概要
エネルギー転換は、世界に困難な課題と大きなチャンスをもたらします。影響が及ぶのは電力部門だけではなく、すべての主要産業におけるエネルギーの生産、貯蔵、輸送、消費の方法に変革が起きようとしています。燃料、産業用熱、電力、化学原料に関して信頼のおける情報の必要性は、かつてないほど高まっています。
アーガスは、新興のネットゼロ経済の状況を理解の一助となるべく、当社のエネルギー専門家のグローバルなエコシステムは、お客様がネット・ゼロ・ステータスへの道をより良くナビゲートする方法の各側面について、業界に根ざした理解を提供します。
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最新ニュース
主要なエネルギー移行市場の最新ニュース
Brazil soy demand for biodiesel may rise by 72pc
Brazil soy demand for biodiesel may rise by 72pc
Sao Paulo, 16 April (Argus) — Demand for soybeans used to produce biodiesel in Brazil may increase by 72pc to 74mn metric tonnes (t) by 2035 on the back of slated gains in the country's biodiesel blending mandate, according to the soybean and corn producers' association of Mato Grosso state, Aprosoja-MT. Aprosoja-MT forecasts Brazil's biodiesel output will rise to 18mn t in 2035 from 10mn t in 2026, in large part due to the planned increase of the biodiesel blending mandate in the fuel of the future law to 24pc by 2035 from the current 15pc. Considering soybean oil represents around 70pc of the feedstocks used for biodiesel production in Brazil, according to hydrocarbons regulator ANP, demand for soy oil in 2035 would reach 12.3mn t. That means it would be necessary to crush 74mn t of soybeans to produce around 12.3mn t of oil by 2035 from 7.2mn t in 2025. Aprosoja-MT estimates Brazil's consumption of diesel, including biodiesel, of 1.4mn b/d in the 2026-35 period. In 2025, Brazil consumed an average 1.2mn b/d of diesel. The fuel of the future law establishes targets for the increase in biofuels blending in Brazil. It sets that the biodiesel blending mandate should grow by 1 percentage point/yr until 2030, which could be extended until 2035. But the increase of the blending mandate to 15pc from 14pc was delayed by six months in 2025, and the increase to 16pc — scheduled for March 2026 — has not been implemented yet because the government is still running the necessary feasibility tests . According to mines and energy ministry MME, the final report covering blends of 16-20pc is expected to be approved by late March 2027 if tests confirm these levels are feasible. That means the increase of the blending mandate to 16pc will have to wait at least until April 2027. Brazil's biodiesel demand is expected to reach 365,000 b/d in 2035, according to the association of vegetable oil industries Abiove. That would be more than double from 170,000 b/d in 2025, which reflected a 14.2pc average blending rate, according to ANP. Brazil's industrial sector would have to invest R52.2bn ($10.4bn) in new soybean crushers and biodiesel plants to be able to meet that demand, according to Abiove. By João Marinho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Aumento de mescla do biodiesel atrasará em um ano
Aumento de mescla do biodiesel atrasará em um ano
Sao Paulo, 16 April (Argus) — A elevação do mandato da mescla de biodiesel atrasará até, pelo menos, março de 2027, após o Ministério de Minas e Energia (MME) prorrogar o cronograma dos testes de viabilidade, de acordo com o novo plano apresentado a participantes do mercado. A Lei do Combustível do Futuro previa aumentar a mescla de 15pc (B15) para 16pc (B16) em março de 2026, desde que houvesse comprovação de que os novos níveis são tecnicamente viáveis. O MME espera que o relatório final quanto à utilização de misturas de B16-20 seja aprovado até o fim de março de 2027, caso os testes confirmem, sem ressalvas, que os níveis são viáveis, de acordo com o plano ao qual a Argus obteve acesso. O novo cronograma prevê o início dos primeiros testes experimentais em junho, adiamento de três meses em relação ao plano anterior, publicado em 19 de novembro de 2025. A necessidade de mais tempo para as fases de consolidação metodológica e negociações com laboratórios atrasou parcialmente o cronograma, de acordo com o plano. A falta de infraestrutura para a realização de testes mecânicos contribuiu para postergar o prazo inicial, segundo informações apresentadas pelo MME em março. Em um cenário no qual a aprovação dependa de ajustes técnicos dos testes, o prazo para a validação do relatório final pode se estender até julho de 2027. Ainda não há datas para testes das misturas entre B20-25. O atraso na elevação de mescla coincide com a alta dos preços do diesel S10 nacionalizado no mercado à vista acima dos preços do biodiesel negociado por contrato, desde 5 de março, e com o consequente aumento da pressão pelo avanço do mandato de mescla do biodiesel. O movimento ocorre após a elevação dos preços globais de derivados de petróleo devido à guerra entre Estados Unidos, Israel e Irã. A Associação dos Produtores de Biocombustíveis do Brasil (Aprobio) e a Associação Brasileira das Indústrias de Óleos Vegetais (Abiove) pressionaram neste mês a Agência Nacional do Petróleo, Gás Natural e Biocombustíveis (ANP) para permitir misturas de biodiesel acima do mandato sem autorização prévia. As entidades argumentaram que o Brasil tem capacidade para fornecer uma mistura de biodiesel de até 21,6pc no diesel. O MME não respondeu ao pedido da Argus por comentários referentes ao novo cronograma. Por Lucas Lignon Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . Todos os direitos reservados.
