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Africa claims leadership role in global climate fight

  • Spanish Market: Coal, Crude oil, Electricity, Emissions, Natural gas
  • 10/11/23

African countries need to see an overhaul of global financial support to leapfrog their economies straight to low-carbon energy, writes Elaine Mills

African heads of state have reframed Africa's role in the global climate-change crisis by asserting a new leadership status for the continent and underscoring its abundant clean energy minerals and renewable energy resources as a potential solution. In return, they called for debt relief for African countries, a global carbon tax and a raft of reforms of the international financial system to support climate action on the continent and worldwide.

The proposal formed part of the "Nairobi declaration" issued at the inaugural Africa Climate Summit in Nairobi, Kenya, in September. This will underpin Africa's common position in negotiations at the UN Cop 28 climate conference in the UAE later this month, and beyond. Leaders committed to aiding global decarbonisation efforts by leapfrogging traditional industrial development, striking a different tone to their previous rhetoric, which was that Africa would pursue industrialisation by any means, including continuing to exploit its domestic oil and gas resources.

According to Kenyan president William Ruto, renewable energy can be just as strong a driver of Africa's economic development as oil and gas. So Kenya will still press ahead with its plans to develop its oil and gas reserves, but just not as a priority, he said. But Kenya's stance contrasts with other African hydrocarbon producing countries, such as Uganda, Nigeria and Senegal, which say that they need to tap their oil and gas resources to develop their economies.

The IEA, in its Africa Energy Outlook 2022, said that Africa's industrialisation will partly rely on exploiting its more than 5 trillion m³ of natural gas that has been discovered but not been approved for development. Cumulative greenhouse gas emissions from the use of these gas resources over the next 30 years would bring the continent's global emissions share to only 3.5pc, the IEA says.

As Africa is the continent most vulnerable to climate change, African leaders have depicted it as a victim of a crisis created by the industrialised world. As such, they insist that Africa will chart a "just energy transition" of its own choosing without being dictated to by the west. But at the Nairobi summit, they signalled more willingness to take part in the global shift away from fossil fuels — and to take advantage of the economic development opportunities this holds for Africa.

"The Africa Climate Summit asserted new leadership on global climate action from the continent most vulnerable to its impacts," E3G programme lead for climate diplomacy and geopolitics Alex Scott said. Ruto shepherded a declaration by African leaders calling for accelerated climate action, mobilising a massive scale of investment in green transition and adaptation in Africa, and reforming the finance system for fairer financing and debt management, Scott said.

Climate-positive thinking

World leaders should "appreciate that decarbonising the global economy is also an opportunity to contribute to equality and shared prosperity", the summit declaration says. "We urge world leaders to rally behind the proposal for a [global] carbon taxation regime including a carbon tax on fossil fuel trade, maritime transport and aviation," it adds. This could be supplemented by a global financial transaction tax to fund climate-positive investments, which should be ring-fenced from geopolitical and national interests, the declaration suggests.

African leaders also called for "a new financing architecture that is responsive to Africa's needs" and "collective global action to mobilise the necessary capital for both development and climate action". As part of this, they want to see debt restructuring and relief for African nations, a 10-year grace period on interest payments, an extension of sovereign loans, and debt repayment pauses when climate disasters strike. With these aims in mind, they suggest a new global climate finance charter should be developed through UN and Cop processes by 2025.

They also appealed for an increase in concessional finance to emerging economies, as well as reforms of the international financial system to ease the high cost of capital for African nations. "The scale of financing required to unlock Africa's climate-positive growth is beyond the borrowing capacity of national balance sheets, or at the risk premium that Africa is currently paying for private capital," the declaration says. Africa's annual climate finance needs total $250bn, but it only receives 12pc of this, according to the non-profit Climate Policy Initiative.

African leaders further called for a range of measures to "elevate Africa's share of carbon markets". The International Emissions Trading Association (Ieta) welcomed African countries' increasing interest in carbon markets and expressed hope that more would set up carbon pricing programmes to enable stronger national emissions-reduction contributions. But it baulked at the idea of a global carbon tax, which is "unlikely" to gain political traction, and highly difficult to manage centrally by the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change or any organisation.

A more practical and speedy approach would be to expand the use of national carbon markets that recognise a common pool of international carbon credits, Ieta said. "This could channel large amounts of private-sector capital to climate mitigation opportunities in Africa under Article 6 of the Paris climate agreement."

The leaders called for global and regional trade mechanisms to be designed in such a manner that "African products can compete on fair and equitable terms". In support of this, they called for unilateral and discriminatory measures such as environmental trade tariffs to be eliminated. In return, they committed to aid global decarbonisation efforts by "leapfrogging traditional industrial development and fostering green production and supply chains on a global scale". They expressed concern that only 2pc of $3 trillion in renewable energy investments in the past decade have come to Africa, despite the fact that the continent has an estimated 40pc of the world's renewable energy resources, according to the declaration.

