Overview
The global methanol industry has suffered in recent years. First COVID-19, then the Russia-Ukraine conflict, followed by global inflation, stagnation and downward revised GDP forecasts. It is hoped 2022/2023 will be the performance valley for the sector, looking toward an improved—but still slowed—outlook. The huge China methanol appetite has slowed. The MTO sector sees minimal growth ahead. The rest of the world will have to generate increased demand, but with much of this sector tied to GDP performance, the outlook here too is reserved. New capacity continues to define the landscape, with several new units expected in the coming months.
Pricing is spiking in Q4’23 due to a myriad of methanol production outages around the world. Production will return and prices weaken some. However, the outlook is for the olefins and olefin derivative sectors to finally end their respective down cycles. Olefin/derivative prices are expected to improve, driving higher MTO methanol affordability values. The rest of the methanol industry is expected to follow China’s MTO methanol price strength.
Argus’ experts will help you determine what trends to track and how to stay competitive in today’s ever-changing global markets.
Latest methanol news
LyondellBasell to shut remaining PP output at Brindisi
LyondellBasell to shut remaining PP output at Brindisi
London, 11 June (Argus) — Petrochemical producer LyondellBasell said it plans to close its remaining polypropylene (PP) production at Brindisi, Italy, by the end of the year, but union sources say that is contingent on it not finding acceptable alternative solutions for the unit. LyondellBasell told Argus that a "challenging macroeconomic environment, persistent uncertainty around feedstock availability, and structurally higher operating and logistics costs have diminished the site's competitiveness and made it increasingly difficult to sustain a viable long-term position". The Brindisi PP unit has a nameplate capacity of 260,000 t/yr. It was the first Spheripol unit, opened in 1982, and mainly produces commodity PP homopolymer grades for packaging. Another PP unit at the site was closed by LyondellBasell in 2024 . The firm does not have upstream propylene production at Brindisi. Feedstock is shipped in by sea from other sites, mainly from Priolo in Italy, adding significant freight costs to its cost position. The site previously received up to 220,000 t/yr of propylene from Eni's Versalis Brindisi cracker before its closure in April last year . "Given Eni's decision on the cracker and the overall crisis in general, the company [LyondellBasell] told us it would be closing the unit at the end of December," said Carlo Perrucci, regional secretary of trade union Uiltec. Perrucci said LyondellBasell had put the PP unit up for sale at a symbolic price, but it would be difficult to find a buyer without the cracker. "Eni told us it has hired JPMorgan to try and find a buyer for its cracking plant," Perrucci said. "If they succeed, it might make LyondellBasell's search for a buyer easier." LyondellBasell said it remains committed to the European market and will continue to meet customer demand through its broader production network. The firm completed the sale of several European assets to a new regional petrochemical and polymer company, Velogy, on 1 May. By Stephen Jewkes and Sam Hashmi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
India mulls extension of petchem import duty waiver
India mulls extension of petchem import duty waiver
Mumbai, 11 June (Argus) — The Indian government may extend a waiver granted to petrochemical imports beyond its present deadline of 30 June if supply disruptions related to the Iran war persist, a senior government official said earlier this week. New Delhi is watching the developments in the Middle East closely and is open to extending the temporary relief beyond the current deadline, said deputy director of India's commerce department Ravi Teja at a press conference on 9 June. India waived off import duties on 40 petrochemical products from April, including polyethylene (PE), polypropylene (PP) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) to negate the impact of additional costs to domestic industries. Some plastic converters have urged the government to extend the duty waiver until 30 September. Industry participants anticipate a final decision on the potential extension in the coming weeks. Indian PE importers have slowed purchases due to the uncertainty hanging over the deadline and are waiting for further guidance from the government. There was a similar slowdown to PVC import flows for most of the late second quarter, primarily because of higher domestic resin inventories and the beginning of the monsoon season. Low domestic supplies The cut in import duties, as well as improved resin supplies, led to a moderation in polymer prices compared with the initial days of the conflict. Argus assessed linear-low density polyethylene (LLDPE) prices at $1,250-1,330/t cfr India for the week to 5 June, compared with $1,430-1,500/t cfr India on 10 April. Low-density polyethylene (LDPE) prices were assessed at $1,500-1,600/t cfr India for the week ended on 5 June, down from $1,700-1,800/t cfr India on 10 April. Suspension PVC (s-PVC) prices were assessed at $800-850/t cfr India on 5 June, down from $950-1,020/t cfr on 10 April. An extension could lead to a similar decline in prices, former president of the All-India Plastic Manufacturers Association Haren Sanghavi told Argus . But he added that the manufacturing industry remains concerned about domestic supplies and imports alone will not be sufficient to meet demand. Domestic production of some petrochemicals has remained affected by feedstock constraints. Many Indian PVC producers are reliant on feedstock ethylene dichloride (EDC) and vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) imports, with the Middle East accounting for over 50pc of total EDC imports into India back in 2025. Indian producers have either had to take alternative supplies since the beginning of the US-Iran war or scale production accordingly, with concerns emerging in the market over the reliability of domestic production should the war continue, and Middle Eastern EDC supplies remaining inaccessible to the Indian market. By Sourasis Bose and Michael Vitiello Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Israel hit Karoon petrochemical hub in southwest Iran