Rotterdam 1Q bunker sales fall sharply
Rotterdam 1Q bunker sales fall sharply
London, 16 April (Argus) — Demand for conventional marine fuels in Rotterdam fell by 28pc on the year in the first quarter of 2026, after the Netherlands implemented the EU's revised Renewable Energy Directive (RED III) at its ports. The decline also reflects disruption linked to the US-Iran war. Market participants reported a drop in Rotterdam bunker demand even before the war, as some shipowners shifted fuelling to neighbouring ports to avoid price premiums created by the Netherlands' unilateral transposition of RED III marine mandates from 1 January. Sales of very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) fell most sharply, down by 44pc from a year earlier to about 440,000t in the first quarter. High-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) volumes dropped by 25pc to about 619,000t, while ultra-low sulphur fuel oil (ULSFO) sales fell by 13pc. Marine gasoil (MGO) and marine diesel oil (MDO) demand declined by 8pc on the year to around 361,000t. Some shipowners instead opted to bunker in neighbouring Antwerp, which forms part of the ARA hub and offers lower conventional bunker prices without requiring route changes. Others prioritised bunkering at Gothenburg in Sweden or ports in Germany, market participants said. Price differentials supported the shift. Between early February and the end of March, MGO dob Rotterdam prices averaged $12.75/t higher than the Antwerp equivalent, while VLSFO dob Rotterdam held an average premium of roughly $14.50/t over the same period. Tighter global supply has added further pressure. The effective closure of the strait of Hormuz sharply reduced bunker availability in Singapore, increasing competition for VLSFO and MGO cargoes that would otherwise be exported to the ARA hub. After the start of the US-Iran war, Rotterdam MGO prices rose by 75pc to an average of about $1,186/t in March, while VLSFO prices climbed by 57pc to an average of $710.50/t. By Gabriel Tassi Lara and Hussein Al-Khalisy Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Rotterdam biomarine sales fall in 1Q
Rotterdam biomarine sales fall in 1Q
London, 16 April (Argus) — Marine biodiesel blend sales fell by 35pc in the first quarter compared with the fourth quarter of last year, but were roughly steady compared with the first quarter of 2025. Participants pointed to lacklustre demand in January and February, with an uptick in March as the US-Iran war led to Dutch B100 flipping to a discount against MGO . But these discounts failed to support significant demand growth , as volatility weighed on marine fuel trading activity and buyers hesitant to make significant changes to their procurement strategy based on an acute price spread. Rotterdam's loss has been Singapore's gain. Data from the Port of Singapore showed roughly a 13pc growth in marine biodiesel blend sales on the quarter to the first quarter of 2026. This demand is attributed to FuelEU Maritime requirements, which came into effect in 2025 and require ships coming in, out of, and operating within EU waters to reduce emissions. Shipowners bunkering marine biodiesel in Singapore for EU-bound voyages can use it for FuelEU Maritime compliance. And compliance generated from bunkering marine biodiesel in Singapore can then be used to achieve compliance on vessels operating European routes, via the pooling mechanism, in which obligated companies can combine their compliance balance with other vessels. Bio-LNG sales firmed by 28pc on the quarter in the first quarter of 2026, generating over-compliance which has sold at a significant premium to cost . This may have also weighed on marine biodiesel blend sales, as bio-LNG volumes bunkered would have generated FuelEU compliance surpluses that can then be sold on to vessels that do not have LNG-capable engines. This would then potentially dampen FuelEU-driven demand from those vessels for marine biodiesel blends, and many shipowners did opt to buy surpluses to meet FuelEU requirements. But this dynamic may soon change because of the US-Iran war, where the FuelEU used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome)–MGO abatement ex-emissions trading system (ETS) price was negative on 7 April. It has since returned to positive levels, marked at €61.45/tCO2e on 15 April. But this remains significantly below FuelEU compliance surplus levels, with offers seen at €175-210/tCO2e, meaning it is currently cheaper to generate compliance using marine biodiesel blends than to buy surpluses to meet the FuelEU requirements. By Hussein Al-Khalisy Rotterdam bunker sales t Fuel 1Q 2026 4Q 2025 Q1 2025 q-o-q % y-o-y % ULSFO 162,142 219,039 187,031 -26 -13 VLSFO 439,804 745,786 789,218 -41 -44 HSFO 619,010 804,962 829,197 -23 -25 MGO/MDO 360,517 402,781 393,071 -10 -8 Conventional total 1,581,473 2,172,568 2,198,517 -27 -28 Biofuel blends 104,630 161,934 104,037 -35 1 LNG (m3) 267,454 192,433 261,200 39 2 Bio-LNG (m3) 15,260 11,932 na 28 na Biomethanol 996 na 5,490 na -82 Port of Rotterdam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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