We're all in this together

African leaders called on the international community to contribute towards increasing the continent's renewable power generation to at least 300GW by 2030 from 56GW in 2022. Meeting this target will cost an estimated $600bn and will require a tenfold increase in capital flowing into Africa's renewable energy sector over the next seven years, they said. The UAE pledged $4.5bn to accelerate the development of clean energy projects, which far exceeded the pledges of other governments, such as the US, the UK and those in the EU.

Developed countries have come under fire after missing a goal set in 2009 to provide $100bn/yr in climate financing to developing countries by 2020. The target may finally be hit this year. Just a few days after the Africa Climate Summit, the G20 summit in Delhi echoed the Nairobi declaration's clarion call for an overhaul of the global financial system. The Delhi declaration included new language on the issue of global debt, proposed that the World Bank should be reformed to address the growing economic strains on poorer countries and advocated more financing to help vulnerable nations deal with the costs of climate change.

It also showed agreement on raising investment in energy transition and climate finance from "billions to trillions" of dollars. The declaration highlighted that $5.8 trillion-5.9 trillion was needed pre-2030 to help developing nations implement their nationally determined contributions, as well as $4 trillion/yr for clean energy technologies by 2030 to reach net zero emissions by 2050. Whether African countries can advance their call for a radical reform of the global financial system at Cop 28 will be key to affirming their proclaimed new leadership role in global climate talks.


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18/09/24

US Fed cuts rate by half point, signals more: Update

US Fed cuts rate by half point, signals more: Update

Adds chairman Powell comments, economic projections. Houston, 18 September (Argus) — The US Federal Reserve cut its target interest rate by 50 basis points today, the first rate cut since 2020, with policymakers signaling they expect to make another half-point worth of cuts by the end of 2024. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the federal funds rate to 4.75-5pc from the prior range of 5.25-5.5pc, which was a 23-year high. The Fed had kept the target rate unchanged since July 2023 after hiking it for more than a year in the most intense rate-tightening campaign in four decades to quash inflation, which peaked at 9.1pc in mid-2022. "The committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2pc, and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance," the FOMC said in its statement after the two-day meeting. "Job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low." In their latest economic projections, the Fed board and policymakers expect the target rate range will end 2024 near a midpoint of 4.4pc compared with an end of year midpoint of 5.1pc projected in June, which implies further cuts amounting to 50 basis points by the end of 2024. Policymakers also penciled in another 100 basis points of cuts over the course of 2025. "We're recalibrating policy down over time to a more neutral level and we're moving at the pace that we think is appropriate given developments in the economy," Fed chair Jerome Powell told a press conference after the meeting. "The economy can develop in a way that will cause us to go faster or slower. The US economy is in a good place and our decision today is designed to keep it there." The Fed's economic projections see core Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation — the Fed's favorite measure of inflation — ending 2024 at a median rate of 2.6pc, down from a prior forecast of 2.8pc. Policymakers see core PCE inflation falling to a median of 2.2pc by the end of next year. The outlook for the unemployment rate for the end of 2024 climbed to 4.4pc from 4pc penciled in at the June meeting. Policymakers expect gross domestic product (GDP) growth to end 2024 at an annual 2pc, slightly down from a prior 2.1pc projection. The latest policy meeting comes as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased to an annual 2.5pc in August , down from 2.9pc in July, the Labor Department reported on 11 September. Inflation had ticked up to 3.5pc in March from 3.1pc in January, prompting the Fed to turn more cautious about beginning its rate cuts. US job growth has recently slowed sharply, falling to an average 116,000 in the three months through August from 211,000 for the prior three months. The jobless rate rose to 4.3pc in July, the highest in three years, before edging down to 4.2pc in August. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Volatile energy prices risk the transition: IEF


18/09/24
18/09/24

Volatile energy prices risk the transition: IEF

Houston, 18 September (Argus) — High or volatile energy prices risk undermining emissions reductions efforts, International Energy Forum (IEF) secretary-general Joseph McMonigle said today at the Gastech conference in Houston, Texas. "If the public starts to connect high prices and volatility to the energy transition, we're in big trouble and we risk losing public support for the transition and climate policy," he said. McMonigle made his comments on a panel with several energy ministers, who discussed the issues of balancing energy security concerns with transitioning to cleaner fuel sources for electricity. When asked what he would consider a "call to action" for the global energy sector, McMonigle suggested investments in emerging technologies. "I think to allow trading of carbon credits is really important to accelerate the transition," he said. "Also, to provide financing for CCS (carbon capture and storage), which I think is one of the technologies that does not have enough investment behind it." By David Haydon Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Citgo auction result delayed amid last-minute motions


