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Cop 29 president Babayev sets out summit action plan

  • Spanish Market: Emissions, Natural gas
  • 20/09/24

The goals might be broadly welcomed, but climate groups want to see progress on fossil fuel consumption, writes Georgia Gratton

The president-designate of the UN Cop 29 climate summit, Azeri ecology and natural resources minister Mukhtar Babayev, this week set out 14 initiatives and a detailed agenda for the conference, drawing little-addressed topics into the spotlight, but skating over some of last year's Cop outcomes.

Most tangibly, Babayev's letter, sent to parties to UN climate body the UNFCCC, listed a handful of pledges that echo the broadly popular declarations launched at last year's Cop 28 by that summit's UAE presidency.

Babayev set out a two-pronged declaration, which seeks to scale up global energy storage capacity to 1.5TW by 2030 and add or refurbish more than 80mn km of power grid by 2040. A separate proposed pledge aims to "commit to green energy zones and corridors", to maximise sustainable energy generation and ensure "cost-effective transmission over large distances and across borders". And the summit will aim to tackle the barriers — including regulatory, technical and financial ones — to a global "clean hydrogen" market.

The Cop 29 presidency also aims to address "the growing problem of methane from organic waste", it said. Methane — a potent greenhouse gas — is often a focus at Cop summits, although typically with an eye to the largest emitters, the agriculture and fossil fuel industries. Global methane emissions from agriculture and fossil fuels stood at 142mn t and 118mn t, respectively, in 2023, whereas waste was responsible for 71mn t, IEA data show.

Babayev wants governments to commit to targets to cut methane from organic waste and more countries to sign the Global Methane Pledge. The pledge, launched in 2021 at Cop 26, asks signatories to cut methane emissions by at least 30pc by 2030, from 2020 levels. Azerbaijan signed the pledge in March this year.

These goals are likely to be broadly welcomed, but environmental groups will also be watching for progress on fossil fuel consumption. Babayev's letter avoided mention of the key agreement reached at last year's Cop 28 — to transition away from fossil fuels — although it did make multiple references to the first global stocktake, the main outcome document from Cop 28.

Feeling the heat

Azerbaijan is a natural gas exporter, and keen to build on this. The majority of the country's income is from the energy sector, with oil and gas accounting for 90pc of exports and a third of its GDP, according to the World Bank, which lists Azerbaijan among the countries that have most to lose from the transition.

Babayev noted that Cop 29 — set for 11-22 November in Baku — will be the first Cop hosted in the Caucasus region. He flagged the "extreme heat [and] water scarcity" the region faces, but also pointed to its wind and solar power potential. And he provided more details of a planned $1bn climate fund, which will be capitalised by fossil fuel-producing countries and companies.

"We believe that countries rich in natural resources should be at the forefront of those addressing climate change," Babayev said, noting that the direction came from Azerbaijan's president, Ilham Aliyev. The fund will be a public-private partnership, with "concessional and grant-based support to rapidly address the consequences of natural disasters" in developing countries, Babayev said. It will "provide offtake agreement guarantees for small and medium-sized renewable energy producers and first-loss capital for green industrial projects", with a focus on food and agriculture, he said.

Babayev has already said climate finance will be the "centrepiece" in Baku. The planned fund, and any other advances on climate finance, are likely to prove the mark of success for Cop 29.


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13/12/24

Canada sets 2035 emissions reduction goal

Canada sets 2035 emissions reduction goal

London, 13 December (Argus) — Canada has set a new 2035 climate goal, aiming to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 45-50pc by 2035, from a 2005 baseline. This builds on its 2030 target of a 40-45pc emissions reduction, again from 2005 levels. Canada's emissions had been in 2015 projected to rise by 9pc by 2030, from 2005 levels, "but we are now successfully bending the curve", the Canadian environment and climate change ministry said. The newly-announced target is in line with a pledge Canada made at the UN Cop 29 climate summit last month. Countries that are party to the Paris climate accord must submit new national climate plans by 10 February 2025, to cover a timeframe up to 2035. Canada, the EU, Mexico, Norway and Switzerland committed at Cop 29 to set out new plans with "steep emissions cuts" that are consistent with the global 1.5°C temperature increase limit sought by the Paris Agreement. The plans are known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs). Canada's NDC is being considered by the cabinet, and the country plans to submit it by the deadline, Canadian climate change ambassador Catherine Stewart told Cop 29 delegates on 21 November. Tackling climate change is "both an environmental imperative and an economic opportunity", she added. The target was informed "by the best available science, Indigenous Knowledge, international climate change commitments, consultations with provinces and territories and expert advice", the ministry said. Canada will also "seek feedback on how to help companies take advantage of the economic opportunities that come with building a clean economy" in the near term, it added. Although the plan is not yet available, the ministry said that it will examine the role of carbon removal technologies for the energy transition. "Canadians are increasingly experiencing record-breaking extreme weather," the ministry noted. The country experienced record wildfires in 2023. Carbon emissions from wildfires this year were second only to the "unprecedented" levels in 2023, EU earth-monitoring service Copernicus found this month. Canada has a legally binding target of net zero emissions by 2050. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India's Gujarat Gas raises PNG prices in Morbi cluster


