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Atlantic coking coal: China tariff exemption lifts mood

  • : Coking coal, Metals
  • 20/02/19

Beijing's decision to allow buyers of US coking coal in China to apply for tariff exemptions from 2 March has buoyed sentiment among US miners significantly this week.

While US miners have welcomed the possibility of increasing their shipments to China, most do not expect an immediate surge in US coking coal prices.

The Argus daily fob Hampton Roads assessment for low-volatile coking coal in the US has moved up another 75¢/t to $135.25/t today, supported by supply tightness in China but also partly weighed down by possible steel capacity cuts in the country. The high-volatile type A daily price is up by 50¢/t to $137.50/t fob Hampton Roads, as is the high-volatile type B price at $125.50/t fob Hampton Roads, because any upside from increased Chinese demand is still tampered by lacklustre demand from European mills that are in greater proximity.

The exemption announced yesterday applies to China's retaliatory tariffs on US coal imports imposed in August 2018, and will bring the effective tariff down to 3pc for US coal shipped to China.

China's ministry of finance reduced tariffs on US coking coal by 2.5pc on 6 February, but the impact of the reduction on an effective rate of 33pc — including the 3pc original import tax, 25pc retaliatory tariff and variable inspection and quarantine charges — was deemed negligible by market participants.

"We have been seeing some tentative interest from Asia, and China's exemptions may open up a bit more interest, but China is not running at full capacity yet due to the coronavirus outbreak," said a trader. "I think there will be a spike in demand once there is more clarity on the situation."

Poor spot demand in Europe has also meant that some miners are more cautious about the impact of these tariff exemptions on their business. "This is a huge change and many people will be pleased about that," said one US miner. But there is still little-to-no spot demand in Europe in the near term, and some mills have yet to firm up their annual requirements for the next supply contracted year starting in April. European mills seem to have carry over volumes from their annual term contracts and US producers will expect these commitments to be met, said the miner.

The US east coast-to-Rotterdam Panamax rate has risen by $1/t to $9/t this week, as the tightening of tonnage in the Atlantic amid increased coal and grain export demand gave the most significant boost to rates since mid-December.


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24/09/19

UK's RJH ceases trading, merges with Amalgamet

UK's RJH ceases trading, merges with Amalgamet

London, 19 September (Argus) — London-based minor metals firm RJH Trading (RJH) will cease its trading operations and all business will be transferred to Amalgamet Limited, Argus learnt today. Starting from 1 October, Amalgamet — the physical trading arm of non-ferrous metals at UK-based AMC Group — will take over the management of all RJH operations. Amalgamet is hiring the team from RJH, including Charles Swindon, the founder and managing director of RJH and former chairman of the Minor Metals Trade Association (MMTA), who will work as a consultant. Senior RJH traders in Scandinavia and India will trade for Amalgamet. Amalgamet, also headquartered in London, aims to expand further into more high-growth metals and take advantage of trading a greater diversity of metals and concentrates, both parties told Argus . Amalgamet mainly supplies base and minor metals, and through the merger will add new products that RJH has been trading for years including ferro-alloys such as ferro-chrome, ferro-silicon and other minor metals such as magnesium. For several metals including antimony there will be a crossover, as both trading firms have positions in the market. Charles Swindon told Argus the mix of the two portfolios is a good match and added that it is important to spread risk at a moment of geopolitical fragmentation. "This [partnership] brings over 100 years of invaluable trading experience in all metals as well as new opportunities in all parts of the world," he said. The financial details of the transaction have not been disclosed. By Cristina Belda Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU HRC market gears up for mill consolidation


24/09/19
24/09/19

EU HRC market gears up for mill consolidation

London, 19 September (Argus) — The European hot-rolled coil (HRC) market is gearing up for potential consolidation over the coming year, as mills grapple with tough market conditions. The share prices of key European producers have rallied in recent days, despite continued weakness in HRC prices. Global steelmaker ArcelorMittal's shares traded above €22/share ($24/share) on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange at 12:30 GMT today, up from €19.70/share on 10 September. This strength is partly attributable to the expected release of economic stimulus measures in China, and the US Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut, sources suggest. But market strength could also be because of growing talk that a new wave of consolidation is on its way, fuelled by decarbonisation efforts and the strained positions' of some mills. There has long been talk that steel coil producer Tata Steel Netherlands could be sold, after the Dutch state agreed to contribute to its decarbonisation spend. Recent difficulties at Germany's ThyssenKrupp have also sparked suggestions it could be an acquisition target. Czech Republic energy company EP Corporate Group (EPCG) recently completed its purchase of a 20pc stake in ThyssenKrupp's Steel Europe division, and could increase this to 50pc in the near future. EPCG owner Daniel Kretinsky may be seeking a strategic partner to help run the business, sparking talks that other mills could bid for a stake in the company. ThyssenKrupp shares were trading at €3.20/share on Deutsche Borse Xetra at 12:30 GMT today, up from €2.78/share on 10 September. Concerns over strong positions in niche markets, particularly tin plate, saw Tata Steel and Thyssekrupp call off their proposed joint venture in May 2019. But the market is in a different position now. Some mills have reduced capacity but new entrants are trying to join the market as green producers. And the global market is oversupplied, putting European producers in a difficult financial predicament, especially given their capital-intensive efforts to decarbonise. In the case of ThyssenKrupp, expectations that the mill will reduce its production footprint could partially alleviate potential competition concerns in the event of a takeover. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed cuts rate by half point, signals more: Update