18/09/24
18/09/24

Citgo auction result delayed amid last-minute motions

Houston, 18 September (Argus) — The US court-appointed special master overseeing the auction of US refiner Citgo plans to object to a last-minute motion from the Venezuelan government to delay the sale process by four months. The Republic of Venezuela and state-owned oil company PdV filed a motion on Tuesday seeking a four-month pause in the sale of its refining subsidiary Citgo, which is being auctioned off to satisfy debts owed by PdV. Special master Robert Pincus said in a court filing today that he intends to object to Venezuela's motion for a pause. The last-minute motion from Venezuela comes days after the US District Court for the District of Delaware was expected to announce results of the winning bidder. The court asked for a second extension to the auction process in August, delaying announcing a successful bidder to on or about 16 September with a sale hearing on 7 November. But Pincus is now dealing with last-minute legal challenges filed last week outside of the Delaware courts by so-called "alter ego" claimants seeking to "circumvent" the Delaware court's sales process and "jump the line" for enforcing claims against PdV, the special master said in a filing last week. Bidders for Citgo's 804,000 b/d of refining capacity, terminals, retail fuel stations and other plants expect the assets to be sold free and clear of future claims by PdV creditors. Unresolved legal liabilities could lower the value bidders are willing to pay for Citgo, decreasing the pool of money available to those owed by PdV. By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US seeks to purchase 6mn bl for SPR


18/09/24
18/09/24

US seeks to purchase 6mn bl for SPR

Washington, 18 September (Argus) — President Joe Biden's administration is trying to purchase 6mn bl of sour crude for delivery to the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) as part of a plan to issue solicitations when prices are "favorable for taxpayers." The US Department of Energy (DOE) today released a solicitation to purchase up to 6mn bl of sour crude for delivery in February-May to the SPR's Bayou Choctaw site in Louisiana. If the purchase is successful, it would be the largest single purchase since the Biden administration launched its crude purchase program in early 2023. The solicitation offers a chance for the administration to buy crude for the SPR at a lower price than earlier purchases. Nymex WTI crude futures for delivery in February settled at $68.41/bl on Tuesday. The lowest-priced crude purchase under Biden was a 1.7mn purchase at a price of $72/bl in June 2023, and the average purchase price is about $76/bl. Bids for the solicitation are due by noon ET on 25 September. DOE has already purchased more than 50mn bl of sour crude for the SPR, of which 30mn bl have already been delivered. On 9 September, DOE said it purchased 3.42mn bl of sour crude for the SPR's Bryan Mound storage site at a price of $72.46/bl from the trading firm Macquarie Commodities Trading. The crude will be delivered in January-March, adding to an earlier purchase of nearly 2.5mn bl that will be delivered to the Bryan Mound site over the same time frame. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Wash. regulators plan for cap-and-trade vote


18/09/24
18/09/24

Wash. regulators plan for cap-and-trade vote

Monterey, 18 September (Argus) — Washington regulators are making a "contingency" plan in the event of a successful repeal of the state's emissions cap-and-trade program. Initiative 2117, which looks to repeal the state's cap-and-trade program and prevent any similar program from taking its place, will be on state ballots for the 5 November election. "We are doing contingency planning in case the ballot measure passes and will update our covered entities when we do have information — and I know this initiative is creating a lot of uncertainty," said Stephanie Potts, senior planner with the state Department of Ecology today at the Argus North American Biofuels, LCFS & Carbon Markets Summit in Monterey, California. The agency also remains focused on continuing to implement the program, "assuming it continues," she said. Washington's "cap-and-invest" program requires large industrial facilities, fuel suppliers, and power plants to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions by 45pc by 2030 and by 95pc by 2050, from 1990 levels. The department is in an ongoing rulemaking process to expand and amend its carbon offset protocols, and also continues work to gather input for linkage with the Western Climate Initiative, a linked carbon market between California and Quebec. Potts said Washington expects to have a linkage agreement in place by the end of next year. The uncertainty introduced by the ballot initiative over the fledgling market's future has tempered carbon credit prices and activity this year. Argus assessed Washington carbon allowances (WCAs) for December delivery at $30.25/metric tonne on 4 March, their lowest price since the program's inception in 2023. The drop in prices at that time coincided with a statement by Ecology outlining how a successful repeal would end the agency's authority over the program. Earlier this year, the state Office of Financial Management (OFM) released a fiscal impact statement on a successful repeal that assumed an effective repeal date would be 5 December. By Denise Cathey and Jessica Dell Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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