13/12/24
13/12/24

India's Gujarat Gas raises PNG prices in Morbi cluster

Mumbai, 13 December (Argus) — India's state-run city gas distribution company Gujarat Gas has increased prices of piped natural gas (PNG) in the Morbi industrial cluster in west India's Gujarat state. This came after it kept rates unchanged since July. Prices of PNG used in the industrial ceramic cluster have been hiked to 46.95 rupees/m³ ($0.55/m³) from Rs44.68/m³ in July. This comes to Rs5.60/kcal on an energy equivalent basis, based on a calorific value of 8,400 kcal/kg. This is slightly higher than propane prices, which is a competing fuel in the region's ceramic cluster. Propane prices in Morbi were pegged at Rs61/kg for December , up from Rs60.30/kg in November because of rising import costs. Propane on an energy equivalent basis is Rs5.50/kcal based on the calorific value of 11,100 kcal/kg, traders said. Gujarat Gas has regained some market share in the last few months by keeping its prices unchanged. But it remains to be seen if ceramic units in the region will switch back to propane again. Propane demand in the region fell to 3.2mn m³/d in November from 4.5mn m³/d in October, regional traders said. Overall gas demand in the region was 7mn m³/d in November. Capacity utilisation of ceramic clusters continues to remain weak because of lower export demand for the upcoming Christmas season in the west, according to traders in the region. Gujarat Gas competes with regional propane distributors, including state-controlled IOC, BPCL and HPCL, as well as private-sector firms Reliance Industries, Aegis Logistics and Gogas. It remains to be seen if propane prices will rise further next month, as Saudi Arabia's state-controlled Aramco kept its December propane contract price unchanged at $635/t. Spot LNG prices have also risen this month, which makes a fall in PNG prices unlikely. The Argus -assessed spot price of LNG delivered to India's west coast for first-half January stood at $14.09/mn Btu on 12 December, up from $12.70/mn Btu a month earlier for December-arriving vessels. Tile manufacturers in Morbi have been switching between PNG and propane depending on LNG import prices, since the latter rose in 2022 as a result of the Russia-Ukraine war. By Rituparna Ghosh Propane vs PNG prices (Indian rupees/kcal) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EPA defends 'good neighbor' efficacy


11/12/24
11/12/24

EPA defends 'good neighbor' efficacy

Houston, 11 December (Argus) — The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) responded to concerns raised by the US Supreme Court in June by defending the efficacy of the "good neighbor" plan in reducing NOx emissions regardless of the number of participating states. The high court's concerns were over the issue of severability — that is, how effective the good neighbor plan would be in lowering ozone season NOx emissions if only some of the original 23 states participated. In other words, it is the question of whether the emissions limits placed on states as part of the Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) cap-and-trade program under the plan would have changed based on the number of participating states. In a notice published in the Federal Register on Tuesday, EPA rejected the idea that the effectiveness of the good neighbor plan — and as a result, the NOx emissions limits imposed on each state — would wane if the number of participating states changed. Instead, the agency said that its plan is "by design severable by state" because the NOx emissions limits are imposed on individual sources rather than the states themselves. Each participating state's emissions obligations depend on the number of obligated power plants, their emissions and the types of emissions reduction measures they already have in place. As a result, pausing the imposition of tighter NOx limits under the good neighbor plan in certain states does not affect the NOx limits imposed in other participating states, EPA said. In a similar vein, EPA addressed concerns that the larger version of the CSAPR Group 3 seasonal NOx allowance trading program established under the good neighbor plan would become more illiquid if it covered fewer states than planned, which could lead to a smaller supply of allowances and higher prices. Calling those concerns "unjustified", the agency said that states can withdraw their sources from a trading program by submitting their own ozone reduction plans. EPA also cited previous instances from past cross-state ozone programs where the number of participating states has changed, noting that there has been no evidence of allowance shortages. EPA also responded to concerns that it used an inconsistent methodology to determine emissions obligations for each source — including the emissions reduction strategies that could be used and their associated costs. The agency said it used a methodology that was "nearly identical to prior good neighbor rules" and considered NOx reduction technologies that have been in place "for decades throughout the US." The severability issue was raised by the Supreme Court in June, when it paused implementation of the good neighbor plan nationwide. The court majority said that EPA did not provide a sufficient explanation in response to public comments from states that highlighted those concerns — especially because, until the court issued its stay, only 10 states were participating in the good neighbor plan because of lower court stays. But in September, the US Court of Appeals for the DC Circuit allowed EPA to respond to the issue of severability, while it paused related litigation. EPA finalized the "good neighbor" plan last year to help downwind states meet the 2015 federal ozone standards. It imposed more rigorous CSAPR ozone season NOx emissions limits on more than 20 states and called for new NOx limits for industrial sources. Illiquidity has been persistent in the CSAPR market, depressing activity and keeping prices steady for almost a year because of uncertainty surrounding the numerous legal challenges against the plan. The ozone season runs from May-September each year. With plan halted for the time being, EPA has returned to less-stringent seasonal NOx budgets and reshuffled the remaining participating states into the Group 2 and new "expanded" Group 2 markets, leaving the Group 3 market empty. By Ida Balakrishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cop 29 grids, storage pledge signatories released