Israel hit Karoon petrochemical hub in southwest Iran
Dubai, 8 June (Argus) — Israel struck a number of facilities at a petrochemical complex in Mahshahr, in Iran's southwestern Khuzestan province, as part of a temporary resumption in direct hostilities between Tehran and Jerusalem. Israel's strikes were in response to a barrage of ballistic missiles that Iran launched at targets in northern Israel late on Sunday, 7 June, which in turn, were a reaction to Israeli strikes on the Lebanese capital, Beirut, earlier that day. Israel's Defense Forces (IDF) said it targeted "several infrastructure sites" it said were used by Tehran "to produce and export raw materials for weapons production." The facilities "produced unique materials that serve as critical components for the development of ballistic missiles," it said. The IDF said it had targeted the same complex during the initial weeks of the conflict that began on 28 February. Iran confirmed the hit, naming the complex as Karoon Petrochemical, which is owned by Iranian petrochemical company PGPIC. It and several of its subsidiaries were sanctioned by the US in 2019 on the grounds it would help finance the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The IDF separately said it struck several Iranian "strategic defense systems" Tehran had deployed across the country to replace systems destroyed earlier in the fighting. Iran reported strikes on facilities in and around Tehran, Isfahan and Tabriz. Iran's armed forces said Israel had "started a dangerous game" with its targeting of the Karoon petrochemical hub, and vowed to hit back hard. It subsequently said the IRGC had launched a new missile strike against "similar industries" in Israel's Haifa, home to Israel's largest integrated oil refining and petrochemical facility. The 197,000 b/d Haifa refinery was targeted by Iran during the 12-day war in 2025, and during the early weeks of the current conflict . Israel has not confirmed if the facility sustained any damage today. The IRGC has said it has suspended its attacks on Israel, but warned "any continuation of [Israeli] hostilities and wrongdoing ꟷ particularly in southern Lebanon ꟷ will be met with far harsher and more devastating actions than those previously taken." By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Indian PE importers wary of duty deadline, forex
Indian PE importers wary of duty deadline, forex
Mumbai, 8 June (Argus) — India's polyethylene (PE) importers have turned cautious about booking new imports due to uncertainty over the fate of a temporary import duty waiver and volatility in the rupee. The south Asian country relies heavily on imports to satisfy domestic demand for several petrochemical products, including polymers. Supply chain disruptions caused by the Middle East conflict have led to a surge in petrochemical prices. New Delhi waived off import duties on 40 petrochemical products from April, including PE, polypropylene (PP), and polyvinyl chloride (PVC), to ensure that the supplies to end-users remained stable. The temporary relief is expected to expire on 30 June. India had imposed a 7.5pc duty on PE, PP, PVC imports. "People are not keen on booking imports due to uncertainty on whether the import duty will be extended or not," a key market participant said. The cut in import duties, as well as improved supplies, led to a moderation in PE prices. Argus -assessed linear-low density polyethylene prices at $1,250-1,330/t cfr India for the week to 5 June, compared with $1,430-1,500/t cfr India on 10 April. Low density polyethylene prices were assessed at $1,500-1,600/t cfr India for the week ended on 5 June, down from $1,700-1,800/t cfr India on 10 April. Volatility in the Indian rupee is also weighing on buying sentiment. The US dollar/rupee exchange rate stood at 95.38 on 29 May, moved to 94.89 on 1 June, and rose again to 95.40 on 5 June, according to Reserve Bank of India data. The rupee remains sensitive to oil price movements, which have been volatile due to uncertainty over US-Iran ceasefire talks. Domestic PE production has remained stable, with state-owned Gail partially restarting operations at its Pata petrochemical complex in May. Converters have also reduced operating rates because of high prices and labour shortages, leaving domestic supply broadly sufficient to meet near-term demand, according to market participants. PP booking stable PP import demand has been stronger compared to PE over the past few weeks, due to tightness in domestic material availability. While New Delhi issued an order in March to divert propane, butane and propylene in March, several market participants said feedstock diversion has since increased in the past few weeks. A key domestic producer has also cut operating rates, a source familiar with the matter told Argus , which has further tightened the market. Around 80pc of India's PP capacity has been affected by government curbs on feedstock. Domestic producers have raised prices by Rs6/kg so far in June, with further increases expected by some market participants. Some southeast Asian producers in Thailand and Vietnam offered competitive prices last week, encouraging buyers to import material on tight domestic supply. Argus -assessed PP raffia prices in India at $1,250–1,310/t cfr India on 5 June, down from $1,350-1,430/t cfr India on 10 April. By Sourasis Bose Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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