robotics market could grow into a $5 trillion industry by 2050, reflecting not just hardware sales but software, services and supporting supply chains, investment bank Morgan Stanley said. "Humanoid robots will be far bigger than cars. Ultimately, I think there will be more humanoid robots than people," EV company Tesla chief executive and founder Elon Musk said at the launch of the Tesla Optimus 3 robot this year. Unit numbers are currently small but even conservative forecasts suggest the sector will create material battery demand. A typical humanoid robot is expected to carry a lithium-ion battery pack of roughly 2–5kWh, depending on size, payload and duty cycle — similar to the capacity of a small electric scooter or home storage module. At scale, fleets of robots operating continuously will require frequent charging, replacement packs and stationary back-up systems, creating second-order demand for lithium beyond transport. As automation increasingly becomes a national security priority, humanoid robotics could evolve from a niche application into a structurally important driver of long-term lithium consumption. Price floors and tightening standards Policy, finance and geopolitics are increasingly shaping lithium prices, in addition to demand growth. After a few years of extreme volatility, the industry is reaching a consensus that some form of price stability is needed to build the next wave of lithium supply. This is already reflected in contract structures, government intervention and new efforts to formalise trust and transparency across the supply chain. The growing prevalence of price floors in long-term offtake agreements is one of the clearest signals. Producers, converters and financiers are moving away from pure spot exposure and towards hybrid contracts that include minimum pricing thresholds to underwrite project economics. Long-term agreements increasingly include floor mechanisms designed to protect projects during downturns, with some contracts reportedly triggering these floors during the 2024-25 slump, a major industry participant said. This shift reflects a need to make lithium projects financeable in a world where capital spending is more controlled and geopolitical developments are more intrusive. Governments are also becoming more explicit in their role. The ideas of state-backed price floors or strategic offtake have entered mainstream policy discussions in Australia, with senior officials openly acknowledging that floor prices are one tool among many to support domestic supply chains. The logic is that if lithium is treated as strategic infrastructure — on par with energy grids or defence manufacturing — then markets alone may not be trusted to deliver stable investment signals. At the same time, the industry is attempting to address a deeper credibility issue. The emergence of initiatives such as the International Lithium Association's PCF stamp reflects a push to create a recognised "mark of trust" for lithium products, particularly for buyers facing mounting regulatory and environmental, social and governance scrutiny. Over time, this could contribute to a two-tier market, where verified, low-carbon and traceable lithium commands a structural premium over unverified material. While not a price mechanism in itself, such certification frameworks may indirectly support higher effective price floors by narrowing the pool of acceptable supply for western buyers. These forces suggest a lithium market that is less cyclical and more structurally managed. Trade tensions, national security concerns and industrial policy are encouraging longer contracts, government-backed demand and pricing mechanisms that reduce downside risk. The result may not be a return to the extreme price highs of 2022, but it could see the emergence of a higher and more resilient pricing baseline shaped as much by policy and trust as by supply and demand. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.