11/12/24
11/12/24

Cop 29 grids, storage pledge signatories released

London, 11 December (Argus) — The final list of signatories for pledges on expanding energy storage and grid capacity taken at the UN Cop 29 climate summit, was released today, almost four weeks after the commitment was first finalised, with 58 countries out of almost 200 Cop parties taking part. Signatories commit to a collective goal of increasing electricity storage capacity to 1500GW by 2030, a sixfold increase from 2022. Another pledge is to add or refurbish 25mn km of grid infrastructure by 2030, and recognise the need for an additional 65mn km by 2040. Lack of firm, clean power generators to back up intermittent renewables is a major barrier to increasing renewable penetration, while distributed resources require large investments in power grids to transport electricity to consumers. The list of 58 signatory countries includes the so-called troika of Cop host countries the UAE, Azerbaijan and Brazil. The US and all other G7 member states are present, with the exception of France. Also absent among major economies are China and Russia, while Saudi Arabia spoke in support of the pledges during Cop but does not appear on the list of signatories. In comparison, almost 120 countries had signed a pledge to triple global renewable capacity double global energy efficiency by 2030 during the Cop 28 summit in Dubai last year. The grids and storage pledges were one of the centrepiece announcements made by the Azeri host, following on from the calls made in Dubai on renewable capacity and energy efficiency, but also on transitioning away from fossil fuels in energy systems. But divergences on mitigation — actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions — during the summit this year, meant that the completed pledge, as well as any other specific mentions of fuels and energy transition technologies, were not included in final outcome texts. By Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US inflation rises to 2.7pc in November


11/12/24
11/12/24

US inflation rises to 2.7pc in November

Houston, 11 December (Argus) — Headline US inflation ticked higher in November, largely on food and shelter costs, suggesting the Federal Reserve still has work to do to reach its inflation target. The consumer price index rose by an annual 2.7pc in November after rising by 2.6pc through October, the Labor Department said. The gain matched expectations in a survey of economists by Trading Economics. So-called core inflation, which strips out more volatile food and energy, rose by 3.3pc, matching the prior month's gains. Services less energy services rose by 4.6pc following a 4.8pc increase the prior period. Today's report is the last consumer price index (CPI) reading before Federal Reserve policymakers meet next week to assess progress in bringing down inflation to their 2pc long term goal and release economic projections. The CME FedWatch tool today gave a 96pc probability the Federal Reserve will cut its target rate by a quarter point at its last meeting of the year, up from nearly 89pc Tuesday. The Fed began cutting its target rate in September after holding it at a 23-year high for more than a year. The energy index contracted by 3.2pc for the 12 months ending in November after falling by 4.9pc through October. Gasoline fell by 8.1pc and the fuel oil index declined by 19.5pc. The food index rose by 2.4pc over the past year, following a 2.1pc gain through the prior month. Transportation services rose by 7.1pc. Shelter slowed to 4.7pc from 4.9pc The CPI rose by 0.3 in November from the prior month, after rising by 0.2pc in each of the prior four months. The shelter index rose by 0.3pc for the month, accounting for nearly 40pc of the total monthly gain in the headline index, Labor said. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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