24/09/18
24/09/18

US Fed cuts rate by half point, signals more: Update

Adds chairman Powell comments, economic projections. Houston, 18 September (Argus) — The US Federal Reserve cut its target interest rate by 50 basis points today, the first rate cut since 2020, with policymakers signaling they expect to make another half-point worth of cuts by the end of 2024. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the federal funds rate to 4.75-5pc from the prior range of 5.25-5.5pc, which was a 23-year high. The Fed had kept the target rate unchanged since July 2023 after hiking it for more than a year in the most intense rate-tightening campaign in four decades to quash inflation, which peaked at 9.1pc in mid-2022. "The committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2pc, and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance," the FOMC said in its statement after the two-day meeting. "Job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low." In their latest economic projections, the Fed board and policymakers expect the target rate range will end 2024 near a midpoint of 4.4pc compared with an end of year midpoint of 5.1pc projected in June, which implies further cuts amounting to 50 basis points by the end of 2024. Policymakers also penciled in another 100 basis points of cuts over the course of 2025. "We're recalibrating policy down over time to a more neutral level and we're moving at the pace that we think is appropriate given developments in the economy," Fed chair Jerome Powell told a press conference after the meeting. "The economy can develop in a way that will cause us to go faster or slower. The US economy is in a good place and our decision today is designed to keep it there." The Fed's economic projections see core Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation — the Fed's favorite measure of inflation — ending 2024 at a median rate of 2.6pc, down from a prior forecast of 2.8pc. Policymakers see core PCE inflation falling to a median of 2.2pc by the end of next year. The outlook for the unemployment rate for the end of 2024 climbed to 4.4pc from 4pc penciled in at the June meeting. Policymakers expect gross domestic product (GDP) growth to end 2024 at an annual 2pc, slightly down from a prior 2.1pc projection. The latest policy meeting comes as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased to an annual 2.5pc in August , down from 2.9pc in July, the Labor Department reported on 11 September. Inflation had ticked up to 3.5pc in March from 3.1pc in January, prompting the Fed to turn more cautious about beginning its rate cuts. US job growth has recently slowed sharply, falling to an average 116,000 in the three months through August from 211,000 for the prior three months. The jobless rate rose to 4.3pc in July, the highest in three years, before edging down to 4.2pc in August. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed cuts rate by half point, signals more to come


24/09/18
24/09/18

US Fed cuts rate by half point, signals more to come

Houston, 18 September (Argus) — The US Federal Reserve cut its target interest rate by 50 basis points today, the first rate cut since 2020, with officials signaling they expect to make another half point worth of cuts by the end of 2024. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the federal funds rate to 4.75-5pc from the prior range of 5.25-5.5pc, which was a two-decade high. The Fed had kept the target rate unchanged since July 2023 after hiking it for more than a year in the most aggressive increase campaign in four decades to quash inflation, which peaked at 9.1pc in mid-2022. "The committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2pc and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance," the FOMC said in its statement after the two-day meeting. "Job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low." The Fed board and policymakers, in their latest economic projections, expect the target rate range will end 2024 near a midpoint of 4.4pc compared with an end of year midpoint of 5.1pc projected in June, which implies further cuts amounting to 50 basis points by the end of 2024. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Japan's Tokyo Steel cuts sales prices on weak demand


24/09/18
24/09/18

Japan's Tokyo Steel cuts sales prices on weak demand

Shanghai, 18 September (Argus) — Japan's steel manufacturing firm Tokyo Steel said it will cut domestic steel product prices for October, marking the first full-scale price cut in over four years. The decision was driven by sluggish domestic demand and increased competition from cheaper imported steel products. Tokyo Steel will reduce prices across all product lines starting October, with steel coils and plates dropping by ¥15,000/t, shaped beams by ¥12,000/t, and tubes and deformed bars by ¥10,000/t. The company had maintained stable domestic steel prices for an extended period on the back of the steadier domestic demand and market conditions compared to the more volatile overseas market. The last price cut for deformed bars was in July 2023. Steel sales in Japan were weak during the third quarter, impacted by rising procurement costs for materials, a shortage of construction capacity, and an influx of cheaper steel products from China in the seaborne market, market participants said. A decline in profitability pushed Japanese mills to cut production costs. From 11 July to 14 September, domestic scrap prices at Tokyo Steel's Utsunomiya plant dropped by ¥12,500/t, or 23.8pc. Market sentiment in Japan remains bearish due to economic uncertainty and the strengthening of the Japanese yen. The upcoming adjustments in US monetary policy could add further volatility to exchange rates. "We may see more corrections in the Japanese domestic market," a trade source said. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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